FinalWin Prob.pScore
434%99
97
266%104
103
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
114.18583.8
ORL logo ORL
119.88687.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL97
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)97
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.T4)92
103
Q4 - 0:53.0ORLNelson 15' Fadeaway Bank Shot (15 PTS)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ORLMAGIC Rebound92
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:10DENLewis BLOCK (2 BLK)92
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:10DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo92
101
Q4 - 1:10ORLMAGIC Rebound92
101
Q4 - 1:10ORLMISS Redick Free Throw Technical92
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 1:10DENBillups T.FOUL (P0.T4)92
101
Q4 - 1:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 1:18ORLMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot92
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 1:40DENBillups 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)92
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 1:50ORLBarnes 23' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)90
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 2:06ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 2:08DENMISS Anthony 28' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 2:21ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)90
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 2:34DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)90
97
Q4 - 2:34DENNene P.FOUL (P4.T4)90
97
Q4 - 2:45ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q4 - 2:47DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot90
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 2:57ORLRedick 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)90
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 3:13DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)90
5.8%
95
94.2%
Q4 - 3:13DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)89
5.4%
95
94.6%
Q4 - 3:13ORLSUB: Barnes FOR Anderson88
95
Q4 - 3:13DENSUB: Graham FOR Andersen88
95
Q4 - 3:13ORLLewis S.FOUL (P5.T3)88
95
Q4 - 3:24DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 3:26ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 3:42DENNene Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)88
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 3:50ORLHoward Layup (18 PTS)86
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q4 - 4:10DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)86
4.0%
93
96.0%
Q4 - 4:10DENNuggets Rebound85
93
Q4 - 4:10DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 285
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q4 - 4:10ORLLewis S.FOUL (P4.T2)85
93
Q4 - 4:28ORLNelson Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)85
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q4 - 4:52ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q4 - 4:55DENMISS Afflalo 14' Jump Shot85
6.3%
91
93.7%
Q4 - 5:19ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T8)85
10.5%
91
89.5%
Q4 - 5:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
7.6%
91
92.4%
Q4 - 5:32DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
8.4%
91
91.6%
Q4 - 5:34DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
10.5%
91
89.5%
Q4 - 5:37DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot85
8.4%
91
91.6%
Q4 - 5:54ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)85
91
Q4 - 5:54ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
10.4%
91
89.6%
Q4 - 5:54ORLMAGIC Rebound85
90
Q4 - 5:54ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 285
11.5%
90
88.5%
Q4 - 5:54ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Williams85
90
Q4 - 5:54DENSUB: Billups FOR Graham85
90
Q4 - 5:54DENSUB: Anthony FOR Carter85
90
Q4 - 5:54DENSUB: Andersen FOR Allen85
90
Q4 - 5:54DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Smith85
90
Q4 - 5:54DENAllen S.FOUL (P3.T3)85
90
Q4 - 5:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)85
10.3%
90
89.7%
Q4 - 5:55ORLMISS Williams Layup85
12.8%
90
87.2%
Q4 - 6:16ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
11.9%
90
88.1%
Q4 - 6:18DENLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)85
13.0%
90
87.0%
Q4 - 6:28DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
15.7%
90
84.3%
Q4 - 6:32ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot85
14.4%
90
85.6%
Q4 - 6:45ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
11.9%
90
88.1%
Q4 - 6:46DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
12.9%
90
87.1%
Q4 - 7:06ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)85
16.9%
90
83.1%
Q4 - 7:21DENSmith Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)85
25.6%
87
74.4%
Q4 - 7:34DENAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
31.8%
87
68.2%
Q4 - 7:37ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 285
30.9%
87
69.1%
Q4 - 7:37ORLMAGIC Rebound85
87
Q4 - 7:37ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 285
27.9%
87
72.1%
Q4 - 7:37DENAllen S.FOUL (P2.T2)85
87
Q4 - 7:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
25.6%
87
74.4%
Q4 - 7:39ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
29.8%
87
70.2%
