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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bulls36%9398
1976ers64%9884
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.2
41.9
32.6
17
54%
2
11
3
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-9
3-7
56%
46%
2-6
33%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
37.4
10.1
23
70%
4
5
1
0
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
51%
4-6
67%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
30.8
31.4
7
41%
7
0
0
1
1
3
1
6
1-1
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.9
30.8
29.6
16
72%
6
6
1
1
0
1
0
6
5-7
71%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
1-2
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
25.4
28.5
4
40%
6
1
1
1
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
24.6
27.6
6
30%
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.7
19.7
20.0
13
60%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
11.2
24.8
4
41%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.1
9.4
12.8
7
47%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
5-8
63%
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.2
5.3
14.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.1
3.5
16.4
1
27%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
2.1
0
0-1
45%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.3
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.8
36.6
36.2
10
44%
10
3
1
1
1
2
2
8
2-3
67%
4-7
4-8
57%
46%
0-3
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
25.8
39.3
11
36%
4
1
0
2
0
1
1
3
5-10
50%
3-11
6-12
27%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.9
23.4
26.8
16
82%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
7-8
4-7
88%
52%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
20.3
25.1
6
38%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.0
17.1
30.0
2
25%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
6-11
25%
50%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
29.6
5.4
17
51%
11
0
1
0
0
1
4
7
5-6
83%
6-14
1-2
43%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.0
22.5
11.7
8
55%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-5
20%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.0
22.5
13.7
4
40%
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.1
16.6
17.0
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
14.0
4.2
4
25%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
44%
0-3
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
11.6
21.5
2
33%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
15.4
1
3-5
52%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.1
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.