FinalWin Prob.pScore
1635%87
71
1365%92
77
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
81.68794.6
MIA logo MIA
89.58679.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA71
0%
77
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)71
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHAMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 271
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHAMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot71
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)71
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q4 - 0:48.0CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)71
7.8%
75
92.2%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)71
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q4 - 1:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)71
15.0%
73
85.0%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot71
22.3%
73
77.7%
Q4 - 1:33CHAWallace Offensive Foul Turnover (P5.T15)71
18.0%
73
82.0%
Q4 - 1:35CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
28.7%
73
71.3%
Q4 - 1:36CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 171
19.3%
73
80.7%
Q4 - 1:38CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q4 - 1:39CHAMISS Chandler Tip Shot69
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q4 - 1:40CHAChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)69
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q4 - 1:41CHAMISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot69
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q4 - 1:53CHABobcats Rebound69
12.9%
73
87.1%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot69
11.1%
73
88.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q4 - 2:09CHAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot69
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)69
14.1%
73
85.9%
Q4 - 2:59CHAFelton 8' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)69
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q4 - 3:24MIAWright 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)67
6.6%
73
93.4%
Q4 - 3:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)67
12.4%
71
87.6%
Q4 - 3:38CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q4 - 3:59CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
17.1%
71
82.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot67
15.4%
71
84.6%
Q4 - 4:15CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q4 - 4:15CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q4 - 4:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)65
8.5%
71
91.5%
Q4 - 4:55CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q4 - 4:55CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q4 - 5:03MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)63
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q4 - 5:06MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot63
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q4 - 5:23CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q4 - 5:23CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)62
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q4 - 5:38MIABeasley Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)61
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q4 - 5:43MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot61
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q4 - 6:01CHAWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)61
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q4 - 6:20MIAWright Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)61
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q4 - 6:25CHABeasley STEAL (1 STL)61
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q4 - 6:31CHAChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)61
12.3%
67
87.7%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot61
11.3%
67
88.7%
Q4 - 6:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)61
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q4 - 6:49CHAMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot61
10.1%
67
89.9%
Q4 - 7:04CHABobcats Rebound61
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q4 - 7:05CHAWade BLOCK (5 BLK)61
11.3%
67
88.7%
Q4 - 7:09CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot61
12.5%
67
87.5%
Q4 - 7:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)61
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q4 - 7:21CHAMISS Thomas 8' Jump Hook Shot61
11.3%
67
88.7%
Q4 - 7:42MIABeasley Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)61
13.5%
67
86.5%
Q4 - 7:59CHAChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)61
16.8%
65
83.2%
Q4 - 8:16MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
22.2%
65
77.8%
Q4 - 8:29MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
27.1%
63
72.9%
Q4 - 8:30CHAMISS Graham Free Throw 2 of 261
27.8%
63
72.2%
Q4 - 8:30CHAMISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 261
31.4%
63
68.6%
Q4 - 8:52MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
32.4%
63
67.6%
Q4 - 8:52MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
33.4%
62
66.6%
Q4 - 9:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
38.4%
61
61.6%
Q4 - 9:01CHAMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 261
39.1%
61
60.9%
Q4 - 9:01CHAThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
42.7%
61
57.3%
Q4 - 9:01CHAAugustin Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)60
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q4 - 9:10CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
32.8%
61
67.2%
Q4 - 9:11CHAMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
29.3%
61
70.7%
Q4 - 9:26CHABobcats Rebound59
32.8%
61
67.2%
Q4 - 9:27CHABeasley BLOCK (2 BLK)59
29.3%
61
70.7%
