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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 29, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs73%10084
28Nets27%9290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.9
39.4
36.9
19
48%
4
3
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
7-16
5-9
44%
51%
1-3
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.8
38.2
29.2
16
57%
5
5
0
1
1
1
1
4
6-7
86%
5-10
4-7
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
30.6
28.2
13
39%
12
4
0
1
2
4
3
9
1-4
25%
6-15
6-12
40%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
21.1
19.5
0
0%
5
4
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.9
19.4
20.3
1
13%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-4
25%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
26.9
22.5
10
44%
9
3
1
1
0
2
2
7
0-1
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
2-7
29%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
26.4
6.2
4
50%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.9
17.4
18.6
11
56%
11
1
0
1
0
2
5
6
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
55%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
11.6
4.6
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.5
8.9
15.2
7
70%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.7
33.5
2
5-10
51%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.4
4.6
0
1-2
55%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.9
Curtis Jerrells
G · 6'1" 195 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.0
38.1
33.7
22
61%
12
3
1
1
0
0
6
6
8-9
89%
7-14
7-13
50%
52%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
38.0
29.5
17
46%
2
9
1
1
0
0
0
2
4-6
67%
5-12
4-8
42%
47%
1-4
25%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.5
35.8
25.7
19
66%
6
0
1
1
0
1
1
5
3-3
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.4
31.2
25.4
8
31%
7
0
0
1
1
0
1
6
2-2
100%
3-11
3-8
27%
42%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.6
22.0
25.4
3
30%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
1-5
20%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
26.2
28.0
13
44%
7
3
1
1
0
2
1
6
4-4
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
43%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
16.6
18.6
4
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.9
13.9
18.1
4
33%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.3
9.9
14.3
0
0%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.2
8.2
17.7
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 31.1
5.1
0
0-1
44%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.5
4.7
0
0-1
42%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.8
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.