FinalWin Prob.pScore
1141%95
114
1059%98
119
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
115.29985.1
ATL logo ATL
122.79792.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASATL
OT1 - 0:00.0SAS114
0%
119
100%
OT1 - 0:02.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)114
0.1%
119
99.9%
OT1 - 0:02.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)114
0.1%
118
99.9%
OT1 - 0:06.0SASGinobili 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (38 PTS)114
1.2%
117
98.8%
OT1 - 0:13.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)111
0.4%
117
99.6%
OT1 - 0:13.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)111
0.5%
116
99.5%
OT1 - 0:20.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)111
0.9%
115
99.1%
OT1 - 0:22.0SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot111
1.9%
115
98.1%
OT1 - 0:35.0ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 13 AST)111
4.8%
115
95.2%
OT1 - 0:59.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:9 Def:9)111
15.6%
113
84.4%
OT1 - 1:00SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
18.8%
113
81.2%
OT1 - 1:21ATLJohnson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)111
30.2%
113
69.8%
OT1 - 1:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)111
41.7%
111
58.3%
OT1 - 1:37SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)110
38.5%
111
61.5%
OT1 - 1:55ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 12 AST)109
31.1%
111
68.9%
OT1 - 2:12SASDuncan 10' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)109
40.8%
109
59.2%
OT1 - 2:32SASSpurs Rebound107
33.9%
109
66.1%
OT1 - 2:34ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
29.1%
109
70.9%
OT1 - 2:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:9 Def:8)107
20.0%
109
80.0%
OT1 - 2:44SASMISS Duncan 3' Turnaround Jump Shot107
23.7%
109
76.3%
OT1 - 3:07ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)107
34.1%
109
65.9%
OT1 - 3:07ATLWilliams Tip Shot (24 PTS)107
34.1%
109
65.9%
OT1 - 3:10ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot107
51.9%
107
48.1%
OT1 - 3:16ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)107
41.3%
107
58.7%
OT1 - 3:18SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Layup107
46.0%
107
54.0%
OT1 - 3:37SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)107
52.6%
107
47.4%
OT1 - 3:40ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot107
49.5%
107
50.5%
OT1 - 4:04SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (35 PTS)107
42.4%
107
57.6%
OT1 - 4:25ATLCrawford 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS)105
33.9%
107
66.1%
OT1 - 4:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:9 Def:7)105
42.4%
105
57.6%
OT1 - 4:35SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot105
45.6%
105
54.4%
OT1 - 4:49ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)105
52.9%
105
47.1%
OT1 - 5:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Duncan: Tip to Horford105
42.4%
105
57.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:9 Def:6)105
42.0%
105
58.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper105
58.0%
105
42.0%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)105
37.7%
105
62.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup105
45.1%
105
54.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLHorford Putback Layup (16 PTS)105
57.8%
105
42.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)105
72.2%
103
27.8%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLMISS Crawford Running Layup105
80.8%
103
19.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASHorford STEAL (2 STL)105
71.4%
103
28.6%
Q4 - 1:10ATLJohnson 7' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)105
81.9%
103
18.1%
Q4 - 1:23SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)105
87.2%
101
12.8%
Q4 - 1:23SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)104
86.4%
101
13.6%
Q4 - 1:39SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
78.2%
101
21.8%
Q4 - 1:40ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
74.9%
101
25.1%
Q4 - 1:56SASBonner 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)103
65.8%
101
34.2%
Q4 - 2:13ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)101
57.8%
101
42.2%
Q4 - 2:13ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)101
61.2%
100
38.8%
Q4 - 2:16ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)101
65.3%
99
34.7%
Q4 - 2:17SASMISS Ginobili 22' Jump Shot101
69.9%
99
30.1%
Q4 - 2:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)101
79.1%
99
20.9%
Q4 - 2:33ATLHorford Tip Shot (14 PTS)101
79.1%
99
20.9%
Q4 - 2:36ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
89.3%
97
