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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers70%102106
24Kings30%9599
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.7
41.4
34.2
28
86%
12
4
0
1
1
2
1
11
4-5
80%
12-14
7-12
86%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
41.3
38.6
30
47%
9
7
0
2
0
3
3
6
8-14
57%
8-21
8-16
38%
50%
2-5
40%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.3
37.4
34.6
2
17%
7
4
2
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.4
30.2
29.6
21
69%
12
2
0
1
2
1
5
7
3-3
100%
9-14
6-11
64%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.6
27.4
31.1
5
34%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.4
24.4
27.4
10
61%
7
3
0
1
0
0
1
6
3-5
60%
2-4
3-7
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.3
15.3
18.7
4
33%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.0
11.7
9.0
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
8.5
10.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.7
2.5
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.1
4.2
0
1-1
44%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.2
2.3
0
0-1
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.5
42.4
36.4
25
50%
11
9
0
1
0
1
2
9
10-14
71%
6-14
7-14
43%
49%
1-5
20%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.5
36.5
33.2
15
47%
10
1
0
1
0
1
5
5
1-2
50%
7-15
6-11
47%
54%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.7
32.3
28.9
4
29%
2
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.9
23.4
22.6
13
65%
3
1
2
0
5
1
2
1
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
50%
1-2
50%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.1
19.8
22.3
3
32%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.7
24.6
22.9
14
66%
10
1
1
0
2
1
1
9
4-6
67%
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.3
21.7
13.2
9
51%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.2
20.9
25.4
6
50%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
18.5
17.2
10
63%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
2-3
67%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.9
8.0
0
1-3
46%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.6
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
3.6
0
0-1
41%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.2
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.