FinalWin Prob.pScore
830%92
84
370%99
110
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
95.58884.1
ORL logo ORL
123.68993.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL84
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASHairston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)84
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Johnson Driving Layup81
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)81
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0ORLAnderson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)81
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:10SASBlair Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)81
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:28ORLBass 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)81
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:52ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54SASMISS Temple 19' Jump Shot81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22SASMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22SASMahinmi Layup (10 PTS)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25SASMISS Blair Layup79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33ORLGortat Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54SASBlair 7' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12ORLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34SASBlair 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hairston 2 AST)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53SASMISS Mason Jr. 17' Jump Shot75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08ORLGortat 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28SASHairston Driving Layup (4 PTS)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55SASMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00SASMISS Mahinmi 8' Hook Shot70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20SASSpurs Rebound70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20ORLMISS Anderson 7' Jump Shot70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35SASMISS Mahinmi 19' Jump Shot70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49ORLMISS Gortat Layup70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55SASMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24SASBlair Layup (3 PTS)70
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48ORLWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55SASMISS Mahinmi Layup68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14ORLBass Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38SASMahinmi 8' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS)68
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58ORLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27SASMahinmi 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Barnes 4 AST)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:00ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 9:01SASMISS Temple 19' Jump Shot64
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 9:17SASMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 9:18ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 264
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 9:18ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 9:22ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 9:23SASMISS Hairston 18' Jump Shot64
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 9:34SASHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 9:35ORLMISS Carter Layup64
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 9:55SASMahinmi Layup (4 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)64
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 10:08SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 10:10ORLMISS Williams Alley Oop Layup62
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 10:24SASJefferson Driving Dunk (20 PTS) (Hairston 1 AST)62
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 10:44ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)60
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 10:58SASMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)60
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 10:58SASMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 11:07SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 11:09ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 11:25ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 11:26SASMISS Bonner 8' Hook Shot58
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 11:44ORLGortat 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)58
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL58
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASMISS Hairston 22' Jump Shot58
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)58
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASJefferson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)58
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)56
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 1:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 1:03SASMISS Hairston Driving Layup56
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 1:16ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 1:16ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)56
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 1:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 1:33SASMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot56
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 1:53SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 1:55ORLMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot56
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 2:17ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 2:18ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 2:37SASTemple 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)56
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 3:01ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)54
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 3:18SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 3:18SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 3:31ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 3:31ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 3:39ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 3:40SASMISS Temple 18' Jump Shot52
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 3:49ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)52
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 3:49ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)52
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 3:51ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 3:54SASLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)52
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 4:10ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)52
