FinalWin Prob.pScore
940%100
93
1060%104
109
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
103.39091.1
DAL logo DAL
118.59291.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL93
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENAfflalo Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)93
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0DALMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 291
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08DENMISS Graham 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18DENMISS Afflalo 10' Fadeaway Jumper90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26DALMISS Stevenson 15' Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40DALCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40DENMISS Petro 4' Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50DALCarroll 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 10 AST)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34DENLawson Driving Layup (10 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15DENNuggets Rebound85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25DALMISS Terry 5' Driving Jump Shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42DENLawson Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08DENHaywood BLOCK (4 BLK)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)83
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:13DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 283
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 283
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:13DALMISS Butler Layup83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58DALMAVERICKS Rebound81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot81
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:12DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 5:13DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot81
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 5:32DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 5:32DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 5:46DALHaywood Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)79
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:47DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:48DENMISS Lawson Driving Layup79
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:54DALHaywood Putback Layup (10 PTS)79
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:56DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 5:57DALMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot79
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 6:23DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)79
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 6:24DENMISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot79
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 6:45DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)79
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 6:53DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 6:55DENNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)79
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 7:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)79
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 7:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)79
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 7:24DENBillups Layup (9 PTS)79
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 7:30DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 7:32DALMISS Terry Layup77
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 7:37DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 7:38DENMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot77
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 8:05DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 9 AST)77
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 8:13DENButler STEAL (2 STL)77
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q4 - 8:26DALTerry Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)77
6.5%
87
93.5%
Q4 - 8:28DENKidd STEAL (3 STL)77
8.4%
85
91.6%
Q4 - 8:29DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)77
10.5%
85
89.5%
Q4 - 8:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
8.3%
85
91.7%
Q4 - 8:32DENMISS Nene Layup77
8.9%
85
91.1%
Q4 - 8:40DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
10.5%
85
89.5%
Q4 - 8:41DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot77
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q4 - 8:55DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
8.3%
85
91.7%
Q4 - 8:55DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q4 - 9:09DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
7.7%
85
92.3%
Q4 - 9:11DALMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot75
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 9:25DENButler STEAL (1 STL)75
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 9:43DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 8 AST)75
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q4 - 10:08DENSmith 7' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)75
12.7%
82
87.3%
Q4 - 10:15DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
10.4%
82
89.6%
Q4 - 10:17DALMISS Beaubois 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
9.8%
82
90.2%
Q4 - 10:34DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q4 - 10:34DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 272
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q4 - 10:45DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Beaubois 1 AST)72
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q4 - 11:01DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
13.7%
79
86.3%
Q4 - 11:01DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 271
13.1%
79
86.9%
Q4 - 11:10DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)71
13.6%
79
86.4%
Q4 - 11:40DENLawson 11' Pullup Bank Shot (6 PTS)71
11.3%
79
88.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN69
9.3%
79
90.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)69
9.3%
79
90.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALMISS Marion 7' Running Jump Shot69
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q3 - 0:09.0DENSmith 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)69
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot66
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0DENMISS Graham Free Throw 2 of 264
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q3 - 1:13DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 1:14DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot63
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q3 - 1:37DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 1:39DENMISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot63
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 1:51DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 1:52DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot63
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q3 - 2:14DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q3 - 2:15DENMISS Anthony 4' Driving Jump Shot63
