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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 29, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Raptors28%93103
14Bobcats72%100101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.4
38.5
34.1
16
54%
9
2
1
0
1
1
3
6
1-2
50%
3-9
4-9
33%
48%
3-5
60%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
38.3
35.9
22
54%
11
2
1
1
2
1
3
8
2-3
67%
10-19
8-16
53%
49%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
31.1
30.5
15
68%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
6-7
2-5
86%
46%
1-4
25%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
25.0
24.9
10
54%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
0-1
0%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.7
17.1
21.7
6
51%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.0
28.1
16.1
11
61%
2
3
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
23.1
22.8
12
70%
2
5
0
1
1
2
0
2
7-8
88%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
1-2
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.6
19.6
23.8
8
59%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
16.0
12.5
2
50%
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.9
3.1
10.7
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
13.2
0
1-3
43%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.8
4.4
0
1-1
50%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
44.0
33.8
17
51%
8
3
0
1
0
0
0
8
3-4
75%
7-12
5-9
58%
54%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
42.9
31.2
11
46%
4
7
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
56%
1-4
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.8
30.8
31.2
18
75%
5
7
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
4-5
80%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.0
30.2
35.2
18
56%
5
3
1
1
0
4
0
5
6-7
86%
3-8
6-12
38%
49%
2-5
40%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.9
23.0
24.3
3
54%
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
1
3-4
75%
0-1
2-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.5
24.9
18.8
8
89%
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
2
6-8
75%
1-1
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.2
21.5
12.9
13
75%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
2-3
67%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.4
17.3
16.0
9
75%
1
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
3-3
100%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
5.5
11.1
4
52%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.3
4.1
0
0-1
49%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.2
3.0
0
0-0
49%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.6
2.9
0
0-1
54%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.6
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.