Q4 - 7:58DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T9)85
25.6%
87
74.4%
Q4 - 7:58DENNene OFF.Foul (P3)85
87
Q4 - 8:03DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
31.8%
87
68.2%
Q4 - 8:07ORLMISS Howard Layup85
30.2%
87
69.8%
Q4 - 8:27DENGraham 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
26.6%
87
73.4%
Q4 - 8:45DENNuggets Rebound83
87
Q4 - 8:45DENMISS Smith Free Throw Technical83
21.8%
87
78.2%
Q4 - 8:45ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Barnes83
87
Q4 - 8:45DENSUB: Nene FOR Andersen83
87
Q4 - 8:45DENSUB: Graham FOR Anthony83
87
Q4 - 8:4583
87
Q4 - 8:45ORLMAGIC T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Howard )83
87
Q4 - 8:55ORLBarnes Layup (14 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)83
21.8%
87
78.2%
Q4 - 9:14DENAndersen Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)83
27.3%
85
72.7%
Q4 - 9:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
22.7%
85
77.3%
Q4 - 9:28ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
21.5%
85
78.5%
Q4 - 9:44DENSmith 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)81
18.9%
85
81.1%
Q4 - 10:07ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)79
16.2%
85
83.8%
Q4 - 10:33DENSmith 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
23.2%
82
76.8%
Q4 - 10:48ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)77
19.4%
82
80.6%
Q4 - 10:48DENSUB: Allen FOR Petro77
81
Q4 - 10:48ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)77
19.8%
81
80.2%
Q4 - 10:48DENPetro S.FOUL (P5.T1)77
80
Q4 - 10:53DENHoward STEAL (1 STL)77
23.2%
80
76.8%
Q4 - 10:59ORLAnderson P.FOUL (P2.T1)77
80
Q4 - 11:09ORLSUB: Williams FOR Nelson77
80
Q4 - 11:09DENNuggets Rebound77
27.7%
80
72.3%
Q4 - 11:10ORLMISS Barnes Layup77
26.4%
80
73.6%
Q4 - 11:14ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
23.7%
80
76.3%
Q4 - 11:17DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot77
24.9%
80
75.1%
Q4 - 11:44ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Redick 8 AST)77
27.7%
80
72.3%
Q4 - 12:0077
77
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN77
37.1%
77
62.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)77
41.5%
77
58.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)77
52.1%
74
47.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
46.6%
74
53.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
43.4%
74
56.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLHoward Dunk (15 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)75
46.6%
74
53.4%
Q3 - 1:08DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)75
51.1%
72
48.9%
Q3 - 1:21ORLSUB: Anderson FOR Lewis73
72
Q3 - 1:21ORLNelson P.FOUL (P2.T2)73
72
Q3 - 1:32DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
45.8%
72
54.2%
Q3 - 1:34ORLMISS Lewis Layup73
44.5%
72
55.5%
Q3 - 1:43DENLewis STEAL (1 STL)73
41.4%
72
58.6%
Q3 - 2:07ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)73
44.9%
72
55.1%
Q3 - 2:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
54.3%
69
45.7%
Q3 - 2:13ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot73
57.5%
69
42.5%
Q3 - 2:24DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS)73
54.3%
69
45.7%
Q3 - 2:52ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)71
49.7%
69
50.3%
Q3 - 2:57ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
59.0%
66
41.0%
Q3 - 3:00DENHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)71
60.4%
66
39.6%
Q3 - 3:08ORLBarnes P.FOUL (P3.T1)71
66
Q3 - 3:12ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)71
62.1%
66
37.9%
Q3 - 3:26DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene71
66
Q3 - 3:26DENPetro P.FOUL (P4.T3)71
66
Q3 - 3:38DENSmith 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)71
57.5%
66
42.5%
Q3 - 3:58DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo69
66
Q3 - 3:58ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)69
53.4%
66
46.6%
Q3 - 4:19ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending69
66
Q3 - 4:19DENAnthony Layup (19 PTS)69
47.8%
66
52.2%
Q3 - 4:42ORLBarnes 8' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS)67
44.2%
66
55.8%
Q3 - 4:57DENAfflalo P.FOUL (P1.T2)67
64
Q3 - 5:03ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
46.7%
64
53.3%
Q3 - 5:04ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
50.0%
64
50.0%
Q3 - 5:12ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
46.7%
64
53.3%
Q3 - 5:13DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot67
48.2%
64
51.8%
Q3 - 5:19DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
51.5%
64
48.5%
Q3 - 5:21DENMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot67
48.2%
64
51.8%
Q3 - 5:35ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)67
51.5%
64
48.5%
Q3 - 5:45DENNene P.FOUL (P2.T1)67
61
Q3 - 5:50ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
59.3%
61
40.7%
Q3 - 5:51DENMISS Nene 14' Jump Shot67
60.7%
61
39.3%
Q3 - 6:06ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
62.4%
61
37.6%
Q3 - 6:06ORLBarnes Putback Dunk (10 PTS)67
62.4%
61
37.6%
Q3 - 6:09ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot67
68.4%
59
31.6%
Q3 - 6:27DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)67
65.7%
59
34.3%
Q3 - 6:31DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
69.7%
59
30.3%
