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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Thunder28%88109
5Celtics72%96104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.5
44.2
36.2
37
70%
8
2
1
1
0
2
2
6
15-15
100%
8-15
7-14
53%
48%
2-5
40%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
39.1
32.6
17
61%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
3-4
75%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.7
35.2
21.3
6
34%
8
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
2-4
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
33.4
27.2
21
57%
3
10
0
1
0
2
2
1
3-3
100%
9-16
5-10
56%
43%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.9
22.2
25.0
7
60%
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.6
25.8
20.4
5
66%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
14.6
20.7
8
82%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
12.8
20.6
6
52%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
2-4
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.5
12.7
23.0
2
50%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 24.1
6.9
0
0-1
48%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.3
4.2
0
0-1
40%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.0
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.6
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.5
37.3
32.4
15
61%
6
6
2
1
1
2
1
5
4-5
80%
4-7
5-9
57%
49%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.1
36.1
33.5
16
67%
5
11
5
2
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
8-12
4-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.7
33.1
30.2
13
52%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
52%
0-5
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.9
30.9
29.6
18
69%
9
4
0
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
9-13
6-11
69%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.4
22.4
24.7
6
61%
6
0
0
0
3
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
59%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.5
25.6
21.2
18
92%
1
1
0
1
0
3
1
0
2-4
50%
5-5
2-4
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.2
17.1
17.6
10
61%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.2
14.9
11.5
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.8
12.0
12.7
2
20%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37.1
10.8
12.4
4
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
11.4
0
1-3
49%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.2
11.0
1
2-3
51%
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.