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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 24, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Magic52%9984
11Hawks48%9886
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.3
42.2
31.4
19
53%
24
1
2
1
4
5
5
19
11-16
69%
4-11
6-10
36%
59%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
40.9
34.5
6
30%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-4
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
38.8
31.9
16
47%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
6-13
4-8
46%
47%
1-3
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.1
35.2
28.7
20
64%
5
8
0
1
0
4
1
4
6-6
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
49%
2-6
33%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.0
29.7
28.1
12
68%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
2-4
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.7
21.2
17.7
5
32%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-5
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.3
12.8
17.0
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
9.1
17.6
4
58%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.9
5.8
9.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
4.3
18.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.5
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.9
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 35.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.7
39.1
37.1
17
42%
6
8
1
1
0
2
1
5
7-7
100%
5-16
7-15
31%
48%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.3
36.7
34.0
15
54%
7
3
1
1
4
3
2
5
7-9
78%
4-10
6-12
40%
50%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
34.7
34.6
12
55%
11
0
2
1
1
3
0
11
0-0
-
6-11
6-10
55%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.9
30.1
22.5
14
78%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
4-5
80%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.8
27.2
32.8
4
22%
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.0
30.6
31.1
11
37%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
47%
1-3
33%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
19.8
17.3
10
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
2-3
67%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.1
16.3
12.3
3
80%
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.8
4.9
6.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
0.6
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.7
10.6
0
1-3
46%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.3
1.8
0
0-0
36%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.