FinalWin Prob.pScore
949%93
88
1551%94
76
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
94.69383.4
MIA logo MIA
80.994106.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
100%
76
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)88
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot85
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)85
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19SASMISS Mahinmi 6' Hook Shot85
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36MIAHaslem 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)85
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50SASBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T22)85
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot85
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18SASMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot85
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)85
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49SASHill 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:12SASBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 3:23SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot83
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 3:49SASSpurs Rebound83
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot83
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)83
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 3:58SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot83
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 4:17MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)83
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 4:22SASHaslem STEAL (1 STL)83
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 4:40SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Jump Shot83
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 4:57SASDuncan 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)83
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 5:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
98.7%
69
1.3%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q4 - 5:38SASJefferson Reverse Layup (15 PTS)81
98.1%
69
1.9%
Q4 - 6:13MIAWade Layup (28 PTS)79
96.3%
69
3.7%
Q4 - 6:17SASWade STEAL (3 STL)79
97.2%
67
2.8%
Q4 - 6:24MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T14)79
98.0%
67
2.0%
Q4 - 6:42SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (McDyess 4 AST)79
97.2%
67
2.8%
Q4 - 6:56SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
95.2%
67
4.8%
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot76
94.7%
67
5.3%
Q4 - 7:24SASJefferson 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
92.0%
67
8.0%
Q4 - 7:47MIAWade Driving Layup (26 PTS)74
90.0%
67
10.0%
Q4 - 7:58SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)74
92.0%
65
8.0%
Q4 - 8:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)71
85.3%
65
14.7%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 271
86.0%
64
14.0%
Q4 - 8:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
85.4%
64
14.6%
Q4 - 8:31SASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)71
86.4%
64
13.6%
Q4 - 8:42SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
88.3%
64
11.7%
Q4 - 8:43SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot71
86.4%
64
13.6%
Q4 - 8:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
88.4%
64
11.6%
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
87.5%
64
12.5%
Q4 - 9:06SASAnthony STEAL (1 STL)71
83.8%
64
16.2%
Q4 - 9:22MIAHaslem Tip Shot (8 PTS)71
86.8%
64
13.2%
Q4 - 9:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)71
89.4%
62
10.6%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot71
90.8%
62
9.2%
Q4 - 9:40SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T18)71
89.4%
62
10.6%
Q4 - 9:58MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)71
91.5%
62
8.5%
Q4 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
92.0%
60
8.0%
Q4 - 10:08SASMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot71
92.5%
60
7.5%
Q4 - 10:30MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (23 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)71
93.6%
60
6.4%
Q4 - 10:35SASChalmers STEAL (1 STL)71
94.8%
58
5.2%
Q4 - 10:50MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)71
95.8%
58
4.2%
Q4 - 10:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
96.6%
56
3.4%
Q4 - 10:52MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
97.1%
56
2.9%
Q4 - 10:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
96.6%
56
3.4%
Q4 - 11:00SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup71
96.9%
56
3.1%
Q4 - 11:17MIAWright 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
96.7%
56
3.3%
Q4 - 11:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
97.3%
54
2.7%
Q4 - 11:27SASAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)71
97.5%
54
2.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T13)71
97.8%
54
2.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS71
97.4%
54
2.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound71
97.8%
54
2.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Bonner 16' Turnaround Jump Shot71
97.0%
54
3.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)71
97.4%
54
2.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0SASGinobili Driving Dunk (16 PTS)71
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)69
97.9%
51
2.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 269