10.7%
Q4 - 2:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)101
83.8%
97
16.2%
Q4 - 2:47ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot101
89.4%
97
10.6%
Q4 - 3:05SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)101
81.6%
97
18.4%
Q4 - 3:05SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)100
79.8%
97
20.2%
Q4 - 3:27ATLWilliams 3' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)99
76.7%
97
23.3%
Q4 - 3:49SASGinobili 10' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)99
77.3%
95
22.7%
Q4 - 4:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)97
70.8%
95
29.2%
Q4 - 4:03ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot97
68.1%
95
31.9%
Q4 - 4:18SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)97
61.6%
95
38.4%
Q4 - 4:36ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)94
43.1%
95
56.9%
Q4 - 4:36ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
44.7%
94
55.3%
Q4 - 5:01SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)94
51.2%
93
48.8%
Q4 - 5:15SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
35.1%
93
64.9%
Q4 - 5:17ATLMISS Horford 5' Running Hook Shot91
32.7%
93
67.3%
Q4 - 5:32SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)91
27.5%
93
72.5%
Q4 - 5:32SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)90
26.2%
93
73.8%
Q4 - 5:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)89
21.5%
93
78.5%
Q4 - 5:37ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
19.7%
93
80.3%
Q4 - 5:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)89
16.1%
93
83.9%
Q4 - 5:48SASMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
17.6%
93
82.4%
Q4 - 6:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)89
23.5%
93
76.5%
Q4 - 6:06ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
21.8%
93
78.2%
Q4 - 6:39SASDuncan Running Dunk (20 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)89
18.1%
93
81.9%
Q4 - 7:03ATLSmith 2' Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)87
15.9%
93
84.1%
Q4 - 7:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)87
19.5%
91
80.5%
Q4 - 7:18SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
21.0%
91
79.0%
Q4 - 7:44ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Crawford 5 AST)87
24.7%
91
75.3%
Q4 - 7:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)87
35.9%
88
64.1%
Q4 - 7:49ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup87
40.9%
88
59.1%
Q4 - 8:08SASDuncan Putback Layup (18 PTS)87
36.9%
88
63.1%
Q4 - 8:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)85
31.0%
88
69.0%
Q4 - 8:10SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup85
27.4%
88
72.6%
Q4 - 8:27SASSpurs Rebound85
30.9%
88
69.1%
Q4 - 8:27SASMISS Ginobili 4' Driving Jump Shot85
27.3%
88
72.7%
Q4 - 8:38ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)85
30.9%
88
69.1%
Q4 - 8:54ATLHAWKS Rebound85
25.8%
88
74.2%
Q4 - 8:55ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
29.3%
88
70.7%
Q4 - 9:19SASDuncan 2' Running Layup (16 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)85
27.0%
88
73.0%
Q4 - 9:44ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 11 AST)83
22.4%
88
77.6%
Q4 - 10:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)83
32.2%
85
67.8%
Q4 - 10:05SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 283
32.9%
85
67.1%
Q4 - 10:05SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)83
36.7%
85
63.3%
Q4 - 10:26ATLJohnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)82
32.2%
85
67.8%
Q4 - 10:48SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
37.3%
83
62.7%
Q4 - 10:48SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
36.3%
83
63.7%
Q4 - 11:01ATLCrawford 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)80
32.6%
83
67.4%
Q4 - 11:21SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS)80
37.6%
81
62.4%
Q4 - 11:41SASSpurs Rebound78
32.6%
81
67.4%
Q4 - 11:41ATLMISS Johnson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot78
31.2%
81
68.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL78
28.2%
81
71.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
28.9%
81
71.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot78
30.1%
81
69.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0ATLSmith 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)78
32.8%
81
67.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)78
37.9%
79
62.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASGinobili 19' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)78
42.8%
78
57.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLCrawford 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 10 AST)76
37.5%
78