Q4 - 9:46CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
32.7%
61
67.3%
Q4 - 9:47MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
31.2%
61
68.8%
Q4 - 10:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)59
27.9%
61
72.1%
Q4 - 10:05CHAMISS Graham Free Throw 2 of 259
28.6%
61
71.4%
Q4 - 10:05CHAGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)59
31.8%
61
68.2%
Q4 - 10:10MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)58
28.0%
61
72.0%
Q4 - 10:29CHAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)58
23.6%
61
76.4%
Q4 - 10:33CHAChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)58
28.0%
61
72.0%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup58
26.6%
61
73.4%
Q4 - 10:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
23.6%
61
76.4%
Q4 - 10:48CHAMISS Augustin 18' Jump Shot58
24.9%
61
75.1%
Q4 - 11:09CHAChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
28.2%
61
71.8%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
27.0%
61
73.0%
Q4 - 11:33CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
24.2%
61
75.8%
Q4 - 11:33CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
23.4%
61
76.6%
Q4 - 11:46MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)56
20.4%
61
79.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA56
17.2%
61
82.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
20.4%
61
79.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 256
21.1%
60
78.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)56
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Anthony Layup56
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAHEAT Rebound56
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0CHAMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
22.1%
60
77.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)56
24.4%
60
75.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
21.1%
60
78.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHAMISS Jackson 6' Jump Shot56
22.1%
60
77.9%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)56
24.5%
60
75.5%
Q3 - 1:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)56
21.3%
60
78.7%
Q3 - 1:34CHAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot56
22.3%
60
77.7%
Q3 - 1:55MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)56
24.5%
60
75.5%
Q3 - 2:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
28.4%
58
71.6%
Q3 - 2:03CHAAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)56
29.5%
58
70.5%
Q3 - 2:08MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)56
32.3%
58
67.7%
Q3 - 2:15MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
28.4%
58
71.6%
Q3 - 2:16CHAWade BLOCK (4 BLK)56
29.5%
58
70.5%
Q3 - 2:36CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
32.3%
58
67.7%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot56
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q3 - 2:57CHAJackson Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)56
28.4%
58
71.6%
Q3 - 3:10MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)56
32.4%
58
67.6%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 256
33.2%
57
66.8%
Q3 - 3:25CHAChandler Foul Turnover (P2.T9)56
32.1%
57
67.9%
Q3 - 3:28MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)56
36.4%
57
63.6%
Q3 - 3:54CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
32.1%
57
67.9%
Q3 - 3:54CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
31.4%
57
68.6%
Q3 - 3:54CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
28.5%
57
71.5%
Q3 - 3:56CHAAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)54
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q3 - 4:16CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
28.8%
57
71.2%
Q3 - 4:17MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
27.6%
57
72.4%
Q3 - 4:37CHADiaw 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)54
24.8%
57
75.2%
Q3 - 4:52CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
22.2%
57
77.8%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot52
21.1%
57
78.9%
Q3 - 5:07CHAFelton Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)52
19.1%
57
80.9%
Q3 - 5:10CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot49
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q3 - 5:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 5:25CHAMISS Diaw Driving Layup49
13.1%
57
86.9%
Q3 - 5:42CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot49
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q3 - 6:17CHAWallace 18' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)49
12.9%
57
87.1%
Q3 - 6:33MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)47
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 6:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q3 - 6:43CHAMISS Diaw 8' Jump Shot47
13.5%
55
86.5%
Q3 - 7:01MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
15.4%
55
84.6%
Q3 - 7:01MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q3 - 7:20CHAJackson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)47
17.4%
53
82.6%
Q3 - 7:42CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot45
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q3 - 7:50MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q3 - 7:51CHAMISS Jackson Driving Layup45
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q3 - 7:56CHABobcats Rebound45
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q3 - 7:57CHAMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q3 - 8:09CHARatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q3 - 8:10CHAMISS Felton Layup45
14.2%
53
85.8%
Q3 - 8:22MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T3)45
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q3 - 8:33CHAWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)45
13.6%
53
86.4%
