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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 19, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Warriors27%99116
10Spurs73%107147
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.4
38.8
40.1
39
66%
4
4
0
2
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
10-17
7-16
59%
48%
5-11
45%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.9
38.7
26.1
11
41%
2
8
4
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
50%
0-2
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
30.2
28.0
30
76%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
10-13
77%
10-13
6-12
77%
49%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
28.0
21.6
8
62%
5
2
0
1
2
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
27.7
35.7
6
28%
2
5
1
1
2
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-3
3-7
0%
45%
2-7
29%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
30.4
21.2
15
63%
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
3-4
75%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
27.5
14.5
7
58%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
18.8
24.7
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
4-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
23.1
1
3-6
47%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.5
7.8
0
1-2
43%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.2
7.2
0
1-1
51%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.0
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.7
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.3
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.7
23.0
31.6
21
78%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
4-8
50%
7-7
4-8
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.6
21.9
27.7
23
74%
2
11
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
8-11
4-8
73%
52%
2-4
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.9
20.9
33.4
10
48%
7
5
0
1
0
0
0
7
2-3
67%
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
13.8
26.1
17
87%
6
5
0
1
1
0
1
5
1-4
25%
8-8
6-12
100%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
12.7
22.5
4
50%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
29.4
14.9
16
74%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-4
50%
7-8
2-4
88%
54%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.9
26.0
17.3
14
63%
9
5
0
1
1
2
3
6
4-7
57%
5-8
3-6
63%
56%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.5
20.5
13.3
4
29%
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
20.3
8.5
9
48%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
2-6
1-2
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
20.3
14.9
14
109%
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
3
1-1
100%
5-5
1-2
100%
54%
1-1
100%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.9
18.1
18.4
3
50%
5
6
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-3
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.4
13.1
7.7
12
64%
6
0
0
0
1
1
4
2
0-1
0%
6-9
2-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.8
Cedric Jackson
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.