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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Timberwolves17%100114
8Suns83%113152
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.1
30.1
24.0
10
38%
3
8
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-5
60%
2-9
4-8
22%
45%
1-2
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.0
27.0
25.5
21
70%
3
0
2
1
0
3
1
2
5-7
71%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
2-3
67%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.5
23.6
29.4
18
76%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
2-3
67%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.2
23.0
31.0
13
66%
8
1
0
1
1
2
4
4
1-2
50%
6-9
7-15
67%
51%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
17.1
15.7
4
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.5
26.1
23.7
3
17%
7
3
0
1
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
0-6
4-8
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.3
21.0
26.1
7
35%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
3-5
17%
47%
1-3
33%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.4
20.0
16.0
10
68%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
17.9
22.4
9
43%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 30.2
15.6
21.3
7
122%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 24.3
9.3
6.5
8
55%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-3
67%
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.1
9.3
3.1
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.4
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
29.3
31.3
27
81%
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
54%
6-9
67%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
27.3
32.9
25
66%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
7-7
100%
9-16
10-17
56%
57%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.4
27.1
28.6
13
63%
8
3
1
1
0
1
2
6
3-3
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
53%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.0
24.4
21.1
12
54%
9
1
0
0
0
0
4
5
6-7
86%
3-8
4-6
38%
59%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.1
24.2
30.3
13
82%
3
14
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
55%
1-2
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.7
20.8
24.6
6
100%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
2-3
67%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.3
20.2
19.0
20
77%
7
2
1
0
2
0
3
4
0-0
-
10-13
2-4
77%
55%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
20.0
18.9
11
62%
5
5
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
1-4
25%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.8
16.9
16.2
14
89%
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
4-6
67%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.3
15.8
14.6
7
50%
3
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
53%
1-4
25%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.3
7.3
6.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.9
6.8
3.5
4
52%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.