FinalWin Prob.pScore
352%94
108
1348%93
102
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
113.79581.8
MIA logo MIA
107.49590.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA108
100%
102
0%
OT1 - 0:22.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)108
99.8%
102
0.2%
OT1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.7%
102
0.3%
OT1 - 0:28.0ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)108
99.2%
102
0.8%
OT1 - 0:49.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)105
93.4%
102
6.6%
OT1 - 0:49.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)105
94.2%
101
5.8%
OT1 - 0:56.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
95.8%
100
4.2%
OT1 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
96.5%
100
3.5%
OT1 - 1:19MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)105
96.7%
100
3.3%
OT1 - 1:36ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)105
92.5%
100
7.5%
OT1 - 1:36ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 2104
91.9%
100
8.1%
OT1 - 1:49ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)104
91.6%
100
8.4%
OT1 - 1:50MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot104
90.2%
100
9.8%
OT1 - 1:57MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)104
86.8%
100
13.2%
OT1 - 1:58MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
90.6%
100
9.4%
OT1 - 2:13ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)104
86.6%
100
13.4%
OT1 - 2:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)101
74.3%
100
25.7%
OT1 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
70.1%
100
29.9%
OT1 - 2:48ORLLewis 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)101
58.9%
100
41.1%
OT1 - 2:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)99
50.9%
100
49.1%
OT1 - 2:55ORLMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot99
40.8%
100
59.2%
OT1 - 3:09MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)99
51.3%
100
48.7%
OT1 - 3:09MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)99
53.2%
99
46.8%
OT1 - 3:09MIAWright Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)99
58.9%
98
41.1%
OT1 - 3:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)99
69.5%
97
30.5%
OT1 - 3:21ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
73.4%
97
26.6%
OT1 - 3:34ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)99
75.4%
97
24.6%
OT1 - 3:35MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
73.1%
97
26.9%
OT1 - 3:49ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)99
67.5%
97
32.5%
OT1 - 3:49ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)98
64.6%
97
35.4%
OT1 - 3:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)97
59.3%
97
40.7%
OT1 - 3:51ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
52.2%
97
47.8%
OT1 - 4:04ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
59.3%
97
40.7%
OT1 - 4:05ORLMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot97
52.2%
97
47.8%
OT1 - 4:28MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)97
59.4%
97
40.6%
OT1 - 4:40ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)97
67.8%
95
32.2%
OT1 - 4:40ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)96
66.4%
95
33.6%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Beasley vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson95
59.4%
95
40.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound95
42.0%
95
58.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot95
56.3%
95
43.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)95
39.1%
95
60.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIABeasley 9' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)93
25.7%
95
74.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
44.0%
93
56.0%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 292
41.5%
93
58.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)92
45.6%
93
54.4%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
32.3%
93
67.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS)92
45.9%
93
54.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0ORLCarter 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)92
76.0%
90
24.0%
Q4 - 1:03ORLMagic Rebound90
62.7%
90
37.3%
Q4 - 1:04ORLO'Neal BLOCK (5 BLK)90
51.1%
90
48.9%
Q4 - 1:15ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
62.6%
90
37.4%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 190
60.5%
90
39.5%
Q4 - 1:21ORLNelson 6' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS)90
73.3%
88
26.7%
Q4 - 1:31MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)88
62.4%
88
37.6%
Q4 - 1:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
80.4%
85
19.6%
Q4 - 1:44ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
82.8%
85
17.2%
Q4 - 2:00MIAWright 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)88
87.5%
85
12.5%
Q4 - 2:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)88
91.4%
83
8.6%
Q4 - 2:07ORLMISS Nelson Layup88
92.9%
83
7.1%
Q4 - 2:11MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)88
95.4%
83
4.6%
Q4 - 2:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
91.5%
83
8.5%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
94.5%
83
5.5%
Q4 - 2:29MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
