FinalWin Prob.pScore
554%103
123
1546%102
125
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
129.59587.3
HOU logo HOU
131.695104.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU123
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)123
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot123
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUBrooks 19' Pullup Jump Shot (31 PTS)123
7.2%
125
92.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0DENAnthony Layup (45 PTS)123
40.7%
123
59.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)121
26.7%
123
73.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Brooks Free Throw 2 of 2121
24.2%
123
75.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)121
14.8%
123
85.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)121
24.8%
122
75.2%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENMISS Nene Layup121
30.4%
122
69.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)121
46.8%
122
53.2%
Q4 - 0:47.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)121
78.1%
119
21.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot121
81.3%
119
18.7%
Q4 - 1:09HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)121
85.6%
119
14.4%
Q4 - 1:21DENAnthony 13' Pullup Jump Shot (43 PTS)121
94.1%
116
5.9%
Q4 - 1:40HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)119
88.7%
116
11.3%
Q4 - 1:40HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2119
89.3%
115
10.7%
Q4 - 1:43HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)119
87.7%
115
12.3%
Q4 - 1:44DENMISS Anthony 20' Pullup Jump Shot119
89.4%
115
10.6%
Q4 - 2:13HOUBrooks Driving Layup (28 PTS)119
93.0%
115
7.0%
Q4 - 2:31DENAnthony Driving Layup (41 PTS)119
94.9%
113
5.1%
Q4 - 2:46DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)117
93.2%
113
6.8%
Q4 - 2:47HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot117
91.8%
113
8.2%
Q4 - 3:08DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS)117
85.8%
113
14.2%
Q4 - 3:08DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)116
84.9%
113
15.1%
Q4 - 3:25HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)115
81.7%
113
18.3%
Q4 - 3:38DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T8)115
82.3%
111
17.7%
Q4 - 3:53HOUBrooks Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)115
87.7%
111
12.3%
Q4 - 4:02HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)115
82.7%
111
17.3%
Q4 - 4:04DENMISS Anthony 16' Fadeaway Jumper115
84.5%
111
15.5%
Q4 - 4:31HOUScola Layup (18 PTS)115
88.1%
111
11.9%
Q4 - 4:32HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)115
91.4%
109
8.6%
Q4 - 4:34HOUMISS Lowry Driving Layup115
93.4%
109
6.6%
Q4 - 4:55DENBillups 20' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nene 5 AST)115
91.4%
109
8.6%
Q4 - 5:18DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)113
85.3%
109
14.7%
Q4 - 5:19HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 1113
84.7%
109
15.3%
Q4 - 5:35HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)113
89.0%
107
11.0%
Q4 - 5:35DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 1113
89.4%
107
10.6%
Q4 - 5:52HOULowry Driving Layup (8 PTS)111
85.4%
107
14.6%
Q4 - 5:57HOUROCKETS Rebound111
89.0%
105
11.0%
Q4 - 5:57HOUMISS Scola Layup111
91.2%
105
8.8%
Q4 - 6:11DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)111
87.0%
105
13.0%
Q4 - 6:11DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)110
86.1%
105
13.9%
Q4 - 6:23HOULowry 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)109
83.5%
105
16.5%
Q4 - 6:49DENNene Layup (13 PTS)109
87.1%
103
12.9%
Q4 - 7:04HOUBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)107
82.1%
103
17.9%
Q4 - 7:29DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)107
88.7%
100
11.3%
Q4 - 8:05HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)104
80.6%
100
19.4%
Q4 - 8:12HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)104
87.6%
97
12.4%
Q4 - 8:14DENMISS Billups 19' Pullup Jump Shot104
88.4%
97
11.6%
Q4 - 8:33HOUScola Layup (16 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)104
90.1%
97
9.9%
Q4 - 8:38HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)104
92.2%
95
7.8%
Q4 - 8:40DENMISS Smith 13' Pullup Jump Shot104
92.8%
95
7.2%
Q4 - 8:56HOUScola 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)104
93.9%
95
6.1%
Q4 - 9:15HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)104
94.2%
93
5.8%
Q4 - 9:16DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot104
94.6%
93
5.4%
Q4 - 9:25DENNuggets Rebound104
95.4%
93
4.6%
Q4 - 9:25DENMISS Smith Layup104
94.6%
93
5.4%
Q4 - 9:44HOUMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)104
95.4%
93
4.6%
Q4 - 9:47HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)104
94.3%
93
5.7%
Q4 - 9:47HOUMISS Martin 15' Jump Shot104
95.1%
93
4.9%
Q4 - 9:49HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)104
94.3%
93
5.7%
Q4 - 9:51HOUMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot104
95.1%
93
4.9%
Q4 - 10:10DENAnthony 22' Pullup Jump Shot (37 PTS)104