Q3 - 6:33DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot67
67.0%
59
33.0%
Q3 - 6:45DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
69.7%
59
30.3%
Q3 - 6:48ORLMISS Howard Layup67
68.5%
59
31.5%
Q3 - 6:56ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
65.8%
59
34.2%
Q3 - 6:58DENMISS Anthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
67.0%
59
33.0%
Q3 - 7:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
69.7%
59
30.3%
Q3 - 7:02DENMISS Billups 11' Jump Shot67
65.1%
59
34.9%
Q3 - 7:21ORLLewis 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
67.8%
59
32.2%
Q3 - 7:39DENBillups 11' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)67
70.9%
57
29.1%
Q3 - 7:52ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)65
67.9%
57
32.1%
Q3 - 8:04DENPetro 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)65
63.1%
57
36.9%
Q3 - 8:27ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redick 7 AST)63
59.8%
57
40.2%
Q3 - 8:45DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
66.6%
54
33.4%
Q3 - 8:45DENAnthony Layup (17 PTS)63
66.6%
54
33.4%
Q3 - 8:50DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
60.8%
54
39.2%
Q3 - 8:55DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
63.4%
54
36.6%
Q3 - 8:57DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
60.8%
54
39.2%
Q3 - 9:17DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
62.5%
54
37.5%
Q3 - 9:20ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
61.4%
54
38.6%
Q3 - 9:34DENBillups Layup (11 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)61
58.9%
54
41.1%
Q3 - 9:48ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Redick 6 AST)59
55.4%
54
44.6%
Q3 - 10:02ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
52
Q3 - 10:02DENBillups Driving Layup (9 PTS)59
57.8%
52
42.2%
Q3 - 10:21ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P2.T4)57
54.4%
52
45.6%
Q3 - 10:21ORLLewis OFF.Foul (P3)57
52
Q3 - 10:36DENAfflalo Driving Layup (9 PTS)57
50.8%
52
49.2%
Q3 - 10:51DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
47.3%
52
52.7%
Q3 - 10:53ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
46.2%
52
53.8%
Q3 - 11:08DENNene 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)55
43.0%
52
57.0%
Q3 - 11:21DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
39.8%
52
60.2%
Q3 - 11:23ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot53
38.8%
52
61.2%
Q3 - 11:42DENAnthony 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
36.4%
52
63.6%
Q3 - 12:0051
52
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL51
33.4%
52
66.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN51
52
Q2 - 0:00.0DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
30.2%
52
69.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLRedick Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)49
27.4%
52
72.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
25.3%
52
74.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENMISS Billups 15' Turnaround Bank Shot49
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLSUB: Bass FOR Barnes49
52
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)49
27.4%
52
72.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
25.3%
52
74.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot49
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.T3)49
52
Q2 - 1:04DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
27.3%
52
72.7%
Q2 - 1:05ORLMISS Barnes Free Throw 2 of 249
27.1%
52
72.9%
Q2 - 1:05ORLSUB: Anderson FOR Lewis49
52
Q2 - 1:05ORLBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
25.4%
52
74.6%
Q2 - 1:05DENAllen S.FOUL (P1.PN)49
51
Q2 - 1:17ORLMAGIC Rebound49
51
Q2 - 1:17ORLMISS Redick Free Throw Technical49
28.0%
51
72.0%
Q2 - 1:17DENAnthony T.FOUL (P2.PN)49
51
Q2 - 1:18DENAnthony Driving Layup (13 PTS)49
28.0%
51
72.0%
Q2 - 1:35ORLBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
24.8%
51
75.2%
Q2 - 1:35ORLBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)47
25.4%
50
74.6%
Q2 - 1:35DENAnthony L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)47
49
Q2 - 1:35ORLMAGIC Rebound47
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q2 - 1:35ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot47
29.4%
49
70.6%
Q2 - 1:48DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q2 - 2:13ORLBarnes Layup (5 PTS) (Redick 5 AST)45
25.1%
49
74.9%
Q2 - 2:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
27.5%
47
72.5%
Q2 - 2:30DENMISS Anthony Layup45
28.3%
47
71.7%
Q2 - 2:42ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)45
47
Q2 - 2:42ORLBarnes P.FOUL (P2.T2)45
47
Q2 - 2:53ORLRedick 8' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
30.2%
47
69.8%
Q2 - 3:09DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)45
32.6%
45
67.4%
Q2 - 3:29ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)42
27.8%
45
72.2%
Q2 - 3:29ORLSUB: Howard FOR Gortat42
44
Q2 - 3:29DENAnthony S.FOUL (P1.PN)42
44
Q2 - 3:29ORLNelson 9' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)42
44
Q2 - 3:37ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
32.6%
42
67.4%
Q2 - 3:39DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot42
33.6%
42
66.4%
Q2 - 3:49DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
35.9%
42
64.1%