97.8%
51
2.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)69
97.5%
51
2.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
97.9%
50
2.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot69
98.2%
50
1.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
97.9%
50
2.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade Layup69
98.2%
50
1.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0SASWade STEAL (2 STL)69
97.9%
50
2.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
98.3%
50
1.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
98.3%
49
1.7%
Q3 - 1:05SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)69
98.4%
48
1.6%
Q3 - 1:05SASSpurs Rebound69
98.6%
48
1.4%
Q3 - 1:07SASMISS Mason Jr. 36' 3PT Jump Shot69
98.4%
48
1.6%
Q3 - 1:30MIAWade Driving Layup (18 PTS)69
98.6%
48
1.4%
Q3 - 1:35SASWade STEAL (1 STL)69
98.9%
46
1.1%
Q3 - 1:46MIAWade Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)69
99.1%
46
0.9%
Q3 - 2:00MIAHEAT Rebound69
99.3%
44
0.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
99.1%
44
0.9%
Q3 - 2:24SASDuncan Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)69
99.0%
44
1.0%
Q3 - 2:45MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)67
98.9%
44
1.1%
Q3 - 2:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
98.6%
44
1.4%
Q3 - 2:47SASMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
98.7%
44
1.3%
Q3 - 2:53SASBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
98.9%
44
1.1%
Q3 - 2:54SASAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)67
98.7%
44
1.3%
Q3 - 3:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)67
98.6%
44
1.4%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot67
98.6%
44
1.4%
Q3 - 3:24SASHill Foul Turnover (P4.T13)67
98.4%
44
1.6%
Q3 - 3:39MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
98.7%
44
1.3%
Q3 - 3:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
98.9%
42
1.1%
Q3 - 3:48SASMISS Bonner 10' Running Hook Shot67
98.9%
42
1.1%
Q3 - 4:04SASBogans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
98.9%
42
1.1%
Q3 - 4:05SASMISS Duncan 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
98.8%
42
1.2%
Q3 - 4:31MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T11)67
98.9%
42
1.1%
Q3 - 4:41MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
98.7%
42
1.3%
Q3 - 4:42SASMISS Duncan 13' Fadeaway Jumper67
98.8%
42
1.2%
Q3 - 5:06SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
98.7%
42
1.3%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot67
98.6%
42
1.4%
Q3 - 5:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
98.4%
42
1.6%
Q3 - 5:22SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot67
98.5%
42
1.5%
Q3 - 5:36SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
98.7%
42
1.3%
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot67
98.6%
42
1.4%
Q3 - 6:01SASDuncan 12' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)67
98.2%
42
1.8%
Q3 - 6:15MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
97.9%
42
2.1%
Q3 - 6:33SASMcDyess Layup (8 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)65
98.2%
40
1.8%
Q3 - 6:50MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)63
97.9%
40
2.1%
Q3 - 6:50MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 263
98.0%
39
2.0%
Q3 - 6:50MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
97.9%
39
2.1%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot63
98.1%
39
1.9%
Q3 - 7:01SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)63
97.4%
39
2.6%
Q3 - 7:05SASHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
97.8%
39
2.2%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot63
97.7%
39
2.3%
Q3 - 7:26MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
97.5%
39
2.5%
Q3 - 7:27SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot63
97.6%
39
2.4%
Q3 - 7:51SASSpurs Rebound63
97.9%
39
2.1%
Q3 - 7:52MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot63
97.7%
39
2.3%
Q3 - 8:03SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)63
97.2%
39
2.8%
Q3 - 8:19MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)61
96.8%
39
3.2%
Q3 - 8:28SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)61
96.3%
39
3.7%
Q3 - 8:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)59
95.8%
39
4.2%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot59
95.6%
39
4.4%
Q3 - 8:57SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
95.1%
39
4.9%
Q3 - 8:57SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
94.9%
39
5.1%
Q3 - 9:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
94.0%
39
6.0%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Beasley 16' Fadeaway Jumper57
93.7%
39
6.3%
Q3 - 9:42SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)57
93.1%
39
6.9%
Q3 - 9:52MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)57
94.0%
39
6.0%
Q3 - 10:04SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)57
94.3%
37
5.7%
Q3 - 10:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll Layup57
94.8%
37
5.2%
Q3 - 10:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
94.3%
37
5.7%
Q3 - 10:29MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot57
94.8%
37
5.2%
Q3 - 10:33SASRichardson STEAL (2 STL)57
94.3%
37
5.7%
Q3 - 10:39MIABeasley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)57
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q3 - 10:59SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)57
94.3%
37
5.7%
Q3 - 11:13SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