93.3%
93
6.7%
Q4 - 10:32DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)102
91.8%
93
8.2%
Q4 - 10:33HOUMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
91.3%
93
8.7%
Q4 - 10:50DENAnthony 12' Step Back Jump Shot (35 PTS)102
90.0%
93
10.0%
Q4 - 11:00DENPetro REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)100
87.8%
93
12.2%
Q4 - 11:01HOUMISS Lowry Driving Layup100
85.9%
93
14.1%
Q4 - 11:13DENSmith Layup (15 PTS) (Petro 2 AST)100
84.1%
93
15.9%
Q4 - 11:15DENPetro REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)98
80.9%
93
19.1%
Q4 - 11:17HOUMISS Brooks 17' Jump Shot98
79.9%
93
20.1%
Q4 - 11:43DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)98
77.5%
93
22.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN95
69.1%
93
30.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0HOUHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)95
68.4%
93
31.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0HOUMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 295
69.5%
92
30.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0HOUHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)95
68.8%
92
31.2%
Q3 - 0:17.0HOUMISS Battier 20' Fadeaway Jumper95
71.5%
92
28.5%
Q3 - 0:21.0HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
68.8%
92
31.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
71.5%
92
28.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENSmith 21' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)95
68.8%
92
31.2%
Q3 - 1:09HOUBrooks Driving Reverse Layup (26 PTS)93
63.4%
92
36.6%
Q3 - 1:28DENAnthony 22' Jump Shot (30 PTS)93
68.2%
90
31.8%
Q3 - 1:43HOUBrooks 20' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)91
63.4%
90
36.6%
Q3 - 1:51DENAnthony 23' Jump Shot (28 PTS)91
68.2%
88
31.8%
Q3 - 1:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)89
63.4%
88
36.6%
Q3 - 2:00HOUMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
62.1%
88
37.9%
Q3 - 2:11DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)89
58.7%
88
41.3%
Q3 - 2:11DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 288
57.6%
88
42.4%
Q3 - 2:27HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)88
58.7%
88
41.3%
Q3 - 2:27HOUMISS Brooks Free Throw 1 of 288
59.3%
87
40.7%
Q3 - 2:30DENNene Layup (11 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)88
58.7%
87
41.3%
Q3 - 2:42HOUBrooks Layup (21 PTS)86
54.0%
87
46.0%
Q3 - 2:47HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
58.7%
85
41.3%
Q3 - 2:48DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
60.1%
85
39.9%
Q3 - 3:05HOUScola Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)86
63.6%
85
36.4%
Q3 - 3:05HOUROCKETS Rebound86
59.0%
85
41.0%
Q3 - 3:05HOUMISS Scola 8' Hook Shot86
62.2%
85
37.8%
Q3 - 3:22HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
59.0%
85
41.0%
Q3 - 3:23DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot86
60.4%
85
39.6%
Q3 - 3:26DENNuggets Rebound86
63.5%
85
36.5%
Q3 - 3:27DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot86
60.4%
85
39.6%
Q3 - 3:45DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
63.5%
85
36.5%
Q3 - 3:47HOUMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot86
62.1%
85
37.9%
Q3 - 4:06DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)86
58.5%
85
41.5%
Q3 - 4:23HOUMartin Layup (26 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)83
50.6%
85
49.4%
Q3 - 4:35DENBillups Layup (12 PTS)83
54.3%
83
45.7%
Q3 - 4:37DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
50.6%
83
49.4%
Q3 - 4:38DENMISS Billups Layup81
47.1%
83
52.9%
Q3 - 4:54DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)81
50.6%
83
49.4%
Q3 - 4:55HOUMISS Brooks Layup81
49.1%
83
50.9%
Q3 - 5:03DENAnthony Layup (23 PTS)81
45.6%
83
54.4%
Q3 - 5:19HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
42.0%
83
58.0%
Q3 - 5:19HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
43.7%
82
56.3%
Q3 - 5:33DENBillups Layup (10 PTS)79
45.6%
81
54.4%
Q3 - 5:46HOUBrooks Driving Layup (19 PTS)77
42.0%
81
58.0%
Q3 - 6:07DENPetro Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
46.3%
79
53.7%
Q3 - 6:07DENPetro Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
45.1%
79
54.9%
Q3 - 6:07DENPetro REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
42.7%
79
57.3%
Q3 - 6:08DENMISS Petro 13' Jump Shot75
39.7%
79
60.3%
Q3 - 6:24HOUScola 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brooks 8 AST)75
42.7%
79
57.3%
Q3 - 6:34DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
46.2%
77
53.8%
Q3 - 6:34DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
45.2%
77
54.8%
Q3 - 6:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)73
42.7%
77
57.3%
Q3 - 6:36DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup73
39.6%
77
60.4%
Q3 - 6:58HOUScola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)73
42.6%
77
57.4%
Q3 - 7:17DENPetro 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)73
38.9%
77
61.1%
Q3 - 7:37HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)71