62.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
42.8%
76
57.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot76
44.2%
76
55.8%
Q3 - 1:13ATLCrawford 5' Driving Layup (12 PTS)76
46.9%
76
53.1%
Q3 - 1:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)76
52.2%
74
47.8%
Q3 - 1:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)75
51.6%
74
48.4%
Q3 - 1:42ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T9)74
47.0%
74
53.0%
Q3 - 1:50SASBlair 1' Running Layup (3 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)74
42.5%
74
57.5%
Q3 - 2:02SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
37.3%
74
62.7%
Q3 - 2:03ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 272
36.8%
74
63.2%
Q3 - 2:03ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
34.1%
74
65.9%
Q3 - 2:17SASBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)72
37.4%
73
62.6%
Q3 - 2:26ATLCrawford 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)69
29.0%
73
71.0%
Q3 - 2:44SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)69
33.1%
71
66.9%
Q3 - 2:59SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
25.3%
71
74.7%
Q3 - 3:01ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 266
25.6%
71
74.4%
Q3 - 3:01ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
23.1%
71
76.9%
Q3 - 3:06SASEvans STEAL (1 STL)66
25.8%
70
74.2%
Q3 - 3:17ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)66
29.6%
70
70.4%
Q3 - 3:17ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)66
30.1%
69
69.9%
Q3 - 3:24SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
33.2%
68
66.8%
Q3 - 3:24SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 265
32.5%
68
67.5%
Q3 - 3:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
33.5%
68
66.5%
Q3 - 3:28SASMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
30.6%
68
69.4%
Q3 - 3:32SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
33.5%
68
66.5%
Q3 - 3:34SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
30.6%
68
69.4%
Q3 - 3:50ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P3.T8)65
33.5%
68
66.5%
Q3 - 4:02SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
29.4%
68
70.6%
Q3 - 4:02SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
28.8%
68
71.2%
Q3 - 4:16ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
26.5%
68
73.5%
Q3 - 4:16ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 263
27.5%
67
72.5%
Q3 - 4:32ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
25.9%
67
74.1%
Q3 - 4:33SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot63
27.1%
67
72.9%
Q3 - 4:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)63
30.0%
67
70.0%
Q3 - 4:52ATLHorford Tip Shot (12 PTS)63
30.0%
67
70.0%
Q3 - 4:54ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot63
36.4%
65
63.6%
Q3 - 5:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)63
33.1%
65
66.9%
Q3 - 5:07SASMISS Bonner 7' Running Jump Shot63
34.4%
65
65.6%
Q3 - 5:26ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)63
37.4%
65
62.6%
Q3 - 5:26ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)63
38.1%
64
61.9%
Q3 - 5:47SASDuncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)63
40.9%
63
59.1%
Q3 - 5:59ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
37.5%
63
62.5%
Q3 - 5:59ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
38.3%
62
61.7%
Q3 - 5:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)61
40.9%
61
59.1%
Q3 - 6:01ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup61
43.9%
61
56.1%
Q3 - 6:22SASDuncan 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
40.8%
61
59.2%
Q3 - 6:39ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)59
37.4%
61
62.6%
Q3 - 6:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
33.3%
61
66.7%
Q3 - 6:51SASMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot59
34.5%
61
65.5%
Q3 - 7:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
37.1%
61
62.9%
Q3 - 7:10ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot59
36.0%
61
64.0%
Q3 - 7:26SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)59
33.3%
61
66.7%
Q3 - 7:26SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)58
32.9%
61
67.1%
Q3 - 7:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
30.3%
61
69.7%
Q3 - 7:32ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
29.2%
61
70.8%
Q3 - 7:50SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)57
26.8%
61
73.2%
Q3 - 7:50SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)56
26.5%
61
73.5%
Q3 - 8:10ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)55
24.3%
61
75.7%
Q3 - 8:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
30.1%
58
69.9%
Q3 - 8:15ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
32.5%
58
