FinalWin Prob.pScore
251%99
84
1149%98
86
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
93.39089.4
ATL logo ATL
96.68989.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL84
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLSmith Putback Dunk (15 PTS)84
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Johnson 16' Running Jump Shot84
56.2%
84
43.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)84
34.9%
84
65.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
9.7%
84
90.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLCarter Driving Dunk (13 PTS)81
19.1%
82
80.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
11.4%
82
88.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
13.0%
81
87.0%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)79
26.7%
80
73.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
22.1%
80
77.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:19)77
15.8%
80
84.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot77
9.9%
80
90.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLMagic Rebound77
16.7%
80
83.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)77
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q4 - 1:02ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
19.8%
80
80.2%
Q4 - 1:05ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot77
17.2%
80
82.8%
Q4 - 1:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
13.3%
80
86.7%
Q4 - 1:21ORLMISS Howard 8' Turnaround Hook Shot77
16.1%
80
83.9%
Q4 - 1:38ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)77
25.0%
80
75.0%
Q4 - 2:00ORLHorford STEAL (2 STL)77
34.8%
78
65.2%
Q4 - 2:12ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)77
50.8%
78
49.2%
Q4 - 2:26ORLHoward Dunk (17 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)77
34.1%
78
65.9%
Q4 - 2:43ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
27.8%
78
72.2%
Q4 - 2:46ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
18.9%
78
81.1%
Q4 - 2:50ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
27.9%
78
72.1%
Q4 - 2:54ATLMISS Johnson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot75
25.6%
78
74.4%
Q4 - 3:16ORLNelson 10' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)75
18.3%
78
81.7%
Q4 - 3:27ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)73
14.0%
78
86.0%
Q4 - 3:43ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)73
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q4 - 3:43ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)72
11.9%
78
88.1%
Q4 - 3:48ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q4 - 3:49ATLMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot71
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q4 - 4:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q4 - 4:11ORLMISS Carter 7' Hook Shot71
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q4 - 4:23ATLCrawford Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)71
8.7%
78
91.3%
Q4 - 4:43ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q4 - 4:43ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q4 - 4:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:19)69
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 4:50ORLHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)69
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 5:06ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)69
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q4 - 5:25ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q4 - 5:25ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 5:38ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q4 - 5:38ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)67
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q4 - 5:59ATLHAWKS Rebound67
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q4 - 6:00ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q4 - 6:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:19)67
8.3%
76
91.7%
Q4 - 6:24ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot67
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q4 - 6:46ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q4 - 6:47ORLMISS Carter 2' Driving Layup67
6.7%
76
93.3%
Q4 - 7:02ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
10.2%
76
89.8%
Q4 - 7:02ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)67
10.9%
75
89.1%
Q4 - 7:19ORLCarter 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)67
12.6%
74
87.4%
Q4 - 7:37ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
10.0%
74
90.0%
Q4 - 7:39ATLMISS Johnson 13' Running Jump Shot65
9.2%
74
90.8%
Q4 - 8:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)65
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q4 - 8:01ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 265
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q4 - 8:01ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q4 - 8:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:18)64
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q4 - 8:15ATLMISS Horford 5' Hook Shot64
8.7%
74
91.3%
Q4 - 8:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)64
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q4 - 8:34ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
7.9%
74
92.1%
Q4 - 8:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:17)64
9.2%
74
90.8%
Q4 - 8:59ATLMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper64
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q4 - 9:14ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q4 - 9:15ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 264
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q4 - 9:15ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 264
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q4 - 9:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)64