35.6%
77
64.4%
Q3 - 7:37HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)71
36.0%
76
64.0%
Q3 - 8:01DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)71
39.2%
75
60.8%
Q3 - 8:14DENPetro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
32.5%
75
67.5%
Q3 - 8:15HOUMISS Ariza 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot68
31.5%
75
68.5%
Q3 - 8:33DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)68
29.0%
75
71.0%
Q3 - 8:52HOUHayes Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)65
23.4%
75
76.6%
Q3 - 8:58HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
26.0%
73
74.0%
Q3 - 9:00DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup65
27.0%
73
73.0%
Q3 - 9:21HOUAriza Layup (9 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)65
29.8%
73
70.2%
Q3 - 9:27HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
33.0%
71
67.0%
Q3 - 9:28DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
34.0%
71
66.0%
Q3 - 9:38DENPetro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
36.4%
71
63.6%
Q3 - 9:40HOUMISS Hayes Layup65
35.3%
71
64.7%
Q3 - 9:53HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
32.9%
71
67.1%
Q3 - 9:55DENMISS Billups 15' Pullup Jump Shot65
33.9%
71
66.1%
Q3 - 10:11HOUMartin 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS)65
37.1%
71
62.9%
Q3 - 10:39DENBillups 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
40.4%
69
59.6%
Q3 - 10:45DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
33.8%
69
66.2%
Q3 - 10:46HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot62
32.8%
69
67.2%
Q3 - 11:04DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
31.4%
69
68.6%
Q3 - 11:11DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
25.9%
69
74.1%
Q3 - 11:12HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
25.0%
69
75.0%
Q3 - 11:22DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)59
23.2%
69
76.8%
Q3 - 11:22DENAnthony Putback Layup (21 PTS)59
23.2%
69
76.8%
Q3 - 11:23DENMISS Anthony Layup57
19.3%
69
80.7%
Q3 - 11:35DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
20.9%
69
79.1%
Q3 - 11:36HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 257
20.6%
69
79.4%
Q3 - 11:36HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
19.3%
69
80.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU57
20.7%
68
79.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENAnthony 21' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)57
20.7%
68
79.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0DENPetro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
19.5%
68
80.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0HOUMartin Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)55
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
19.9%
67
80.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENAfflalo Putback Layup (6 PTS)55
19.9%
67
80.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Anthony Layup53
16.4%
67
83.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
17.4%
67
82.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Brooks Layup53
17.0%
67
83.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
15.9%
67
84.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
16.4%
67
83.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0HOUScola 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brooks 7 AST)53
17.4%
67
82.6%
Q2 - 1:09DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)53
20.7%
65
79.3%
Q2 - 1:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)50
16.2%
65
83.8%
Q2 - 1:10DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot50
15.3%
65
84.7%
Q2 - 1:24HOUScola Layup (8 PTS)50
16.2%
65
83.8%
Q2 - 1:47DENAnthony Layup (14 PTS)50
18.6%
63
81.4%
Q2 - 2:10HOUBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)48
17.1%
63
82.9%
Q2 - 2:37DENNene Layup (7 PTS)48
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q2 - 2:39DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
19.0%
60
81.0%
Q2 - 2:41DENMISS Smith Driving Layup46
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q2 - 2:58HOUAriza Layup (6 PTS) (Brooks 6 AST)46
18.9%
60
81.1%
Q2 - 3:04HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
21.6%
58
78.4%
Q2 - 3:05DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot46
22.4%
58
77.6%
Q2 - 3:17DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
24.2%
58
75.8%
Q2 - 3:19HOUMISS Martin Layup46
23.4%
58
76.6%
Q2 - 3:22HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
21.6%
58
78.4%
Q2 - 3:25HOUMISS Ariza Driving Dunk46
23.4%
58
76.6%
Q2 - 3:40DENAriza STEAL (2 STL)46
21.6%
58
78.4%
Q2 - 3:51DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
24.2%
58
75.8%
Q2 - 3:52HOUMISS Martin Layup46
23.4%
58
76.6%
Q2 - 4:03DENAnthony Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)46
22.4%
58
77.6%
Q2 - 4:13DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
20.5%
58
79.5%
Q2 - 4:15HOUMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q2 - 4:22HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
