for complete access.
All Games Sunday, March 28, 2010
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Raptors
34%95
94
12
Heat
66%100
97
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
109.38692.3
MIA logo MIA
111.58781.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)91
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)91
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0TORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)91
3.9%
93
96.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0TORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
3.4%
93
96.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)89
3.5%
93
96.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
8.0%
91
92.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot89
10.8%
91
89.2%
Q4 - 0:37.0TORRaptors Rebound89
19.9%
91
80.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
13.4%
91
86.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAArroyo 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)89
24.2%
91
75.8%
Q4 - 1:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
37.9%
89
62.1%
Q4 - 1:23TORMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
42.6%
89
57.4%
Q4 - 1:37MIAHaslem 9' Running Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)89
52.5%
89
47.5%
Q4 - 1:57MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
62.1%
87
37.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot89
70.6%
87
29.4%
Q4 - 2:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
61.5%
87
38.5%
Q4 - 2:13TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot89
66.4%
87
33.6%
Q4 - 2:29MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)89
76.3%
87
23.7%
Q4 - 2:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
81.5%
85
18.5%
Q4 - 2:45TORMISS Bosh 37' 3PT Jump Shot89
84.5%
85
15.5%
Q4 - 2:56TORRaptors Rebound89
86.4%
85
13.6%
Q4 - 2:56TORArroyo BLOCK (2 BLK)89
81.4%
85
18.6%
Q4 - 3:18MIAWade Driving Layup (32 PTS)89
87.0%
85
13.0%
Q4 - 3:31TORWeems 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)89
85.1%
83
14.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)87
81.1%
83
18.9%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
86.1%
81
13.9%
Q4 - 4:09TORMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot87
87.6%
81
12.4%
Q4 - 4:26TORRaptors Rebound87
90.5%
81
9.5%
Q4 - 4:27MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot87
89.4%
81
10.6%
Q4 - 4:45TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)87
86.5%
81
13.5%
Q4 - 4:45TORRaptors Rebound87
90.6%
81
9.4%
Q4 - 4:46TORArroyo BLOCK (1 BLK)87
87.9%
81
12.1%
Q4 - 5:35MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Arroyo 8 AST)87
87.0%
81
13.0%
Q4 - 5:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
90.3%
79
9.7%
Q4 - 5:49TORMISS Jack 21' Jump Shot87
91.2%
79
8.8%
Q4 - 6:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)87
90.3%
79
9.7%
Q4 - 6:23TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)87
94.4%
76
5.6%
Q4 - 6:44TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
92.8%
76
7.2%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
92.1%
76
7.9%
Q4 - 7:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
87.7%
76
12.3%
Q4 - 7:06TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot85
88.6%
76
11.4%
Q4 - 7:19MIAWade Foul Turnover (P6.T15)85
90.7%
76
9.3%
Q4 - 7:22TORChalmers STEAL (1 STL)85
87.8%
76
12.2%
Q4 - 7:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)85
90.7%
76
9.3%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 285
91.2%
75
8.8%
Q4 - 7:46TORWade STEAL (4 STL)85
90.5%
75
9.5%
Q4 - 7:58MIAAnthony Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T14)85
92.9%
75
7.1%
Q4 - 8:28TORBosh Layup (17 PTS) (Bargnani 3 AST)85
88.6%
75
11.4%
Q4 - 8:42MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)83
85.7%
75
14.3%
Q4 - 8:59TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)83
82.4%
75
17.6%
Q4 - 8:59TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
81.7%
75
18.3%
Q4 - 9:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
75.8%
75
24.2%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 281
76.6%
74
23.4%
Q4 - 9:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
76.0%
74
24.0%
Q4 - 9:30TORMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot81
77.3%
74
22.7%
Q4 - 9:53MIAWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)81
80.1%
74
19.9%
Q4 - 10:15TORJohnson Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)81
84.6%
71
15.4%
Q4 - 10:38MIAWade Driving Reverse Layup (26 PTS)79
81.6%
71
18.4%
Q4 - 10:57TORJack 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)79
84.7%
69
15.3%
Q4 - 11:16MIAHaslem 7' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)77
79.5%
69
20.5%
Q4 - 11:40TORWade STEAL (3 STL)77
82.9%
67
17.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
85.7%
67
14.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound77
83.0%
67
17.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Magloire Layup77
