FinalWin Prob.pScore
1259%94
103
2441%91
74
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
117.08878.8
CHI logo CHI
84.18899.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA103
100%
74
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHeat Rebound103
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0CHIMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIWarrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)103
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0CHIMISS Warrick Layup103
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0CHIWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)103
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Magloire 10' Jump Shot103
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHIWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)103
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHIWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)103
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MIARichard STEAL (2 STL)103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15CHIWarrick Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20CHIWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21CHIMISS Alexander Layup103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Magloire Tip Shot103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59CHIWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)103
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59CHIWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)103
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00CHIWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)103
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01CHIMISS Law 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)103
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47CHILaw 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)100
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)100
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31CHIWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)97
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31CHIMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 297
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48CHIWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:07CHIMISS Pargo 22' Jump Shot97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16CHIWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:34CHIMISS Warrick 20' Jump Shot97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46CHIMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17CHIWarrick Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Law 1 AST)97
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36MIAChalmers Driving Layup (10 PTS)97
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 5:56CHIMurray Driving Layup (5 PTS)95
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:08MIAPargo STEAL (1 STL)95
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:17MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:19CHIMISS Warrick 17' Jump Shot95
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:37MIAArroyo Driving Layup (10 PTS)95
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:53CHIMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)93
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:57CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58CHIMISS Law 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:08MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)93
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:08MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:12CHIWarrick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)91
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:23CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Fadeaway Jumper91
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:47CHIWarrick Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)91
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 7:50CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot91
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 8:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 8:15CHIMISS Murray 13' Jump Shot91
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 8:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 8:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 8:45CHIWarrick Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)89
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 8:54CHIWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot89
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:14CHIMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot89
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:33CHIBULLS Rebound89
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot89
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:47MIAWright Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)89
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:59CHIMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 10:10CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 10:32CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 10:32CHIRichard Putback Dunk (2 PTS)88
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 10:33CHIMISS Warrick Layup88
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 10:47MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)88
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 11:16CHIPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richard 1 AST)88
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 11:32MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)88
