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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 18, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Magic52%95108
13Heat48%94102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.1
46.4
30.7
27
56%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
6-7
86%
6-11
4-8
55%
46%
3-10
30%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
43.3
29.4
24
64%
11
1
0
1
2
2
2
9
4-4
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
48%
4-8
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.0
40.0
28.4
13
67%
9
3
0
1
0
1
3
6
2-4
50%
4-4
2-5
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.1
35.4
24.6
15
44%
5
3
3
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
7-13
3-6
54%
49%
0-3
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.3
30.9
29.7
10
40%
11
1
0
1
4
2
5
6
4-8
50%
3-9
6-10
33%
59%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
20.8
17.1
6
75%
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.7
19.9
20.5
8
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
2-3
67%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.3
17.5
19.1
3
30%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.9
11.1
17.9
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.5
7.0
0
1-1
43%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.9
6.0
0
1-1
46%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 35.0
2.2
0
0-0
46%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.2
45.4
36.4
36
59%
10
7
1
2
1
1
3
7
9-10
90%
9-19
8-17
47%
51%
3-7
43%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
37.5
25.6
14
44%
6
0
1
0
5
1
2
4
6-7
86%
4-13
5-10
31%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
32.5
16.0
8
34%
6
1
0
0
1
4
3
3
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.6
30.7
30.3
11
85%
1
5
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
47%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.9
20.1
25.5
8
50%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
2-5
40%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.3
34.7
18.0
9
36%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
1-1
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
49%
0-5
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
28.2
22.4
9
56%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
3-6
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
20.6
28.4
2
29%
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
0-1
0%
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
15.6
16.5
5
64%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.5
14.1
0
0-1
39%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.8
10.3
0
1-2
48%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
4.0
0
0-1
38%
Kenny Hasbrouck
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.