93.0%
37
7.0%
Q3 - 11:14SASMISS Duncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot55
92.3%
37
7.7%
Q3 - 11:28SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
93.0%
37
7.0%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot55
92.7%
37
7.3%
Q3 - 11:42MIAHEAT Rebound55
92.0%
37
8.0%
Q3 - 11:43SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot55
92.4%
37
7.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
93.1%
37
6.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (14 PTS)55
91.6%
37
8.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)53
90.2%
37
9.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
91.6%
35
8.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
91.5%
35
8.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)51
90.3%
35
9.7%
Q2 - 1:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
88.9%
35
11.1%
Q2 - 1:03SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot51
89.2%
35
10.8%
Q2 - 1:23MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
89.8%
35
10.2%
Q2 - 1:33SASArroyo STEAL (1 STL)51
91.3%
33
8.7%
Q2 - 1:50MIABeasley 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)51
92.0%
33
8.0%
Q2 - 2:04MIAHEAT Rebound51
92.5%
31
7.5%
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot51
92.8%
31
7.2%
Q2 - 2:14SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
93.4%
31
6.6%
Q2 - 2:15SASMISS Duncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot51
92.8%
31
7.2%
Q2 - 2:36SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
93.4%
31
6.6%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
93.2%
31
6.8%
Q2 - 2:54SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)51
92.6%
31
7.4%
Q2 - 3:12MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
93.2%
31
6.8%
Q2 - 3:33SASGinobili Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)51
94.5%
28
5.5%
Q2 - 3:52MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)49
93.9%
28
6.1%
Q2 - 4:10SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)49
94.1%
26
5.9%
Q2 - 4:31SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
92.6%
26
7.4%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 146
92.5%
26
7.5%
Q2 - 4:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
93.4%
24
6.6%
Q2 - 4:36SASMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot46
93.6%
24
6.4%
Q2 - 4:43SASSpurs Rebound46
94.2%
24
5.8%
Q2 - 4:44SASO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)46
93.6%
24
6.4%
Q2 - 5:01MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
93.7%
24
6.3%
Q2 - 5:13SASMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T6)46
94.4%
22
5.6%
Q2 - 5:24MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)46
95.0%
22
5.0%
Q2 - 5:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
95.6%
20
4.4%
Q2 - 5:35SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot46
95.7%
20
4.3%
Q2 - 5:54SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
96.0%
20
4.0%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup46
95.9%
20
4.1%
Q2 - 6:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
95.1%
20
4.9%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Bank Shot46
95.5%
20
4.5%
Q2 - 6:16SASHill 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
95.1%
20
4.9%
Q2 - 6:42MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)44
94.6%
20
5.4%
Q2 - 6:42MIAHEAT Rebound44
93.9%
20
6.1%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot44
94.4%
20
5.6%
Q2 - 7:05MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
93.6%
20
6.4%
Q2 - 7:06SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 144
93.7%
20
6.3%
Q2 - 7:11MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
92.1%
20
7.9%
Q2 - 7:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
91.2%
20
8.8%
Q2 - 7:14SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
91.5%
20
8.5%
Q2 - 7:24SASHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
92.1%
20
7.9%
Q2 - 7:25SASMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot41
91.5%
20
8.5%
Q2 - 7:34SASBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
92.1%
20
7.9%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot41
91.8%
20
8.2%
Q2 - 7:50SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
91.2%
20
8.8%
Q2 - 7:50SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
91.1%
20
8.9%
Q2 - 8:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
89.5%
20
10.5%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 239
89.7%
19
10.3%
Q2 - 8:12MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)39
89.5%
19
10.5%
Q2 - 8:25SASGinobili Driving Layup (6 PTS)39
90.5%
18
9.5%
Q2 - 8:45MIAArroyo 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
89.6%
18
10.4%
Q2 - 9:05SASO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)37
89.9%
16
10.1%
Q2 - 9:17MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)37
90.9%
16
9.1%
Q2 - 9:51SASBogans Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
89.9%
16
10.1%
Q2 - 9:59SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
89.0%
16
11.0%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot35
88.6%
16
11.4%
Q2 - 10:11SASBlair Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)35
87.3%
16
12.7%
Q2 - 10:20SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
88.5%
16
11.5%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
88.2%
16
11.8%
Q2 - 10:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
87.3%
16
12.7%