67.5%
Q3 - 8:17ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
30.1%
58
69.9%
Q3 - 8:19ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup55
32.5%
58
67.5%
Q3 - 8:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
30.1%
58
69.9%
Q3 - 8:30SASMISS Hill 1' Driving Layup55
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q3 - 8:40SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
33.6%
58
66.4%
Q3 - 8:41ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 255
33.1%
58
66.9%
Q3 - 8:41ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
30.8%
58
69.2%
Q3 - 8:44SASHorford STEAL (1 STL)55
33.3%
57
66.7%
Q3 - 8:57ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)55
37.0%
57
63.0%
Q3 - 9:03ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
33.5%
57
66.5%
Q3 - 9:04SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot55
34.6%
57
65.4%
Q3 - 9:23ATLSmith 5' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)55
37.0%
57
63.0%
Q3 - 9:32ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
40.4%
55
59.6%
Q3 - 9:34ATLMISS Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot55
43.0%
55
57.0%
Q3 - 9:58SASJefferson 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)55
40.4%
55
59.6%
Q3 - 10:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
37.0%
55
63.0%
Q3 - 10:10SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q3 - 10:32SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)53
37.0%
55
63.0%
Q3 - 10:34SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q3 - 10:52ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)53
37.0%
55
63.0%
Q3 - 11:12SASJefferson Dunk (8 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)53
40.2%
53
59.8%
Q3 - 11:20SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
37.1%
53
62.9%
Q3 - 11:21ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot51
36.0%
53
64.0%
Q3 - 11:37ATLHAWKS Rebound51
33.7%
53
66.3%
Q3 - 11:38SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot51
34.7%
53
65.3%
Q3 - 11:43SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
37.1%
53
62.9%
Q3 - 11:45SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot51
34.7%
53
65.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS51
37.1%
53
62.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)51
36.8%
53
63.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASWilliams STEAL (2 STL)51
40.8%
51
59.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLCrawford Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)51
43.3%
51
56.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
47.4%
49
52.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
49.2%
49
50.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
47.4%
49
52.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
49.2%
49
50.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
47.4%
49
52.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASDuncan Tip Shot (10 PTS)51
47.4%
49
52.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
41.5%
49
58.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLWilliams 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)49
43.3%
49
56.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
47.4%
47
52.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
46.5%
47
53.5%
Q2 - 1:13ATLHorford 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)47
43.2%
47
56.8%
Q2 - 1:27SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)47
47.3%
45
52.7%
Q2 - 1:47ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)47
49.7%
45
50.3%
Q2 - 1:53ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
57.2%
42
42.8%
Q2 - 1:54SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot47
57.9%
42
42.1%
Q2 - 2:15ATLHorford Putback Layup (3 PTS)47
59.3%
42
40.7%
Q2 - 2:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
62.2%
40
37.8%
Q2 - 2:19ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot47
64.4%
40
35.6%
Q2 - 2:35SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)47
62.3%
40
37.7%
Q2 - 3:10ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)44
56.0%
40
44.0%
Q2 - 3:24SASMcDyess Putback Layup (4 PTS)44
58.5%
38
41.5%
Q2 - 3:26SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
56.0%
38
44.0%
Q2 - 3:27SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot42
53.5%
38
46.5%
Q2 - 3:44ATLWilliams 3' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)42
56.1%
38
43.9%
Q2 - 3:54ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
58.5%
36
41.5%
Q2 - 3:56SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
59.6%
36
40.4%
Q2 - 4:15ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)42
61.2%
36
38.8%
Q2 - 4:29SASWilliams STEAL (1 STL)42