91.5%
83
8.5%
Q4 - 2:30ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 288
92.2%
83
7.8%
Q4 - 2:30ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 288
93.8%
83
6.2%
Q4 - 2:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
95.5%
83
4.5%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Wright Reverse Layup88
94.6%
83
5.4%
Q4 - 2:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
89.8%
83
10.2%
Q4 - 2:54ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
91.3%
83
8.7%
Q4 - 3:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)88
94.0%
83
6.0%
Q4 - 3:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)88
94.5%
82
5.5%
Q4 - 3:17ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)88
95.8%
81
4.2%
Q4 - 3:42MIABeasley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)88
95.3%
81
4.7%
Q4 - 3:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
93.2%
81
6.8%
Q4 - 3:46ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
94.0%
81
6.0%
Q4 - 4:12MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)88
95.6%
81
4.4%
Q4 - 4:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
97.9%
78
2.1%
Q4 - 4:24ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot88
98.1%
78
1.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIAAnthony Dunk (5 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)88
98.6%
78
1.4%
Q4 - 4:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 5:07ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 5:07ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)87
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 5:26ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
97.6%
76
2.4%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
97.4%
76
2.6%
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
96.7%
76
3.3%
Q4 - 5:45ORLMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot86
97.0%
76
3.0%
Q4 - 5:54ORLMagic Rebound86
97.7%
76
2.3%
Q4 - 5:55ORLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)86
97.0%
76
3.0%
Q4 - 6:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
96.6%
76
3.4%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
96.3%
76
3.7%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
95.4%
76
4.6%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot86
96.3%
76
3.7%
Q4 - 6:27ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)86
95.5%
76
4.5%
Q4 - 6:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
92.2%
76
7.8%
Q4 - 6:37ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
90.4%
76
9.6%
Q4 - 6:57MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)83
92.2%
76
7.8%
Q4 - 7:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)83
95.5%
73
4.5%
Q4 - 7:01MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot83
95.3%
73
4.7%
Q4 - 7:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
94.3%
73
5.7%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Wright 7' Jump Shot83
95.3%
73
4.7%
Q4 - 7:24ORLCarter Driving Layup (21 PTS)83
94.4%
73
5.6%
Q4 - 7:46MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T8)81
92.9%
73
7.1%
Q4 - 7:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
90.6%
73
9.4%
Q4 - 7:50ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
91.4%
73
8.6%
Q4 - 8:00ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
92.9%
73
7.1%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper81
90.9%
73
9.1%
Q4 - 8:12MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
89.4%
73
10.6%
Q4 - 8:13ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot81
90.1%
73
9.9%
Q4 - 8:34ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
91.6%
73
8.4%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
91.0%
73
9.0%
Q4 - 8:56ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)81
89.5%
73
10.5%
Q4 - 9:02ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
81.9%
73
18.1%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot78
80.8%
73
19.2%
Q4 - 9:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
78.2%
73
21.8%
Q4 - 9:21ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot78
79.4%
73
20.6%
Q4 - 9:39MIAWade Putback Layup (24 PTS)78
82.0%
73
18.0%
Q4 - 9:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
85.4%
71
14.6%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup78
87.3%
71
12.7%
Q4 - 9:48MIAHEAT Rebound78
85.4%
71
14.6%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot78
87.3%
71
12.7%
Q4 - 10:14ORLBass 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)78
83.9%
71
16.1%
Q4 - 10:44ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
80.8%
71
19.2%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot76
79.7%
71
20.3%
Q4 - 10:56ORLO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)76
77.0%
71
23.0%
Q4 - 11:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
79.6%
71
20.4%
Q4 - 11:21ORLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot76
77.1%
71
22.9%
Q4 - 11:39ORLMagic Rebound76
79.6%
71
20.4%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot76
78.6%
71
21.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL76
76.1%
71
23.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound76
79.6%
71