10.9%
74
89.1%
Q4 - 9:17ORLMISS Redick 22' Jump Shot64
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q4 - 9:36ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
10.9%
74
89.1%
Q4 - 9:36ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 264
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q4 - 9:50ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q4 - 9:52ORLMISS Lewis 20' Jump Shot64
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q4 - 9:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:16)64
13.4%
73
86.6%
Q4 - 10:00ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot64
12.6%
73
87.4%
Q4 - 10:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)64
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q4 - 10:09ORLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot64
12.9%
73
87.1%
Q4 - 10:23ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)64
14.8%
73
85.2%
Q4 - 10:37ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
21.4%
70
78.6%
Q4 - 10:37ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q4 - 10:57ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
17.8%
70
82.2%
Q4 - 10:59ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot62
16.8%
70
83.2%
Q4 - 11:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q4 - 11:10ORLMISS Howard 5' Running Hook Shot62
17.1%
70
82.9%
Q4 - 11:45ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
19.1%
70
80.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL62
22.7%
68
77.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
26.6%
68
73.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Crawford 6' Driving Jump Shot62
26.5%
68
73.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLWilliams STEAL (2 STL)62
24.0%
68
76.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)62
27.5%
68
72.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 262
27.0%
68
73.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)62
24.6%
68
75.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)62
27.9%
67
72.1%
Q3 - 1:10ATLCrawford 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
20.9%
67
79.1%
Q3 - 1:15ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
24.6%
65
75.4%
Q3 - 1:16ORLMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
25.7%
65
74.3%
Q3 - 1:33ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)59
28.1%
65
71.9%
Q3 - 1:58ORLBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
24.6%
65
75.4%
Q3 - 1:58ORLBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
23.8%
65
76.2%
Q3 - 1:58ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
20.9%
65
79.1%
Q3 - 1:59ORLMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot57
18.9%
65
81.1%
Q3 - 2:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)57
22.0%
65
78.0%
Q3 - 2:15ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot57
21.0%
65
79.0%
Q3 - 2:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
18.9%
65
81.1%
Q3 - 2:30ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot57
19.8%
65
80.2%
Q3 - 2:50ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
21.9%
65
78.1%
Q3 - 2:50ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
22.5%
64
77.5%
Q3 - 3:06ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)57
26.6%
63
73.4%
Q3 - 3:21ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)55
23.4%
63
76.6%
Q3 - 3:25ATLHAWKS Rebound55
26.5%
61
73.5%
Q3 - 3:25ATLMISS Smith 4' Driving Hook Shot55
29.2%
61
70.8%
Q3 - 3:45ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)55
26.5%
61
73.5%
Q3 - 3:45ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)54
26.0%
61
74.0%
Q3 - 3:47ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
23.3%
61
76.7%
Q3 - 3:49ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup53
22.3%
61
77.7%
Q3 - 4:05ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
20.6%
61
79.4%
Q3 - 4:06ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 253
21.1%
61
78.9%
Q3 - 4:06ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
22.6%
61
77.4%
Q3 - 4:12ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
21.1%
61
78.9%
Q3 - 4:14ATLMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper52
20.1%
61
79.9%
Q3 - 4:41ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)52
17.9%
61
82.1%
Q3 - 4:51ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)50
15.8%
61
84.2%
Q3 - 5:14ORLBibby STEAL (1 STL)50
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 5:32ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P2.T5)50
16.5%
61
83.5%
Q3 - 5:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q3 - 5:39ORLMISS Nelson 1' Driving Layup50
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 5:56ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)50
16.5%
61
83.5%
Q3 - 6:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 6:10ORLMISS Barnes 2' Driving Layup50
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q3 - 6:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)50
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 6:27ATLMISS Johnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper50
21.7%
59
78.3%
Q3 - 6:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
19.6%
59
80.4%
Q3 - 6:49ORLMISS Carter 19' Fadeaway Jumper50
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q3 - 7:03ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)50
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q3 - 7:24ATLHAWKS Rebound50
26.0%
57
74.0%
Q3 - 7:24ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
27.0%
57
73.0%
Q3 - 7:46ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)50
29.4%
57
70.6%
Q3 - 7:58ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
35.9%
54
64.1%
Q3 - 8:00ORLSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)50
37.1%
54
62.9%