Q3 - 8:42CHARatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
14.9%
53
85.1%
Q3 - 8:48MIAHEAT Rebound45
13.6%
53
86.4%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup45
14.9%
53
85.1%
Q3 - 8:58MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
13.6%
53
86.4%
Q3 - 8:59CHAMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot45
14.2%
53
85.8%
Q3 - 9:15CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot45
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q3 - 9:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
13.8%
53
86.2%
Q3 - 9:25CHAWade BLOCK (3 BLK)45
14.4%
53
85.6%
Q3 - 9:42MIAAnthony Layup (9 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)45
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q3 - 10:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q3 - 10:01MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
19.6%
51
80.4%
Q3 - 10:08CHARichardson STEAL (1 STL)45
18.0%
51
82.0%
Q3 - 10:19MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
20.3%
51
79.7%
Q3 - 10:19MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
20.9%
50
79.1%
Q3 - 10:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
22.7%
49
77.3%
Q3 - 10:25CHAMISS Felton 16' Jump Shot45
23.5%
49
76.5%
Q3 - 10:31CHARatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
25.3%
49
74.7%
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Anthony Tip Shot45
24.5%
49
75.5%
Q3 - 10:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
22.7%
49
77.3%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
24.5%
49
75.5%
Q3 - 10:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
22.7%
49
77.3%
Q3 - 10:43CHAMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot45
23.5%
49
76.5%
Q3 - 11:01MIAWade Driving Layup (7 PTS)45
25.5%
49
74.5%
Q3 - 11:09MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q3 - 11:10CHAMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot45
29.0%
47
71.0%
Q3 - 11:21CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup45
30.2%
47
69.8%
Q3 - 11:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q3 - 11:35CHAMISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot45
29.0%
47
71.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA45
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound45
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Diaw 19' Jump Shot45
29.4%
47
70.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHABobcats Rebound45
30.8%
47
69.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHAWade BLOCK (2 BLK)45
29.4%
47
70.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)45
30.8%
47
69.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0CHADiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
34.5%
45
65.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0CHAMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 244
33.8%
45
66.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
33.8%
45
66.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
33.1%
45
66.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)44
31.5%
45
68.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
33.1%
45
66.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0CHAJackson Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)44
31.5%
45
68.5%
Q2 - 1:12MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)44
33.7%
45
66.3%
Q2 - 1:26CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)44
37.5%
43
62.5%
Q2 - 1:47MIAHaslem Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)41
30.8%
43
69.2%
Q2 - 2:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
33.7%
41
66.3%
Q2 - 2:05CHAMISS Diaw 8' Running Hook Shot41
34.6%
41
65.4%
Q2 - 2:22MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)41
36.8%
41
63.2%
Q2 - 2:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
42.8%
38
57.2%
Q2 - 2:28CHAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)41
43.8%
38
56.2%
Q2 - 2:50MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)41
46.1%
38
53.9%
Q2 - 2:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
52.5%
35
47.5%
Q2 - 3:00CHAMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot41
53.5%
35
46.5%
Q2 - 3:13CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
55.3%
35
44.7%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Bank Shot41
54.2%
35
45.8%
Q2 - 3:33CHAThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
51.6%
35
48.4%
Q2 - 3:33CHAThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
50.8%
35
49.2%
Q2 - 3:51MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)39
49.0%
35
51.0%
Q2 - 4:14MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
50.9%
33
49.1%
Q2 - 4:15CHAMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot39
51.9%
33
48.1%
Q2 - 4:27CHAGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
54.2%
33
45.8%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
53.2%
33
46.8%
Q2 - 4:53CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)39
50.9%
33
49.1%
Q2 - 5:16CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
44.6%
33
55.4%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
43.7%
33
56.3%
Q2 - 5:35CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
41.8%
33
58.2%
Q2 - 5:35CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 5:47CHABobcats Rebound34
38.8%
33
61.2%
Q2 - 5:48CHAMISS Jackson 6' Jump Shot34
36.9%
33
63.1%
Q2 - 6:11MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)34
38.9%
33
61.1%
Q2 - 6:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)34
41.1%
31
58.9%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup34
43.5%
31
56.5%
Q2 - 6:32CHAGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)34
41.2%
31
58.8%
Q2 - 6:32CHAMISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 233
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 6:51MIAHaslem Putback Dunk (2 PTS)33
