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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 15, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hornets49%98108
26Clippers51%99100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.6
48.0
39.6
18
69%
3
14
0
2
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
6-10
6-12
60%
49%
2-3
67%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
42.7
26.2
17
71%
8
5
0
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
5-10
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.5
39.9
36.6
24
67%
5
7
1
1
1
3
0
5
2-2
100%
11-17
7-15
65%
50%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
28.7
29.4
12
61%
14
0
0
1
1
1
1
13
0-2
0%
6-9
4-8
67%
54%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
22.9
31.6
4
40%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
30.5
31.6
17
46%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
5-13
5-11
38%
49%
2-5
40%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.1
17.0
13.9
8
67%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.3
10.4
12.1
8
80%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
50%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.8
12.2
0
1-3
45%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.9
11.8
1
2-4
52%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.2
9.0
0
0-1
47%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
40.2
25.6
18
59%
9
2
1
1
0
2
1
8
2-3
67%
8-14
4-8
57%
49%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.9
37.1
29.0
18
60%
2
17
2
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
8-11
4-9
73%
47%
0-3
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
35.9
30.4
19
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
49%
3-11
27%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.2
35.0
33.1
10
33%
0
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
4-7
57%
3-5
4-7
60%
53%
0-7
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.9
30.8
27.0
8
25%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-15
6-12
20%
51%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.6
23.5
21.0
11
58%
11
2
0
0
0
1
7
4
1-1
100%
5-9
3-4
56%
60%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.5
21.9
30.0
13
67%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.0
15.7
23.0
3
75%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
15.4
1
2-4
44%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.8
8.2
0
0-1
53%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.5
5.0
0
1-1
46%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.8
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.3
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.