18.4%
58
81.6%
Q2 - 4:24DENMISS Nene Dunk44
19.0%
58
81.0%
Q2 - 4:26DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
20.5%
58
79.5%
Q2 - 4:29DENMISS Nene Layup44
19.0%
58
81.0%
Q2 - 4:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
20.5%
58
79.5%
Q2 - 4:32DENMISS Anthony 19' Pullup Jump Shot44
19.0%
58
81.0%
Q2 - 4:54HOUMartin Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)44
20.4%
58
79.6%
Q2 - 5:10DENBillups Foul Turnover (P3.T6)44
19.3%
58
80.7%
Q2 - 5:14DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
21.1%
58
78.9%
Q2 - 5:16HOUMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot44
20.6%
58
79.4%
Q2 - 5:33DENNene Driving Layup (5 PTS)44
19.2%
58
80.8%
Q2 - 5:56HOULowry 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q2 - 6:18DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q2 - 6:18DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 241
19.3%
56
80.7%
Q2 - 6:33HOUMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)41
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q2 - 6:43HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q2 - 6:44DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
24.4%
53
75.6%
Q2 - 7:00HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)41
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q2 - 7:00HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)41
26.4%
52
73.6%
Q2 - 7:15HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
29.1%
51
70.9%
Q2 - 7:16DENMISS Nene Layup41
29.8%
51
70.2%
Q2 - 7:29HOUAndersen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)41
31.5%
51
68.5%
Q2 - 7:47DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)41
36.4%
48
63.6%
Q2 - 7:55HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
31.5%
48
68.5%
Q2 - 7:55HOUAndersen Tip Shot (2 PTS)38
31.5%
48
68.5%
Q2 - 7:56HOUMISS Martin 11' Running Jump Shot38
35.7%
46
64.3%
Q2 - 8:05HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
34.7%
46
65.3%
Q2 - 8:07DENMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
35.4%
46
64.6%
Q2 - 8:26HOUMartin 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)38
37.2%
46
62.8%
Q2 - 8:41DENSmith 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
39.7%
44
60.3%
Q2 - 8:54HOUHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
37.2%
44
62.8%
Q2 - 8:54HOUHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
37.8%
43
62.2%
Q2 - 8:59DENAndersen STEAL (1 STL)36
39.7%
42
60.3%
Q2 - 9:00DENNuggets Rebound36
42.4%
42
57.6%
Q2 - 9:02DENMISS Nene 8' Running Hook Shot36
40.8%
42
59.2%
Q2 - 9:13HOUAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)36
42.7%
42
57.3%
Q2 - 9:25HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
39.9%
42
60.1%
Q2 - 9:27DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
40.8%
42
59.2%
Q2 - 9:35HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
42.7%
42
57.3%
Q2 - 9:42DENSmith Driving Layup (6 PTS)36
39.9%
42
60.1%
Q2 - 9:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
37.5%
42
62.5%
Q2 - 9:51HOUMISS Ariza Driving Layup34
36.7%
42
63.3%
Q2 - 10:15DENCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)34
35.2%
42
64.8%
Q2 - 10:29HOUHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
30.8%
42
69.2%
Q2 - 10:29HOUHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
31.4%
41
68.6%
Q2 - 10:29HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 10:31HOUMISS Hill Layup31
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 10:48DENSmith Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)31
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 11:04HOUHill 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)29
31.2%
40
68.8%
Q2 - 11:21HOUHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
29.0%
40
71.0%
Q2 - 11:22DENMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot29
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 11:38HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)29
31.2%
40
68.8%
Q2 - 11:38HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)29
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN29
33.3%
38
66.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound29
35.8%
38
64.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 63' 3PT Jump Shot29
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
35.8%
38
64.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
36.2%
37
63.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound29
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Smith 20' Pullup Jump Shot29
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0HOUBrooks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)29
40.6%
36
59.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENAfflalo Layup (4 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)29
38.7%
36
61.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
36.0%
36
64.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Lowry 10' Jump Shot27
35.4%
36