Q2 - 10:33SASMISS Blair 7' Hook Shot35
87.7%
16
12.3%
Q2 - 10:41SASBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
88.5%
16
11.5%
Q2 - 10:42MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot35
88.2%
16
11.8%
Q2 - 11:02SASHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)35
86.7%
16
13.3%
Q2 - 11:15MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
84.3%
16
15.7%
Q2 - 11:36SASBogans 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)32
85.6%
14
14.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
83.0%
14
17.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0SASHill 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
80.6%
14
19.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
78.7%
14
21.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Hill 10' Floating Jump Shot27
77.8%
14
22.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
78.7%
14
21.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
78.3%
14
21.7%
Q1 - 1:05SASBogans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)27
76.7%
14
23.3%
Q1 - 1:11SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
72.6%
14
27.4%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Magloire 5' Jump Shot24
72.2%
14
27.8%
Q1 - 1:28SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
71.3%
14
28.7%
Q1 - 1:28SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
70.9%
14
29.1%
Q1 - 1:34SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
68.7%
14
31.3%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot22
68.2%
14
31.8%
Q1 - 1:49SASBonner 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
67.2%
14
32.8%
Q1 - 2:05SASBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
64.4%
14
35.6%
Q1 - 2:06SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
63.1%
14
36.9%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
64.4%
14
35.6%
Q1 - 2:30SASBonner Foul Turnover (P1.T3)20
62.6%
14
37.4%
Q1 - 2:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
64.4%
14
35.6%
Q1 - 2:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)20
64.8%
13
35.2%
Q1 - 2:48SASHill Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
66.8%
12
33.2%
Q1 - 2:58SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
64.4%
12
35.6%
Q1 - 2:59MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot18
63.8%
12
36.2%
Q1 - 3:16SASBlair Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)18
62.3%
12
37.7%
Q1 - 3:25MIARichardson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
60.1%
12
39.9%
Q1 - 3:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
57.9%
12
42.1%
Q1 - 3:33SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot16
58.6%
12
41.4%
Q1 - 3:50MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)16
60.1%
12
39.9%
Q1 - 4:08SASJefferson 6' Hook Bank Shot (6 PTS)16
61.6%
10
38.4%
Q1 - 4:14SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
59.6%
10
40.4%
Q1 - 4:15SASMISS Bogans 16' Jump Shot14
58.1%
10
41.9%
Q1 - 4:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
59.7%
10
40.3%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot14
59.0%
10
41.0%
Q1 - 4:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
57.4%
10
42.6%
Q1 - 4:44SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup14
58.1%
10
41.9%
Q1 - 4:59MIAO'Neal Dunk (3 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)14
59.7%
10
40.3%
Q1 - 5:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
61.0%
8
39.0%
Q1 - 5:09SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot14
61.7%
8
38.3%
Q1 - 5:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
63.3%
8
36.7%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 5:32SASJefferson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)14
61.1%
8
38.9%
Q1 - 5:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
59.2%
8
40.8%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 212
59.7%
7
40.3%
Q1 - 5:59SASBeasley STEAL (1 STL)12
59.0%
7
41.0%
Q1 - 6:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
60.9%
7
39.1%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot12
60.3%
7
39.7%
Q1 - 6:12SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
58.8%
7
41.2%
Q1 - 6:12SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
58.4%
7
41.6%
Q1 - 6:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
56.8%
7
43.2%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
56.2%
7
43.8%
Q1 - 6:28SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)10
54.7%
7
45.3%
Q1 - 6:46MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)8
52.6%
7
47.4%
Q1 - 7:01SASGinobili 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)8
54.5%
5
45.5%
Q1 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
52.6%
5
47.4%
Q1 - 7:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
56.6%
2
43.4%
Q1 - 7:17SASMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot6
57.2%
2
42.8%
Q1 - 7:34MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)6
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 7:48MIAHEAT Rebound6
56.6%
2
43.4%
Q1 - 7:49SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot6
57.3%
2
42.7%
Q1 - 8:08SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot6
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 8:27SASMcDyess Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
56.6%
2
43.4%
Q1 - 8:39SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Richardson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot4
54.0%
2
46.0%
Q1 - 8:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
