FinalWin Prob.pScore
1360%93
98
2640%90
81
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
116.78481.8
DET logo DET
96.48486.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETMISS Jerebko Free Throw 2 of 298
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETMISS Daye Layup98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Diawara 19' Jump Shot98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETMISS Summers Free Throw 2 of 298
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETSummers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETSummers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETMISS Bynum Driving Layup98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 298
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIAHeat Rebound97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07DETMISS Jerebko 6' Jump Shot97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49DETBynum Layup (13 PTS)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50MIABynum STEAL (2 STL)94
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58DETBynum Driving Layup (11 PTS)94
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot94
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)94
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23DETMISS Jerebko Free Throw 2 of 294
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23DETMISS Jerebko Free Throw 1 of 294
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)94
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27DETMISS Daye 6' Hook Shot94
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 8 AST)94
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14DETPISTONS Rebound91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:44DETJerebko Layup (8 PTS) (Summers 1 AST)91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:50DETSummers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:19DETDaye Driving Layup (6 PTS)91
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36MIABeasley Layup (25 PTS)91
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55DETJerebko Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T14)89
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14MIABeasley Layup (23 PTS)89
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Beasley 4' Hook Shot87
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 5:42DETJerebko Dunk (6 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)87
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)87
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 6:19DETMISS Daye 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 6:41MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 6:41MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)83
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 6:44DETGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)82
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 6:55MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)82
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q4 - 7:08DETDaye Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)82
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q4 - 7:18MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P4.T15)82
98.8%
67
1.2%
Q4 - 7:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot82
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q4 - 7:58MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q4 - 7:59DETMISS Summers 17' Jump Shot82
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q4 - 8:11MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T14)82
98.5%
67
1.5%
Q4 - 8:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
98.8%
67
1.2%
Q4 - 8:11DETMISS Jerebko Tip Shot82
98.7%
67
1.3%
Q4 - 8:11DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
98.5%
67
1.5%
Q4 - 8:13DETMISS Jerebko Layup82
98.7%
67
1.3%
Q4 - 8:35MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)82
98.5%
67
1.5%
Q4 - 8:38MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
98.8%
67
1.2%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot82
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q4 - 8:55DETDaye 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)82
98.8%
67
1.2%
Q4 - 9:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot82
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 9:34DETGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)82
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 9:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot82
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 10:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q4 - 10:15DETMISS Daye 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q4 - 10:35MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)82
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q4 - 10:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
98.8%
62
1.2%
Q4 - 10:47DETMISS Daye 10' Jump Shot79
98.7%
62
1.3%