64.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)27
34.1%
36
65.9%
Q1 - 1:12HOUBrooks 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)24
30.2%
36
69.8%
Q1 - 1:16HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q1 - 1:17DENMISS Anthony Layup24
33.4%
34
66.6%
Q1 - 1:18DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
34.4%
34
65.6%
Q1 - 1:19DENMISS Carter Layup24
33.4%
34
66.6%
Q1 - 1:21DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
34.4%
34
65.6%
Q1 - 1:23DENMISS Anthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper24
33.3%
34
66.7%
Q1 - 1:40HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)24
34.4%
34
65.6%
Q1 - 1:40HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
34.7%
33
65.3%
Q1 - 1:59DENBillups 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
37.2%
32
62.8%
Q1 - 2:10DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
35.1%
32
64.9%
Q1 - 2:11HOUMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
34.6%
32
65.4%
Q1 - 2:20DENSmith Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)22
33.3%
32
66.7%
Q1 - 2:27DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
30.9%
32
69.1%
Q1 - 2:29DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
29.8%
32
70.2%
Q1 - 2:45HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)20
30.9%
32
69.1%
Q1 - 2:57DENAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Petro 1 AST)20
35.4%
29
64.6%
Q1 - 3:15HOUMartin Layup (12 PTS) (Brooks 5 AST)18
33.6%
29
66.4%
Q1 - 3:18HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q1 - 3:20DENBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)18
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q1 - 3:40DENPetro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q1 - 3:40HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 218
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q1 - 3:40HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)18
35.9%
27
64.1%
Q1 - 3:50DENPetro Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q1 - 3:50DENPetro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
35.7%
26
64.3%
Q1 - 3:50DENPetro Layup (6 PTS)17
35.7%
26
64.3%
Q1 - 3:51DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot15
32.2%
26
67.8%
Q1 - 4:05HOUBrooks 13' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)15
34.2%
26
65.8%
Q1 - 4:20DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
36.1%
24
63.9%
Q1 - 4:33DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
38.3%
24
61.7%
Q1 - 4:35HOUMISS Scola 7' Running Hook Shot15
37.7%
24
62.3%
Q1 - 4:50DENBillups Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T3)15
36.1%
24
63.9%
Q1 - 4:59HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)15
38.3%
24
61.7%
Q1 - 4:59HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)15
38.6%
23
61.4%
Q1 - 5:05HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
40.6%
22
59.4%
Q1 - 5:05DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 215
40.9%
22
59.1%
Q1 - 5:05DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
42.4%
22
57.6%
Q1 - 5:24HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)14
40.8%
22
59.2%
Q1 - 5:37DENAnthony Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
44.8%
19
55.2%
Q1 - 5:58DENNuggets Rebound12
42.9%
19
57.1%
Q1 - 5:58DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot12
41.3%
19
58.7%
Q1 - 6:14DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 6:15HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
42.5%
19
57.5%
Q1 - 6:24DENScola STEAL (1 STL)12
41.0%
19
59.0%
Q1 - 6:38HOUAriza 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)12
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 6:53DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
45.1%
17
54.9%
Q1 - 6:53DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
44.8%
17
55.2%
Q1 - 7:03HOUMartin Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)10
43.5%
17
56.5%
Q1 - 7:08DENAriza STEAL (1 STL)10
45.4%
15
54.6%
Q1 - 7:27DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q1 - 7:29HOUMISS Brooks Layup10
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 7:35HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
45.4%
15
54.6%
Q1 - 7:36DENMISS Nene 7' Jump Shot10
46.1%
15
53.9%
Q1 - 7:50HOUBrooks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q1 - 7:57DENNene Layup (2 PTS)10
45.4%
15
54.6%
Q1 - 8:11HOUScola 9' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)8
43.7%
15
56.3%
Q1 - 8:28DENPetro 9' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)8
45.8%
13
54.2%
Q1 - 8:44HOUMartin 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)6
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 8:49HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
45.8%
11
54.2%
Q1 - 8:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
47.8%
11
52.2%
Q1 - 8:51DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot6
46.4%
11
53.6%
Q1 - 8:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
47.8%
11
52.2%
Q1 - 8:52DENMISS Anthony Layup6
46.4%