84.9%
67
15.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
81.4%
67
18.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
83.2%
67
16.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)77
81.4%
67
18.6%
Q3 - 0:13.0TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
82.3%
67
17.7%
Q3 - 0:16.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
84.1%
67
15.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0TORMISS Wright 12' Jump Shot77
82.3%
67
17.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)77
84.1%
67
15.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)77
89.0%
64
11.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0TORMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot77
89.6%
64
10.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)77
90.7%
64
9.3%
Q3 - 1:09TORCalderon 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)77
92.9%
61
7.1%
Q3 - 1:21TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
91.4%
61
8.6%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Richardson 6' Running Jump Shot75
90.9%
61
9.1%
Q3 - 1:48TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)75
89.9%
61
10.1%
Q3 - 1:48TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 274
89.2%
61
10.8%
Q3 - 2:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
89.7%
61
10.3%
Q3 - 2:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
90.1%
60
9.9%
Q3 - 2:11MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
90.0%
59
10.0%
Q3 - 2:12TORMISS Calderon Driving Layup74
90.5%
59
9.5%
Q3 - 2:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)74
91.6%
59
8.4%
Q3 - 2:37TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)74
90.1%
59
9.9%
Q3 - 2:37TORRaptors Rebound74
91.7%
59
8.3%
Q3 - 2:38TORWade BLOCK (3 BLK)74
90.6%
59
9.4%
Q3 - 3:03TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
90.5%
59
9.5%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
90.0%
59
10.0%
Q3 - 3:30TORBosh Reverse Dunk (15 PTS)74
88.8%
59
11.2%
Q3 - 3:53MIARichardson Driving Layup (7 PTS)72
87.1%
59
12.9%
Q3 - 4:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
87.8%
57
12.2%
Q3 - 4:07TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
88.4%
57
11.6%
Q3 - 4:24TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
89.9%
57
10.1%
Q3 - 4:25TORMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
88.5%
57
11.5%
Q3 - 4:46MIAHaslem 9' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
89.9%
57
10.1%
Q3 - 5:14TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)72
89.9%
55
10.1%
Q3 - 5:32MIARichardson 22' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Arroyo 7 AST)69
86.7%
55
13.3%
Q3 - 5:52TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
88.4%
53
11.6%
Q3 - 5:52TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)68
88.1%
53
11.9%
Q3 - 6:01TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
85.3%
53
14.7%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot67
84.6%
53
15.4%
Q3 - 6:20TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)67
83.0%
53
17.0%
Q3 - 6:25TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
78.3%
53
21.7%
Q3 - 6:26TORWade BLOCK (2 BLK)64
76.1%
53
23.9%
Q3 - 6:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)64
78.3%
53
21.7%
Q3 - 7:01TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)64
81.2%
50
18.8%
Q3 - 7:12MIARichardson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)61
76.3%
50
23.7%
Q3 - 7:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
73.2%
50
26.8%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot61
75.4%
50
24.6%
Q3 - 7:37TORBargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)61
73.3%
50
26.7%
Q3 - 7:58MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)58
67.1%
50
32.9%
Q3 - 8:16TORWeems Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)58
62.3%
50
37.7%
Q3 - 8:27TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
58.9%
50
41.1%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
57.7%
50
42.3%
Q3 - 8:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
55.0%
50
45.0%
Q3 - 8:44TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot56
56.2%
50
43.8%
Q3 - 9:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)56
58.9%
50
41.1%
Q3 - 9:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
65.0%
47
35.0%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
67.3%
47
32.7%
Q3 - 9:27TORBosh 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
65.0%
47
35.0%
Q3 - 9:49MIAWade Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)54
61.7%
47
38.3%
Q3 - 10:03TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)54
63.7%
45
36.3%
Q3 - 10:13MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)51
57.0%
45
43.0%
Q3 - 10:36TORBosh 6' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)51
53.4%
45
46.6%
Q3 - 10:54MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
49.9%
45
50.1%
Q3 - 11:07MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
52.4%
43