Q4 - 11:09MIABeasley Driving Layup (21 PTS)79
98.2%
62
1.8%
Q4 - 11:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
97.7%
62
2.3%
Q4 - 11:23DETMISS Gordon 14' Running Bank Shot77
97.6%
62
2.4%
Q4 - 11:41MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 7 AST)77
97.2%
62
2.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET75
96.6%
62
3.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound75
95.8%
62
4.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Stuckey 60' 3PT Jump Shot75
96.4%
62
3.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
95.3%
62
4.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
94.2%
62
5.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 273
94.4%
61
5.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
94.3%
61
5.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
94.6%
61
5.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
95.2%
61
4.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETMISS Gordon 8' Jump Bank Shot73
95.0%
61
5.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)73
94.3%
61
5.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
93.0%
61
7.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
92.1%
61
7.9%
Q3 - 1:18DETGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 6 AST)71
92.4%
61
7.6%
Q3 - 1:29DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
94.9%
58
5.1%
Q3 - 1:30DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
95.4%
58
4.6%
Q3 - 1:54DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
94.9%
58
5.1%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot71
95.1%
58
4.9%
Q3 - 2:12DETSummers Layup (4 PTS)71
95.2%
58
4.8%
Q3 - 2:15DETSummers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
96.0%
56
4.0%
Q3 - 2:16DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 271
96.6%
56
3.4%
Q3 - 2:16DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)71
96.1%
56
3.9%
Q3 - 2:16MIAStuckey STEAL (3 STL)71
96.6%
55
3.4%
Q3 - 2:37DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)71
97.2%
55
2.8%
Q3 - 2:37DETPISTONS Rebound71
96.7%
55
3.3%
Q3 - 2:38DETMISS Stuckey Layup71
97.1%
55
2.9%
Q3 - 3:02MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P3.T11)71
96.3%
55
3.7%
Q3 - 3:10DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
96.9%
55
3.1%
Q3 - 3:10DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
97.1%
54
2.9%
Q3 - 3:16MIARichardson Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS)71
97.4%
53
2.6%
Q3 - 3:42DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)69
97.0%
53
3.0%
Q3 - 3:54MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)69
97.4%
51
2.6%
Q3 - 4:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
97.6%
51
2.4%
Q3 - 4:06DETMISS Summers 19' Jump Shot69
97.5%
51
2.5%
Q3 - 4:35MIABeasley Putback Dunk (19 PTS)69
97.1%
51
2.9%
Q3 - 4:36MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
96.7%
51
3.3%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot67
96.2%
51
3.8%
Q3 - 4:58DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)67
96.7%
51
3.3%
Q3 - 5:00DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
96.0%
51
4.0%
Q3 - 5:02MIABrown BLOCK (1 BLK)67
95.7%
51
4.3%
Q3 - 5:08MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
96.2%
51
3.8%
Q3 - 5:09DETMISS Bynum 20' Jump Shot67
96.0%
51
4.0%
Q3 - 5:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
95.5%
51
4.5%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot67
95.8%
51
4.2%
Q3 - 5:42MIAHeat Rebound67
96.3%
51
3.7%
Q3 - 5:43DETMISS Stuckey 15' Jump Shot67
96.1%
51
3.9%
Q3 - 6:12MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)67
95.1%
51
4.9%
Q3 - 6:32MIAHeat Rebound65
94.4%
51
5.6%
Q3 - 6:32DETMISS Prince 7' Turnaround Jump Shot65
94.2%
51
5.8%
Q3 - 6:51DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
93.4%
51
6.6%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper65
93.8%
51
6.2%
Q3 - 7:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
94.5%
51
5.5%
Q3 - 7:01DETMISS Jerebko 8' Hook Shot65
93.4%
51
6.6%
Q3 - 7:24MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)65
92.8%
51
7.2%
Q3 - 7:40MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
91.8%
51
8.2%
Q3 - 7:41DETMISS Jerebko 20' Jump Shot63
91.4%
51
8.6%
Q3 - 7:55MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)63
90.4%
51
9.6%
Q3 - 8:01MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
91.4%
51
8.6%
Q3 - 8:02DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot63
91.0%
51
9.0%
Q3 - 8:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
90.0%
51
10.0%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot63
90.5%
51
9.5%
Q3 - 8:21MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
91.4%
51
8.6%
Q3 - 8:22DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot63
91.0%
51
9.0%
Q3 - 8:48MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)63
90.0%
51
10.0%
Q3 - 9:06DETWallace Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)60
86.8%
51
13.2%
Q3 - 9:23DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
