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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 15, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards14%9289
7Jazz86%106112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
33.0
30.5
14
55%
10
3
0
1
0
0
1
9
3-4
75%
4-9
2-4
44%
52%
1-2
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
32.4
37.3
24
53%
6
4
1
1
0
4
5
1
6-8
75%
9-19
8-17
47%
49%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.3
25.0
32.5
4
20%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-9
5-10
11%
46%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.2
23.8
24.9
7
39%
8
0
0
1
3
1
2
6
1-2
50%
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.5
23.2
17.8
6
38%
3
0
1
1
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
46%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.7
31.5
20.5
6
39%
10
0
1
1
2
1
4
6
4-4
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.5
24.4
22.5
8
58%
1
5
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
2-6
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
15.1
7.6
10
87%
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.8
12.0
15.7
6
51%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.8
8.4
9.4
2
20%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 35.0
8.3
7.9
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.9
2.9
7.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
36.2
29.4
4
23%
4
4
3
1
1
1
1
3
2-4
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
50%
0-3
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
31.6
28.1
12
76%
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
2-4
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
29.6
37.6
17
52%
5
11
2
1
0
1
0
5
3-5
60%
7-13
5-10
54%
53%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.3
27.2
35.4
23
76%
9
2
0
1
0
0
1
8
7-7
100%
8-12
8-14
67%
55%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
23.6
23.3
14
89%
6
2
1
0
3
3
1
5
1-2
50%
5-6
3-6
83%
50%
1-1
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.1
28.2
30.6
10
37%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-6
33%
4-11
5-10
36%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.0
24.6
22.1
11
56%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 23.9
18.4
6.7
15
90%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
4-4
1-2
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.2
15.2
8.2
4
33%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
58%
0-0
-
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
5.5
1.8
2
27%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-4
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.1
17.0
1
2-4
54%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
5.7
0
1-1
46%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.