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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 28, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs40%9394
3Celtics60%9673
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.9
37.8
37.7
15
44%
3
3
3
1
0
3
1
2
3-5
60%
3-11
5-9
27%
48%
2-4
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.7
35.9
32.7
28
62%
3
7
1
2
1
0
1
2
8-8
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
49%
2-8
25%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.8
29.5
29.9
16
63%
11
3
0
1
0
2
4
7
4-4
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
26.5
29.4
8
50%
9
2
0
1
1
3
0
9
0-0
-
4-8
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
18.6
20.2
6
38%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
23.8
21.5
5
50%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
1-4
25%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.9
23.5
18.3
6
51%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
1-3
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.9
21.4
16.5
7
72%
11
0
0
1
1
3
4
7
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.5
13.0
16.0
1
35%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.4
3.5
3.8
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
3.4
6.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
3.3
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.9
Curtis Jerrells
G · 6'1" 195 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.5
36.4
30.8
18
57%
3
5
1
1
1
2
0
3
10-11
91%
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.1
35.3
33.4
6
38%
3
7
1
2
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
52%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.9
35.0
27.2
12
40%
10
0
1
1
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
6-15
5-10
40%
52%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.7
27.0
33.4
7
34%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.5
24.6
19.7
7
52%
8
0
1
1
1
1
1
7
2-4
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.2
19.4
16.2
2
17%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37.1
13.4
11.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.8
12.7
12.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-2
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.2
11.9
10.9
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
11.4
11.4
11
101%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
5-5
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.2
8.9
11.7
6
61%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
4.1
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.