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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 25, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat60%95103
24Bulls40%9174
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.7
35.8
30.6
10
46%
5
5
2
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.2
29.1
37.0
12
60%
5
10
1
2
2
1
0
5
2-7
29%
5-7
8-16
71%
51%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.9
25.1
24.8
9
53%
8
0
0
1
0
0
2
6
1-1
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
44%
0-3
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
24.6
30.1
24
70%
4
3
0
0
2
1
1
3
6-7
86%
9-14
6-12
64%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
20.1
27.4
15
49%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
7-15
6-12
47%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
24.9
21.7
10
73%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
23.6
27.7
14
63%
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
6
4-5
80%
5-9
4-7
56%
49%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
23.4
20.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
5
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.3
18.7
22.4
3
34%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.5
6.1
6.6
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
2-4
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.8
4.3
7.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
4.3
3.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.6
Kenny Hasbrouck
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
32.7
29.4
12
34%
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
5-14
6-13
36%
50%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.2
32.5
34.3
8
45%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
28.9
30.7
12
56%
10
1
1
1
1
0
2
8
4-4
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
19.8
21.7
6
33%
5
2
0
1
2
3
3
2
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.9
18.8
30.9
5
51%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.2
23.1
8.1
2
50%
8
1
2
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
19.1
18.4
3
19%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
41%
1-4
25%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.7
18.5
17.7
14
59%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
6-9
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
16.8
28.5
5
31%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
1-3
33%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.2
15.2
8.6
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.1
10.4
12.4
4
34%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
4.3
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.4
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.9
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.