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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Lakers49%9892
11Hawks51%99109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
41.6
36.4
28
59%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-6
33%
10-18
6-13
56%
49%
2-3
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.7
41.3
35.7
16
59%
11
1
0
1
0
4
2
9
6-8
75%
5-10
7-13
50%
54%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.4
38.5
35.3
15
67%
5
5
1
1
0
0
1
4
4-5
80%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.4
38.1
34.9
7
39%
10
2
2
1
0
3
2
8
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
52%
1-3
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.6
23.1
23.8
4
29%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
26.2
22.5
16
81%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
4-7
57%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.3
15.5
20.4
3
28%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-2
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.2
6.7
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.7
6.5
4.1
2
100%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.2
2.5
9.5
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.4
8.7
0
2-3
57%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.1
4.0
0
0-1
44%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.3
38.5
33.9
12
50%
8
6
2
1
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
6-12
6-13
50%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.8
35.6
34.8
25
61%
3
8
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
5-11
6-13
45%
48%
5-9
56%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.8
30.6
28.8
2
25%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
24.1
33.0
10
63%
6
1
1
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
5-8
6-10
63%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.9
21.9
27.5
12
67%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
2-5
40%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.0
27.6
29.2
14
44%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.1
23.9
14.2
10
82%
10
2
2
0
0
0
4
6
4-7
57%
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
23.8
17.7
18
87%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
6-6
1-3
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.8
10.4
7.6
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
1.8
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.3
1.8
2.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
37%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.7
6.1
0
1-2
46%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.