Q3 - 8:16ATLWilliams Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)50
40.0%
54
60.0%
Q3 - 8:35ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
43.4%
52
56.6%
Q3 - 8:35ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q3 - 9:00ATLJohnson Running Layup (9 PTS)48
40.0%
52
60.0%
Q3 - 9:02ORLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)48
43.9%
50
56.1%
Q3 - 9:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)48
47.6%
50
52.4%
Q3 - 9:07ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot48
46.4%
50
53.6%
Q3 - 9:32ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
43.8%
50
56.2%
Q3 - 9:49ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)45
36.8%
50
63.2%
Q3 - 10:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)45
40.7%
48
59.3%
Q3 - 10:09ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
41.7%
48
58.3%
Q3 - 10:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)45
44.2%
48
55.8%
Q3 - 10:20ATLMISS Williams 14' Turnaround Jump Shot45
43.1%
48
56.9%
Q3 - 10:46ORLBarnes 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)45
40.6%
48
59.4%
Q3 - 10:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)42
34.0%
48
66.0%
Q3 - 10:57ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot42
33.0%
48
67.0%
Q3 - 11:12ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
31.5%
48
68.5%
Q3 - 11:14ORLMISS Carter 4' Driving Jump Shot42
32.5%
48
67.5%
Q3 - 11:27ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)42
34.7%
48
65.3%
Q3 - 11:45ORLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)42
37.7%
46
62.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL42
41.2%
46
58.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound42
41.2%
46
58.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Nelson 41' 3PT Jump Shot42
39.7%
46
60.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)42
41.4%
46
58.6%
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
38.9%
46
61.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
38.4%
46
61.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)40
35.1%
46
64.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)40
42.1%
43
57.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot40
42.9%
43
57.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
44.7%
43
55.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot40
43.9%
43
56.1%
Q2 - 1:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
42.6%
43
57.4%
Q2 - 1:07ORLMISS Carter 1' Driving Layup40
43.3%
43
56.7%
Q2 - 1:23ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)40
44.9%
43
55.1%
Q2 - 1:30ATLHAWKS Rebound40
52.4%
40
47.6%
Q2 - 1:30ATLMISS Bibby 2' Running Layup40
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 1:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
52.4%
40
47.6%
Q2 - 1:37ORLSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)40
53.1%
40
46.9%
Q2 - 1:52ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)40
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q2 - 2:06ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
61.2%
37
38.8%
Q2 - 2:06ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
60.2%
37
39.8%
Q2 - 2:22ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)38
58.3%
37
41.7%
Q2 - 2:41ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)38
61.3%
35
38.7%
Q2 - 2:57ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 3:01ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot36
57.5%
35
42.5%
Q2 - 3:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
55.0%
35
45.0%
Q2 - 3:09ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
56.1%
35
43.9%
Q2 - 3:29ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)36
58.6%
35
41.4%
Q2 - 3:48ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)36
61.1%
33
38.9%
Q2 - 4:12ATLWilliams Dunk (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)34
58.2%
33
41.8%
Q2 - 4:34ORLBass Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)34
60.9%
31
39.1%
Q2 - 4:37ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
58.3%
31
41.7%
Q2 - 4:39ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Jump Shot32
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q2 - 4:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
55.0%
31
45.0%
Q2 - 4:56ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot32
56.0%
31
44.0%
Q2 - 5:05ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 5:06ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q2 - 5:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
55.3%
31
44.7%
Q2 - 5:27ORLMISS Carter 18' Turnaround Jump Shot32
56.1%
31
43.9%
Q2 - 5:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)32
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 5:40ATLMISS Johnson 6' Driving Jump Shot32
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q2 - 5:56ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)32
55.2%
31
44.8%
Q2 - 6:11ATLHorford 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 6:29ORLCarter 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)32
60.4%
29
39.6%
Q2 - 6:46ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)30
58.1%
29
41.9%
Q2 - 6:52ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
63.2%
26
36.8%
Q2 - 6:54ORLMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot30
64.2%
26
35.8%
Q2 - 7:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)30
65.9%
26
34.1%
Q2 - 7:10ATLMISS Horford 6' Turnaround Jump Shot30
65.1%
26
34.9%
Q2 - 7:26ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
63.2%
26
36.8%
Q2 - 7:31ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 130
63.6%
26
36.4%
Q2 - 7:44ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
60.7%
26
39.3%
Q2 - 7:46ATLMISS Williams 4' Running Jump Shot28
59.8%
26
40.2%
Q2 - 7:55ATLHAWKS Rebound28
57.8%
26
42.2%