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q3 - 2:26DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)63
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q3 - 2:26DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)63
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 2:32DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q3 - 2:33DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q3 - 2:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 2:44DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q3 - 3:05DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)63
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q3 - 3:26DALButler 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)60
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q3 - 3:52DENGraham 4' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)60
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q3 - 4:12DALMarion 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (21 PTS) (Nowitzki 7 AST)58
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 4:30DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 4:31DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 4:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 4:36DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 4:36DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot58
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 4:37DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup58
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 4:58DALMarion Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)58
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 5:03DENKidd STEAL (2 STL)58
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 5:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
8.1%
71
91.9%
Q3 - 5:11DALMISS Marion 11' Turnaround Jump Shot58
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 5:27DENSmith 6' Driving Jump Shot (13 PTS)58
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 5:53DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)56
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 5:53DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)56
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 5:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q3 - 6:00DALMISS Butler 24' Jump Shot56
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 6:09DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)56
7.3%
69
92.7%
Q3 - 6:29DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)56
8.5%
68
91.5%
Q3 - 6:32DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 6:34DENMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot53
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 6:40DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 6:41DALMISS Haywood 9' Fadeaway Jumper53
6.0%
68
94.0%
Q3 - 7:03DENGraham 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)53
5.9%
68
94.1%
Q3 - 7:27DALKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 7:27DALKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 7:31DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 7:32DENHaywood BLOCK (3 BLK)51
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q3 - 7:44DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 7:45DALMISS Haywood 17' Jump Shot51
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q3 - 8:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 8:12DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 8:30DALNowitzki 10' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)51
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q3 - 8:45DENBillups 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)51
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 9:01DALMarion 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)48
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q3 - 9:09DENMarion STEAL (2 STL)48
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 9:25DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
8.5%
62
91.5%
Q3 - 9:26DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot48
8.1%
62
91.9%
Q3 - 9:38DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 9:39DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot48
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 10:03DALHaywood Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)48
8.9%
62
91.1%
Q3 - 10:19DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 10:20DENHaywood BLOCK (2 BLK)48
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 10:39DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)48
11.5%
60
88.5%
Q3 - 10:54DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 10:54DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q3 - 11:02DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)48
17.2%
57
82.8%
Q3 - 11:23DENAnthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)48
15.2%
57
84.8%
Q3 - 11:47DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q3 - 11:47DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)46
13.7%
56
86.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN46
15.1%
55
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
17.1%
55
82.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Kidd Driving Layup46
16.5%
55
83.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)46
16.1%
55
83.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENNuggets Rebound46
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMISS Beaubois 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
17.0%
55
83.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
16.4%
55
83.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot46
17.0%
55
83.0%
Q2 - 1:05DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
16.4%
55
83.6%
Q2 - 1:05DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q2 - 1:12DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)44
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q2 - 1:28DALMAVERICKS Rebound44
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q2 - 1:28DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
13.4%
55
86.6%
Q2 - 1:46DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q2 - 1:46DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
14.5%
54
85.5%
Q2 - 1:51DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q2 - 1:52DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot44
16.8%
53
83.2%
Q2 - 2:12DALBeaubois 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)44
18.3%
53
81.7%
Q2 - 2:20DENBeaubois STEAL (3 STL)44
22.3%
50
77.7%
Q2 - 2:34DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
24.7%
50
75.3%
Q2 - 2:35DALMISS Kidd 23' Jump Shot44
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q2 - 2:42DENBeaubois STEAL (2 STL)44
22.3%
50
77.7%
Q2 - 2:58DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)44
24.7%
50
75.3%
Q2 - 3:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q2 - 3:13DALMISS Beaubois 13' Pullup Jump Shot44
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q2 - 3:37DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q2 - 3:37DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
