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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 24, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Grizzlies45%107110
22Warriors55%109128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
43.9
33.8
21
54%
8
6
3
1
0
2
2
6
2-3
67%
8-14
5-9
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.5
41.3
31.4
21
50%
3
9
2
1
0
5
1
2
2-2
100%
8-17
4-8
47%
47%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
37.0
36.1
25
81%
10
0
1
1
1
0
4
6
6-8
75%
8-10
6-12
80%
50%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.7
30.6
33.5
16
50%
5
0
1
1
0
4
3
2
6-7
86%
5-13
7-15
38%
50%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.1
15.3
22.1
4
72%
3
1
0
0
3
1
1
2
2-4
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
23.1
15.6
14
43%
3
0
2
0
1
3
1
2
4-5
80%
5-13
3-5
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
19.4
19.9
5
43%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
18.9
4.1
4
52%
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.3
10.5
16.7
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.1
16.5
0
3-5
57%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.8
5.6
0
1-1
52%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.1
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.0
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.4
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
40.4
25.5
30
75%
5
11
4
1
0
7
1
4
2-2
100%
8-13
4-7
62%
50%
4-6
67%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.4
39.4
39.8
21
54%
6
8
3
2
0
3
0
6
7-8
88%
7-13
8-16
54%
50%
0-3
0%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
33.6
16.3
10
54%
10
1
0
0
2
1
3
7
4-5
80%
3-7
2-5
43%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
25.6
36.9
12
55%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
6-8
3-7
75%
48%
0-3
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.4
20.8
24.4
12
61%
5
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
5-8
5-10
63%
52%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
32.4
17.5
11
79%
4
3
2
1
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
3-6
50%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
29.2
29.1
23
69%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-6
83%
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
2-4
50%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.9
16.2
23.4
9
65%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
2.4
20.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.2
6.7
0
1-1
53%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.7
6.0
0
1-2
48%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
3.9
0
0-1
47%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.0
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.