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q4 - 11:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q4 - 11:45CHIMISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q4 - 11:50CHIMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q4 - 11:54CHIMISS Warrick Free Throw 2 of 286
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q4 - 11:54CHIMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 286
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI86
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)86
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Beasley 23' Jump Shot86
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0CHIMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot86
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAGibson STEAL (1 STL)86
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q3 - 1:06CHIGibson 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)86
99.9%
49
0.1%
Q3 - 1:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 1:25MIAChalmers Layup (8 PTS)86
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot84
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 1:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 1:49CHIMISS Gibson 14' Jump Shot84
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 2:04MIABeasley Driving Layup (15 PTS)84
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 2:21CHIRichard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)82
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 2:29CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 282
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 282
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 2:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 2:47CHIMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot82
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 2:58MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)82
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 3:17MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q3 - 3:19CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 2 of 280
99.8%
47
0.2%
Q3 - 3:19CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)80
99.8%
47
0.2%
Q3 - 3:30MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)80
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q3 - 3:33MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q3 - 3:35CHIMISS Rose 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q3 - 3:50MIABeasley 16' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)80
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q3 - 4:12MIAHeat Rebound78
99.8%
46
0.2%
Q3 - 4:12CHIMISS Noah 15' Jump Shot78
99.8%
46
0.2%
Q3 - 4:25CHIBULLS Rebound78
99.7%
46
0.3%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot78
99.8%
46
0.2%
Q3 - 4:38MIAHeat Rebound78
99.8%
46
0.2%
Q3 - 4:38CHIMISS Noah Layup78
99.8%
46
0.2%
Q3 - 4:55MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)78
99.7%
46
0.3%
Q3 - 5:18CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
99.6%
46
0.4%
Q3 - 5:18CHIJohnson Putback Dunk (6 PTS)76
99.6%
46
0.4%
Q3 - 5:19CHIMISS Rose 22' Jump Shot76
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 5:30CHIBULLS Rebound76
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 5:31CHIMISS Noah Layup76
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 5:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)76
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 5:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)75
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 5:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
99.6%
44
0.4%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot74
99.6%
44
0.4%
Q3 - 6:07CHIRose 6' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)74
99.6%
44
0.4%
Q3 - 6:21MIAWade Running Layup (12 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)74
99.6%
42
0.4%
Q3 - 6:37CHIJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T9)72
99.6%
42
0.4%
Q3 - 6:41CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
99.5%
42
0.5%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot72
99.5%
42
0.5%
Q3 - 7:07CHIHinrich 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)72
99.4%
42
0.6%
Q3 - 7:18MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)72
99.5%
40
0.5%
Q3 - 7:29MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
99.3%
40
0.7%
Q3 - 7:32CHIMISS Johnson 11' Floating Jump Shot69
99.3%
40
0.7%
Q3 - 8:02MIAO'Neal 19' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)69
99.2%
40
0.8%
Q3 - 8:27CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
99.0%
40
1.0%
Q3 - 8:27CHIMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 267
99.0%
39
1.0%
Q3 - 8:35MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)67
99.0%
39
1.0%
Q3 - 8:51CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
99.2%
39
0.8%
Q3 - 8:51CHIJohnson Layup (4 PTS)67
99.2%
39
0.8%
Q3 - 8:53CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot67
99.3%
37
0.7%
Q3 - 9:05CHIBULLS Rebound67
99.2%
37
0.8%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot67
99.2%
37
0.8%
Q3 - 9:26CHIRose 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)67
99.3%
37
0.7%
Q3 - 9:46MIAWade Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)67
99.4%
35
0.6%
Q3 - 10:04CHIRose Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)65
99.2%
35
0.8%
Q3 - 10:13MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS)65
99.1%
35
0.9%
Q3 - 10:36CHIGibson 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)63
99.0%
35
1.0%
Q3 - 10:53CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
99.1%
33
0.9%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
99.1%
33
0.9%
Q3 - 11:04MIAHeat Rebound63
99.1%
33
0.9%
Q3 - 11:05MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)63