29.5%
47
70.5%
Q2 - 3:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
27.6%
47
72.4%
Q2 - 3:48DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 242
27.8%
46
72.2%
Q2 - 3:56DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 3:57DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
28.0%
46
72.0%
Q2 - 4:02DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
30.0%
46
70.0%
Q2 - 4:03DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot42
28.1%
46
71.9%
Q2 - 4:19DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T3)42
30.0%
46
70.0%
Q2 - 4:30DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)42
27.3%
46
72.7%
Q2 - 4:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
22.9%
46
77.1%
Q2 - 4:42DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 239
22.6%
46
77.4%
Q2 - 4:42DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 239
21.4%
46
78.6%
Q2 - 4:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q2 - 4:49DENMISS Afflalo 7' Driving Jump Shot39
21.3%
46
78.7%
Q2 - 5:00DENNuggets Rebound39
22.9%
46
77.1%
Q2 - 5:00DENHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)39
21.3%
46
78.7%
Q2 - 5:13DALBeaubois Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)39
23.1%
46
76.9%
Q2 - 5:33DENLawson Running Layup (4 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)39
25.4%
44
74.6%
Q2 - 5:38DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
23.1%
44
76.9%
Q2 - 5:39DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot37
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 5:56DENKidd STEAL (1 STL)37
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 6:15DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)37
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 6:15DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 6:38DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
25.4%
42
74.6%
Q2 - 6:42DALButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)34
21.6%
42
78.4%
Q2 - 6:59DENGraham Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)34
19.4%
42
80.6%
Q2 - 7:21DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 7:22DALMISS Beaubois 18' Pullup Jump Shot32
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 7:28DENBeaubois STEAL (1 STL)32
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 7:36DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)32
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 7:36DALDampier Putback Dunk (4 PTS)32
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 7:37DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 7:50DENLawson Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 7:55DENNuggets Rebound30
18.1%
40
81.9%
Q2 - 7:55DALMISS Dampier Layup30
17.6%
40
82.4%
Q2 - 7:56DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)30
16.4%
40
83.6%
Q2 - 7:57DALMISS Butler Driving Layup30
17.6%
40
82.4%
Q2 - 8:19DENSmith 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (8 PTS)30
16.9%
40
83.1%
Q2 - 8:39DALButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)28
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 9:02DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 9:04DALMISS Najera 5' Driving Bank Shot28
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 9:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 9:20DENMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot28
19.2%
37
80.8%
Q2 - 9:43DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q2 - 9:45DALMISS Dampier Driving Layup28
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 9:58DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 9:59DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q2 - 9:59DENMISS Smith Putback Dunk28
19.2%
37
80.8%
Q2 - 10:00DENMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot28
19.2%
37
80.8%
Q2 - 10:11DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)28
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 10:22DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 10:22DALDampier Tip Shot (2 PTS)27
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 10:24DALMISS Beaubois 3PT Jump Shot27
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 10:38DENAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 10:38DENAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)26
20.3%
35
79.7%
Q2 - 10:53DALTerry 21' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 11:08DENSmith 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)25
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 11:35DALButler 22' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
19.3%
33
80.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL23
20.9%
31
79.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound23
20.9%
31
79.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Najera 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
22.2%
31
77.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENAllen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)23
21.4%
31
78.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0DALMarion 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)20
18.0%
31
82.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
19.8%
29
80.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot20
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0DALMarion Running Layup (8 PTS)20
21.1%
29
78.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0DENMarion STEAL (1 STL)20
23.1%
27
76.9%
Q1 - 1:09DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24.8%
27
75.2%
Q1 - 1:10DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
24.4%
27
75.6%
Q1 - 1:29DENSmith 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
23.6%
27
76.4%
Q1 - 1:43DALHaywood 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)18
21.4%
27
78.6%
Q1 - 1:54DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
23.6%
25
76.4%
Q1 - 1:55DENMISS Anthony 10' Jump Shot18
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q1 - 2:12DALMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)18
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q1 - 2:26DENSmith 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
23.8%
25
76.2%
Q1 - 2:33DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
21.9%
25
78.1%
Q1 - 2:35DENMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot16
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q1 - 3:00DALMarion Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
21.9%
25
78.1%
Q1 - 3:09DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 3:10DALMISS Marion 14' Jump Shot16
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q1 - 3:18DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
23.8%
23
76.2%
Q1 - 3:19DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot16
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q1 - 3:39DENNene Driving Layup (8 PTS)16
23.8%
23
76.2%
Q1 - 3:47DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
22.2%
23
77.8%
Q1 - 3:48DALMISS Butler Driving Finger Roll Layup14
21.7%
23
78.3%
Q1 - 3:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 3:57DENNene Putback Layup (6 PTS)14