Q2 - 3:50ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
34.9%
42
65.1%
Q2 - 4:01DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)42
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 4:22ORLSUB: Barnes FOR Anderson39
42
Q2 - 4:22DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Smith39
42
Q2 - 4:22ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P1.T1)39
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q2 - 4:22ORLLewis OFF.Foul (P2)39
42
Q2 - 4:44DENAllen 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)39
24.9%
42
75.1%
Q2 - 4:54ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Williams37
42
Q2 - 4:54DENSUB: Billups FOR Graham37
42
Q2 - 4:54DENSUB: Anthony FOR Carter37
42
Q2 - 4:54DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
42
Q2 - 5:04ORLGortat Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)37
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 5:15DENAllen 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)37
25.2%
40
74.8%
Q2 - 5:32ORLAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)35
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 5:37ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 5:39DENMISS Smith Driving Layup35
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 5:52ORLAnderson Layup (7 PTS)35
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 5:53ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
32.5%
35
67.5%
Q2 - 5:55ORLMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
34.4%
35
65.6%
Q2 - 6:17DENNene Foul Turnover (P1.T5)35
32.2%
35
67.8%
Q2 - 6:17DENNene OFF.Foul (P1)35
35
Q2 - 6:26ORLRedick 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)35
35.3%
35
64.7%
Q2 - 6:41DENAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
37.5%
33
62.5%
Q2 - 6:41DENAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
37.0%
33
63.0%
Q2 - 6:41ORLAnderson S.FOUL (P1.T1)33
33
Q2 - 7:01ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
34.8%
33
65.2%
Q2 - 7:01ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
35.0%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 7:01DENSmith S.FOUL (P2.PN)33
31
Q2 - 7:12DENSmith P.FOUL (P1.T4)33
31
Q2 - 7:12ORLMAGIC Rebound33
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q2 - 7:12ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot33
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 7:35DENGraham L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)33
31
Q2 - 7:35ORLMAGIC Rebound33
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q2 - 7:36DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 7:41DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
40.1%
31
59.9%
Q2 - 7:43ORLMISS Redick 23' Jump Shot33
39.3%
31
60.7%
Q2 - 8:00DENSUB: Nene FOR Andersen33
31
Q2 - 8:00DENAndersen P.FOUL (P3.T2)33
31
Q2 - 8:12DENGraham Dunk (2 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)33
36.9%
31
63.1%
Q2 - 8:27ORLLewis 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)31
34.5%
31
65.5%
Q2 - 8:46ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Howard31
29
Q2 - 8:46ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Barnes31
29
Q2 - 8:46DENSUB: Graham FOR Anthony31
29
Q2 - 8:4631
29
Q2 - 8:46DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)31
37.0%
29
63.0%
Q2 - 8:49DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q2 - 8:52ORLMISS Redick Reverse Layup31
38.8%
29
61.2%
Q2 - 9:08DENAllen 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
36.4%
29
63.6%
Q2 - 9:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q2 - 9:19ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
33.4%
29
66.6%
Q2 - 9:24DENWilliams STEAL (1 STL)29
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q2 - 9:29ORLRedick Layup (7 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)29
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q2 - 9:40DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)29
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 10:00ORLAnderson 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)26
31.8%
27
68.2%
Q2 - 10:14DENAnthony Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)26
34.0%
25
66.0%
Q2 - 10:28ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
31.9%
25
68.1%
Q2 - 10:28DENAndersen S.FOUL (P2.T1)24
24
Q2 - 10:28ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
34.2%
24
65.8%
Q2 - 10:28ORLAnderson Layup (2 PTS)24
34.2%
24
65.8%
Q2 - 10:29ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot24
38.2%
22
61.8%
Q2 - 10:40ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q2 - 10:42DENMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot24
37.2%
22
62.8%
Q2 - 10:53DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
39.0%
22
61.0%
Q2 - 10:55ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
38.2%
22
61.8%
Q2 - 10:58ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q2 - 11:00DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
39.0%
22
61.0%
Q2 - 11:00DENMISS Andersen Putback Dunk24
37.2%
22
62.8%
Q2 - 11:04DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot24
37.0%
22
63.0%
Q2 - 11:20DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
38.8%
22
61.2%
Q2 - 11:22ORLMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
38.0%
22
62.0%
