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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks61%10099
20Hornets39%97115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.9
35.5
31.4
14
49%
8
4
1
1
2
3
3
5
2-5
40%
6-11
6-10
55%
53%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.8
35.0
37.8
16
67%
5
3
0
1
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
8-12
9-17
67%
50%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.0
32.7
30.0
12
41%
6
3
0
1
1
1
2
4
2-4
50%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.0
32.2
32.5
6
38%
4
6
1
2
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.3
25.8
23.3
10
63%
9
0
0
0
2
2
4
5
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
29.0
27.4
24
73%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
5-8
63%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.7
17.3
15.6
6
68%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.7
10.2
13.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
62%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
8.0
17.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.1
7.8
7.7
9
92%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
1-1
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.0
3.3
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.6
3.3
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.6
39.5
26.9
25
65%
6
10
2
1
0
1
2
4
5-5
100%
10-17
6-12
59%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
37.1
29.5
28
64%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
8-13
5-10
62%
49%
4-9
44%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
35.8
29.3
20
91%
5
1
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
44%
4-7
57%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.9
21.0
11.3
11
61%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
3-5
60%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
20.5
30.3
1
13%
6
1
0
1
2
3
2
4
1-4
25%
0-2
5-8
0%
54%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.6
34.6
39.3
16
48%
4
8
2
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
5-13
6-12
38%
49%
1-2
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.1
22.2
21.0
8
100%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-4
4-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.2
17.7
18.4
0
0%
2
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.3
10.4
12.4
4
69%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
1.1
24.5
2
114%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
3-6
-
51%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.8
9.6
0
1-2
45%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.