Q2 - 7:55ATLMISS Williams 5' Driving Jump Shot28
59.8%
26
40.2%
Q2 - 8:09ORLCarter 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)28
57.6%
26
42.4%
Q2 - 8:30ATLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)26
55.0%
26
45.0%
Q2 - 8:39ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
60.3%
23
39.7%
Q2 - 8:40ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
61.1%
23
38.9%
Q2 - 9:01ORLMagic Rebound26
62.5%
23
37.5%
Q2 - 9:01ATLMISS Crawford 19' Fadeaway Jumper26
61.7%
23
38.3%
Q2 - 9:14ORLPietrus 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)26
59.8%
23
40.2%
Q2 - 9:34ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
57.4%
23
42.6%
Q2 - 9:34ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
57.7%
22
42.3%
Q2 - 9:40ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
59.9%
21
40.1%
Q2 - 9:42ORLMISS Pietrus 20' Jump Shot24
60.7%
21
39.3%
Q2 - 9:51ORLMagic Rebound24
62.5%
21
37.5%
Q2 - 9:51ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot24
60.7%
21
39.3%
Q2 - 10:19ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)24
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q2 - 10:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
66.9%
18
33.1%
Q2 - 10:26ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot24
68.6%
18
31.4%
Q2 - 10:40ORLPachulia STEAL (2 STL)24
66.9%
18
33.1%
Q2 - 11:00ATLEvans Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)24
69.4%
18
30.6%
Q2 - 11:03ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
70.9%
16
29.1%
Q2 - 11:05ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)24
71.6%
16
28.4%
Q2 - 11:24ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
73.1%
16
26.9%
Q2 - 11:25ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot24
72.4%
16
27.6%
Q2 - 11:42ORLLewis 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)24
70.9%
16
29.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL22
68.9%
16
31.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound22
68.9%
16
31.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
67.3%
16
32.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
67.9%
16
32.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Crawford 10' Jump Shot22
67.4%
16
32.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLBarnes Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)22
66.2%
16
33.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLPachulia 3' Layup (2 PTS)22
67.9%
16
32.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLPachulia STEAL (1 STL)22
70.5%
14
29.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
72.1%
14
27.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot22
71.6%
14
28.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLLewis 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
70.5%
14
29.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
68.0%
14
32.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0ORLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
66.8%
14
33.2%
Q1 - 1:16ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)20
67.4%
14
32.6%
Q1 - 1:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
72.1%
11
27.9%
Q1 - 1:20ORLMISS Lewis 2' Driving Layup20
72.5%
11
27.5%
Q1 - 1:37ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
73.4%
11
26.6%
Q1 - 1:38ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 220
73.2%
11
26.8%
Q1 - 1:38ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
72.1%
11
27.9%
Q1 - 1:50ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T4)20
74.0%
10
26.0%
Q1 - 2:13ATLEvans Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)20
75.0%
10
25.0%
Q1 - 2:17ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)20
77.0%
8
23.0%
Q1 - 2:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)20
78.4%
8
21.6%
Q1 - 2:40ATLMISS Johnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot20
78.0%
8
22.0%
Q1 - 2:57ORLBarnes 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)20
77.0%
8
23.0%
Q1 - 3:12ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)18
75.0%
8
25.0%
Q1 - 3:31ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)18
76.7%
6
23.3%
Q1 - 3:46ATLCrawford Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T3)15
73.3%
6
26.7%
Q1 - 3:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
71.4%
6
28.6%
Q1 - 3:53ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup15
72.0%
6
28.0%
Q1 - 4:08ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)15
72.6%
6
27.4%
Q1 - 4:24ORLNelson Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)15
70.7%
6
29.3%
Q1 - 4:38ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)15
72.7%
6
27.3%
Q1 - 4:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
70.7%
6
29.3%
Q1 - 4:55ORLMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
71.3%
6
28.7%
Q1 - 5:18ATLJohnson 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)15
71.9%
6
28.1%
Q1 - 5:25ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
73.5%
4
26.5%
Q1 - 5:27ORLMISS Howard 6' Turnaround Jump Shot15
74.0%
4
26.0%
Q1 - 5:50ATLCrawford 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
75.3%
4
24.7%
Q1 - 6:12ORLNelson 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)15
76.4%
2
23.6%
Q1 - 6:28ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
74.9%
2
25.1%
Q1 - 6:29ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot13
74.4%
2
25.6%
Q1 - 6:41ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 6:41ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
72.6%
2
27.4%
Q1 - 6:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)11
71.6%
2
28.4%
Q1 - 6:44ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot11
70.3%
2
29.7%
Q1 - 6:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)11
71.6%
2
28.4%
Q1 - 6:52ATLMISS Williams 5' Turnaround Jump Shot11
71.0%
2
29.0%
