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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Jazz75%103103
29Wizards25%9487
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
38.5
35.7
20
73%
5
12
1
1
0
4
1
4
5-6
83%
6-9
6-11
67%
52%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
37.6
26.7
10
51%
1
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-4
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
37.0
31.7
22
74%
11
1
1
1
0
2
2
9
2-2
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
50%
2-2
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.3
29.3
32.2
22
80%
10
6
0
1
1
6
0
10
2-4
50%
10-12
7-13
83%
55%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
24.0
30.0
5
56%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.0
27.6
23.0
10
78%
4
2
2
1
2
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.1
22.4
21.6
7
33%
6
3
0
1
5
1
1
5
5-8
63%
1-7
4-7
14%
55%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
9.6
11.0
2
100%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.1
4.0
5.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.3
3.4
7.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
3.4
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 23.9
3.4
4.4
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
41.6
32.0
20
39%
5
7
2
1
0
2
2
3
4-8
50%
8-19
7-15
42%
49%
0-3
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
37.7
33.3
14
57%
7
3
0
1
0
1
0
7
2-3
67%
3-7
3-5
43%
52%
2-4
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.5
34.8
21.7
14
54%
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.7
31.7
32.5
6
25%
12
4
1
1
0
2
7
5
2-2
100%
2-10
3-7
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
26.9
20.3
6
38%
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.8
26.3
19.1
16
60%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
3-7
43%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.2
16.3
21.5
6
63%
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
2-4
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.8
13.2
7.3
3
25%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 35.0
6.3
4.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.9
5.1
8.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.5
20.6
0
2-5
44%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.3
17.8
0
3-5
47%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.