20.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Williams 42' 3PT Jump Shot76
77.2%
71
22.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem 10' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)76
78.5%
71
21.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
82.1%
69
17.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Barnes Free Throw 1 of 275
81.4%
69
18.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)75
81.8%
69
18.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
78.9%
69
21.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
78.3%
69
21.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
74.9%
69
25.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Lewis 8' Floating Jump Shot73
72.4%
69
27.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)73
74.9%
69
25.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot73
73.9%
69
26.1%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
70.5%
69
29.5%
Q3 - 1:07ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
71.6%
69
28.4%
Q3 - 1:24MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)73
74.1%
69
25.9%
Q3 - 1:51ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)73
81.2%
66
18.8%
Q3 - 2:16MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)70
73.3%
66
26.7%
Q3 - 2:32ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)70
76.9%
64
23.1%
Q3 - 2:46MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)70
80.1%
64
19.9%
Q3 - 2:56MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
76.9%
64
23.1%
Q3 - 2:58ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup70
77.9%
64
22.1%
Q3 - 3:12ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
79.6%
64
20.4%
Q3 - 3:13ORLBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)70
77.3%
64
22.7%
Q3 - 3:23MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)70
79.6%
64
20.4%
Q3 - 3:38ORLBarnes 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
82.2%
62
17.8%
Q3 - 3:40ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
79.6%
62
20.4%
Q3 - 3:41ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot68
77.3%
62
22.7%
Q3 - 4:04ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
79.1%
62
20.9%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Richardson Layup68
78.0%
62
22.0%
Q3 - 4:23ORLNelson Driving Layup (10 PTS)68
75.5%
62
24.5%
Q3 - 4:50MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)66
72.7%
62
27.3%
Q3 - 5:05ORLLewis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)66
74.5%
60
25.5%
Q3 - 5:11ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
77.9%
60
22.1%
Q3 - 5:12ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
75.6%
60
24.4%
Q3 - 5:18ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
77.9%
60
22.1%
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot66
76.9%
60
23.1%
Q3 - 5:29MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
74.5%
60
25.5%
Q3 - 5:30ORLMISS Nelson 12' Jump Bank Shot66
75.6%
60
24.4%
Q3 - 5:54ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
78.0%
60
22.0%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot66
77.0%
60
23.0%
Q3 - 6:09ORLBarnes 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
74.0%
60
26.0%
Q3 - 6:25ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
71.2%
60
28.8%
Q3 - 6:26ORLMISS Lewis 9' Jump Shot64
68.5%
60
31.5%
Q3 - 6:50MIABeasley 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)64
71.2%
60
28.8%
Q3 - 7:14ORLNelson Driving Layup (8 PTS)64
73.0%
58
27.0%
Q3 - 7:21ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
70.1%
58
29.9%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot62
69.1%
58
30.9%
Q3 - 7:44ORLCarter 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)62
66.6%
58
33.4%
Q3 - 7:51ORLMagic Rebound60
63.3%
58
36.7%
Q3 - 7:52ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
60.6%
58
39.4%
Q3 - 8:04ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
63.0%
58
37.0%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Hook Shot60
61.8%
58
38.2%
Q3 - 8:23ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)60
59.1%
58
40.9%
Q3 - 8:34ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
51.9%
58
48.1%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot57
50.7%
58
49.3%
Q3 - 8:54ORLBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
47.8%
58
52.2%
Q3 - 8:54ORLMISS Barnes Free Throw 1 of 256
47.0%
58
53.0%
Q3 - 9:16MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)56
48.2%
58
51.8%
Q3 - 9:35ORLRichardson STEAL (1 STL)56
51.9%
56
48.1%
Q3 - 9:46ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
55.6%
56
44.4%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot56
54.5%
56
45.5%
Q3 - 9:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
51.9%
56
48.1%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
54.5%
56
45.5%
Q3 - 10:15ORLNelson 13' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
52.0%
56
48.0%
Q3 - 10:25ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
48.5%
56
51.5%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot54
47.4%
56
52.6%
Q3 - 10:47ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)54
44.8%
56
55.2%
Q3 - 11:03ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
48.9%
56