Q1 - 7:18ORLCarter 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)11
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 7:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)9
67.8%
2
32.2%
Q1 - 7:41ATLMISS Johnson 13' Fadeaway Jumper9
67.2%
2
32.8%
Q1 - 7:49ATLHAWKS Rebound9
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 7:49ATLMISS Smith 3' Layup9
67.2%
2
32.8%
Q1 - 8:10ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
65.9%
2
34.1%
Q1 - 8:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)7
64.0%
2
36.0%
Q1 - 8:19ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot7
63.4%
2
36.6%
Q1 - 8:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 8:30ORLMISS Barnes 12' Turnaround Jump Shot7
62.7%
2
37.3%
Q1 - 8:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
64.0%
2
36.0%
Q1 - 8:42ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
63.4%
2
36.6%
Q1 - 9:02ORLBarnes 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)7
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 9:19ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
60.2%
2
39.8%
Q1 - 9:23ORLHorford STEAL (1 STL)5
62.2%
0
37.8%
Q1 - 9:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
64.0%
0
36.0%
Q1 - 9:33ATLMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot5
63.4%
0
36.6%
Q1 - 9:54ORLBarnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)5
62.2%
0
37.8%
Q1 - 10:09ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 10:11ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 10:35ORLCarter 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)2
56.0%
0
44.0%
Q1 - 10:44ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 10:46ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 10:53ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 10:54ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot0
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 11:00ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 11:02ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot0
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.4%
0
47.6%
Q1 - 11:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 20
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 11:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 20
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
54.0%
0
46.0%
Q1 - 11:23ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 11:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.0%
0
46.0%
Q1 - 11:47ATLMISS Horford 3' Layup0
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to0
52.3%
0
47.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 46.2%
ATL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
28
50%
ATL
9
20
45%
Midrange
ORL
7
23
30%
ATL
15
43
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
ATL
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
ORL
24
31
77%
ATL
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2063%10.0 / 16
D. Howard1950%9.5 / 19
V. Carter1647%8.0 / 17
M. Barnes1267%6.0 / 9
R. Lewis630%3.0 / 10
J. Redick531%2.5 / 8
M. Pietrus467%2.0 / 3
B. Bass250%1.0 / 2
J. Williams0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson1743%8.5 / 20
J. Smith1554%7.5 / 14
M. Bibby1478%7.0 / 9
A. Horford1255%6.0 / 11
J. Crawford1137%5.5 / 15
M. Evans10100%5.0 / 5
M. Williams422%2.0 / 9
Z. Pachulia375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
77
+13
-13
90
ATL
79
+7
-10
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 46.2%
ATL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
112.2
ORL 93.3
ATL 96.6 +3.3
Pace
92.0
89.9
ORL 89.4
ATL 89.6 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
ORL 16.1
ATL 16.1 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.6%
50.6%
ORL 41.7%
ATL 45.4% +3.7%
TO %
14.8%
12.7%
ORL 13.2%
ATL 11.5% +1.7%
ORB %
24.6%
28.3%
ORL 20.5% +13.4%
ATL 7.1%
FTrt
34.0
28.1
ORL 43.1 +16.8
ATL 26.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.7%
56.2%
ORL 74.1% +6.4%
ATL 67.7%
STL %
6.8%
8.0%
ORL 3.3%
ATL 10.1% +6.8%
BLK %
8.6%
7.9%
ORL 12.7% +2.9%
ATL 9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
53.3%
ORL 46.2%
ATL 50.0% +3.8%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.8%
ORL 50.0% +5.0%
ATL 45.0%
Mid FG%
42.3%
40.6%
ORL 30.4%
ATL 34.9% +4.5%
3P %
37.5%
36.0%
ORL 28.6%
ATL 53.8% +25.2%
FT %
72.4%
75.9%
ORL 77.4%
ATL 85.0% +7.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
35.5%
ORL 38.9% +12.6%
ATL 26.3%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
43.1%
ORL 31.9% +24.6%
ATL 56.6%
3P Att. %
35.0%
21.4%
ORL 29.2% +12.1%
ATL 17.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points8486
Rebounds4838
Assists2021
Steals39
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (1)35 (2)
Field Goals27-7231-76
At-the-Rim FG14-289-20
Midrange FG7-2315-43
2-Point FG21-5124-63
3-Point FG6-217-13
Free Throws24-3117-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 24
42.2
19
50%
24
1
2
4
5
3
5
19
11-16
69%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
40.9
6
30%
5
3
0
0
2
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-4
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 33
38.8
16
47%
2
4
1
0
0
5
0
2
1-2
50%
6-13
46%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 190 · 28
35.2
20
63%
5
8
0
0
4
2
1
4
6-6
100%
4-7
57%
2-6
33%
F · 6'7" 226 · 30
29.7
12
67%
7
1
0
1
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
21.2
5
31%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
12.8
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 28
9.1
4
67%
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 25
5.8
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 35
F · 6'10" 240 · 22
#31 · C · 6'10" 270 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
46%
48
20
3
8
13
0
9
39
24-31
77%
21-51
41%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.