99.0%
33
1.0%
Q3 - 11:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
99.1%
33
0.9%
Q3 - 11:26CHIMISS Rose Layup63
99.1%
33
0.9%
Q3 - 11:38CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
99.0%
33
1.0%
Q3 - 11:39MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
99.1%
33
0.9%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Richardson Tip Shot63
99.0%
33
1.0%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot63
99.0%
33
1.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI63
99.1%
33
0.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound63
99.0%
33
1.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Rose 42' 3PT Jump Shot63
99.1%
33
0.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 21' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)63
99.0%
33
1.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0CHIHinrich Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)61
98.7%
33
1.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)61
98.5%
33
1.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
98.3%
33
1.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0CHIMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot59
98.2%
33
1.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0CHIBULLS Rebound59
98.1%
33
1.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0CHIMISS Johnson Layup59
98.2%
33
1.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
98.1%
33
1.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot59
98.2%
33
1.8%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
98.2%
33
1.8%
Q2 - 1:06CHIMISS Rose Layup59
98.1%
33
1.9%
Q2 - 1:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
98.0%
33
2.0%
Q2 - 1:12MIABeasley Layup (4 PTS)59
98.0%
33
2.0%
Q2 - 1:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
97.6%
33
2.4%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Beasley Layup57
97.5%
33
2.5%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Arroyo Layup57
97.5%
33
2.5%
Q2 - 1:41CHIHinrich Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)57
97.6%
33
2.4%
Q2 - 1:44CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
97.4%
33
2.6%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 257
97.4%
33
2.6%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 257
97.6%
33
2.4%
Q2 - 1:53CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)57
97.6%
33
2.4%
Q2 - 2:04CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
97.1%
33
2.9%
Q2 - 2:04MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot57
97.2%
33
2.8%
Q2 - 2:23CHIRose 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)57
97.5%
33
2.5%
Q2 - 2:27CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
97.8%
31
2.2%
Q2 - 2:28CHIMISS Gibson Layup57
98.0%
31
2.0%
Q2 - 2:48MIABeasley Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)57
97.8%
31
2.2%
Q2 - 3:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
97.4%
31
2.6%
Q2 - 3:05CHIMISS Rose Driving Layup55
97.3%
31
2.7%
Q2 - 3:17MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)55
97.0%
31
3.0%
Q2 - 3:36MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
96.7%
31
3.3%
Q2 - 3:38CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 253
96.6%
31
3.4%
Q2 - 3:38CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
96.3%
31
3.7%
Q2 - 3:46CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
96.6%
30
3.4%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 153
96.6%
30
3.4%
Q2 - 3:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
96.2%
30
3.8%
Q2 - 3:58CHIMISS Pargo 16' Fadeaway Jumper51
96.1%
30
3.9%
Q2 - 4:04CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
95.4%
30
4.6%
Q2 - 4:06CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
95.4%
30
4.6%
Q2 - 4:06CHIMISS Noah Layup51
95.8%
30
4.2%
Q2 - 4:09CHIMISS Hinrich 22' Jump Shot51
95.8%
30
4.2%
Q2 - 4:27MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)51
95.4%
30
4.6%
Q2 - 4:56CHIMiller 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)49
94.9%
30
5.1%
Q2 - 5:16MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)49
95.2%
28
4.8%
Q2 - 5:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
94.0%
28
6.0%
Q2 - 5:37CHIMISS Law Driving Layup46
93.8%
28
6.2%
Q2 - 5:46MIAArroyo 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
93.3%
28
6.7%
Q2 - 5:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
92.5%
28
7.5%
Q2 - 5:59CHIMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot44
92.2%
28
7.8%
Q2 - 6:11CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
91.0%
28
9.0%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
91.3%
28
8.7%
Q2 - 6:35CHINoah 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)44
92.1%
28
7.9%
Q2 - 6:46MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS)44
92.8%
26
7.2%
Q2 - 6:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
92.1%
26
7.9%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot42
91.4%
26
8.6%
Q2 - 7:14CHIMiller 6' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)42
91.8%
26
8.2%
Q2 - 7:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
92.5%
24
7.5%
Q2 - 7:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
92.4%
24
7.6%
Q2 - 7:45CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
91.8%
24
8.2%
Q2 - 7:45CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
92.0%
23
8.0%
Q2 - 7:59CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
92.5%
22
7.5%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 240
92.1%
22
7.9%
Q2 - 8:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)40
92.6%
22
7.4%
Q2 - 8:06CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot39
91.8%
22
8.2%
Q2 - 8:06MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
92.0%
22
8.0%
Q2 - 8:27MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T3)39
