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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Magic70%100109
2276ers30%9393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
38.9
32.1
24
82%
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
5-6
83%
5-5
3-5
100%
50%
3-7
43%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.3
34.8
28.9
23
71%
15
0
0
1
2
4
4
11
5-12
42%
9-11
6-9
82%
60%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.1
32.5
33.6
17
59%
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
7-8
88%
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.1
31.2
26.9
5
25%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
51%
1-5
20%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.0
27.6
29.9
14
102%
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
56%
4-4
100%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
19.9
17.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
58%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
19.7
16.2
10
73%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.3
16.8
17.7
10
71%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
2-4
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.7
15.5
19.6
6
60%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.9
3.1
15.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.5
5.4
0
0-1
45%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.9
4.6
0
0-1
49%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 35.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.8
45.1
35.5
7
34%
1
7
3
1
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
2-6
3-8
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.0
38.3
25.5
23
65%
6
3
3
1
0
0
3
3
5-6
83%
9-15
5-9
60%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
37.2
34.5
23
66%
6
6
1
1
0
2
2
4
6-8
75%
7-12
5-10
58%
49%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.9
30.5
25.4
16
79%
14
1
0
0
0
1
5
9
4-7
57%
6-7
4-7
86%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.1
25.3
16.6
6
50%
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.0
20.3
15.1
7
32%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
47%
1-4
25%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
17.5
23.3
9
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
1-1
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
13.5
16.5
2
17%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
12.4
13.5
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
18.5
1
2-5
48%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
12.8
0
2-4
51%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
7.4
0
1-1
43%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.1
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.