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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bucks29%95102
4Nuggets71%10297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.3
39.1
38.7
26
65%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
9-9
100%
7-15
5-11
47%
46%
1-1
100%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
35.8
22.2
12
62%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
6-6
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.5
28.7
33.8
9
48%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-5
4-10
20%
38%
2-4
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.6
27.0
36.0
21
72%
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
5-8
63%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
4-6
67%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
15.2
35.9
2
33%
3
0
0
1
3
3
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
8-15
33%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
32.0
24.4
14
54%
10
2
0
1
2
0
2
8
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
1-3
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
25.0
7.0
5
64%
6
0
0
0
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.1
17.5
14.7
11
69%
0
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
1-3
33%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.4
11.2
14.9
2
20%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.2
7.7
5.4
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-2
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.0
0.7
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.5
4.7
0
1-1
45%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
40.6
39.0
29
42%
7
2
1
1
1
4
5
2
9-12
75%
10-27
10-20
37%
49%
0-2
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 33.5
37.5
32.7
29
59%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
17-17
100%
3-12
3-7
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
35.3
34.1
7
44%
10
1
0
1
2
2
3
7
1-2
50%
3-7
5-9
43%
59%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
23.1
25.7
1
17%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.1
13.0
18.1
4
100%
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
30.8
21.3
5
43%
12
0
0
1
4
0
5
7
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
57%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
24.9
25.5
11
34%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-11
3-7
36%
50%
1-5
20%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.8
13.1
10.5
10
78%
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-1
0%
5-6
1-3
83%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.7
11.2
10.5
1
27%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.8
10.5
17.0
0
0%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 22.4
4.7
0
1-1
52%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.7
2.9
0
0-1
54%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.