47.6%
Q3 - 11:08TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)49
53.6%
43
46.4%
Q3 - 11:12MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)49
56.1%
43
43.9%
Q3 - 11:32TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)49
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q3 - 11:46TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
56.1%
43
43.9%
Q3 - 11:48MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot49
55.0%
43
45.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR49
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound49
56.2%
43
43.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot49
53.6%
43
46.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0TORJack Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)49
54.8%
43
45.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T7)48
51.4%
43
48.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0TORAnthony STEAL (1 STL)48
48.9%
43
51.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)48
51.5%
43
48.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0TORWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)48
58.9%
40
41.1%
Q2 - 1:00MIAAnthony 8' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)45
51.6%
40
48.4%
Q2 - 1:16TORWright Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)45
55.0%
38
45.0%
Q2 - 1:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
50.9%
38
49.1%
Q2 - 1:50TORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 1:50TORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
57.9%
35
42.1%
Q2 - 2:01TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
53.8%
35
46.2%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot41
52.7%
35
47.3%
Q2 - 2:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
50.5%
35
49.5%
Q2 - 2:25TORMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
51.5%
35
48.5%
Q2 - 2:38TORRaptors Rebound41
53.8%
35
46.2%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
52.8%
35
47.2%
Q2 - 3:00TORJack 10' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
50.5%
35
49.5%
Q2 - 3:10TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
47.1%
35
52.9%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Richardson 6' Running Jump Shot39
45.9%
35
54.1%
Q2 - 3:28TORRichardson STEAL (1 STL)39
43.4%
35
56.6%
Q2 - 3:35TORJack Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)39
47.1%
35
52.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
44.0%
35
56.0%
Q2 - 4:04TORBosh 7' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)38
45.8%
33
54.2%
Q2 - 4:21TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
43.1%
33
56.9%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
42.1%
33
57.9%
Q2 - 5:00TOREvans Layup (2 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)36
39.9%
33
60.1%
Q2 - 5:24MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)34
36.9%
33
63.1%
Q2 - 5:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
39.8%
31
60.2%
Q2 - 5:30TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot34
40.7%
31
59.3%
Q2 - 5:47MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
42.7%
31
57.3%
Q2 - 5:59MIAHEAT Rebound34
45.7%
29
54.3%
Q2 - 6:01TORMISS Jack Free Throw 2 of 234
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 6:01TORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
47.3%
29
52.7%
Q2 - 6:12MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)33
45.4%
29
54.6%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
42.0%
29
58.0%
Q2 - 6:21TORMISS Jack 18' Jump Shot33
43.1%
29
56.9%
Q2 - 6:40MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)33
45.4%
29
54.6%
Q2 - 6:54TORBosh Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)33
42.1%
29
57.9%
Q2 - 7:01TOREvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot33
43.6%
29
56.4%
Q2 - 7:23TORBosh 6' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)33
41.7%
29
58.3%
Q2 - 7:32TOREvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
39.1%
29
60.9%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q2 - 7:49MIAHEAT Rebound31
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 7:50TORMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot31
37.1%
29
62.9%
Q2 - 8:05TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot31
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 8:20TORBosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)31
35.9%
29
64.1%
Q2 - 8:38TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot31
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 8:56TORDeRozan 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
35.9%
29
64.1%
Q2 - 9:02TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
33.1%
29
66.9%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot29
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q2 - 9:19TORJack 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q2 - 9:39MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)27
28.6%
29
71.4%
Q2 - 9:58TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