51.1%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 254
48.4%
56
51.6%
Q3 - 11:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
46.1%
56
53.9%
Q3 - 11:04MIAArroyo Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)54
48.7%
55
51.3%
Q3 - 11:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
52.1%
54
47.9%
Q3 - 11:18ORLMISS Nelson Driving Finger Roll Layup54
53.3%
54
46.7%
Q3 - 11:33MIARichardson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)54
55.8%
54
44.2%
Q3 - 11:48ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T6)54
52.1%
54
47.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL54
55.8%
54
44.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
55.8%
54
44.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
54.7%
54
45.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
52.9%
54
47.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
52.4%
54
47.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
48.8%
54
51.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
49.4%
53
50.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
52.9%
52
47.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot52
53.7%
52
46.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)52
55.5%
52
44.5%
Q2 - 1:03ORLLewis Driving Layup (9 PTS)52
62.7%
49
37.3%
Q2 - 1:19MIAAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)50
58.7%
49
41.3%
Q2 - 1:41ORLCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barnes 3 AST)50
56.4%
49
43.6%
Q2 - 2:06MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T3)47
49.5%
49
50.5%
Q2 - 2:17ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)47
46.1%
49
53.9%
Q2 - 2:23ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
49.5%
49
50.5%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot47
48.5%
49
51.5%
Q2 - 2:38ORLNelson Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)47
46.2%
49
53.8%
Q2 - 2:56MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
43.1%
49
56.9%
Q2 - 3:16ORLBarnes Layup (7 PTS)45
46.3%
47
53.7%
Q2 - 3:17ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
43.8%
47
56.2%
Q2 - 3:18ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
41.2%
47
58.8%
Q2 - 3:31ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
43.8%
47
56.2%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
42.7%
47
57.3%
Q2 - 3:55ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)43
40.1%
47
59.9%
Q2 - 4:09MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)41
37.9%
47
62.1%
Q2 - 4:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
40.5%
45
59.5%
Q2 - 4:18ORLMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot41
41.5%
45
58.5%
Q2 - 4:31ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
43.8%
45
56.2%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot41
42.8%
45
57.2%
Q2 - 4:49ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T4)41
40.5%
45
59.5%
Q2 - 4:51ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
43.8%
45
56.2%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot41
42.8%
45
57.2%
Q2 - 4:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
40.5%
45
59.5%
Q2 - 5:01ORLO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)41
42.1%
45
57.9%
Q2 - 5:16MIAWright Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
44.1%
45
55.9%
Q2 - 5:31MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
47.1%
43
52.9%
Q2 - 5:32ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot41
48.0%
43
52.0%
Q2 - 5:50ORLMagic Rebound41
50.0%
43
50.0%
Q2 - 5:51ORLMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
48.0%
43
52.0%
Q2 - 6:06MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)41
50.3%
43
49.7%
Q2 - 6:09ORLWright STEAL (1 STL)41
52.6%
41
47.4%
Q2 - 6:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
56.0%
41
44.0%
Q2 - 6:20ORLO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)41
53.7%
41
46.3%
Q2 - 6:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
56.0%
41
44.0%
Q2 - 6:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
56.6%
40
43.4%
Q2 - 6:45ORLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)41
58.4%
39
41.6%
Q2 - 7:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
53.1%
39
46.9%
Q2 - 7:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
53.8%
38
46.2%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw Technical38
55.6%
37
44.4%
Q2 - 7:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
55.8%
37
44.2%
Q2 - 7:09ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
56.7%
37
43.3%
Q2 - 7:24MIAWright 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)38
58.7%
37
41.3%
Q2 - 7:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
61.3%
35
38.7%
Q2 - 7:42ORLMISS Bass 12' Jump Shot38
62.1%
35
37.9%
Q2 - 8:06MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)38
63.6%
35
36.4%
Q2 - 8:26ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)38
68.5%
32
31.5%
Q2 - 8:42MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
63.6%
32
36.4%
Q2 - 8:59ORLGortat Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)35
66.1%
30
33.9%
Q2 - 9:27MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)33
63.3%
30
36.7%
Q2 - 9:38MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
67.9%
27