88.4%
49
11.6%
Q3 - 9:25DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 260
89.6%
49
10.4%
Q3 - 9:25DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 260
89.2%
49
10.8%
Q3 - 9:44MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)60
88.4%
49
11.6%
Q3 - 10:07DETStuckey 14' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)57
84.6%
49
15.4%
Q3 - 10:30MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)57
86.4%
47
13.6%
Q3 - 10:42DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)57
88.0%
47
12.0%
Q3 - 11:01MIAArroyo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)57
86.0%
47
14.0%
Q3 - 11:35DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
82.4%
47
17.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
84.3%
45
15.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound54
86.1%
45
13.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 60' 3PT Jump Shot54
84.5%
45
15.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETStuckey 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)54
85.4%
45
14.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
87.4%
43
12.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
87.7%
43
12.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
88.5%
43
11.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0DETMISS Jerebko 22' Jump Shot54
88.2%
43
11.8%
Q2 - 1:00MIAWade Putback Dunk (6 PTS)54
87.4%
43
12.6%
Q2 - 1:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)52
85.5%
43
14.5%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot52
84.4%
43
15.6%
Q2 - 1:18DETSummers 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)52
85.2%
43
14.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
87.2%
41
12.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
86.9%
41
13.1%
Q2 - 1:53DETStuckey 18' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)50
85.2%
41
14.8%
Q2 - 2:14MIAStuckey STEAL (2 STL)50
86.6%
39
13.4%
Q2 - 2:29DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
88.1%
39
11.9%
Q2 - 2:39DETPISTONS Rebound50
89.4%
37
10.6%
Q2 - 2:39DETMISS Jerebko Tip Shot50
90.2%
37
9.8%
Q2 - 2:39DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
89.4%
37
10.6%
Q2 - 2:39DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot50
90.2%
37
9.8%
Q2 - 3:00MIAAnthony Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)50
89.4%
37
10.6%
Q2 - 3:18DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)48
88.0%
37
12.0%
Q2 - 3:37MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)48
90.2%
34
9.8%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 247
90.0%
34
10.0%
Q2 - 3:58MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
90.4%
34
9.6%
Q2 - 3:59DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
90.0%
34
10.0%
Q2 - 4:10MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)47
88.7%
34
11.3%
Q2 - 4:33DETGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)44
86.2%
34
13.8%
Q2 - 4:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
88.7%
31
11.3%
Q2 - 4:41DETMISS Gordon Layup44
89.6%
31
10.4%
Q2 - 5:02MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)44
88.5%
31
11.5%
Q2 - 5:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
85.8%
31
14.2%
Q2 - 5:25DETMISS Daye 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
85.4%
31
14.6%
Q2 - 5:30DETPISTONS Rebound41
84.4%
31
15.6%
Q2 - 5:30DETMISS Stuckey 5' Jump Shot41
85.4%
31
14.6%
Q2 - 5:39DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
84.4%
31
15.6%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot41
84.8%
31
15.2%
Q2 - 5:59DETDaye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)41
85.8%
31
14.2%
Q2 - 6:23DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
83.6%
31
16.4%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 241
83.9%
31
16.1%
Q2 - 6:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)41
84.9%
31
15.1%
Q2 - 6:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
83.9%
31
16.1%
Q2 - 6:38DETMISS Wallace Layup40
83.4%
31
16.6%
Q2 - 6:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
82.0%
31
18.0%
Q2 - 6:41DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
83.4%
31
16.6%
Q2 - 6:59MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)40
82.1%
31
17.9%
Q2 - 7:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
78.5%
31
21.5%
Q2 - 7:13DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
77.8%
31
22.2%
Q2 - 7:37MIAWright Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)37
76.4%
31
23.6%
Q2 - 7:53DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)35
74.4%
31
25.6%
Q2 - 8:08DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
71.7%
31
28.3%
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot35
72.4%
31
27.6%
Q2 - 8:27DETDaye Tip Shot (2 PTS)35
74.0%
31
26.0%
Q2 - 8:29DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
76.0%
29
24.0%
Q2 - 8:30DETMISS Summers 28' 3PT Jump Shot35
77.4%
29
22.6%
Q2 - 8:57MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)35
