Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 21, 2010

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	28	Wizards	11%	87	92
	2	Lakers	89%	103	99

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
WAS	107.0	86	89.9
LAL	116.5	85	81.4

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+12

-12

LAL

+12

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.5%

LAL

1.21 60.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	LAL
Q4 - 0:00.0	LAL		92 0%	99 100%
Q4 - 0:02.0	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)	89 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0	WAS	MISS Livingston Layup	89 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0	LAL	LAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)	89 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)	89 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0	WAS	MISS Young Driving Layup	89 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	89 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0	LAL	MISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2	89 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)	89 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0	LAL	MISS Vujacic Free Throw Technical	89 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0	WAS	Thornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	89 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0	WAS	MISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2	88 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0	WAS	Thornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	88 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 1:01	WAS	MISS Thornton 6' Floating Jump Shot	88 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 1:10	LAL	Vujacic 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	88 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 1:33	WAS	Livingston 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	88 0.6%	96 99.4%
Q4 - 1:42	LAL	Gasol Layup (27 PTS)	86 0.4%	96 99.6%
Q4 - 1:59	WAS	Livingston 4' Layup (6 PTS)	86 0.7%	94 99.3%
Q4 - 2:06	LAL	Gasol Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)	84 0.5%	94 99.5%
Q4 - 2:06	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)	84 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 2:07	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	84 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 2:07	LAL	MISS Gasol Tip Shot	84 0.4%	94 99.6%
Q4 - 2:08	LAL	MISS Farmar Layup	84 0.4%	94 99.6%
Q4 - 2:29	WAS	Young Driving Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)	84 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 2:40	LAL	Odom Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T16)	82 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 2:43	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)	82 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 2:44	LAL	MISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot	82 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 3:08	WAS	Thornton Driving Layup (17 PTS)	82 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 3:14	LAL	Odom Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)	80 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 3:37	WAS	Thornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	80 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 3:37	WAS	Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	79 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 3:49	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	78 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 3:50	LAL	MISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot	78 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 4:11	LAL	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	78 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 4:12	WAS	MISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot	78 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 4:23	LAL	Bryant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)	78 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 4:39	LAL	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	78 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 4:40	WAS	MISS Blatche 14' Jump Shot	78 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 5:01	LAL	Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Powell 2 AST)	78 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 5:23	WAS	Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)	78 0.4%	91 99.6%