Q2 - 11:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q2 - 11:32ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot24
38.0%
22
62.0%
Q2 - 11:46DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)24
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q2 - 12:0024
22
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL24
38.8%
22
61.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN24
22
Q1 - 0:00.0DENAnthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
31.3%
22
68.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot21
30.7%
22
69.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENAllen 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
29.6%
22
70.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
26.7%
22
73.3%
Q1 - 1:14ORLSUB: Anderson FOR Lewis19
22
Q1 - 1:14DENSUB: Allen FOR Nene19
22
Q1 - 1:14DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
22
Q1 - 1:14DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)19
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q1 - 1:43ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)19
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 1:58ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
31.7%
19
68.3%
Q1 - 2:00DENMISS Anthony Layup19
32.2%
19
67.8%
Q1 - 2:25ORLBarnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)19
33.4%
19
66.6%
Q1 - 2:42DENSmith 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
38.1%
16
61.9%
Q1 - 2:50DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
35.5%
16
64.5%
Q1 - 2:52ORLMISS Nelson Layup17
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 2:59ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 3:01DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot17
34.0%
16
66.0%
Q1 - 3:14DENNuggets Rebound17
35.5%
16
64.5%
Q1 - 3:14ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 3:19ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 3:22DENMISS Anthony Layup17
34.0%
16
66.0%
Q1 - 3:34DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo17
16
Q1 - 3:34ORLBarnes P.FOUL (P1.T3)17
16
Q1 - 3:39ORLHoward Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)17
35.5%
16
64.5%
Q1 - 4:11DENNene Layup (7 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)17
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 4:24ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
35.1%
14
64.9%
Q1 - 4:24DENAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T4)15
13
Q1 - 4:24ORLLewis Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)15
13
Q1 - 4:42ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 4:44DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot15
39.8%
11
60.2%
Q1 - 4:56ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)15
41.4%
11
58.6%
Q1 - 4:56DENSUB: Andersen FOR Petro15
10
Q1 - 4:56ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)15
42.2%
10
57.8%
Q1 - 4:56DENPetro S.FOUL (P3.T3)15
9
Q1 - 5:06DENBillups 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
42.9%
9
57.1%
Q1 - 5:15DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
41.0%
9
59.0%
Q1 - 5:17ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 213
40.7%
9
59.3%
Q1 - 5:17ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 5:17DENPetro S.FOUL (P2.T2)13
8
Q1 - 5:33DENNene Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)13
40.8%
8
59.2%
Q1 - 5:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
39.0%
8
61.0%
Q1 - 5:46ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot11
38.3%
8
61.7%
Q1 - 6:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 6:10DENMISS Nene 12' Jump Shot11
37.0%
8
63.0%
Q1 - 6:18ORLLewis P.FOUL (P1.T2)11
8
Q1 - 6:22DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
38.5%
8
61.5%
Q1 - 6:23ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 6:38ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 6:40DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 211
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 6:40DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
37.9%
8
62.1%
Q1 - 6:40ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
8
Q1 - 6:48DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 6:51DENMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot10
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 6:54DENNuggets Rebound10
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 6:54DENHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)10
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 7:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 7:05ORLMISS Barnes Driving Layup10
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 7:21DENNene 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)10
34.1%
8
65.9%
Q1 - 7:37DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 7:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 18
32.2%
8
67.8%
Q1 - 7:39DENPetro S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
8
Q1 - 7:39ORLHoward Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)8
8
Q1 - 7:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
34.2%
6
65.8%
Q1 - 7:56DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 8:15DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 8:16ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot8
35.3%
6
64.7%