66.6%
33
33.4%
Q2 - 4:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
69.5%
33
30.5%
Q2 - 4:33SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot42
67.5%
33
32.5%
Q2 - 4:39SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
69.5%
33
30.5%
Q2 - 4:43ATLMISS Smith 1' Running Layup42
68.6%
33
31.4%
Q2 - 4:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
66.6%
33
33.4%
Q2 - 4:50SASMISS Jefferson 3' Driving Layup42
67.5%
33
32.5%
Q2 - 5:17ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)42
68.8%
33
31.2%
Q2 - 5:29ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
71.4%
31
28.6%
Q2 - 5:30SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
72.1%
31
27.9%
Q2 - 5:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
73.7%
31
26.3%
Q2 - 5:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
71.4%
31
28.6%
Q2 - 5:42ATLMISS Smith Tip Shot42
73.0%
31
27.0%
Q2 - 5:44ATLMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup42
73.0%
31
27.0%
Q2 - 5:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
71.4%
31
28.6%
Q2 - 5:54SASMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot42
72.1%
31
27.9%
Q2 - 6:14ATLHorford Backcourt Turnover (P2.T5)42
73.0%
31
27.0%
Q2 - 6:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
70.2%
31
29.8%
Q2 - 6:21ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 242
72.7%
31
27.3%
Q2 - 6:21ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
71.2%
31
28.8%
Q2 - 6:41SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)42
72.7%
30
27.3%
Q2 - 6:49SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
70.7%
30
29.3%
Q2 - 6:51ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot40
69.8%
30
30.2%
Q2 - 7:00ATLHAWKS Rebound40
67.8%
30
32.2%
Q2 - 7:03ATLMISS Johnson 5' Running Jump Shot40
69.0%
30
31.0%
Q2 - 7:11ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
67.2%
30
32.8%
Q2 - 7:12SASMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot40
68.0%
30
32.0%
Q2 - 7:27SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
69.8%
30
30.2%
Q2 - 7:28ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
69.0%
30
31.0%
Q2 - 7:42ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
67.2%
30
32.8%
Q2 - 7:43SASMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
68.0%
30
32.0%
Q2 - 7:59ATLJohnson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
69.8%
30
30.2%
Q2 - 8:17SASBlair Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)40
70.9%
28
29.1%
Q2 - 8:35ATLEvans Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)40
73.2%
28
26.8%
Q2 - 8:50SASMason Jr. 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)40
71.0%
28
29.0%
Q2 - 9:01SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
67.8%
28
32.2%
Q2 - 9:04ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot38
67.1%
28
32.9%
Q2 - 9:21SASHill Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
65.3%
28
34.7%
Q2 - 9:41ATLCrawford 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)38
67.9%
28
32.1%
Q2 - 10:01SASHill 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
69.4%
26
30.6%
Q2 - 10:16ATLSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)36
67.4%
26
32.6%
Q2 - 10:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
69.4%
24
30.6%
Q2 - 10:23ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
69.4%
24
30.6%
Q2 - 10:23ATLMISS Crawford Tip Shot36
71.1%
24
28.9%
Q2 - 10:25ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot36
71.1%
24
28.9%
Q2 - 10:38SASBlair 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)36
69.5%
24
30.6%
Q2 - 11:00ATLTeague 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
71.8%
24
28.2%
Q2 - 11:20SASBogans Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)36
73.0%
22
27.0%
Q2 - 11:34ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T3)34
71.1%
22
28.9%
Q2 - 11:44ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
68.8%
22
31.2%
Q2 - 11:46SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 234
69.1%
22
30.9%
Q2 - 11:46SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
70.2%
22
29.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS33
69.0%
22
31.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
69.0%
22
31.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
66.9%
22
33.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASBonner Putback Layup (2 PTS)33
65.8%
22
34.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
63.1%
22
36.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot31
61.8%
22
38.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLJohnson Running Dunk (6 PTS)31
63.1%
22
36.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASJohnson STEAL (2 STL)31
65.8%
20
34.2%
