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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 24, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers46%9692
8Spurs54%9783
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.7
43.1
35.6
10
39%
12
2
1
1
2
5
3
9
2-4
50%
4-11
7-12
36%
54%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.4
42.1
30.0
19
50%
13
2
1
1
1
0
3
10
2-2
100%
7-14
3-7
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
42.1
36.7
24
75%
4
6
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
9-14
7-14
64%
49%
2-2
100%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.4
36.6
30.8
16
53%
8
3
5
1
1
2
2
6
5-9
56%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.6
22.2
24.6
3
30%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
26.4
18.4
11
69%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
3-4
75%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.3
13.9
20.7
8
80%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
2-2
100%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.2
6.0
12.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.2
4.7
4.1
1
27%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.0
2.7
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.4
16.4
0
3-6
56%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.7
2.8
0
0-1
40%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.9
41.9
32.2
21
67%
4
4
1
1
1
2
2
2
3-4
75%
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
37.3
29.6
6
25%
12
6
2
1
3
3
3
9
2-2
100%
2-11
7-13
18%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.7
33.4
31.4
24
59%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
4-9
5-9
44%
50%
4-9
44%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.8
27.6
29.8
6
32%
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-1
0%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
24.3
18.0
2
33%
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
23.5
23.3
8
44%
2
0
3
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
2-7
29%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.5
21.9
18.6
9
44%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-5
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.9
16.8
15.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.9
9.7
15.4
5
43%
6
1
0
1
0
1
4
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
1.2
11.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
1.2
6.7
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.4
1.2
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.9
Curtis Jerrells
G · 6'1" 195 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.