41.7%
31
58.3%
Q2 - 6:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
44.0%
29
56.0%
Q2 - 6:53MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup33
46.4%
29
53.6%
Q2 - 7:17CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)33
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 7:37MIABeasley Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)33
46.6%
29
53.4%
Q2 - 7:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
49.3%
27
50.7%
Q2 - 7:43CHAWright BLOCK (1 BLK)33
50.2%
27
49.8%
Q2 - 8:08CHAChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
51.3%
27
48.7%
Q2 - 8:09MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot33
50.4%
27
49.6%
Q2 - 8:19CHAChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T4)33
48.5%
27
51.5%
Q2 - 8:30CHAChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
51.3%
27
48.7%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
50.5%
27
49.5%
Q2 - 8:53CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)33
48.6%
27
51.4%
Q2 - 9:05MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)30
42.6%
27
57.4%
Q2 - 9:25CHAAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)30
47.7%
24
52.3%
Q2 - 9:30CHABobcats Rebound27
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q2 - 9:31CHABeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)27
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q2 - 9:43CHABobcats Rebound27
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q2 - 9:44CHAChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)27
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q2 - 9:46CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot27
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q2 - 10:03CHAThomas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)27
39.7%
24
60.3%
Q2 - 10:15MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)27
42.5%
24
57.5%
Q2 - 10:38CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
44.8%
22
55.2%
Q2 - 10:38CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
44.4%
22
55.6%
Q2 - 10:44CHAChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
42.5%
22
57.5%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
41.6%
22
58.4%
Q2 - 11:10CHAChandler Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)25
39.6%
22
60.4%
Q2 - 11:25MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q2 - 11:41CHAAugustin Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)23
39.6%
20
60.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA21
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0CHAAugustin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
32.1%
20
67.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
31.6%
20
68.4%
Q1 - 1:00CHAChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
30.4%
20
69.6%
Q1 - 1:00CHAChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q1 - 1:00CHAChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
28.0%
20
72.0%
Q1 - 1:01CHAMISS Diaw 7' Jump Shot17
27.0%
20
73.0%
Q1 - 1:16CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
28.0%
20
72.0%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot17
27.6%
20
72.4%
Q1 - 1:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 1:36CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
27.0%
20
73.0%
Q1 - 1:46MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)17
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q1 - 1:46MIAHEAT Rebound17
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Richardson 7' Running Jump Shot17
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 2:10CHAFelton 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
26.7%
20
73.3%
Q1 - 2:16CHAChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot15
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q1 - 2:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 2:26CHAMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot15
23.7%
20
76.3%
Q1 - 2:35CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper15
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q1 - 2:59CHADiaw 6' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)15
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 3:00CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 3:01CHAMISS Diaw 6' Jump Shot13
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 213
21.8%
19
78.2%
Q1 - 3:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 3:47MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 3:48CHAMISS Jackson Driving Layup13
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 3:59CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
23.1%
19
76.9%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot13
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 4:08CHAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)13
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 4:21CHAChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
23.1%
19
76.9%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 213
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 4:22MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 4:22MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
23.0%
18
77.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 4:41CHAWallace Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)13
23.0%
18
77.0%
Q1 - 4:53CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
21.6%
18
78.4%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot11
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 5:18CHADiaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)11
20.3%
18
79.7%
Q1 - 5:43MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)8
17.8%
18
82.2%
Q1 - 5:56MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 5:57CHAMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot8