Q1 - 1:02SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
66.6%
20
33.4%
Q1 - 1:03ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
66.1%
20
33.9%
Q1 - 1:10ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)31
65.1%
20
34.9%
Q1 - 1:27SASJefferson Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)31
67.3%
19
32.7%
Q1 - 1:30ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
64.5%
19
35.5%
Q1 - 1:32ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
62.9%
19
37.1%
Q1 - 1:33SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
63.4%
19
36.6%
Q1 - 1:52ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
64.5%
19
35.5%
Q1 - 1:52ATLPachulia Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
64.5%
19
35.5%
Q1 - 1:54ATLMISS Johnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot29
68.3%
17
31.7%
Q1 - 2:03SASDuncan Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)29
66.7%
17
33.3%
Q1 - 2:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
68.4%
17
31.6%
Q1 - 2:08ATLMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot29
67.9%
17
32.1%
Q1 - 2:21ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
66.7%
17
33.3%
Q1 - 2:23SASMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot29
67.2%
17
32.8%
Q1 - 2:34SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
68.4%
17
31.6%
Q1 - 2:37ATLMISS Johnson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot29
67.9%
17
32.1%
Q1 - 2:52SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
66.7%
17
33.3%
Q1 - 3:03ATLWilliams Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)29
68.2%
17
31.8%
Q1 - 3:06SASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)29
70.1%
15
29.9%
Q1 - 3:20SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
72.1%
15
27.9%
Q1 - 3:21ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Shot29
71.5%
15
28.5%
Q1 - 3:40SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)29
70.1%
15
29.9%
Q1 - 3:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
66.2%
15
33.8%
Q1 - 3:47ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot26
65.5%
15
34.5%
Q1 - 4:13SASDuncan Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)26
62.9%
15
37.1%
Q1 - 4:28ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
61.0%
15
39.0%
Q1 - 4:44SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
63.0%
13
37.0%
Q1 - 5:01ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)21
58.1%
13
41.9%
Q1 - 5:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
60.0%
11
40.0%
Q1 - 5:18SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 221
60.3%
11
39.7%
Q1 - 5:18SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 221
61.6%
11
38.4%
Q1 - 5:37ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)21
62.3%
11
37.7%
Q1 - 5:40ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
66.1%
8
33.9%
Q1 - 5:41SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup21
66.7%
8
33.3%
Q1 - 5:47SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
68.2%
8
31.8%
Q1 - 5:50ATLMISS Williams 7' Turnaround Jump Shot21
67.6%
8
32.4%
Q1 - 6:12SASJefferson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)21
65.5%
8
34.5%
Q1 - 6:23SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
63.6%
8
36.4%
Q1 - 6:24ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot19
63.0%
8
37.0%
Q1 - 6:41SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
61.6%
8
38.4%
Q1 - 6:57ATLHorford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)16
57.6%
8
42.4%
Q1 - 7:09SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
54.9%
8
45.1%
Q1 - 7:28ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)14
53.0%
8
47.0%
Q1 - 7:53SASHill 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)14
55.0%
6
45.0%
Q1 - 7:57SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
53.0%
6
47.0%
Q1 - 7:59ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot12
52.4%
6
47.6%
Q1 - 8:19SASGinobili 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
50.7%
6
49.3%
Q1 - 8:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
48.6%
6
51.4%
Q1 - 8:25ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Shot10
48.0%
6
52.0%
Q1 - 8:42SASDuncan Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)10
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 8:52SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
44.5%
6
55.5%
Q1 - 8:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 8:54ATLMISS Smith Tip Shot8
43.9%
6
56.1%
Q1 - 8:56ATLMISS Smith 4' Driving Jump Shot8
43.9%
6
56.1%
Q1 - 9:12SASHill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
42.6%
6
57.4%
Q1 - 9:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
40.6%
6
59.4%
Q1 - 9:26ATLWilliams Putback Dunk (2 PTS)6
