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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 21, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Thunder56%98101
21Pacers44%96121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
33.8
34.0
20
76%
6
3
0
1
1
0
1
5
7-7
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
50%
1-2
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.5
33.1
34.5
16
42%
5
3
2
1
1
5
2
3
7-7
100%
3-10
7-15
30%
51%
1-6
17%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.9
23.0
26.3
8
47%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
16.8
29.2
0
0%
1
5
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
5-12
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.7
15.8
25.2
8
57%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
33.5
17.9
15
56%
4
11
2
1
0
5
1
3
1-1
100%
7-13
2-4
54%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 24.1
27.7
15.8
4
29%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-5
20%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.5
19.7
17.3
10
63%
12
0
1
0
1
1
5
7
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
16.4
18.8
7
44%
5
0
1
1
0
0
4
1
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
57%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.6
10.3
7.5
6
51%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.2
10.0
5.6
7
79%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
42%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.0
5.8
0
1-1
52%
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.6
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.9
32.8
35.0
22
83%
13
3
1
1
1
1
2
11
4-5
80%
3-4
4-7
75%
50%
4-7
57%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.9
32.5
30.6
32
64%
7
2
3
1
0
0
2
5
8-9
89%
9-13
5-10
69%
47%
2-8
25%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.8
28.7
34.1
11
103%
2
8
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
25.9
34.6
15
72%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
2-4
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.3
25.1
31.9
20
66%
8
3
0
1
1
2
4
4
4-5
80%
8-13
6-12
62%
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
26.8
17.1
9
51%
5
5
1
0
0
2
3
2
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.5
19.3
15.4
2
25%
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.5
18.1
17.1
6
38%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
48%
0-4
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.7
17.6
9.2
2
20%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
50%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.1
6.7
8.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.3
6.7
4.2
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.0
7.8
0
1-2
47%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.2
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.