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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 19, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Cavaliers
92
26Bulls
85
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.2
38
37
29
11
7
2
2
2
5
1
10
11-12
92%
9-18
8-14
50%
55%
0-3
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 27.2
31
32
18
2
4
0
1
0
5
1
1
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
27
32
2
9
2
1
1
1
0
1
8
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 34.7
23
25
9
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
2-6
33%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 21.5
16
22
4
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
54%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
34
28
3
10
1
1
1
3
0
3
7
1-2
50%
1-3
4-7
33%
55%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.6
32
25
10
6
1
1
1
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
49%
0-1
0%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.1
20
17
10
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
1-4
25%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.2
19
11
7
8
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
3-4
75%
2-5
1-3
40%
52%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.1
11
0
1-1
44%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 29.8
10
0
1-1
54%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 24.4
2
0
0-0
47%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.7
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.0
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.2
41
27
10
3
8
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
2-5
45%
45%
0-7
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
38
28
20
13
3
3
1
1
2
5
8
2-4
50%
9-14
4-7
64%
50%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
36
25
16
8
2
2
1
1
3
0
8
3-4
75%
5-8
2-5
63%
49%
1-3
33%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.9
31
29
6
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
48%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
26
24
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
41%
0-2
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
28
28
12
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-10
3-7
30%
45%
2-7
29%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.7
14
24
7
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.2
14
14
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.1
10
20
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-0
2-5
-
44%
1-2
50%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
11
0
3-5
50%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
6
0
0-1
41%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.1
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.