Q1 - 8:27DENAnthony 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
34.0%
6
66.0%
Q1 - 8:46ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)6
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 9:01DENAfflalo 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 9:21ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 9:39DENAnthony Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Petro 2 AST)4
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 9:56ORLHoward Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 10:06ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 10:09ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 10:09ORLMISS Lewis Putback Layup2
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 10:11ORLMISS Lewis Layup2
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 10:25ORLSUB: Redick FOR Carter2
0
Q1 - 10:25ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)2
0
Q1 - 10:30DENAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Petro 1 AST)2
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 10:51DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 10:52ORLMISS Carter 28' 3PT Jump Shot0
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 11:04ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 11:05DENMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot0
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:21DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
31.5%
0
68.5%
Q1 - 11:22ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot0
31.1%
0
68.9%
Q1 - 11:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 11:31DENMISS Billups 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:41DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 11:42ORLMISS Carter 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
31.1%
0
68.9%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Petro: Tip to Nelson0
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.11 55.7%
ORL
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
13
20
65%
ORL
15
25
60%
Midrange
DEN
24
44
55%
ORL
13
25
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
ORL
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
Free Throws
DEN
8
11
73%
ORL
14
22
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2648%13.0 / 27
C. Billups1853%9.0 / 17
Nene1359%6.5 / 11
J. Smith1365%6.5 / 10
M. Allen1083%5.0 / 6
A. Afflalo964%4.5 / 7
J. Graham4100%2.0 / 2
J. Petro250%1.0 / 2
C. Andersen250%1.0 / 2
A. Carter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Redick2368%11.5 / 17
R. Anderson19106%9.5 / 9
D. Howard1847%9.0 / 19
M. Barnes1667%8.0 / 12
J. Nelson1554%7.5 / 14
R. Lewis1045%5.0 / 11
M. Gortat2100%1.0 / 1
V. Carter0-0.0 / 2
J. Williams0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
76
+10
-9
86
ORL
77
+12
-9
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.11 55.7%
ORL
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
111.5
DEN 114.1
ORL 119.8 +5.6
Pace
94.7
92.0
DEN 83.8
ORL 87.3 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.7
DEN 17.2
ORL 16.5 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
53.6%
DEN 55.6%
ORL 56.3% +0.7%
TO %
14.2%
14.8%
DEN 10.5%
ORL 9.2% +1.3%
ORB %
26.1%
24.6%
DEN 25.0%
ORL 25.0%
FTrt
37.6
34.0
DEN 13.8
ORL 27.8 +14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
53.7%
DEN 42.9%
ORL 64.1% +21.2%
STL %
8.7%
6.8%
DEN 3.5%
ORL 3.5%
BLK %
7.9%
8.6%
DEN 6.0%
ORL 6.3% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
55.8%
DEN 55.7%
ORL 56.6% +0.9%
Rim FG%
61.0%
61.6%
DEN 65.0% +5.0%
ORL 60.0%
Mid FG%
39.6%
42.3%
DEN 54.5% +2.5%
ORL 52.0%
3P %
35.9%
37.5%
DEN 31.3%
ORL 37.9% +6.6%
FT %
77.2%
72.4%
DEN 72.7% +9.1%
ORL 63.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
33.0%
DEN 25.0%
ORL 31.6% +6.6%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
32.0%
DEN 55.0%
ORL 31.6% +23.4%
3P Att. %
22.7%
35.0%
DEN 20.0%
ORL 36.7% +16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsDENORL
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points97103
Rebounds3937
Assists1825
Steals33
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)27 (2)
Field Goals42-8039-79
At-the-Rim FG13-2015-25
Midrange FG24-4413-25
2-Point FG37-6428-50
3-Point FG5-1611-29
Free Throws8-1114-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
41.3
26
48%
8
2
1
0
1
2
2
6
3-4
75%
10-20
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
36.1
13
59%
6
4
1
1
2
4
2
4
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
34.8
18
53%
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
6-12
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
25.6
9
64%
8
2
0
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 247 · 24
20.3
2
50%
3
2
1
1
1
5
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
22.4
13
65%
2
0
0
0
4
2
0
2
0-1
0%
5-7
71%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
18.3
2
50%
5
1
0
0
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
18.1
10
83%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
13.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
9.9
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
#4 · F · 6'9" 225 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
39
18
3
3
9
0
9
30
8-11
73%
37-64
58%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.