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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 24, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2376ers28%90101
12Bucks72%9886
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.2
30.4
34.9
14
55%
3
5
2
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
3-5
5-11
60%
48%
1-5
20%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.8
28.4
37.8
15
75%
4
7
2
2
0
6
2
2
0-0
-
6-9
3-8
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.0
27.5
29.5
3
19%
6
4
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
1-7
5-11
14%
48%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.9
25.8
27.0
12
86%
10
2
2
1
0
0
2
8
0-0
-
6-7
4-7
86%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.1
22.9
19.5
10
78%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.7
25.3
21.3
16
73%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
2-4
50%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.0
24.3
17.0
6
38%
4
0
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
22.8
15.5
11
70%
9
0
1
0
1
1
3
6
1-2
50%
5-7
2-4
71%
45%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
21.2
5.3
7
44%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
41%
1-3
33%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
11.4
13.4
7
51%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
13.8
1
2-3
48%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.8
11.1
0
2-3
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.1
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.3
30.5
38.0
4
17%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
5-11
25%
50%
0-4
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.6
28.7
35.5
10
46%
4
3
3
1
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
2-7
29%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
20.4
27.9
8
44%
3
0
0
1
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
4-9
6-11
44%
55%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.5
19.3
25.5
12
54%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-5
60%
3-5
3-7
60%
41%
1-4
25%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
15.5
25.0
5
64%
5
0
3
1
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
32.6
21.5
6
38%
11
0
1
1
1
1
1
10
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.1
28.7
21.2
11
47%
3
4
1
1
0
2
2
1
3-4
75%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.4
23.4
16.7
15
60%
2
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
8-8
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-6
17%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
12.3
15.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.3
12.3
4.7
4
50%
0
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.0
9.1
5.3
7
88%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.5
7.1
2.7
4
69%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-2
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.