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 4:10ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)52
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 4:22ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 4:23SASMISS Hairston 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 4:45SASSpurs Rebound52
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 4:47ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 4:55ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 4:58SASMISS Jefferson Layup52
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 5:11ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)52
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 5:19SASHill 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)52
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 5:31SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 5:33ORLMISS Lewis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot50
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 5:55SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)50
3.5%
65
96.5%
Q3 - 6:18ORLBarnes Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)50
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 6:42SASHairston Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)50
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 6:54ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)48
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 7:05ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 7:07SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)48
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 7:37ORLCarter Driving Layup (20 PTS)48
6.4%
61
93.6%
Q3 - 8:00SASGinobili 17' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)48
7.3%
59
92.7%
Q3 - 8:19ORLCarter Driving Layup (18 PTS)46
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 8:34ORLMAGIC Rebound46
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 8:35SASMISS Jefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
7.9%
57
92.1%
Q3 - 8:45SASHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
8.7%
57
91.3%
Q3 - 8:46ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot46
8.3%
57
91.7%
Q3 - 8:49ORLMAGIC Rebound46
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 8:50ORLMISS Barnes 9' Running Jump Shot46
8.3%
57
91.7%
Q3 - 9:07SASGinobili Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)46
7.7%
57
92.3%
Q3 - 9:14ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 9:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 9:20SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q3 - 9:43ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 9:43ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)44
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q3 - 9:58SASMcDyess Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)44
7.7%
55
92.3%
Q3 - 9:59SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)44
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q3 - 10:00SASMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot44
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q3 - 10:10SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q3 - 10:11ORLMISS Carter 14' Fadeaway Jumper44
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q3 - 10:21ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q3 - 10:22SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot44
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q3 - 10:36ORLCarter Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)44
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q3 - 11:02SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q3 - 11:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)43
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q3 - 11:27ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barnes 3 AST)42
7.3%
55
92.7%
Q3 - 11:45ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q3 - 11:46SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot42
9.7%
52
90.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL42
10.7%
52
89.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound42
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Williams 16' Running Jump Shot42
10.2%
52
89.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)42
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLLewis 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)39
8.8%
50
91.2%
Q2 - 1:05ORLRedick Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)36
6.8%
50
93.2%
Q2 - 1:13SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)36
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 1:13SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 235
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 1:15SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)35
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q2 - 1:18ORLMISS Gortat 11' Turnaround Jump Shot35
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q2 - 1:38SASJefferson 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)35
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q2 - 1:55ORLRedick 15' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)33
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q2 - 2:22SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)33
5.6%
48
94.4%
Q2 - 2:37SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 2:38ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 2:52ORLMAGIC Rebound30
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 2:52ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup30
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 3:07SASJefferson Driving Layup (12 PTS)30
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 3:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q2 - 3:21ORLMISS Howard Reverse Layup28
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 3:34ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 3:35SASMISS Hairston 9' Running Jump Shot28
3.3%
48
96.7%
Q2 - 3:56ORLBarnes Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)28
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q2 - 4:10SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)28
4.2%
46
95.8%
Q2 - 4:25ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)28
4.7%
46
95.3%
Q2 - 4:35SASMcDyess Dunk (2 PTS)28
5.9%
43
94.1%
Q2 - 4:36SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)26
5.3%
43
94.7%
Q2 - 4:38SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot26
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 4:54ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
5.3%
43
94.7%
Q2 - 4:54ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
5.4%
42
94.6%
Q2 - 5:01ORLMAGIC Rebound26
6.2%
41
93.8%
Q2 - 5:01ORLMISS Redick 15' Jump Shot26
6.7%
41
93.3%
Q2 - 5:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
6.2%
41
93.8%
Q2 - 5:14SASMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot26