Q4 - 5:42	LAL	Farmar 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)	75 0.2%	91 99.8%
Q4 - 6:01	WAS	Young Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	75 0.6%	88 99.4%
Q4 - 6:01	WAS	Young Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	74 0.6%	88 99.4%
Q4 - 6:03	WAS	Wizards Rebound	73 0.5%	88 99.5%
Q4 - 6:03	WAS	Brown BLOCK (1 BLK)	73 0.4%	88 99.6%
Q4 - 6:08	LAL	Bryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)	73 0.5%	88 99.5%
Q4 - 6:26	WAS	Young 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	73 0.3%	88 99.7%
Q4 - 6:37	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	71 0.3%	88 99.7%
Q4 - 6:38	LAL	MISS Brown 21' Jump Shot	71 0.2%	88 99.8%
Q4 - 6:45	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	71 0.2%	88 99.8%
Q4 - 6:46	WAS	MISS Blatche 21' Jump Shot	71 0.2%	88 99.8%
Q4 - 7:01	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)	71 0.4%	88 99.6%
Q4 - 7:01	LAL	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	71 0.4%	87 99.6%
Q4 - 7:18	WAS	Blatche 10' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)	71 0.3%	87 99.7%
Q4 - 7:40	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	69 0.3%	87 99.7%
Q4 - 7:41	LAL	MISS Farmar Layup	69 0.2%	87 99.8%
Q4 - 8:14	WAS	Young Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	69 0.3%	87 99.7%
Q4 - 8:14	WAS	Young Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	68 0.3%	87 99.7%
Q4 - 8:24	LAL	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	67 0.2%	87 99.8%
Q4 - 8:24	LAL	Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	67 0.2%	86 99.8%
Q4 - 8:28	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	67 0.3%	85 99.7%
Q4 - 8:29	WAS	Gasol BLOCK (1 BLK)	67 0.3%	85 99.7%
Q4 - 8:48	LAL	Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)	67 0.4%	85 99.6%
Q4 - 9:10	WAS	Blatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	67 0.8%	82 99.2%
Q4 - 9:10	WAS	Blatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	66 0.7%	82 99.3%
Q4 - 9:26	WAS	Gee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	65 0.6%	82 99.4%
Q4 - 9:27	LAL	MISS Farmar 3PT Jump Shot	65 0.6%	82 99.4%
Q4 - 9:45	LAL	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	65 0.5%	82 99.5%
Q4 - 9:46	WAS	MISS Foye 18' Jump Shot	65 0.5%	82 99.5%
Q4 - 10:00	LAL	Gasol 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)	65 0.6%	82 99.4%
Q4 - 10:15	WAS	Young Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	65 0.6%	82 99.4%
Q4 - 10:15	WAS	MISS Young Free Throw 1 of 2	64 0.6%	82 99.4%
Q4 - 10:18	LAL	Farmar Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)	64 0.6%	82 99.4%
Q4 - 10:36	LAL	Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	64 0.5%	82 99.5%
Q4 - 10:40	WAS	MISS Gee Layup	64 0.5%	82 99.5%
Q4 - 10:51	LAL	Powell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	64 0.6%	82 99.4%
Q4 - 11:04	WAS	Blatche Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Singleton 2 AST)	64 0.6%	82 99.4%
Q4 - 11:24	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	62 0.5%	82 99.5%
Q4 - 11:25	LAL	MISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot	62 0.4%	82 99.6%
Q4 - 11:41	LAL	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	62 0.4%	82 99.6%
Q4 - 11:43	WAS	MISS Gee Free Throw 1 of 1	62 0.4%	82 99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS		60 0.3%	82 99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS	Wizards Rebound	60 0.3%	82 99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS	MISS Young 3PT Jump Shot	60 0.3%	82 99.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0	LAL	World Peace Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Mbenga 1 AST)	60 0.4%	82 99.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0	LAL	World Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	60 0.4%	80 99.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0	LAL	MISS Mbenga 7' Jump Shot	60 0.5%	80 99.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0	WAS	Young 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Blatche 3 AST)	60 0.4%	80 99.6%