32.1%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup33
69.6%
27
30.4%
Q2 - 10:00ORLGortat 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)33
67.9%
27
32.1%
Q2 - 10:12ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
65.5%
27
34.5%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot31
64.7%
27
35.3%
Q2 - 10:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
62.8%
27
37.2%
Q2 - 10:28ORLMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot31
63.6%
27
36.4%
Q2 - 10:42MIAArroyo 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)31
65.5%
27
34.5%
Q2 - 11:07ORLGortat 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)31
67.2%
25
32.8%
Q2 - 11:18ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
65.0%
25
35.0%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot29
64.3%
25
35.7%
Q2 - 11:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
62.6%
25
37.4%
Q2 - 11:38ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
63.3%
25
36.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
65.1%
25
34.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound29
62.6%
25
37.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wright 63' 3PT Jump Shot29
64.3%
25
35.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
62.4%
25
37.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Lewis 9' Jump Shot29
62.9%
25
37.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
64.2%
25
35.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 229
64.8%
24
35.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLRedick 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)29
64.7%
24
35.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
62.0%
24
38.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
61.4%
24
38.6%
Q1 - 1:10ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)27
60.0%
24
40.0%
Q1 - 1:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot24
54.1%
24
45.9%
Q1 - 1:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 1:45ORLMagic Rebound24
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q1 - 1:45ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 224
53.2%
24
46.8%
Q1 - 1:45ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 224
54.5%
24
45.5%
Q1 - 1:51ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q1 - 1:52MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot24
54.1%
24
45.9%
Q1 - 2:09ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)24
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 2:35MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)21
47.9%
24
52.1%
Q1 - 2:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
53.0%
21
47.0%
Q1 - 2:45ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
53.6%
21
46.4%
Q1 - 3:09MIAAnthony Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
55.3%
21
44.7%
Q1 - 3:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
57.5%
19
42.5%
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Anthony 4' Jump Bank Shot21
59.1%
19
40.9%
Q1 - 3:12MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
57.5%
19
42.5%
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper21
59.1%
19
40.9%
Q1 - 3:32ORLBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
57.5%
19
42.5%
Q1 - 3:33ORLMagic Rebound21
59.7%
19
40.3%
Q1 - 3:34ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)21
58.2%
19
41.8%
Q1 - 3:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)21
59.7%
19
40.3%
Q1 - 3:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)21
60.2%
18
39.8%
Q1 - 3:58ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
61.9%
17
38.1%
Q1 - 3:58ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
61.6%
17
38.4%
Q1 - 4:09ORLMagic Rebound19
59.4%
17
40.6%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot19
58.7%
17
41.3%
Q1 - 4:22ORLNelson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)19
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 4:30MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)19
59.5%
17
40.5%
Q1 - 4:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 4:43ORLMISS Carter Driving Layup19
57.9%
17
42.1%
Q1 - 4:55MIARichardson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
59.5%
17
40.5%
Q1 - 5:13ORLHoward Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)19
60.9%
15
39.1%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
59.1%
15
40.9%
Q1 - 5:47ORLLewis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)17
61.0%
13
39.0%
Q1 - 6:04MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)15
58.9%
13
41.1%
Q1 - 6:22ORLCarter Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)15
60.9%
11
39.1%
Q1 - 6:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
58.9%
11
41.1%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup13
58.3%
11
41.7%
Q1 - 6:42ORLBarnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)13
56.8%
11
43.2%
Q1 - 6:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
52.0%
11
48.0%
Q1 - 7:19ORLHoward Dunk (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)10
50.6%
11
49.4%
Q1 - 7:44MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)8
48.6%
11
51.4%
Q1 - 7:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
50.6%
9
49.4%
