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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Grizzlies51%100102
24Kings49%9985
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
38.0
36.0
17
56%
7
3
0
1
1
3
3
4
4-5
80%
5-12
6-12
42%
51%
1-1
100%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.7
37.7
32.0
25
57%
12
3
1
1
0
0
4
8
7-11
64%
9-17
7-13
53%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.4
37.6
27.7
12
46%
3
7
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
2-4
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
35.9
33.5
20
49%
7
2
4
1
0
1
3
4
3-3
100%
4-14
4-8
29%
50%
3-5
60%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.1
29.8
16.9
10
69%
7
0
1
0
3
3
1
6
2-5
40%
4-5
2-3
80%
57%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
23.1
18.0
9
58%
6
2
0
1
1
1
1
5
1-4
25%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
12.2
17.9
7
61%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.0
11.3
18.4
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.3
10.4
21.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.8
4.2
5.3
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
51%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
5.4
0
1-1
48%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.1
4.4
0
0-1
44%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.1
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.7
43.6
34.5
18
60%
7
10
2
1
0
5
1
6
0-0
-
9-13
5-10
69%
51%
0-2
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.5
36.2
34.0
23
72%
5
1
0
1
1
2
2
3
5-7
71%
9-13
7-12
69%
55%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.2
35.6
29.5
7
29%
5
3
2
1
3
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
50%
1-4
25%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.9
29.9
28.4
13
42%
4
3
1
0
3
1
1
3
1-3
33%
6-13
4-9
46%
51%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.1
11.8
21.7
4
67%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
19.1
11.7
7
39%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-3
29%
50%
1-2
50%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.6
19.0
14.1
4
29%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.7
17.3
23.0
4
41%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.3
11.0
15.6
3
21%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
10.1
2.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 26.0
6.5
4.6
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.3
4.5
0
0-1
51%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.5
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.