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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Celtics41%94102
9Mavericks59%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.1
38.6
31.9
20
63%
10
5
1
2
0
2
3
7
2-2
100%
9-14
4-8
64%
51%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.4
36.4
26.4
29
68%
3
5
2
1
0
2
0
3
8-10
80%
9-12
3-7
75%
48%
1-5
20%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.7
35.1
30.2
21
73%
3
4
2
1
1
2
1
2
3-3
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
4-8
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
32.8
26.9
8
40%
9
1
5
1
0
3
1
8
2-2
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.4
30.7
26.2
11
74%
6
1
0
0
2
2
2
4
1-1
100%
5-7
4-6
71%
58%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.2
16.5
18.4
7
60%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.5
16.0
19.2
2
35%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.2
12.8
19.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37.0
11.6
15.0
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.8
9.4
15.7
2
33%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.2
5.8
0
1-2
49%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
5.0
0
1-1
47%
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.8
41.7
35.7
28
65%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-6
83%
10-18
8-16
56%
50%
1-1
100%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.0
37.2
28.6
11
62%
6
9
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
1-4
25%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.9
32.1
32.7
16
58%
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
7-13
6-11
54%
53%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.0
29.7
32.2
9
29%
4
1
3
1
0
2
3
1
3-4
75%
3-12
5-10
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.3
26.1
21.1
3
39%
6
1
0
0
2
3
0
6
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
32.4
20.7
18
55%
1
2
3
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
7-12
3-5
58%
50%
1-4
25%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.7
19.2
10.0
3
150%
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
1-1
100%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
12.1
22.1
3
50%
3
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.7
9.0
16.5
2
50%
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
61%
0-1
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.1
0.5
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.0
8.4
0
0-1
42%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.6
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.