Q1 - 7:49ORLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)8
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)8
52.8%
9
47.2%
Q1 - 8:26ORLCarter 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
54.9%
7
45.1%
Q1 - 8:36ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Richardson 13' Jump Shot6
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 8:59ORLBarnes Running Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)6
50.8%
7
49.2%
Q1 - 9:02MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
49.2%
7
50.8%
Q1 - 9:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
47.3%
7
52.7%
Q1 - 9:13ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
47.9%
7
52.1%
Q1 - 9:29MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)4
49.2%
7
50.8%
Q1 - 9:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
53.3%
4
46.7%
Q1 - 9:36ORLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)4
53.9%
4
46.1%
Q1 - 9:58ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 9:59MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot4
54.6%
4
45.4%
Q1 - 10:10ORLHoward 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
53.1%
4
46.9%
Q1 - 10:34MIABeasley Putback Dunk (2 PTS)2
51.4%
4
48.6%
Q1 - 10:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
53.1%
2
46.9%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup2
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 10:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
53.1%
2
46.9%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 11:15ORLLewis 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 11:42MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)0
51.5%
2
48.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Howard: Tip to Beasley0
53.2%
0
46.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.04 51.9%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
21
62%
MIA
13
21
62%
Midrange
ORL
16
36
44%
MIA
16
44
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
31
35%
53%
MIA
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
Free Throws
ORL
17
25
68%
MIA
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter2756%13.5 / 24
R. Lewis2463%12.0 / 19
J. Nelson1544%7.5 / 17
M. Barnes1365%6.5 / 10
D. Howard1038%5.0 / 13
J. Redick8100%4.0 / 4
M. Gortat675%3.0 / 4
J. Williams330%1.5 / 5
B. Bass225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3660%18.0 / 30
J. O'Neal1444%7.0 / 16
C. Arroyo1192%5.5 / 6
D. Wright938%4.5 / 12
M. Chalmers956%4.5 / 8
M. Beasley833%4.0 / 12
Q. Richardson850%4.0 / 8
J. Anthony563%2.5 / 4
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
84
+20
-11
104
MIA
84
+17
-11
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.04 51.9%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
106.7
ORL 113.7 +6.3
MIA 107.4
Pace
92.0
89.6
ORL 81.8
MIA 90.8 +9.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.5
ORL 17.6
MIA 15.9 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.6%
49.6%
ORL 51.7% +6.1%
MIA 45.6%
TO %
14.8%
13.6%
ORL 11.6%
MIA 9.9% +1.7%
ORB %
24.6%
26.0%
ORL 29.5% +3.0%
MIA 26.5%
FTrt
34.0
29.6
ORL 28.4 +1.7
MIA 26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.7%
51.9%
ORL 55.0% +11.8%
MIA 43.2%
STL %
6.8%
8.1%
ORL 5.3% +1.1%
MIA 4.2%
BLK %
8.6%
9.4%
ORL 10.8%
MIA 14.0% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
52.1%
ORL 51.9% +1.9%
MIA 50.0%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.0%
ORL 61.9%
MIA 61.9%
Mid FG%
42.3%
40.8%
ORL 44.4% +8.0%
MIA 36.4%
3P %
37.5%
34.6%
ORL 35.5% +3.5%
MIA 32.0%
FT %
72.4%
75.2%
ORL 68.0%
MIA 83.3% +15.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
29.8%
ORL 23.9% +0.5%
MIA 23.3%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
48.3%
ORL 40.9% +8.0%
MIA 48.9%
3P Att. %
35.0%
21.9%
ORL 35.2% +7.4%
MIA 27.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes27.925.1
Points108102
Rebounds4944
Assists2216
Steals54
Blocks78
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (7)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)31 (0)
Field Goals40-8837-90
At-the-Rim FG13-2113-21
Midrange FG16-3616-44
2-Point FG29-5729-65
3-Point FG11-318-25
Free Throws17-2520-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 33
46.4
27
56%
3
6
1
0
2
1
0
3
6-7
86%
6-11
55%
3-10
30%
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
43.3
24
63%
11
1
0
2
2
1
2
9
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
4-8
50%
F · 6'7" 226 · 30
40.0
13
65%
9
3
0
0
1
4
3
6
2-4
50%
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 190 · 28
35.4
15
44%
5
3
3
0
3
2
2
3
1-2
50%
7-13
54%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 24
30.9
10
38%
11
1
0
4
2
5
5
6
4-8
50%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
20.8
6
75%
5
1
0
1
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
19.9
8
100%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
17.5
3
30%
1
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 250 · 25
11.1
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 35
F · 6'10" 240 · 22
C · 6'10" 270 · 35
#20 · F · 6'6" 215 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
108
52%
49
22
5
7
11
0
13
36
17-25
68%
29-57
51%
11-31
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.