26.4%
29
73.6%
Q2 - 9:58TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
26.0%
29
74.0%
Q2 - 10:01MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)25
24.7%
29
75.3%
Q2 - 10:17TORJack 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
22.6%
29
77.4%
Q2 - 10:23TORBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot23
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q2 - 10:34MIAHEAT Rebound23
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot23
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q2 - 10:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q2 - 10:47TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot23
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 11:06MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)23
21.1%
29
78.9%
Q2 - 11:23MIAHEAT Rebound23
24.6%
26
75.4%
Q2 - 11:24TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot23
25.2%
26
74.8%
Q2 - 11:44TORBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26.7%
26
73.3%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot23
26.0%
26
74.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR23
24.6%
26
75.4%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)23
26.3%
26
73.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0TORJohnson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
28.7%
24
71.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot21
25.9%
24
74.1%
Q1 - 1:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q1 - 1:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q1 - 1:27MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)19
22.8%
24
77.2%
Q1 - 1:38TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)19
25.0%
22
75.0%
Q1 - 1:48MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)19
26.3%
22
73.7%
Q1 - 1:57MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
25.0%
22
75.0%
Q1 - 1:58TORMISS Johnson Layup19
25.4%
22
74.6%
Q1 - 2:14MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)19
26.6%
22
73.4%
Q1 - 2:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot19
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q1 - 2:35TORBargnani Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 2:43TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 2:44TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot17
25.6%
20
74.4%
Q1 - 2:59MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)17
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 3:16TORWeems Foul Turnover (P1.T3)17
30.4%
17
69.6%
Q1 - 3:19TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
32.4%
17
67.6%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper17
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 3:38TORBosh Driving Reverse Layup (3 PTS)17
30.4%
17
69.6%
Q1 - 4:01MIAAnthony 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 4:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 4:14TORAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)15
30.6%
15
69.4%
Q1 - 4:39MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
32.1%
15
67.9%
Q1 - 4:58TORBargnani 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
33.9%
13
66.1%
Q1 - 5:15MIABeasley 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)13
32.0%
13
68.0%
Q1 - 5:41TORWade STEAL (2 STL)13
33.7%
11
66.3%
Q1 - 5:56TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot13
35.2%
11
64.8%
Q1 - 6:14TORWeems Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)13
33.4%
11
66.6%
Q1 - 6:19MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
31.6%
11
68.4%
Q1 - 6:37TORCalderon 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
29.8%
11
70.2%
Q1 - 6:54MIAAnthony 9' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)9
28.1%
11
71.9%
Q1 - 7:04MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
29.5%
9
70.5%
Q1 - 7:05TORMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot9
30.1%
9
69.9%
Q1 - 7:19TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
31.4%
9
68.6%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot9
30.8%
9
69.2%
Q1 - 7:39TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)9
29.5%
9
70.5%
Q1 - 7:45TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
27.9%
9
72.1%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot7
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 7:55TORWade STEAL (1 STL)7
26.2%
9
73.8%
Q1 - 8:01TORRaptors Rebound7
27.7%
9
72.3%
Q1 - 8:02TORMISS Weems 21' Jump Shot7
26.6%
9
73.4%
Q1 - 8:18MIAAnthony 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)7
27.7%
9
72.3%
Q1 - 8:35TORCalderon Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)7
29.4%
7
70.6%
Q1 - 8:49MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)5
27.7%
7
72.3%
Q1 - 9:12TORWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)5
29.5%
5
70.5%
Q1 - 9:18TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
27.8%
5
72.2%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup3
27.4%
5
72.6%
