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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 19, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Thunder48%100115
16Raptors52%10189
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
33.2
35.9
25
60%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
3-4
75%
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
4-10
40%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.5
31.8
37.9
31
65%
6
3
0
1
0
0
4
2
17-18
94%
7-12
8-16
58%
51%
0-4
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.9
28.1
25.9
6
51%
5
2
2
1
1
1
1
4
0-2
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
26.3
32.2
11
45%
3
10
2
1
0
2
1
2
5-5
100%
3-9
6-13
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.7
22.1
28.2
8
33%
8
0
0
1
1
0
4
4
0-0
-
4-12
4-8
33%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
21.8
15.0
4
33%
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 24.1
20.4
11.9
12
100%
3
1
3
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
4-5
80%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.5
15.3
18.8
2
20%
5
0
0
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
55%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
13.9
22.7
6
43%
8
0
0
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
57%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
12.0
2.9
8
58%
5
0
2
0
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
3-6
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.2
8.9
2.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.0
6.3
4.0
2
35%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.6
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
29.6
33.7
22
63%
10
0
0
1
1
4
3
7
8-8
100%
7-13
8-15
54%
51%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.6
25.5
28.2
4
34%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
49%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
22.2
27.3
4
40%
3
4
1
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.4
22.0
34.8
15
58%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.0
16.7
33.3
5
43%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.7
29.9
20.0
8
50%
3
3
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
23.6
4.5
12
68%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
16.9
21.5
2
20%
3
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.8
16.5
6.5
3
39%
7
1
1
0
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
16.2
19.0
7
72%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
59%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.8
12.0
3.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.3
8.9
4.8
7
93%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.