91.2%
22
8.8%
Q2 - 8:40MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
92.1%
22
7.9%
Q2 - 8:41CHIMISS Murray 3PT Jump Shot39
91.8%
22
8.2%
Q2 - 9:03MIAHaslem Layup (9 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)39
90.8%
22
9.2%
Q2 - 9:17CHIWarrick 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
89.9%
22
10.1%
Q2 - 9:36MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)37
90.8%
20
9.2%
Q2 - 9:51CHIMurray Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)35
89.9%
20
10.1%
Q2 - 9:56MIARichard STEAL (1 STL)35
88.9%
20
11.1%
Q2 - 10:13MIAHeat Rebound35
89.6%
20
10.4%
Q2 - 10:14CHIMISS Richard Dunk35
89.2%
20
10.8%
Q2 - 10:27MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
88.5%
20
11.5%
Q2 - 10:27MIAWright Putback Dunk (2 PTS)35
88.5%
20
11.5%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot33
86.6%
20
13.4%
Q2 - 10:51CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
87.5%
20
12.5%
Q2 - 10:51CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 233
87.7%
19
12.3%
Q2 - 11:07MIAHaslem Layup (5 PTS)33
86.9%
19
13.1%
Q2 - 11:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
85.8%
19
14.2%
Q2 - 11:19CHIMISS Murray 13' Jump Shot31
85.4%
19
14.6%
Q2 - 11:35CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
84.5%
19
15.5%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
84.9%
19
15.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
85.8%
19
14.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
85.8%
19
14.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHIMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
84.7%
19
15.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIARichardson 8' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)31
84.0%
19
16.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHIGibson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)29
82.4%
19
17.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)29
84.0%
17
16.0%
Q1 - 1:10CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)26
80.4%
17
19.6%
Q1 - 1:27MIAChalmers Running Layup (3 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)26
83.7%
14
16.3%
Q1 - 1:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
81.9%
14
18.1%
Q1 - 1:31CHIMISS Rose Driving Layup24
81.6%
14
18.4%
Q1 - 1:47MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
80.9%
14
19.1%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 223
80.6%
14
19.4%
Q1 - 1:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
80.4%
14
19.6%
Q1 - 1:55CHIMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot23
80.1%
14
19.9%
Q1 - 2:08CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
79.0%
14
21.0%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot23
79.4%
14
20.6%
Q1 - 2:16MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
80.3%
14
19.7%
Q1 - 2:17CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
79.9%
14
20.1%
Q1 - 2:36MIARichardson Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)23
79.0%
14
21.0%
Q1 - 2:51MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
77.2%
14
22.8%
Q1 - 2:53CHIMISS Gibson Layup21
76.8%
14
23.2%
Q1 - 2:55CHIBULLS Rebound21
75.8%
14
24.2%
Q1 - 2:55CHIMISS Murray Layup21
76.8%
14
23.2%
Q1 - 3:17MIARichardson Layup (2 PTS)21
75.7%
14
24.3%
Q1 - 3:34CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
74.0%
14
26.0%
Q1 - 3:34CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
74.5%
13
25.5%
Q1 - 3:50MIAArroyo Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
75.7%
12
24.3%
Q1 - 4:03CHIHinrich 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)17
73.6%
12
26.4%
Q1 - 4:13CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
75.2%
10
24.8%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 117
75.5%
10
24.5%
Q1 - 4:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
73.7%
10
26.3%
Q1 - 4:31CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot15
73.1%
10
26.9%
Q1 - 4:48MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)15
71.8%
10
28.2%
Q1 - 4:48MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)14
71.4%
10
28.6%
Q1 - 5:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
69.6%
10
30.4%
Q1 - 5:05CHIMISS Gibson 14' Jump Shot13
69.0%
10
31.0%
Q1 - 5:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
67.6%
10
32.4%
Q1 - 5:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
63.9%
10
36.1%
Q1 - 5:50CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
63.2%
10
36.8%
Q1 - 5:55CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
61.6%
10
38.4%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot10
62.3%
10
37.7%
Q1 - 6:16MIAHeat Rebound10
63.9%
10
36.1%
Q1 - 6:16CHIMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot10
63.3%
10
36.7%
Q1 - 6:21CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
61.9%
10
38.1%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Haslem Layup10
62.5%
10
37.5%
Q1 - 6:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
63.9%
10
36.1%
Q1 - 6:29CHIMISS Hinrich 6' Jump Shot10
63.3%
10
36.7%
Q1 - 6:43MIAO'Neal 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)10
61.8%
10
38.2%
Q1 - 6:56CHIMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
59.9%
10
40.1%
Q1 - 7:15CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
58.0%
10
42.0%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot8
58.7%
10
41.3%
Q1 - 7:37CHIRose 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)8
60.2%
10
39.8%
Q1 - 7:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 7:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
61.6%
8
38.4%
Q1 - 7:52MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
60.2%
8
39.8%
Q1 - 7:53CHIMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot6
59.5%
8
40.5%