76.0%
29
24.0%
Q2 - 9:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
71.6%
29
28.4%
Q2 - 9:06DETMISS Gordon 16' Running Jump Shot32
70.9%
29
29.1%
Q2 - 9:24MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)32
69.2%
29
30.8%
Q2 - 9:24MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)31
68.8%
29
31.2%
Q2 - 9:40MIAHeat Rebound30
67.0%
29
33.0%
Q2 - 9:41DETMISS Bynum Driving Layup30
66.3%
29
33.7%
Q2 - 9:58MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)30
64.5%
29
35.5%
Q2 - 10:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
62.2%
29
37.8%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
60.2%
29
39.8%
Q2 - 10:09MIAWright Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)28
62.1%
29
37.9%
Q2 - 10:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
59.6%
29
40.4%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot27
57.7%
29
42.3%
Q2 - 10:43DETBynum 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)27
59.6%
29
40.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIABeasley Dunk (12 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)27
61.9%
27
38.1%
Q2 - 11:24DETBynum Driving Layup (5 PTS)25
59.5%
27
40.5%
Q2 - 11:37MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
61.9%
25
38.1%
Q2 - 11:37MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
61.4%
25
38.6%
Q2 - 11:45DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
59.5%
25
40.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET23
56.9%
25
43.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound23
56.9%
25
43.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Summers 3PT Jump Shot23
58.6%
25
41.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
57.3%
25
42.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
54.4%
25
45.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
57.3%
23
42.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot21
57.9%
23
42.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
59.2%
23
40.8%
Q1 - 1:17MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)21
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q1 - 1:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
57.0%
21
43.0%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Anthony Alley Oop Layup18
55.8%
21
44.2%
Q1 - 1:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
57.0%
21
43.0%
Q1 - 1:50DETMISS Summers 18' Jump Shot18
56.5%
21
43.5%
Q1 - 2:17MIARichardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
55.5%
21
44.5%
Q1 - 2:22MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
50.5%
21
49.5%
Q1 - 2:23MIAMISS Anthony Putback Dunk15
49.1%
21
50.9%
Q1 - 2:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
50.5%
21
49.5%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot15
49.1%
21
50.9%
Q1 - 2:45DETSummers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
50.4%
21
49.6%
Q1 - 2:56DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade Layup15
49.1%
21
50.9%
Q1 - 2:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
50.4%
21
49.6%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
49.1%
21
50.9%
Q1 - 3:08DETJerebko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q1 - 3:24DETPISTONS Rebound15
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q1 - 3:24MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)15
49.5%
21
50.5%
Q1 - 3:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
51.1%
21
48.9%
Q1 - 3:40DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot15
50.4%
21
49.6%
Q1 - 4:04MIABeasley Layup (8 PTS)15
49.2%
21
50.8%
Q1 - 4:14DETJerebko Foul Turnover (P1.T3)13
47.0%
21
53.0%
Q1 - 4:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade Layup13
45.4%
21
54.6%
Q1 - 4:44DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)13
47.0%
21
53.0%
Q1 - 5:05MIABeasley Driving Layup (6 PTS)13
49.3%
19
50.7%
Q1 - 5:16MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
47.3%
19
52.7%
Q1 - 5:17DETMISS Bynum 16' Jump Shot11
46.6%
19
53.4%
Q1 - 5:44MIAArroyo 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)11
45.0%
19
55.0%
Q1 - 5:50DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
43.0%
19
57.0%
Q1 - 5:53MIAJerebko STEAL (1 STL)9
40.7%
19
59.3%
Q1 - 6:08DETPrince Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
43.5%
19
56.5%
Q1 - 6:24DETPISTONS Rebound9
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 6:26MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot9
46.2%
17
53.8%
Q1 - 6:43DETStuckey 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)9
47.7%
17
52.3%
Q1 - 6:49DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)9
50.4%
15
49.6%
Q1 - 7:02DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
52.4%
15
47.6%
Q1 - 7:11MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T5)9
56.4%
12
43.6%
Q1 - 7:40DETJerebko Layup (4 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)9
58.5%
12
41.5%
Q1 - 8:01MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)9
60.8%
10
39.2%