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 5:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 5:25ORLMISS Nelson 8' Running Jump Shot26
6.7%
41
93.3%
Q2 - 5:40ORLMAGIC Rebound26
6.2%
41
93.8%
Q2 - 5:40ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 226
6.8%
41
93.2%
Q2 - 5:40ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 226
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 5:48ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
6.2%
41
93.8%
Q2 - 5:49SASMISS Duncan 10' Hook Shot26
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 6:09SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
7.3%
41
92.7%
Q2 - 6:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 226
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 6:10ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
6.8%
41
93.2%
Q2 - 6:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
7.1%
40
92.9%
Q2 - 6:12ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot26
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 6:39SASMcDyess Foul Turnover (P2.T6)26
7.1%
40
92.9%
Q2 - 6:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
8.1%
40
91.9%
Q2 - 6:50ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot26
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 7:02ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)26
7.4%
40
92.6%
Q2 - 7:03SASMISS Hill 13' Running Jump Shot26
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 7:10SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 7:11SASMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot26
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 7:18SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 7:19SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot26
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 7:35ORLRedick 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)26
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 7:52SASBarnes STEAL (1 STL)26
9.0%
38
91.0%
Q2 - 8:13ORLBass 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)26
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 8:24ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 8:26SASGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)26
11.8%
36
88.2%
Q2 - 8:34SASSpurs Rebound26
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 8:34SASMISS Mason Jr. 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
11.8%
36
88.2%
Q2 - 8:55ORLBass 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)26
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 9:11SASBlair Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
13.9%
34
86.1%
Q2 - 9:26ORLPietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)26
15.3%
34
84.7%
Q2 - 9:35ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 9:36SASMISS Blair Reverse Layup26
18.7%
31
81.3%
Q2 - 9:59ORLGortat Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)26
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q2 - 10:15SASGinobili 10' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)26
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q2 - 10:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
20.1%
29
79.9%
Q2 - 10:22ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 10:33ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q2 - 10:34ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
19.5%
29
80.5%
Q2 - 10:42ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q2 - 10:43SASMISS Ginobili 18' Running Jump Shot24
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q2 - 10:58SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
20.1%
29
79.9%
Q2 - 10:59ORLMISS Bass 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot24
19.5%
29
80.5%
Q2 - 11:12ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 11:13SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
19.0%
29
81.0%
Q2 - 11:21SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q2 - 11:24ORLMISS Bass 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot24
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 11:45SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS24
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound24
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
19.0%
29
81.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 224
19.8%
29
80.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)24
18.7%
29
81.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
20.3%
28
79.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
17.7%
28
82.3%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Barnes Layup22
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
17.3%
28
82.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
17.7%
28
82.3%
Q1 - 1:12ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)22
18.6%
28
81.4%
Q1 - 1:15ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q1 - 1:17ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot22
23.0%
25
77.0%
Q1 - 1:41SASJefferson Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)22
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q1 - 1:47SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q1 - 1:48SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 220
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q1 - 1:48SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 2:10ORLLewis 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q1 - 2:28SASJefferson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)19
20.7%
23
79.3%
Q1 - 2:44ORLCarter Layup (12 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)17
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q1 - 2:50ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 2:51SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot17
21.0%
21
79.0%
Q1 - 3:06ORLBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
22.0%
21
78.0%
Q1 - 3:13SASGortat STEAL (1 STL)17
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 3:27ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)17
22.0%
21
78.0%
Q1 - 3:37ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
25.3%
18
74.7%
Q1 - 3:38SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot17
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 3:54SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
27.1%
18
72.9%
Q1 - 3:56ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 4:09ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 4:10SASMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
25.5%
18
74.5%
Q1 - 4:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
26.8%
18
73.2%
Q1 - 4:23ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
26.2%
18
73.8%
Q1 - 4:31ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 4:32SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot17
25.5%
18
74.5%
Q1 - 4:50ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)17
26.8%
18
73.2%
