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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Spurs49%9388
15Heat51%9476
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.9
40.8
32.7
16
64%
5
4
1
1
0
5
2
3
0-1
0%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
2-3
67%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.7
38.8
27.2
15
77%
8
3
0
1
1
1
2
6
4-4
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.6
35.8
25.9
22
66%
5
1
2
1
0
3
0
5
6-6
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
49%
2-5
40%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
31.2
23.9
12
38%
11
2
0
0
1
3
0
11
2-2
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
50%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
29.2
20.3
8
44%
7
4
0
1
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.8
24.4
18.3
8
57%
6
3
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
2-4
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.9
14.7
22.5
2
33%
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.9
12.9
17.3
2
25%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.5
6.0
17.1
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
2.1
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Cedric Jackson
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
2.0
8.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.4
2.0
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.2
42.6
33.6
28
47%
3
5
3
2
1
5
1
2
5-8
63%
10-22
8-15
45%
51%
1-4
25%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.6
30.1
31.7
8
68%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
26.6
25.6
13
55%
6
1
1
0
2
2
2
4
1-2
50%
6-11
5-10
55%
50%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.9
19.7
30.0
0
0%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
18.8
12.8
6
30%
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-9
3-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
25.6
30.9
10
48%
12
1
1
0
0
2
4
8
2-3
67%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
22.8
22.5
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
21.1
13.5
1
57%
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.4
14.6
13.8
6
60%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
2-5
40%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.3
14.2
20.0
4
41%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.8
3.8
14.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
4.3
0
0-1
38%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.5
Kenny Hasbrouck
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.