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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 15, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons21%8993
6Celtics79%99119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.2
34.5
32.6
16
63%
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.1
31.7
30.5
14
69%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
5-7
71%
3-4
5-11
75%
45%
1-3
33%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.1
29.8
30.7
11
56%
10
0
0
1
2
2
3
7
3-4
75%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.0
21.1
30.1
10
51%
3
1
3
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
51%
0-4
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.0
7.1
34.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
5-11
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.9
23.0
25.2
11
51%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
1-3
33%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.8
22.1
10.5
6
87%
1
1
3
0
2
5
0
1
0-1
0%
3-3
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.6
20.3
19.1
4
41%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-1
0%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.1
18.6
3.6
12
102%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
42%
2-2
100%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.0
18.2
10.5
3
20%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-6
17%
1-5
1-2
20%
51%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.6
13.5
3.8
6
87%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
3.8
0
1-1
51%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.9
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.1
28.7
34.7
3
26%
2
6
4
2
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
1-5
5-10
20%
54%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.7
27.2
30.7
15
79%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
54%
2-4
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.3
24.1
27.0
11
52%
8
2
0
0
3
0
1
7
3-6
50%
4-8
4-6
50%
61%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
22.7
26.6
14
71%
8
4
0
1
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
54%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.4
16.8
30.5
15
83%
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
6-7
86%
3-3
3-7
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.2
29.5
15.9
11
70%
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
51%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.2
25.3
18.3
13
73%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.8
21.0
13.1
8
45%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.5
16.7
18.4
8
82%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37.0
13.6
14.5
15
107%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
3-4
75%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.2
7.2
6.8
2
53%
0
5
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
7.2
4.9
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.