52.5%
2
47.5%
Q1 - 8:53SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 9:09MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 9:25SASHill 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
52.8%
2
47.2%
Q1 - 9:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.7%
2
49.3%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper2
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 9:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
48.8%
2
51.2%
Q1 - 9:50SASO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)2
49.4%
2
50.6%
Q1 - 10:05SASSpurs Rebound2
50.7%
2
49.3%
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS Wade Layup2
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 10:10SASRichardson STEAL (1 STL)2
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 10:30MIABeasley 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
50.7%
2
49.3%
Q1 - 10:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.4%
0
47.6%
Q1 - 10:43SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
53.0%
0
47.0%
Q1 - 10:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot2
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 11:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.1%
0
47.9%
Q1 - 11:02SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot2
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 11:16SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
53.2%
0
46.8%
Q1 - 11:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
52.1%
0
47.9%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot2
53.2%
0
46.8%
Q1 - 11:35SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
52.1%
0
47.9%
Q1 - 11:35SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
51.9%
0
48.1%
Q1 - 11:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot0
49.9%
0
50.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Duncan: Tip to Arroyo0
48.7%
0
51.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.4%
MIA
0.84 42.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
19
63%
MIA
12
19
63%
Midrange
SAS
14
40
35%
MIA
15
43
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
MIA
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
SAS
12
13
92%
MIA
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2265%11.0 / 17
G. Hill1667%8.0 / 12
R. Jefferson1575%7.5 / 10
T. Duncan1238%6.0 / 16
A. McDyess844%4.0 / 9
K. Bogans857%4.0 / 7
R. Mason Jr.350%1.5 / 3
D. Blair233%1.0 / 3
M. Bonner225%1.0 / 4
I. Mahinmi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2848%14.0 / 29
J. O'Neal1354%6.5 / 12
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
C. Arroyo867%4.0 / 6
M. Beasley630%3.0 / 10
J. Jones660%3.0 / 5
D. Wright440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony150%0.5 / 1
Q. Richardson0-0.0 / 3
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 4
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
72
+12
-21
84
MIA
80
+10
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.4%
MIA
0.84 42.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
106.7
SAS 94.6 +13.8
MIA 80.9
Pace
91.5
89.6
SAS 83.4
MIA 106.2 +22.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.5
SAS 17.3
MIA 13.6 +3.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
49.6%
SAS 50.0% +9.6%
MIA 40.4%
TO %
14.1%
13.6%
SAS 21.2%
MIA 14.8% +6.4%
ORB %
26.8%
26.0%
SAS 24.3% +6.5%
MIA 17.8%
FTrt
29.6
29.6
SAS 17.1
MIA 24.4 +7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
51.9%
SAS 55.9% +19.2%
MIA 36.7%
STL %
6.9%
8.1%
SAS 5.4%
MIA 11.7% +6.3%
BLK %
6.9%
9.4%
SAS 4.8%
MIA 8.5% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
52.1%
SAS 52.4% +10.2%
MIA 42.2%
Rim FG%
62.2%
62.0%
SAS 63.2%
MIA 63.2%
Mid FG%
40.7%
40.8%
SAS 35.0% +0.1%
MIA 34.9%
3P %
35.8%
34.6%
SAS 47.1% +28.3%
MIA 18.8%
FT %
74.0%
75.2%
SAS 92.3% +23.9%
MIA 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
29.8%
SAS 25.0% +0.6%
MIA 24.4%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
48.3%
SAS 52.6% +2.5%
MIA 55.1%
3P Att. %
23.2%
21.9%
SAS 22.4% +1.9%
MIA 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes26.821.3
Points8876
Rebounds4636
Assists1911
Steals511
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)28 (3)
Field Goals34-7630-78
At-the-Rim FG12-1912-19
Midrange FG14-4015-43
2-Point FG26-5927-62
3-Point FG8-173-16
Free Throws12-1313-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
40.8
16
67%
5
4
1
0
5
2
2
3
0-1
0%
5-9
56%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 233 · 30
38.8
15
75%
8
3
0
1
1
2
2
6
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
35.8
22
65%
5
1
2
0
3
2
0
5
6-6
100%
5-9
56%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 250 · 34
31.2
12
38%
11
2
0
1
3
1
0
11
2-2
100%
5-14
36%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 36
29.2
8
44%
7
4
0
0
4
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30
24.4
8
57%
6
3
1
0
1
3
3
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21
14.7
2
33%
4
0
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30
12.9
2
25%
0
0
1
0
2
5
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 30
6.0
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 24
2.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 23
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#2 · G-F · 6'5" 195 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
52%
46
19
5
3
21
0
9
37
12-13
92%
26-59
44%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.