Q1 - 8:02CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
58.4%
8
41.6%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
59.0%
8
41.0%
Q1 - 8:28CHIGibson Layup (4 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)6
60.4%
8
39.6%
Q1 - 8:42MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
62.3%
6
37.7%
Q1 - 9:00CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
60.4%
6
39.6%
Q1 - 9:00CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
61.0%
5
39.0%
Q1 - 9:00CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
62.3%
4
37.7%
Q1 - 9:00CHIMISS Gibson Layup4
63.7%
4
36.3%
Q1 - 9:08CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
62.9%
4
37.1%
Q1 - 9:10MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)4
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 9:32CHIJohnson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T2)4
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 9:37CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
62.9%
4
37.1%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot4
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 9:41MIAHeat Rebound4
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 9:41MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)4
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 9:57CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 9:57CHIJohnson Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 9:58CHIMISS Johnson Layup4
67.7%
2
32.3%
Q1 - 10:14MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
66.2%
2
33.8%
Q1 - 10:21MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
68.0%
2
32.0%
Q1 - 10:22CHIMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot4
67.5%
2
32.5%
Q1 - 10:28CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
66.2%
2
33.8%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS O'Neal Layup4
66.7%
2
33.3%
Q1 - 10:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
68.0%
2
32.0%
Q1 - 10:41CHIMISS Miller 6' Hook Shot4
67.5%
2
32.5%
Q1 - 11:00MIAO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
66.2%
2
33.8%
Q1 - 11:22CHIRose 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 11:45MIAO'Neal 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)2
66.1%
0
33.9%
Q1 - 11:55CHIJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Miller vs. O'Neal: Tip to Johnson0
63.0%
0
37.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.0%
CHI
0.78 38.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
31
71%
CHI
9
27
33%
Midrange
MIA
16
37
43%
CHI
14
40
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
CHI
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIA
18
26
69%
CHI
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2471%12.0 / 17
M. Beasley1550%7.5 / 15
U. Haslem1464%7.0 / 11
D. Wade1260%6.0 / 10
C. Arroyo1045%5.0 / 11
M. Chalmers1071%5.0 / 7
Q. Richardson956%4.5 / 8
J. Jones675%3.0 / 4
D. Wright338%1.5 / 4
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Warrick1458%7.0 / 12
D. Rose1233%6.0 / 18
T. Gibson1255%6.0 / 11
K. Hinrich844%4.0 / 9
J. Johnson633%3.0 / 9
B. Miller550%2.5 / 5
R. Murray531%2.5 / 8
J. Noah433%2.0 / 6
J. Pargo319%1.5 / 8
A. Law338%1.5 / 4
C. Richard250%1.0 / 2
J. Alexander0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+11
-9
90
CHI
76
+17
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.0%
CHI
0.78 38.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
103.9
MIA 117.0
CHI 84.1 +33.0
Pace
89.6
92.9
MIA 78.8
CHI 99.6 +20.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.1
MIA 18.3
CHI 14.5 +3.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
47.7%
MIA 53.8% +18.4%
CHI 35.4%
TO %
13.6%
14.6%
MIA 10.0% +1.5%
CHI 11.5%
ORB %
26.0%
26.5%
MIA 23.7%
CHI 26.5% +2.8%
FTrt
29.6
28.7
MIA 32.9 +4.9
CHI 28.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
55.3%
MIA 53.7%
CHI 66.7% +13.0%
STL %
8.1%
6.9%
MIA 4.5%
CHI 4.5%
BLK %
9.4%
9.2%
MIA 13.4% +9.0%
CHI 4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
50.6%
MIA 56.0% +17.1%
CHI 38.9%
Rim FG%
62.0%
56.0%
MIA 71.0% +37.7%
CHI 33.3%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.2%
MIA 43.2% +8.2%
CHI 35.0%
3P %
34.6%
33.0%
MIA 27.3% +0.6%
CHI 26.7%
FT %
75.2%
75.4%
MIA 69.2%
CHI 69.6% +0.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
35.3%
MIA 39.2% +6.3%
CHI 32.9%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
49.1%
MIA 46.8% +1.9%
CHI 48.8%
3P Att. %
21.9%
15.6%
MIA 13.9%
CHI 18.3% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes26.821.2
Points10374
Rebounds4542
Assists2218
Steals44
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (5)29 (3)
Field Goals41-7927-82
At-the-Rim FG22-319-27
Midrange FG16-3714-40
2-Point FG38-6823-67
3-Point FG3-114-15
Free Throws18-2616-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
35.8
10
45%
5
5
2
0
2
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
29.1
12
60%
5
10
1
2
1
0
0
5
2-7
29%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
25.1
9
56%
8
0
0
0
0
3
2
6
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
24.6
24
71%
4
3
0
2
1
2
1
3
6-7
86%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
20.1
15
50%
4
1
0
0
2
2
2
2
1-1
100%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
24.9
10
71%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
23.6
14
64%
6
0
1
0
1
3
0
6
4-5
80%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
23.4
0
0%
4
0
0
5
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
18.7
3
38%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
6.1
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
4.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
4.3
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
56%
45
22
4
9
9
0
9
36
18-26
69%
38-68
56%
3-11
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.