Q3 - 1:09	WAS	Gee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	58 0.4%	80 99.6%
Q3 - 1:10	WAS	MISS Young 3PT Jump Shot	58 0.4%	80 99.6%
Q3 - 1:19	LAL	World Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	58 0.4%	80 99.6%
Q3 - 1:31	LAL	World Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	58 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q3 - 1:32	LAL	MISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot	58 0.4%	80 99.6%
Q3 - 1:45	WAS	Foye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)	58 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q3 - 1:58	LAL	World Peace 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)	55 0.2%	80 99.8%
Q3 - 2:16	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	55 0.3%	78 99.7%
Q3 - 2:17	LAL	MISS Brown 20' Jump Shot	55 0.4%	78 99.6%
Q3 - 2:28	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	55 0.3%	78 99.7%
Q3 - 2:29	WAS	Odom BLOCK (3 BLK)	55 0.3%	78 99.7%
Q3 - 2:57	LAL	World Peace 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)	55 0.4%	78 99.6%
Q3 - 3:11	WAS	Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Livingston 6 AST)	55 0.6%	75 99.4%
Q3 - 3:22	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	52 0.4%	75 99.6%
Q3 - 3:22	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	52 0.4%	74 99.6%
Q3 - 3:22	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	52 0.5%	73 99.5%
Q3 - 3:23	WAS	MISS Blatche 8' Jump Shot	52 0.5%	73 99.5%
Q3 - 3:42	LAL	Odom Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)	52 0.6%	73 99.4%
Q3 - 4:03	WAS	Blatche 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)	52 0.6%	73 99.4%
Q3 - 4:26	LAL	Gasol Dunk (22 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)	50 0.5%	73 99.5%
Q3 - 4:42	WAS	Thornton 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Blatche 2 AST)	50 0.5%	71 99.5%
Q3 - 5:08	LAL	World Peace 9' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)	48 0.5%	71 99.5%
Q3 - 5:29	WAS	Blatche Driving Dunk (8 PTS)	48 0.6%	69 99.4%
Q3 - 5:51	LAL	World Peace 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)	46 0.5%	69 99.5%
Q3 - 6:13	WAS	Blatche 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	46 0.7%	67 99.3%
Q3 - 6:32	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	44 0.6%	67 99.4%
Q3 - 6:32	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	44 0.6%	66 99.4%
Q3 - 6:42	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	44 0.7%	65 99.3%
Q3 - 6:43	WAS	MISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot	44 0.7%	65 99.3%
Q3 - 6:58	WAS	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	44 0.8%	65 99.2%
Q3 - 6:59	LAL	MISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot	44 0.8%	65 99.2%
Q3 - 7:17	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	44 0.8%	65 99.2%
Q3 - 7:18	WAS	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	44 0.8%	65 99.2%
Q3 - 7:28	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	44 0.9%	65 99.1%
Q3 - 7:30	LAL	MISS Odom Layup	44 0.8%	65 99.2%
Q3 - 7:55	WAS	Miller 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)	44 0.7%	65 99.3%
Q3 - 8:04	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	41 0.6%	65 99.4%
Q3 - 8:06	LAL	MISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot	41 0.6%	65 99.4%
Q3 - 8:24	WAS	Thornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	41 0.5%	65 99.5%
Q3 - 8:24	WAS	MISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2	40 0.5%	65 99.5%
Q3 - 8:27	LAL	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	40 0.5%	65 99.5%
Q3 - 8:51	WAS	Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)	40 0.4%	65 99.6%
Q3 - 8:57	LAL	Bryant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	37 0.3%	65 99.7%
Q3 - 9:23	WAS	World Peace STEAL (3 STL)	37 0.3%	65 99.7%
Q3 - 9:43	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	37 0.3%	65 99.7%
Q3 - 9:43	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	37 0.4%	64 99.6%
Q3 - 10:09	WAS	McGee 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)	37 0.4%	63 99.6%