Q1 - 9:34TORBargnani Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)3
26.3%
5
73.7%
Q1 - 9:40TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot1
24.3%
5
75.7%
Q1 - 9:50MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
23.3%
5
76.7%
Q1 - 9:51TORMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot1
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 10:17MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)1
25.0%
5
75.0%
Q1 - 10:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 10:26TORMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot1
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 10:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)1
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 10:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
29.8%
1
70.2%
Q1 - 11:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 11:06TORMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot1
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 11:17TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
32.0%
0
68.0%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup1
31.5%
0
68.5%
Q1 - 11:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 11:39TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 21
30.7%
0
69.3%
Q1 - 11:39TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Bosh: Tip to Bargnani0
30.5%
0
69.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.12 56.0%
MIA
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
11
17
65%
MIA
15
19
79%
Midrange
TOR
17
40
43%
MIA
18
34
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
TOR
17
20
85%
MIA
19
21
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1943%9.5 / 22
J. Jack1890%9.0 / 10
A. Bargnani1765%8.5 / 13
J. Calderon1267%6.0 / 9
D. DeRozan8100%4.0 / 4
A. Wright739%3.5 / 9
S. Weems650%3.0 / 6
A. Johnson563%2.5 / 4
R. Evans2100%1.0 / 1
M. Belinelli0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3276%16.0 / 21
U. Haslem2396%11.5 / 12
J. Anthony13108%6.5 / 6
C. Arroyo1275%6.0 / 8
Q. Richardson739%3.5 / 9
D. Wright650%3.0 / 6
M. Beasley210%1.0 / 10
M. Chalmers225%1.0 / 4
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
73
+11
-13
84
MIA
72
+7
-15
79
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.12 56.0%
MIA
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.0
106.7
TOR 109.3
MIA 111.5 +2.2
Pace
93.3
89.6
TOR 92.3 +10.8
MIA 81.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.5
TOR 15.6 +2.1
MIA 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
49.6%
TOR 53.5%
MIA 55.7% +2.2%
TO %
13.8%
13.6%
TOR 15.7% +0.2%
MIA 15.9%
ORB %
24.8%
26.0%
TOR 16.7%
MIA 17.2% +0.5%
FTrt
31.9
29.6
TOR 27.8
MIA 30.0 +2.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
51.9%
TOR 54.3% +2.9%
MIA 51.4%
STL %
6.1%
8.1%
TOR 11.6% +2.4%
MIA 9.2%
BLK %
7.4%
9.4%
TOR 3.8%
MIA 10.5% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
52.1%
TOR 56.0%
MIA 61.4% +5.4%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.0%
TOR 64.7%
MIA 78.9% +14.2%
Mid FG%
42.9%
40.8%
TOR 42.5%
MIA 52.9% +10.4%
3P %
37.1%
34.6%
TOR 46.7% +23.2%
MIA 23.5%
FT %
76.4%
75.2%
TOR 85.0%
MIA 90.5% +5.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.0%
29.8%
TOR 23.6%
MIA 27.1% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
43.9%
48.3%
TOR 55.6%
MIA 48.6% +7.0%
3P Att. %
21.1%
21.9%
TOR 20.8%
MIA 24.3% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points9497
Rebounds2930
Assists1919
Steals108
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (6)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)25 (3)
Field Goals35-7237-70
At-the-Rim FG11-1715-19
Midrange FG17-4018-34
2-Point FG28-5733-53
3-Point FG7-154-17
Free Throws17-2019-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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19 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C · 7'0" 245 · 24
39.8
17
65%
5
3
0
1
5
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
3-6
50%
Antoine Wright
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
38.2
7
39%
4
2
2
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26
37.3
19
43%
6
3
2
0
2
3
1
5
3-4
75%
8-19
42%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
26.0
12
67%
2
7
1
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
Sonny Weems
G · 6'6" 205 · 24
19.9
6
50%
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
24.9
18
90%
3
2
1
0
1
3
0
3
7-8
88%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21
23.8
8
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24
11.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30
9.8
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23
9.2
5
63%
2
2
0
1
1
5
2
0
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 34
Patrick O'Bryant
#13 · C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Marcus Banks
#3 · G · 6'2" 205 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
56%
29
19
10
2
13
0
5
24
17-20
85%
28-57
49%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.