Q1 - 8:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
56.7%
10
43.3%
Q1 - 8:09DETMISS Maxiell Layup6
56.1%
10
43.9%
Q1 - 8:14DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.7%
10
45.3%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot6
55.4%
10
44.6%
Q1 - 8:35DETStuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)6
56.7%
10
43.3%
Q1 - 8:52MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)6
60.7%
7
39.3%
Q1 - 8:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
62.7%
7
37.3%
Q1 - 8:56DETMISS Jerebko Layup6
62.1%
7
37.9%
Q1 - 9:00MIABynum STEAL (1 STL)6
60.7%
7
39.3%
Q1 - 9:09DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
63.2%
7
36.8%
Q1 - 9:09DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 26
63.5%
6
36.5%
Q1 - 9:15MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)6
63.3%
6
36.7%
Q1 - 9:29DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)4
61.3%
6
38.7%
Q1 - 9:51MIARichardson Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
63.2%
4
36.8%
Q1 - 10:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
61.5%
4
38.5%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot2
60.2%
4
39.8%
Q1 - 10:41DETStuckey Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
61.5%
4
38.5%
Q1 - 11:01MIABeasley 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
63.4%
2
36.6%
Q1 - 11:07DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 11:13MIAStuckey STEAL (1 STL)0
60.2%
2
39.8%
Q1 - 11:27DETJerebko Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)0
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 11:39MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
63.4%
0
36.6%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Maxiell vs. Anthony: Tip to Beasley0
64.9%
0
35.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.8%
DET
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
24
67%
DET
16
28
57%
Midrange
MIA
8
28
29%
DET
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
21
57%
86%
DET
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
14
17
82%
DET
13
22
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2856%14.0 / 25
D. Wright1794%8.5 / 9
Q. Richardson1689%8.0 / 9
D. Wade1036%5.0 / 14
U. Haslem1083%5.0 / 6
C. Arroyo880%4.0 / 5
M. Chalmers650%3.0 / 6
J. Anthony338%1.5 / 4
D. Cook0-0.0 / 1
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Stuckey1856%9.0 / 16
T. Prince1765%8.5 / 13
W. Bynum1365%6.5 / 10
J. Jerebko932%4.5 / 14
B. Gordon950%4.5 / 9
A. Daye633%3.0 / 9
D. Summers531%2.5 / 8
B. Wallace450%2.0 / 4
J. Maxiell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
67
+15
-17
82
DET
71
+16
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.8%
DET
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
105.4
MIA 116.7
DET 96.4 +20.2
Pace
89.6
88.8
MIA 81.8
DET 86.3 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.7
MIA 17.6
DET 16.7 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
47.4%
MIA 57.5% +11.6%
DET 45.9%
TO %
13.6%
14.2%
MIA 17.4%
DET 14.3% +3.1%
ORB %
26.0%
30.4%
MIA 40.0% +11.1%
DET 28.9%
FTrt
29.6
30.3
MIA 23.3
DET 29.7 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
54.1%
MIA 55.6%
DET 59.4% +3.8%
STL %
8.1%
8.2%
MIA 10.7%
DET 10.7%
BLK %
9.4%
6.7%
MIA 8.3% +2.5%
DET 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
49.9%
MIA 59.8% +13.2%
DET 46.6%
Rim FG%
62.0%
57.1%
MIA 66.7% +9.6%
DET 57.1%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.5%
MIA 28.6%
DET 37.5% +8.9%
3P %
34.6%
31.4%
MIA 57.1% +28.5%
DET 28.6%
FT %
75.2%
72.8%
MIA 82.4% +23.3%
DET 59.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
34.1%
MIA 32.9%
DET 37.8% +5.0%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
47.9%
MIA 38.4% +4.9%
DET 43.2%
3P Att. %
21.9%
18.0%
MIA 28.8% +9.8%
DET 18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points9881
Rebounds4132
Assists2019
Steals99
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)21 (3)
Field Goals36-7332-74
At-the-Rim FG16-2416-28
Midrange FG8-2812-32
2-Point FG24-5228-60
3-Point FG12-214-14
Free Throws14-1713-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
39.3
28
56%
9
3
2
1
2
4
3
6
6-7
86%
11-21
52%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
34.6
8
80%
2
8
0
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
28.4
3
38%
5
0
1
2
3
4
2
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
27.6
10
36%
3
1
2
0
2
1
2
1
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
23.6
16
89%
7
2
1
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
50%
4-5
80%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
31.4
6
50%
3
5
1
0
5
4
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
28.3
10
83%
10
0
1
1
1
5
4
6
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
22.0
17
94%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 28
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
#4 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
60%
41
20
9
5
17
0
14
27
14-17
82%
24-52
46%
12-21
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.