Q3 - 10:21	LAL	Gasol 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)	35 0.4%	63 99.6%
Q3 - 10:42	WAS	Thornton Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)	35 0.4%	61 99.6%
Q3 - 11:02	LAL	Bryant 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)	33 0.4%	61 99.6%
Q3 - 11:20	WAS	Blatche Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)	33 0.5%	59 99.5%
Q3 - 11:20	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	33 0.5%	59 99.5%
Q3 - 11:20	WAS	Odom BLOCK (2 BLK)	33 0.5%	59 99.5%
Q3 - 11:38	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	33 0.5%	59 99.5%
Q3 - 11:39	LAL	MISS Fisher Layup	33 0.5%	59 99.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAL		33 0.5%	59 99.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0	WAS	Fisher STEAL (2 STL)	33 0.5%	59 99.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0	LAL	Gasol 4' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Fisher 4 AST)	33 0.6%	59 99.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0	WAS	Fisher STEAL (1 STL)	33 0.7%	57 99.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	33 0.8%	57 99.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0	LAL	MISS Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot	33 0.8%	57 99.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0	WAS	Odom STEAL (4 STL)	33 0.7%	57 99.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	33 0.8%	57 99.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0	WAS	MISS Thornton 14' Jump Shot	33 0.7%	57 99.3%
Q2 - 1:10	LAL	Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)	33 0.8%	57 99.2%
Q2 - 1:20	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	33 1.1%	54 98.9%
Q2 - 1:22	WAS	MISS Livingston 15' Jump Shot	33 1.1%	54 98.9%
Q2 - 1:44	LAL	Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)	33 1.2%	54 98.8%
Q2 - 1:54	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	33 1.6%	51 98.4%
Q2 - 1:55	WAS	MISS Blatche 16' Jump Shot	33 1.7%	51 98.3%
Q2 - 2:24	LAL	Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)	33 1.9%	51 98.1%
Q2 - 2:37	WAS	World Peace STEAL (2 STL)	33 2.4%	48 97.6%
Q2 - 2:57	LAL	Powell Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	33 2.7%	48 97.3%
Q2 - 3:02	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	33 2.4%	48 97.6%
Q2 - 3:03	WAS	MISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot	33 2.5%	48 97.5%
Q2 - 3:12	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	33 2.8%	48 97.2%
Q2 - 3:12	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	33 2.8%	47 97.2%
Q2 - 3:26	WAS	Thornton 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	33 3.0%	46 97.0%
Q2 - 3:44	LAL	World Peace 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	31 2.8%	46 97.2%
Q2 - 4:11	WAS	Blatche 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)	31 3.1%	44 96.9%
Q2 - 4:25	LAL	Bryant 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)	29 2.8%	44 97.2%
Q2 - 4:43	WAS	Blatche 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)	29 3.1%	42 96.9%
Q2 - 5:00	LAL	Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vujacic 1 AST)	27 2.8%	42 97.2%
Q2 - 5:07	LAL	Vujacic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 3.6%	39 96.4%
Q2 - 5:08	WAS	MISS Young 24' 3PT Jump Shot	27 3.7%	39 96.3%
Q2 - 5:25	LAL	Bryant 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)	27 4.0%	39 96.0%
Q2 - 5:52	LAL	LAKERS Rebound	27 4.5%	37 95.5%
Q2 - 5:52	WAS	MISS Foye 20' Jump Shot	27 4.7%	37 95.3%
Q2 - 6:17	LAL	Powell Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	27 5.3%	37 94.7%
Q2 - 6:38	WAS	Foye 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	27 6.4%	34 93.6%
Q2 - 7:00	LAL	Odom Layup (4 PTS)	25 5.9%	34 94.1%
Q2 - 7:01	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	25 6.4%	32 93.6%
Q2 - 7:02	LAL	MISS Vujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	25 6.9%	32 93.1%
Q2 - 7:14	LAL	Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	25 6.4%	32 93.6%
Q2 - 7:15	WAS	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	25 6.6%	32 93.4%
Q2 - 7:19	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	25 7.1%	32 92.9%
Q2 - 7:21	WAS	Odom BLOCK (1 BLK)	25 6.6%	32 93.4%
Q2 - 7:37	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	25 7.1%	32 92.9%
