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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Lakers55%98109
18Rockets45%97101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.7
39.6
32.8
30
72%
8
2
0
1
4
3
1
7
8-9
89%
11-17
6-11
65%
54%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.4
38.6
33.6
13
56%
13
3
0
1
1
2
4
9
3-6
50%
5-9
4-9
56%
52%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
36.2
34.2
17
55%
9
9
1
1
0
5
1
8
2-3
67%
6-12
6-13
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.4
35.7
32.5
7
39%
2
1
2
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.6
21.6
21.6
15
94%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
3-3
100%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.3
27.0
21.5
9
77%
2
2
0
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
26.4
22.8
14
80%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
2-3
67%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.2
8.2
13.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.2
6.6
11.2
4
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.4
10.0
0
2-4
56%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.7
6.6
0
1-2
40%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.1
6.1
0
0-1
43%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.9
45.0
36.9
28
75%
10
5
1
1
0
3
2
8
4-6
67%
12-16
8-16
75%
51%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
38.6
33.3
9
38%
3
5
2
2
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
1-4
25%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.2
37.4
33.3
26
53%
0
7
1
1
0
3
0
0
6-6
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
46%
4-12
33%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
29.8
8.4
15
54%
5
3
1
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-10
1-3
30%
44%
3-4
75%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.8
21.8
25.1
4
67%
5
2
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
26.2
10.0
8
47%
6
0
2
0
0
1
1
5
0-1
0%
4-8
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.0
24.3
24.5
3
19%
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
0-4
3-5
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.8
15.7
19.8
6
38%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-4
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.3
1.2
4.3
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.1
24.2
1
3-7
46%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 26.8
19.5
1
3-6
45%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.3
6.8
0
1-1
47%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.5
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.