20.7%
15
79.3%
Q1 - 6:17MIABeasley 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 6:40CHADiaw Layup (4 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)8
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 6:46CHABobcats Rebound6
21.8%
13
78.2%
Q1 - 6:47CHARichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)6
20.8%
13
79.2%
Q1 - 7:02CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
21.8%
13
78.2%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot6
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 7:21CHAJackson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)6
20.3%
13
79.7%
Q1 - 7:47MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)4
19.1%
13
80.9%
Q1 - 7:58CHAAnthony STEAL (1 STL)4
21.7%
10
78.3%
Q1 - 8:14MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 8:31CHAFelton 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
24.6%
8
75.4%
Q1 - 9:00MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)2
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 9:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
26.5%
5
73.5%
Q1 - 9:07CHAMISS Wallace Driving Finger Roll Layup2
27.0%
5
73.0%
Q1 - 9:12MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
28.0%
5
72.0%
Q1 - 9:35CHADiaw 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
26.5%
5
73.5%
Q1 - 10:05MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)0
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 10:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:25CHAMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot0
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 10:41CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot0
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 10:53MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:54CHAMISS Felton 18' Jump Shot0
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 11:12MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 11:28MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 11:29CHAAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)0
31.5%
0
68.5%
Q1 - 11:44CHARatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot0
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Ratliff: Tip to Arroyo0
31.0%
0
69.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.79 39.4%
MIA
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
8
26
31%
MIA
15
22
68%
Midrange
CHA
11
33
33%
MIA
6
28
21%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
MIA
7
10.5
28
25%
38%
Free Throws
CHA
27
34
79%
MIA
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson1836%9.0 / 25
G. Wallace1550%7.5 / 15
B. Diaw1238%6.0 / 16
R. Felton956%4.5 / 8
D. Augustin880%4.0 / 5
T. Chandler450%2.0 / 4
T. Thomas325%1.5 / 6
S. Graham220%1.0 / 5
T. Ratliff0-0.0 / 1
L. Hughes0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Q. Richardson1864%9.0 / 14
M. Beasley1644%8.0 / 18
D. Wade1435%7.0 / 20
J. Anthony956%4.5 / 8
U. Haslem964%4.5 / 7
D. Wright770%3.5 / 5
M. Chalmers418%2.0 / 11
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 2
J. Jones0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
72
+17
-15
89
MIA
76
+15
-10
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.79 39.4%
MIA
0.85 42.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
106.7
CHA 81.6
MIA 89.5 +7.9
Pace
89.9
89.6
CHA 94.6 +15.0
MIA 79.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.5
CHA 15.2 +2.9
MIA 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
49.6%
CHA 30.6%
MIA 40.4% +9.8%
TO %
16.4%
13.6%
CHA 14.7%
MIA 13.0% +1.7%
ORB %
26.6%
26.0%
CHA 17.8%
MIA 27.1% +9.3%
FTrt
34.6
29.6
CHA 47.2 +21.6
MIA 25.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
51.9%
CHA 38.1%
MIA 67.9% +29.8%
STL %
8.5%
8.1%
CHA 8.0% +1.0%
MIA 7.0%
BLK %
9.2%
9.4%
CHA 10.0%
MIA 22.0% +12.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.1%
CHA 39.4%
MIA 42.3% +2.9%
Rim FG%
57.1%
62.0%
CHA 30.8%
MIA 68.2% +37.4%
Mid FG%
37.6%
40.8%
CHA 33.3% +11.9%
MIA 21.4%
3P %
34.6%
34.6%
CHA 15.4%
MIA 25.0% +9.6%
FT %
75.1%
75.2%
CHA 79.4% +9.4%
MIA 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.9%
29.8%
CHA 36.1% +7.9%
MIA 28.2%
Mid Att. %
36.0%
48.3%
CHA 45.8%
MIA 35.9% +9.9%
3P Att. %
21.1%
21.9%
CHA 18.1%
MIA 35.9% +17.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points7177
Rebounds4350
Assists819
Steals76
Blocks513
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)10 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (9)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)37 (1)
Field Goals21-7228-78
At-the-Rim FG8-2615-22
Midrange FG11-336-28
2-Point FG19-5921-50
3-Point FG2-137-28
Free Throws27-3414-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 220 · 28
44.3
15
50%
8
0
2
0
5
3
3
5
7-8
88%
4-9
44%
0-3
0%
G · 6'8" 220 · 32
39.9
18
36%
5
1
0
0
3
3
0
5
10-10
100%
4-15
27%
0-6
0%
F · 6'8" 250 · 28
36.0
12
38%
9
1
1
1
0
3
1
8
1-2
50%
4-12
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 205 · 26
33.9
9
56%
1
5
2
0
1
4
0
1
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 235 · 37
13.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 240 · 27
33.2
4
50%
11
0
2
3
3
3
2
9
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 183 · 22
14.1
8
80%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 225 · 24
13.2
3
25%
3
0
0
1
2
1
1
2
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28
8.7
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
3.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 22
F · 6'8" 233 · 23
#7 · C · 7'0" 280 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'10" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 7'2" 248 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
71
39%
43
8
7
5
15
0
8
35
27-34
79%
19-59
32%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.