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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Spurs31%9284
3Magic69%99110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.7
33.9
31.5
20
78%
6
3
1
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
9-11
3-7
82%
47%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.9
30.8
35.6
2
20%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
24.6
27.1
5
21%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
1-10
6-12
10%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.6
23.9
29.9
18
65%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
7-10
4-8
70%
48%
1-3
33%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
21.1
23.9
2
25%
7
1
0
1
1
3
4
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
25.0
9.5
7
44%
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.8
14.6
20.8
2
35%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.5
14.1
12.6
3
38%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.9
13.7
19.2
7
60%
5
2
0
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
13.5
4.4
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.9
12.9
15.7
6
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
2-5
40%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.4
12.0
4.8
10
63%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.8
Cedric Jackson
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.0
33.2
26.5
8
57%
7
4
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
32.3
27.6
20
92%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
4-6
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.1
29.9
32.4
24
83%
4
8
0
1
0
1
1
3
7-8
88%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
3-4
75%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.3
24.4
33.9
9
60%
7
2
0
1
1
3
1
6
3-8
38%
3-4
7-12
75%
60%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.1
20.2
27.6
10
48%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.7
22.4
18.7
10
52%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
22.1
12.8
7
60%
10
1
1
0
1
1
3
7
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
57%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.3
21.7
17.5
3
38%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.9
15.6
19.8
8
68%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.5
8.2
4.5
6
77%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.9
6.1
4.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
3.9
25.2
3
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
1-3
33%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 35.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.