Q2 - 7:38	LAL	MISS Powell 19' Jump Shot	25 6.9%	32 93.1%
Q2 - 8:02	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	25 6.5%	32 93.5%
Q2 - 8:03	WAS	MISS Young Free Throw 2 of 2	25 6.5%	32 93.5%
Q2 - 8:03	WAS	Young Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	25 7.0%	32 93.0%
Q2 - 8:20	LAL	Bryant 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	24 6.5%	32 93.5%
Q2 - 8:28	LAL	LAKERS Rebound	24 7.1%	30 92.9%
Q2 - 8:29	LAL	MISS Bryant 14' Jump Shot	24 7.7%	30 92.3%
Q2 - 8:44	LAL	LAKERS Rebound	24 7.1%	30 92.9%
Q2 - 8:44	WAS	MISS Foye 21' Jump Shot	24 7.4%	30 92.6%
Q2 - 9:10	LAL	Bryant 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)	24 7.9%	30 92.1%
Q2 - 9:21	WAS	Young Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)	24 8.6%	28 91.4%
Q2 - 9:25	LAL	Odom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	24 9.6%	28 90.4%
Q2 - 9:31	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	24 8.6%	28 91.4%
Q2 - 9:33	WAS	MISS Blatche 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	24 8.9%	28 91.1%
Q2 - 9:47	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	24 9.6%	28 90.4%
Q2 - 9:48	LAL	MISS Farmar 26' 3PT Jump Shot	24 9.3%	28 90.7%
Q2 - 10:00	WAS	Foye 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	24 8.6%	28 91.4%
Q2 - 10:12	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	22 8.0%	28 92.0%
Q2 - 10:13	WAS	MISS Blatche Layup	22 7.4%	28 92.6%
Q2 - 10:15	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	22 8.0%	28 92.0%
Q2 - 10:17	WAS	Powell BLOCK (1 BLK)	22 7.4%	28 92.6%
Q2 - 10:35	WAS	Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 8.0%	28 92.0%
Q2 - 10:36	LAL	MISS Bryant 32' 3PT Jump Shot	22 7.7%	28 92.3%
Q2 - 11:03	WAS	Young 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)	22 7.3%	28 92.7%
Q2 - 11:21	LAL	Powell 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	20 6.7%	28 93.3%
Q2 - 11:39	WAS	Young 21' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)	20 7.3%	26 92.7%
Q2 - 11:52	LAL	Odom Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	18 6.7%	26 93.3%
Q2 - 11:52	LAL	Odom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	18 6.9%	25 93.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	LAL		18 7.3%	24 92.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0	WAS	Foye 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	18 7.4%	24 92.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0	LAL	Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Farmar 1 AST)	16 6.6%	24 93.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0	WAS	World Peace STEAL (1 STL)	16 8.1%	21 91.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	16 8.7%	21 91.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0	LAL	MISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot	16 8.5%	21 91.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0	WAS	Miller 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Singleton 1 AST)	16 8.1%	21 91.9%
Q1 - 1:06	LAL	Brown 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	14 7.3%	21 92.7%
Q1 - 1:17	LAL	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 8.2%	19 91.8%
Q1 - 1:18	WAS	MISS Singleton 15' Jump Shot	14 8.4%	19 91.6%
Q1 - 1:43	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	14 8.7%	19 91.3%
Q1 - 1:43	LAL	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	14 8.9%	18 91.1%
Q1 - 1:57	WAS	Singleton Running Layup (4 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)	14 9.8%	17 90.2%
Q1 - 2:15	WAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	12 8.9%	17 91.1%
Q1 - 2:16	WAS	MISS Livingston 14' Jump Shot	12 8.4%	17 91.6%
Q1 - 2:24	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	12 8.9%	17 91.1%
Q1 - 2:25	WAS	MISS Thornton Layup	12 8.4%	17 91.6%
Q1 - 2:33	WAS	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 8.9%	17 91.1%
Q1 - 2:34	LAL	MISS World Peace Layup	12 8.7%	17 91.3%
Q1 - 2:40	WAS	Odom STEAL (3 STL)	12 8.3%	17 91.7%
Q1 - 2:57	LAL	Farmar Driving Layup (2 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)	12 8.9%	17 91.1%
Q1 - 3:12	WAS	Thornton 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)	12 9.5%	15 90.5%
Q1 - 3:31	LAL	World Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	10 8.8%	15 91.2%