11
53.6%
Q1 - 8:55DENMISS Billups 17' Pullup Jump Shot6
46.4%
11
53.6%
Q1 - 9:09HOUHayes Layup (2 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)6
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 9:17HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
50.6%
9
49.4%
Q1 - 9:18DENMISS Petro Layup6
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 9:20DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
52.5%
9
47.5%
Q1 - 9:21DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot6
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 9:39HOUBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)6
52.5%
9
47.5%
Q1 - 9:53DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)6
56.5%
6
43.5%
Q1 - 10:03HOUScola Layup (4 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)4
54.7%
6
45.3%
Q1 - 10:10DENAfflalo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)4
56.4%
4
43.6%
Q1 - 10:25HOUAriza Layup (2 PTS)2
54.7%
4
45.3%
Q1 - 10:43DENPetro Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 10:48DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 10:49HOUMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot0
54.1%
2
45.9%
Q1 - 10:58HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.7%
2
47.3%
Q1 - 11:00DENMISS Nene 8' Hook Shot0
53.3%
2
46.7%
Q1 - 11:21HOUScola Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)0
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 11:38HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.5%
0
43.5%
Q1 - 11:39DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
57.0%
0
43.0%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Scola vs. Petro: Tip to Nene0
58.2%
0
41.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.12 55.9%
HOU
1.30 65.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
26
42
62%
HOU
22
34
65%
Midrange
DEN
14
35
40%
HOU
16
29
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
HOU
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
DEN
16
20
80%
HOU
28
35
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony4559%22.5 / 38
C. Billups1765%8.5 / 13
J. Smith1747%8.5 / 18
Nene1544%7.5 / 17
A. Afflalo1267%6.0 / 9
J. Petro1169%5.5 / 8
A. Carter350%1.5 / 3
C. Andersen375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Brooks3174%15.5 / 21
K. Martin2969%14.5 / 21
L. Scola2364%11.5 / 18
T. Ariza1260%6.0 / 10
K. Lowry850%4.0 / 8
C. Hayes675%3.0 / 4
S. Battier660%3.0 / 5
J. Hill563%2.5 / 4
D. Andersen583%2.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
87
+21
-8
108
HOU
85
+10
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.12 55.9%
HOU
1.30 65.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
107.6
DEN 129.5
HOU 131.6 +2.1
Pace
94.7
94.1
DEN 87.3
HOU 104.2 +16.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.0
DEN 16.5
HOU 13.8 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
49.4%
DEN 54.0%
HOU 61.4% +7.4%
TO %
14.2%
14.5%
DEN 6.9% +2.7%
HOU 9.6%
ORB %
26.1%
27.0%
DEN 34.8% +12.6%
HOU 22.2%
FTrt
37.6
29.2
DEN 20.2
HOU 44.3 +24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
57.9%
DEN 44.9%
HOU 51.1% +6.2%
STL %
8.7%
7.5%
DEN 3.2%
HOU 4.2% +1.0%
BLK %
7.9%
5.8%
DEN 9.5% +8.2%
HOU 1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
52.5%
DEN 55.9%
HOU 65.1% +9.2%
Rim FG%
61.0%
55.7%
DEN 61.9%
HOU 64.7% +2.8%
Mid FG%
39.6%
40.4%
DEN 40.0%
HOU 55.2% +15.2%
3P %
35.9%
35.1%
DEN 40.9%
HOU 43.8% +2.9%
FT %
77.2%
77.3%
DEN 80.0%
HOU 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
37.3%
DEN 42.4%
HOU 43.0% +0.6%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
36.2%
DEN 35.4% +1.4%
HOU 36.7%
3P Att. %
22.7%
26.5%
DEN 22.2% +2.0%
HOU 20.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points123125
Rebounds4438
Assists2223
Steals34
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (5)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)30 (1)
Field Goals49-9945-79
At-the-Rim FG26-4222-34
Midrange FG14-3516-29
2-Point FG40-7738-63
3-Point FG9-227-16
Free Throws16-2028-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
40.0
45
59%
10
3
0
1
1
3
5
5
6-7
86%
15-30
50%
3-5
60%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
39.2
15
44%
10
5
1
3
2
2
4
6
5-6
83%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
34.0
12
67%
6
2
0
0
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
G · 6'3" 210 · 33
31.6
17
65%
2
4
0
0
3
6
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
3-4
75%
C · 7'0" 247 · 24
24.2
11
69%
10
2
1
0
0
4
3
7
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
29.0
17
47%
0
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
8-13
62%
0-5
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
18.3
3
50%
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
16.3
3
75%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 32
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
#32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
56%
44
22
3
6
8
0
16
28
16-20
80%
40-77
52%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.