Q1 - 5:15SASGinobili 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 5:30ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)15
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 5:30ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)15
23.8%
17
76.2%
Q1 - 5:46SASJefferson Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)15
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q1 - 5:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
23.6%
16
76.4%
Q1 - 5:54ORLMISS Carter 6' Running Jump Shot13
23.1%
16
76.9%
Q1 - 6:18SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
21.8%
16
78.2%
Q1 - 6:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 6:31ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
22.9%
16
77.1%
Q1 - 6:41SASJefferson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)13
21.8%
16
78.2%
Q1 - 6:56ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
20.5%
16
79.5%
Q1 - 7:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
23.1%
13
76.9%
Q1 - 7:09SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot11
23.5%
13
76.5%
Q1 - 7:21ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)11
24.7%
13
75.3%
Q1 - 7:29SASGinobili Driving Layup (6 PTS)11
23.1%
13
76.9%
Q1 - 7:53ORLCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)9
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 8:01SASJefferson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)9
24.4%
10
75.6%
Q1 - 8:16ORLBarnes Layup (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)7
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 8:32SASGinobili Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)7
24.4%
8
75.6%
Q1 - 8:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 8:44SASMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot5
22.0%
8
78.0%
Q1 - 8:58ORLBarnes Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)5
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 9:19ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 9:20SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 25
24.7%
6
75.3%
Q1 - 9:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
25.7%
6
74.3%
Q1 - 9:37ORLHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS)4
24.5%
6
75.5%
Q1 - 9:46ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 9:47SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot4
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 10:11ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 10:19SASGinobili 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
25.8%
4
74.2%
Q1 - 10:32SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.6%
4
75.4%
Q1 - 10:33ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 22
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 10:33ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 22
23.7%
4
76.3%
Q1 - 10:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 10:46SASMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot2
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 11:05ORLCarter 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 11:27SASDuncan 12' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)2
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:44ORLLewis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)0
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Duncan: Tip to Lewis0
25.6%
0
74.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.95 47.7%
ORL
1.24 61.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
20
65%
ORL
12
19
63%
Midrange
SAS
16
46
35%
ORL
15
29
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
ORL
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
SAS
11
14
79%
ORL
26
33
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson2077%10.0 / 13
M. Ginobili1864%9.0 / 14
I. Mahinmi1063%5.0 / 8
M. Hairston744%3.5 / 8
D. Blair758%3.5 / 6
M. Bonner650%3.0 / 6
T. Duncan521%2.5 / 12
R. Mason Jr.338%1.5 / 4
G. Hill220%1.0 / 5
A. McDyess225%1.0 / 4
K. Bogans233%1.0 / 3
G. Temple225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter2480%12.0 / 15
R. Lewis2091%10.0 / 11
J. Nelson1050%5.0 / 10
J. Redick1050%5.0 / 10
D. Howard964%4.5 / 7
M. Barnes857%4.0 / 7
B. Bass867%4.0 / 6
M. Gortat758%3.5 / 6
A. Johnson6100%3.0 / 3
J. Williams338%1.5 / 4
M. Pietrus350%1.5 / 3
R. Anderson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+11
-11
88
ORL
79
+10
-10
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.95 47.7%
ORL
1.24 61.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
111.5
SAS 95.5 +28.1
ORL 123.6
Pace
91.5
92.0
SAS 84.1
ORL 93.3 +9.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.7
SAS 17.1
ORL 15.4 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
53.6%
SAS 45.6%
ORL 59.2% +13.6%
TO %
14.1%
14.8%
SAS 11.3%
ORL 10.5% +0.8%
ORB %
26.8%
24.6%
SAS 20.0% +4.4%
ORL 15.6%
FTrt
29.6
34.0
SAS 17.5
ORL 46.5 +29.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
53.7%
SAS 50.0%
ORL 64.9% +14.9%
STL %
6.9%
6.8%
SAS 4.5% +1.1%
ORL 3.4%
BLK %
6.9%
8.6%
SAS 8.3% +3.8%
ORL 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
55.8%
SAS 47.7%
ORL 61.8% +14.1%
Rim FG%
62.2%
61.6%
SAS 65.0% +1.8%
ORL 63.2%
Mid FG%
40.7%
42.3%
SAS 34.8%
ORL 51.7% +16.9%
3P %
35.8%
37.5%
SAS 35.7%
ORL 43.5% +7.8%
FT %
74.0%
72.4%
SAS 78.6%
ORL 78.8% +0.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
33.0%
SAS 25.0%
ORL 26.8% +1.8%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
32.0%
SAS 57.5%
ORL 40.8% +16.7%
3P Att. %
23.2%
35.0%
SAS 17.5%
ORL 32.4% +14.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points84110
Rebounds3641
Assists1724
Steals43
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals34-8037-71
At-the-Rim FG13-2012-19
Midrange FG16-4615-29
2-Point FG29-6627-48
3-Point FG5-1410-23
Free Throws11-1426-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 233 · 30
33.9
20
77%
6
3
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
9-11
82%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
30.8
2
20%
1
4
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 34
24.6
5
21%
6
1
0
0
1
3
1
5
3-4
75%
1-10
10%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
23.9
18
64%
3
3
0
0
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
7-10
70%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 36
21.1
2
25%
7
1
0
1
3
4
4
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
25.0
7
44%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30
14.6
2
33%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 30
14.1
3
38%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21
13.7
7
58%
5
2
0
0
3
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 24
13.5
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30
12.9
6
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 262 · 23
12.0
10
63%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
#9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
48%
36
17
4
4
11
0
9
27
11-14
79%
29-66
44%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.