Q1 - 3:31	LAL	MISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 2	10 9.0%	14 91.0%
Q1 - 3:49	WAS	Livingston Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T4)	10 8.8%	14 91.2%
Q1 - 4:11	LAL	Gasol Running Layup (8 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)	10 9.4%	14 90.6%
Q1 - 4:16	WAS	Odom STEAL (2 STL)	10 10.1%	12 89.9%
Q1 - 4:22	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	10 11.0%	12 89.0%
Q1 - 4:23	LAL	MISS World Peace 18' Jump Shot	10 10.7%	12 89.3%
Q1 - 4:36	WAS	Thornton 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	10 10.1%	12 89.9%
Q1 - 4:51	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 9.4%	12 90.6%
Q1 - 4:52	LAL	MISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot	8 9.1%	12 90.9%
Q1 - 5:10	WAS	Singleton 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)	8 8.8%	12 91.2%
Q1 - 5:29	LAL	Gasol Driving Layup (6 PTS)	6 8.2%	12 91.8%
Q1 - 5:49	WAS	Wizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)	6 8.8%	10 91.2%
Q1 - 6:16	LAL	Fisher 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)	6 9.3%	10 90.7%
Q1 - 6:21	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	6 10.0%	8 90.0%
Q1 - 6:22	WAS	MISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot	6 10.3%	8 89.7%
Q1 - 6:36	LAL	Gasol 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)	6 10.9%	8 89.1%
Q1 - 6:55	WAS	Livingston Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	6 11.7%	6 88.3%
Q1 - 7:15	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 10.6%	6 89.4%
Q1 - 7:16	LAL	MISS Bryant 6' Jump Shot	4 10.4%	6 89.6%
Q1 - 7:25	LAL	LAKERS Rebound	4 9.8%	6 90.2%
Q1 - 7:25	LAL	MISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot	4 10.4%	6 89.6%
Q1 - 7:42	WAS	Livingston 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	4 9.8%	6 90.2%
Q1 - 8:04	LAL	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	2 8.9%	6 91.1%
Q1 - 8:04	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	2 8.3%	6 91.7%
Q1 - 8:06	LAL	MISS Gasol 10' Jump Shot	2 8.7%	6 91.3%
Q1 - 8:29	WAS	Thornton Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)	2 8.3%	6 91.7%
Q1 - 8:35	LAL	Fisher Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	0 7.7%	6 92.3%
Q1 - 8:39	LAL	Fisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 7.1%	6 92.9%
Q1 - 8:41	LAL	MISS Fisher 19' Jump Shot	0 7.5%	6 92.5%
Q1 - 8:47	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	0 7.1%	6 92.9%
Q1 - 8:48	WAS	MISS Thornton 14' Jump Shot	0 7.3%	6 92.7%
Q1 - 9:02	LAL	World Peace 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)	0 7.7%	6 92.3%
Q1 - 9:14	LAL	Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 8.3%	4 91.7%
Q1 - 9:15	WAS	MISS Miller 16' Jump Shot	0 8.5%	4 91.5%
Q1 - 9:30	LAL	Bryant Layup (2 PTS)	0 8.9%	4 91.1%
Q1 - 9:40	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	0 9.6%	2 90.4%
Q1 - 9:41	WAS	MISS Blatche 19' Jump Shot	0 9.8%	2 90.2%
Q1 - 9:44	WAS	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 10.3%	2 89.7%
Q1 - 9:48	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	0 9.6%	2 90.4%
Q1 - 9:48	LAL	MISS Odom Putback Dunk	0 10.0%	2 90.0%
Q1 - 9:49	LAL	MISS Bryant Layup	0 10.0%	2 90.0%
Q1 - 10:03	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 9.5%	2 90.5%
Q1 - 10:04	WAS	MISS Thornton 19' Jump Shot	0 9.8%	2 90.2%
Q1 - 10:30	LAL	Gasol Layup (2 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)	0 10.3%	2 89.7%
Q1 - 10:36	WAS	Odom STEAL (1 STL)	0 10.9%	0 89.1%
Q1 - 10:48	LAL	Odom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	0 11.8%	0 88.2%
Q1 - 10:58	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 10.9%	0 89.1%
Q1 - 10:59	WAS	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	0 11.2%	0 88.8%
Q1 - 11:14	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 11.3%	0 88.7%
Q1 - 11:15	LAL	MISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot	0 11.1%	0 88.9%
Q1 - 11:31	LAL	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 10.7%	0 89.3%
Q1 - 11:35	WAS	MISS Blatche 11' Step Back Jump Shot	0 10.9%	0 89.1%
Q1 - 12:00	LAL	Jump Ball Gasol vs. McGee: Tip to Livingston	0 11.3%	0 88.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.5%