40.6%
6
59.4%
Q1 - 9:29ATLMISS Williams 2' Layup6
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 9:42SASJefferson Dunk (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)6
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 9:45SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 9:46SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 10:04SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 10:06ATLMISS Horford 13' Turnaround Jump Shot4
39.9%
4
60.1%
Q1 - 10:24SASDuncan 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)4
38.6%
4
61.4%
Q1 - 10:35SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 10:37ATLMISS Johnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot2
36.4%
4
63.6%
Q1 - 10:56SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)2
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 11:12ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)0
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 11:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 11:27SASMISS Ginobili 7' Running Hook Shot0
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 11:44ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)0
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Duncan: Tip to Johnson0
38.5%
0
61.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.16 58.2%
ATL
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
21
30
70%
ATL
25
39
64%
Midrange
SAS
12
27
44%
ATL
17
42
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
ATL
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
SAS
24
29
83%
ATL
23
28
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili3861%19.0 / 31
T. Duncan2973%14.5 / 20
R. Jefferson1260%6.0 / 10
G. Hill1142%5.5 / 13
M. Bonner1071%5.0 / 7
K. Bogans550%2.5 / 5
A. McDyess440%2.0 / 5
D. Blair375%1.5 / 2
R. Mason Jr.250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2681%13.0 / 16
A. Horford2265%11.0 / 17
J. Johnson2040%10.0 / 25
J. Crawford1948%9.5 / 20
J. Smith1336%6.5 / 18
M. Bibby964%4.5 / 7
M. Evans3150%1.5 / 1
Z. Pachulia375%1.5 / 2
J. Smith250%1.0 / 2
J. Teague2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
86
+12
-13
98
ATL
86
+24
-11
110
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.16 58.2%
ATL
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
112.2
SAS 115.2
ATL 122.7 +7.5
Pace
91.5
89.9
SAS 85.1
ATL 92.9 +7.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
SAS 16.9
ATL 15.5 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.6%
SAS 55.6% +6.6%
ATL 49.0%
TO %
14.1%
12.7%
SAS 12.2%
ATL 9.1% +3.1%
ORB %
26.8%
28.3%
SAS 26.8%
ATL 41.2% +14.4%
FTrt
29.6
28.1
SAS 35.8 +7.2
ATL 28.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
56.2%
SAS 48.8%
ATL 54.3% +5.5%
STL %
6.9%
8.0%
SAS 4.0%
ATL 7.2% +3.2%
BLK %
6.9%
7.9%
SAS 3.7% +3.7%
ATL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
53.3%
SAS 58.2% +5.1%
ATL 53.1%
Rim FG%
62.2%
60.8%
SAS 70.0% +5.9%
ATL 64.1%
Mid FG%
40.7%
40.6%
SAS 44.4% +3.9%
ATL 40.5%
3P %
35.8%
36.0%
SAS 33.3% +9.8%
ATL 23.5%
FT %
74.0%
75.9%
SAS 82.8% +0.7%
ATL 82.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
35.5%
SAS 37.0%
ATL 39.8% +2.8%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
43.1%
SAS 33.3% +9.5%
ATL 42.9%
3P Att. %
23.2%
21.4%
SAS 29.6% +12.3%
ATL 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASATL
Possessions9997
Possession Minutes27.925.1
Points114119
Rebounds4151
Assists2025
Steals47
Blocks30
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)21 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)30 (1)
Field Goals41-8146-98
At-the-Rim FG21-3025-39
Midrange FG12-2717-42
2-Point FG33-5742-81
3-Point FG8-244-17
Free Throws24-2923-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
44.7
38
61%
1
6
1
0
4
3
0
1
9-10
90%
7-15
47%
5-11
45%
F · 6'7" 233 · 30
44.1
12
60%
8
4
1
1
1
4
1
7
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 34
41.2
29
73%
13
3
0
0
3
2
5
8
7-9
78%
11-16
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
41.0
11
42%
0
3
1
0
2
3
0
0
5-6
83%
3-6
50%
0-4
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 36
16.5
4
40%
10
1
0
1
0
0
4
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30
32.6
10
71%
6
2
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30
25.2
5
50%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21
11.8
3
75%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 30
5.0
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 24
C · 6'11" 262 · 23
G · 6'3" 190 · 24
#9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
114
58%
41
20
4
3
13
0
11
30
24-29
83%
33-57
58%
8-24
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.