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 3:58DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot12
18.1%
23
81.9%
Q1 - 4:18DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)12
19.4%
23
80.6%
Q1 - 4:35DENNene 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 4:55DALKidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)10
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 5:22DENBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
24.2%
17
75.8%
Q1 - 5:42DENNuggets Rebound8
22.7%
17
77.3%
Q1 - 5:43DALMISS Butler 10' Step Back Jump Shot8
22.2%
17
77.8%
Q1 - 6:02DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
21.3%
17
78.7%
Q1 - 6:02DENAllen Putback Layup (2 PTS)8
21.3%
17
78.7%
Q1 - 6:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
19.9%
17
80.1%
Q1 - 6:03DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot6
19.0%
17
81.0%
Q1 - 6:04DENMISS Anthony 3' Driving Jump Shot6
19.0%
17
81.0%
Q1 - 6:28DALNowitzki Running Layup (6 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)6
19.9%
17
80.1%
Q1 - 6:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 6:36DENMISS Billups Driving Reverse Layup6
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 6:52DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)6
22.8%
15
77.2%
Q1 - 7:07DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 7:20DALMarion 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)4
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 7:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 7:37DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup4
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 8:02DALMarion Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)4
25.9%
11
74.1%
Q1 - 8:17DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
27.6%
9
72.4%
Q1 - 8:18DENMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot4
28.1%
9
71.9%
Q1 - 8:26DENAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.2%
9
70.8%
Q1 - 8:27DALMISS Marion 11' Turnaround Hook Shot4
28.7%
9
71.3%
Q1 - 8:43DENAfflalo Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
27.6%
9
72.4%
Q1 - 9:03DALHaywood Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)2
26.4%
9
73.6%
Q1 - 9:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
28.0%
7
72.0%
Q1 - 9:14DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
28.5%
7
71.5%
Q1 - 9:28DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.6%
7
70.4%
Q1 - 9:29DALMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot2
29.1%
7
70.9%
Q1 - 9:34DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.0%
7
72.0%
Q1 - 9:35DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
28.5%
7
71.5%
Q1 - 10:00DALButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)2
29.5%
7
70.5%
Q1 - 10:12DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 10:30DALHaywood Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)2
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 10:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:35DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot2
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 10:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 10:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
38.6%
1
61.4%
Q1 - 11:11DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 11:12DENMISS Petro 17' Jump Shot2
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 11:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.2%
0
58.8%
Q1 - 11:31DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot2
40.7%
0
59.3%
Q1 - 11:42DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 11:42DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Haywood vs. Petro: Tip to Nene0
38.0%
0
62.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
DAL
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
14
27
52%
DAL
15
24
63%
Midrange
DEN
12
31
39%
DAL
11
35
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
DAL
12
18.0
22
55%
82%
Free Throws
DEN
23
30
77%
DAL
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2771%13.5 / 19
Nene1470%7.0 / 10
C. Billups1134%5.5 / 16
C. Anthony1029%5.0 / 17
J. Graham1083%5.0 / 6
T. Lawson1056%5.0 / 9
M. Allen758%3.5 / 6
A. Afflalo433%2.0 / 6
J. Petro0-0.0 / 2
A. Carter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3468%17.0 / 25
S. Marion2175%10.5 / 14
J. Terry1575%7.5 / 10
C. Butler1045%5.0 / 11
B. Haywood1063%5.0 / 8
J. Kidd857%4.0 / 7
R. Beaubois536%2.5 / 7
E. Dampier450%2.0 / 4
M. Carroll250%1.0 / 2
E. Najera0-0.0 / 2
D. Stevenson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
78
+14
-12
92
DAL
85
+10
-7
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
DAL
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
109.2
DEN 103.3
DAL 118.5 +15.1
Pace
94.7
92.6
DEN 91.1
DAL 91.4 +0.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.7
DEN 15.8
DAL 15.7 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
50.6%
DEN 44.9%
DAL 54.3% +9.4%
TO %
14.2%
13.2%
DEN 11.6%
DAL 8.0% +3.6%
ORB %
26.1%
24.3%
DEN 26.7% +4.2%
DAL 22.5%
FTrt
37.6
27.7
DEN 38.5 +8.9
DAL 29.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
61.1%
DEN 37.5%
DAL 71.1% +33.6%
STL %
8.7%
8.1%
DEN 4.4%
DAL 10.9% +6.5%
BLK %
7.9%
8.5%
DEN 5.1%
DAL 8.6% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
53.6%
DEN 49.5%
DAL 57.4% +7.9%
Rim FG%
61.0%
58.4%
DEN 51.9%
DAL 62.5% +10.6%
Mid FG%
39.6%
42.9%
DEN 38.7% +7.3%
DAL 31.4%
3P %
35.9%
37.2%
DEN 30.0%
DAL 54.5% +24.5%
FT %
77.2%
81.7%
DEN 76.7%
DAL 87.5% +10.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
30.8%
DEN 34.6% +5.0%
DAL 29.6%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
47.1%
DEN 39.7% +3.5%
DAL 43.2%
3P Att. %
22.7%
22.2%
DEN 25.6%
DAL 27.2% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions9092
Possession Minutes23.724.1
Points93109
Rebounds4342
Assists1227
Steals410
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)33 (2)
Field Goals32-7838-81
At-the-Rim FG14-2715-24
Midrange FG12-3111-35
2-Point FG26-5826-59
3-Point FG6-2012-22
Free Throws23-3021-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
37.1
10
29%
9
1
1
0
0
5
5
4
3-3
100%
2-15
13%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
32.9
11
34%
3
6
0
0
2
4
1
2
4-4
100%
2-7
29%
1-7
14%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
32.8
14
70%
8
1
0
0
2
1
2
6
8-12
67%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
21.4
4
33%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 247 · 24
3.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
33.5
27
71%
4
0
1
1
5
1
1
3
4-6
67%
7-10
70%
3-6
50%
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
24.6
10
83%
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
4
2-3
67%
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
19.5
10
56%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
17.7
0
0%
4
0
1
2
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
13.4
7
58%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
#4 · F · 6'9" 225 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
50%
43
12
4
3
12
0
12
31
23-30
77%
26-58
45%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.