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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Rockets52%9888
25Bulls48%9798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.9
46.1
31.6
22
48%
10
4
1
1
0
2
2
8
4-4
100%
9-21
6-12
43%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.1
40.7
36.4
19
53%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
8-9
89%
4-9
5-11
44%
46%
1-5
20%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
36.8
31.1
18
54%
9
5
3
2
0
2
2
7
4-6
67%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
2-5
40%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.2
34.8
31.9
9
26%
2
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-10
4-10
10%
46%
2-7
29%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.8
15.5
19.2
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.0
28.2
18.7
10
43%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.3
13.8
9.4
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.8
12.6
16.0
8
44%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
2-5
40%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
11.6
22.4
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.5
18.4
0
1-1
47%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.7
5.6
0
1-2
48%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.3
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.5
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
46.6
19.9
27
57%
7
8
0
0
1
4
2
5
1-4
25%
10-15
5-9
67%
51%
2-7
29%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.9
35.8
29.3
10
34%
12
0
0
1
0
0
2
10
2-4
50%
4-12
3-6
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.2
34.2
35.1
17
86%
3
2
3
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
4-4
100%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
33.3
30.4
10
44%
12
4
0
1
5
6
5
7
2-3
67%
4-10
4-8
40%
51%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
13.2
26.9
4
67%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
34.8
26.0
18
70%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
9-11
82%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
15.6
20.0
2
20%
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
42%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.7
14.7
19.6
6
51%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.1
11.8
12.0
4
67%
6
1
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.2
12.1
0
1-3
46%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.2
11.3
0
1-2
50%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.3
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.