LAL

1.21 60.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

48%

LAL

58%

Midrange

WAS

51%

LAL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

9.0

43%

64%

LAL

13.5

53%

79%

Free Throws

WAS

71%

LAL

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Young	22	73%	11.0 / 15
A. Thornton	18	60%	9.0 / 15
A. Blatche	16	38%	8.0 / 21
M. Miller	11	61%	5.5 / 9
R. Foye	9	56%	4.5 / 8
S. Livingston	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Singleton	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. McGee	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Gee	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Gasol	28	67%	14.0 / 21
K. Bryant	24	71%	12.0 / 17
M. World Peace	16	73%	8.0 / 11
S. Brown	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Powell	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Farmar	5	42%	2.5 / 6
L. Odom	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Fisher	2	25%	1.0 / 4
S. Vujacic	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Mbenga	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+12

-12

LAL

+12

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.5%

LAL

1.21 60.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	104.0 108.7	WAS 107.0 LAL 116.5 +9.5
Pace	91.9 92.9	WAS 89.9 +8.5 LAL 81.4
Avg. Poss. Time	15.8 15.7	WAS 16.0 +1.7 LAL 17.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	48.1% 49.6%	WAS 52.6% LAL 59.6% +7.0%
TO %	15.3% 13.9%	WAS 13.5% +5.3% LAL 18.8%
ORB %	27.7% 27.6%	WAS 27.0% LAL 32.3% +5.3%
FTrt	28.3 28.9	WAS 22.4 LAL 32.4 +10.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	51.8% 55.0%	WAS 64.9% LAL 69.4% +4.5%
STL %	6.5% 8.0%	WAS 12.8% +2.2% LAL 10.6%
BLK %	8.1% 7.6%	WAS 3.9% LAL 9.7% +5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.9% 52.5%	WAS 53.5% LAL 60.4% +6.9%
Rim FG%	56.8% 58.4%	WAS 47.6% LAL 57.9% +10.3%
Mid FG%	40.4% 41.7%	WAS 51.2% +1.2% LAL 50.0%
3P %	35.3% 34.1%	WAS 42.9% LAL 52.9% +10.0%
FT %	76.2% 76.5%	WAS 70.6% LAL 81.8% +11.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	33.0% 34.6%	WAS 27.6% LAL 27.9% +0.3%
Mid Att. %	48.7% 42.7%	WAS 53.9% LAL 47.1% +6.9%
3P Att. %	18.3% 22.7%	WAS 18.4% LAL 25.0% +6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	LAL
Possessions	86	85
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	92	99
Rebounds	31	37
Assists	24	25
Steals	11	9
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (0)	27 (2)
Field Goals	37-76	36-68
At-the-Rim FG	10-21	11-19
Midrange FG	21-41	16-32
2-Point FG	31-62	27-51
3-Point FG	6-14	9-17
Free Throws	12-17	18-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andray Blatche F · 6'11" 260 · 24	38.6	16	38%	12	5	3	0	2	2	5	7	2-2	100%	7-20	35%	0-0	-
Al Thornton F · 6'8" 235 · 26	32.7	18	60%	2	3	4	0	2	3	1	1	4-6	67%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G · 6'8" 218 · 30	30.4	11	61%	2	5	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 25	28.3	8	57%	0	6	2	0	4	1	0	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 22	20.5	2	100%	4	0	0	2	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
James Singleton F · 6'8" 230 · 29	27.2	4	50%	7	2	0	0	1	6	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	21.6	22	73%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	6-8	75%	5-6	83%	2-5	40%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 26	19.7	9	56%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Quinton Ross F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29	8.2	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 23	7.1	2	25%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 35	5.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 34
Josh Howard #5 · F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	54%	31	24	11	2	12	0	10	21	12-17	71%	31-62	50%	6-14	43%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andray Blatche F · 6'11" 260 · 24	38.6	16	38%	12	5	3	0	2	2	5	7	2-2	100%	7-20	35%	0-0	-
Al Thornton F · 6'8" 235 · 26	32.7	18	60%	2	3	4	0	2	3	1	1	4-6	67%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G · 6'8" 218 · 30	30.4	11	61%	2	5	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 25	28.3	8	57%	0	6	2	0	4	1	0	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 22	20.5	2	100%	4	0	0	2	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
James Singleton F · 6'8" 230 · 29	27.2	4	50%	7	2	0	0	1	6	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	21.6	22	73%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	6-8	75%	5-6	83%	2-5	40%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 26	19.7	9	56%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Quinton Ross F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29	8.2	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 23	7.1	2	25%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 35	5.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 34
Josh Howard #5 · F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	54%	31	24	11	2	12	0	10	21	12-17	71%	31-62	50%	6-14	43%

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2 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kobe Bryant G · 6'6" 212 · 32	39.8	24	71%	3	4	0	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	4-7	57%
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 30	38.4	28	67%	12	3	0	1	4	4	3	9	12-14	86%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Lamar Odom F · 6'10" 230 · 30	36.4	4	40%	13	6	4	3	5	0	4	9	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 30	28.9	16	73%	3	1	3	0	1	1	2	1	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Derek Fisher G · 6'1" 210 · 36	26.6	2	25%	1	4	2	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 24	22.0	13	81%	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 27	18.7	5	83%	0	2	0	1	2	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jordan Farmar G · 6'2" 180 · 23	18.7	5	42%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Sasha Vujacic G · 6'7" 195 · 26	8.0	2	50%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
DJ Mbenga C · 7'0" 255 · 29	2.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Andrew Bynum C · 7'0" 285 · 22
Adam Morrison F · 6'8" 205 · 26
Luke Walton #4 · F · 6'8" 235 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	60%	37	25	9	6	17	0	10	27	18-22	82%	27-51	53%	9-17	53%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE