FinalWin Prob.pScore
1057%101
106
1743%99
102
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
103.910299.9
MEM logo MEM
97.110588.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMEM
OT1 - 0:00.0MEM106
100%
102
0%
OT1 - 0:02.0MEMCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)106
99.7%
102
0.3%
OT1 - 0:03.0DALMISS Marion Free Throw 2 of 2106
99.7%
102
0.3%
OT1 - 0:03.0DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)106
99.9%
102
0.1%
OT1 - 0:04.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
99.5%
102
0.5%
OT1 - 0:05.0MEMMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.4%
102
0.6%
OT1 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)105
94.8%
102
5.2%
OT1 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)104
94.2%
102
5.8%
OT1 - 0:09.0MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)103
88.6%
102
11.4%
OT1 - 0:09.0MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)103
90.6%
101
9.4%
OT1 - 0:11.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)103
94.1%
100
5.9%
OT1 - 0:11.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)102
93.6%
100
6.4%
OT1 - 0:13.0MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)101
88.0%
100
12.0%
OT1 - 0:13.0MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)101
89.8%
99
10.2%
OT1 - 0:13.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)101
93.7%
98
6.3%
OT1 - 0:15.0MEMMISS Conley 28' 3PT Jump Shot101
97.5%
98
2.5%
OT1 - 0:24.0DALNowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)101
92.5%
98
7.5%
OT1 - 0:46.0DALMavericks Rebound99
79.9%
98
20.1%
OT1 - 0:46.0MEMMISS Gay 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
75.9%
98
24.1%
OT1 - 1:02MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)99
64.0%
98
36.0%
OT1 - 1:04MEMMISS Randolph 6' Jump Shot99
74.0%
98
26.0%
OT1 - 1:18MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)99
63.4%
98
36.6%
OT1 - 1:20DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper99
67.8%
98
32.2%
OT1 - 1:37MEMMayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)99
75.2%
98
24.8%
OT1 - 1:47MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)99
88.0%
95
12.0%
OT1 - 1:50DALMISS Terry 13' Pullup Jump Shot99
89.3%
95
10.7%
OT1 - 2:06DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)99
93.3%
95
6.7%
OT1 - 2:07MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 2 of 299
92.7%
95
7.3%
OT1 - 2:07MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 299
90.2%
95
9.8%
OT1 - 2:15DALTerry 13' Pullup Jump Shot (29 PTS)99
87.9%
95
12.1%
OT1 - 2:32DALMavericks Rebound97
84.2%
95
15.8%
OT1 - 2:32MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 2 of 297
83.0%
95
17.0%
OT1 - 2:32MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)97
78.0%
95
22.0%
OT1 - 2:46MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
81.5%
94
18.5%
OT1 - 2:47DALMISS Kidd 29' 3PT Jump Shot97
84.6%
94
15.4%
OT1 - 3:07MEMRandolph 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)97
87.9%
94
12.1%
OT1 - 3:29DALKidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)97
91.2%
92
8.8%
OT1 - 3:53MEMMayo 19' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)94
78.1%
92
21.9%
OT1 - 4:13DALBeaubois Layup (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)94
83.8%
90
16.2%
OT1 - 4:17MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)92
78.4%
90
21.6%
OT1 - 4:24MEMGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
70.5%
90
29.5%
OT1 - 4:24MEMMISS Randolph 16' Jump Shot92
76.2%
90
23.8%
OT1 - 4:44DALTerry Layup (27 PTS)92
70.5%
90
29.5%
OT1 - 4:47MEMThabeet Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)90
62.5%
90
37.5%
OT1 - 5:00MEMJump Ball Thabeet vs. Haywood: Tip to Conley90
52.2%
90
47.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound90
41.9%
90
58.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
63.6%
90
36.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
44.0%
90
56.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)90
44.4%
90
55.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0MEMMISS Randolph Tip Shot90
62.4%
90
37.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0MEMMISS Randolph Layup90
62.0%
90
38.0%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)90
47.1%
90
52.9%
Q4 - 1:03MEMConley 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)88
34.5%
90
65.5%
Q4 - 1:20DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)88
49.3%
88
50.7%
Q4 - 1:35DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)85
27.1%
88
72.9%
Q4 - 1:39MEMMISS Gay 13' Jump Bank Shot85
24.0%
88
76.0%
Q4 - 1:41MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
17.7%
88
82.3%
Q4 - 1:42MEMMISS Randolph 7' Jump Shot85
24.3%
88
75.7%
Q4 - 2:02DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)85
18.0%
88
82.0%
Q4 - 2:16MEMRandolph Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)82
8.7%
88
91.3%
Q4 - 2:30MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound82
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 2:31MEMMISS Thabeet Alley Oop Layup82
7.1%
88
92.9%
Q4 - 2:46DALBeaubois Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 2:46DALMISS Beaubois Free Throw 1 of 281
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 2:50DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)81
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 2:51MEMMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 281
6.7%
88
93.3%
Q4 - 2:51MEMMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 281
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q4 - 3:08DALNowitzki 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)81
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 3:17MEMGay Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T14)79
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 3:34DALTerry Traveling Turnover (P3.T18)79
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q4 - 3:41DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q4 - 3:42MEMMISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot79
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q4 - 3:57DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)79
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 3:57DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)78
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 3:59MEMGay Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)77
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 4:17DALBeaubois Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)77
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 4:25MEMConley 6' Jump Shot (22 PTS)75
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 4:42DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P4.T17)75
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 5:00MEMGay 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)75
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 5:06MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q4 - 5:08DALMISS Terry 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q4 - 5:30MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound75
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q4 - 5:30MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)75
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q4 - 5:30MEMMISS Carroll 12' Floating Jump Shot75
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 5:54DALNowitzki 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)75
5.1%
84
94.9%
Q4 - 6:08MEMConley 11' Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS)73
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q4 - 6:21MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 6:23DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
7.9%
82
92.1%
Q4 - 6:30DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
9.6%
82
90.4%
Q4 - 6:33MEMMISS Williams Reverse Layup73
8.8%
82
91.2%
Q4 - 6:45MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q4 - 6:46DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot73
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 6:52DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q4 - 6:53MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
8.7%
82
91.3%
Q4 - 7:08DALHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)73
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q4 - 7:16MEMYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q4 - 7:16MEMYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)70
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q4 - 7:16MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
7.0%
80
93.0%
Q4 - 7:17MEMMISS Carroll Layup70
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 7:21DALArthur STEAL (1 STL)70
7.0%
80
93.0%
Q4 - 7:40MEMCarroll 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)70
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q4 - 7:52MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
11.5%
78
88.5%
Q4 - 7:55DALMISS Beaubois 8' Running Jump Shot70
12.4%
78
87.6%
Q4 - 8:03DALMavericks Rebound70
17.3%
78
82.7%
Q4 - 8:03DALMISS Marion 12' Running Jump Shot70
15.0%
78
85.0%
Q4 - 8:18DALMavericks Rebound70
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q4 - 8:19MEMMISS Young 19' Jump Shot70
16.1%
78
83.9%
Q4 - 8:40MEMCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
13.8%
78
86.2%
Q4 - 8:41DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot70
14.8%
78
85.2%
Q4 - 8:56MEMYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
17.1%
78
82.9%
Q4 - 8:56MEMMISS Young Free Throw 1 of 270
17.8%
77
82.2%
Q4 - 9:09MEMCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
19.5%
77
80.5%
Q4 - 9:10DALMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot70
20.7%
77
79.3%
Q4 - 9:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
23.3%
77
76.7%
Q4 - 9:31MEMMISS Mayo 17' Fadeaway Jumper70
22.1%
77
77.9%
Q4 - 9:35MEMCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q4 - 9:36MEMMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot70
22.1%
77
77.9%
Q4 - 9:53MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q4 - 9:54DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
20.5%
77
79.5%
Q4 - 10:14MEMYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
25.0%
77
75.0%
Q4 - 10:14MEMYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
25.8%
76
74.2%
Q4 - 10:25MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
29.4%
75
70.6%
Q4 - 10:28DALMISS Beaubois 7' Running Jump Shot70
30.8%
75
69.2%
Q4 - 10:34DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)70
34.3%
75
65.7%
Q4 - 10:51MEMMayo 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)69
29.4%
75
70.6%
Q4 - 11:08DALBeaubois Driving Layup (5 PTS)69
35.8%
73
64.2%
Q4 - 11:18DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
30.9%
73
69.1%
Q4 - 11:19MEMMISS Arthur 15' Jump Shot67
29.6%
73
70.4%
Q4 - 11:40MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
26.6%
73
73.4%
Q4 - 11:43DALMISS Terry 20' Pullup Jump Shot67
27.8%
73
72.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL67
30.8%
73
69.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGay Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)67
30.8%
73
69.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0DALButler Layup (11 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)67
36.9%
71
63.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0DALButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)65
31.9%
71
68.1%
Q3 - 0:15.0MEMMISS Arthur 12' Jump Shot65
30.7%
71
69.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0MEMThabeet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
28.0%
71
72.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0DALMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 265
28.5%
71
71.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0DALMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 265
31.7%
71
68.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
31.8%
71
68.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0MEMMISS Gay 19' Step Back Jump Shot65
30.6%
71
69.4%
Q3 - 1:02DALTerry 9' Running Bank Shot (23 PTS)65
28.8%
71
71.2%
Q3 - 1:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
24.6%
71
75.4%
Q3 - 1:19MEMMISS Conley 10' Jump Shot63
23.6%
71
76.4%
Q3 - 1:35DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)63
21.4%
71
78.6%
Q3 - 1:51MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)61
18.0%
71
82.0%
Q3 - 1:51MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)61
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 2:12DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)61
22.6%
69
77.4%
Q3 - 2:16DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
16.7%
69
83.3%
Q3 - 2:18DALThabeet BLOCK (3 BLK)58
14.9%
69
85.1%
Q3 - 2:36MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
16.6%
69
83.4%
Q3 - 2:36MEMRandolph Layup (18 PTS)58
16.6%
69
83.4%
Q3 - 2:38MEMMISS Randolph Layup58
21.5%
67
78.5%
Q3 - 2:42MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
19.4%
67
80.6%
Q3 - 2:44DALMISS Terry 30' 3PT Jump Shot58
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q3 - 2:53DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
22.4%
67
77.6%
Q3 - 2:54MEMMISS Mayo 7' Jump Shot58
21.5%
67
78.5%
Q3 - 3:02MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound58
21.0%
67
79.0%
Q3 - 3:03MEMMISS Randolph Layup58
23.3%
67
76.7%
Q3 - 3:10MEMThabeet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
21.0%
67
79.0%
Q3 - 3:11DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot58
22.0%
67
78.0%
Q3 - 3:31MEMThabeet Foul Turnover (P1.T11)58
24.3%
67
75.7%
Q3 - 3:50DALTerry Layup (19 PTS)58
20.8%
67
79.2%
Q3 - 3:55MEMMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)56
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q3 - 4:09MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 4:11DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
17.1%
67
82.9%
Q3 - 4:17DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
19.2%
67
80.8%
Q3 - 4:19MEMMISS Mayo 9' Fadeaway Jumper56
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q3 - 4:38DALTerry 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)56
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 4:59MEMMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)54
14.3%
67
85.7%
Q3 - 5:04MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
19.7%
64
80.3%
Q3 - 5:06DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
20.6%
64
79.4%
Q3 - 5:25MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
22.8%
64
77.2%
Q3 - 5:25MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 254
23.4%
63
76.6%
Q3 - 5:36MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
22.4%
63
77.6%
Q3 - 5:36MEMMISS Thabeet 12' Jump Shot54
24.8%
63
75.2%
Q3 - 5:48MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
22.4%
63
77.6%
Q3 - 5:49DALMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot54
23.4%
63
76.6%
Q3 - 6:03MEMMayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Randolph 3 AST)54
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q3 - 6:17DALHaywood 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)54
33.6%
60
66.4%
Q3 - 6:31DALButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)52
30.4%
60
69.6%
Q3 - 6:32MEMMISS Randolph 20' Jump Shot52
29.3%
60
70.7%
Q3 - 6:53MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound52
26.7%
60
73.3%
Q3 - 6:53DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot52
27.8%
60
72.2%
Q3 - 7:18MEMMayo Driving Layup (12 PTS)52
31.3%
60
68.7%
Q3 - 7:31MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q3 - 7:32DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot52
35.6%
58
64.4%
Q3 - 7:54MEMRandolph 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)52
38.3%
58
61.7%
Q3 - 8:09MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
42.1%
56
57.9%
Q3 - 8:09DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot52
43.3%
56
56.7%
Q3 - 8:22DALButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)52
46.1%
56
53.9%
Q3 - 8:24MEMMISS Randolph 19' Jump Shot52
44.9%
56
55.1%
Q3 - 8:33MEMMayo Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)52
42.1%
56
57.9%
Q3 - 8:46DALButler Layup (9 PTS)52
45.8%
55
54.2%
Q3 - 8:47DALButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)50
42.3%
55
57.7%
Q3 - 8:48DALMISS Butler Dunk50
39.6%
55
60.4%
Q3 - 8:58DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)50
42.3%
55
57.7%
Q3 - 9:01DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 9:01DALMISS Haywood Tip Shot50
40.3%
55
59.7%
Q3 - 9:03DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot50
40.3%
55
59.7%
Q3 - 9:15DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 9:16MEMMISS Gay 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
41.7%
55
58.3%
Q3 - 9:30MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
39.1%
55
60.9%
Q3 - 9:32DALMISS Haywood 8' Turnaround Jump Shot50
40.2%
55
59.8%
Q3 - 9:45MEMConley Running Layup (18 PTS)50
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 10:00DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)50
46.3%
53
53.7%
Q3 - 10:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
50.6%
53
49.4%
Q3 - 10:05MEMMISS Gay 12' Running Jump Shot50
49.5%
53
50.5%
Q3 - 10:21MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound50
47.0%
53
53.0%
Q3 - 10:23DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot50
48.1%
53
51.9%
Q3 - 10:33DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
50.6%
53
49.4%
Q3 - 10:34MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
49.5%
53
50.5%
Q3 - 10:44MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
46.9%
53
53.1%
Q3 - 10:45DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
50.6%
53
49.4%
Q3 - 10:45DALMISS Butler Tip Shot50
48.1%
53
51.9%
Q3 - 10:48DALMISS Kidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
48.1%
53
51.9%
Q3 - 11:03MEMMayo 20' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
51.2%
53
48.8%
Q3 - 11:22DALMayo STEAL (2 STL)50
54.5%
51
45.5%
Q3 - 11:37DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
58.1%
51
41.9%
Q3 - 11:38MEMMISS Conley 16' Jump Shot50
57.0%
51
43.0%
Q3 - 11:43MEMMayo Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)50
54.5%
51
45.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM50
57.9%
50
42.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound50
57.9%
50
42.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Gay 41' 3PT Jump Shot50
60.4%
50
39.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)50
58.8%
50
41.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0MEMGay 9' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)50
61.2%
50
38.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0DALTerry 12' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)50
65.0%
48
35.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
61.2%
48
38.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot48
59.5%
48
40.5%
Q2 - 1:09MEMMayo 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)48
61.3%
48
38.7%
Q2 - 1:22DALTerry Layup (13 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)48
65.2%
46
34.8%
Q2 - 1:26DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
61.3%
46
38.7%
Q2 - 1:28MEMMISS Mayo 8' Running Jump Shot46
60.6%
46
39.4%
Q2 - 1:48MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
59.0%
46
41.0%
Q2 - 1:50DALMISS Terry 16' Pullup Jump Shot46
59.7%
46
40.3%
Q2 - 2:13MEMConley 11' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)46
61.8%
46
38.2%
Q2 - 2:28MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
64.6%
44
35.4%
Q2 - 2:31DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
65.6%
44
34.4%
Q2 - 2:37DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
67.6%
44
32.4%
Q2 - 2:40MEMMISS Gasol Layup46
66.7%
44
33.3%
Q2 - 2:55DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)46
64.7%
44
35.3%
Q2 - 2:55DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 245
63.7%
44
36.3%
Q2 - 3:03MEMGasol Layup (4 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)45
65.2%
44
34.8%
Q2 - 3:14DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)45
67.4%
42
32.6%
Q2 - 3:30MEMConley Driving Layup (14 PTS)42
62.3%
42
37.7%
Q2 - 3:49DALNowitzki Dunk (6 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)42
64.6%
40
35.4%
Q2 - 3:52DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
62.3%
40
37.7%
Q2 - 3:55MEMMISS Conley 9' Floating Jump Shot40
61.2%
40
38.8%
Q2 - 4:16DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
58.9%
40
41.1%
Q2 - 4:16DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
58.6%
40
41.4%
Q2 - 4:21MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)38
56.1%
40
43.9%
Q2 - 4:40DALKidd 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)38
52.8%
40
47.2%
Q2 - 4:58MEMConley Driving Layup (12 PTS)35
47.0%
40
53.0%
Q2 - 5:05MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
50.5%
38
49.5%
Q2 - 5:07DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Fadeaway Jumper35
51.4%
38
48.6%
Q2 - 5:26MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)35
53.4%
38
46.6%
Q2 - 5:26MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)35
53.9%
37
46.1%
Q2 - 5:43MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound35
56.4%
36
43.6%
Q2 - 5:43MEMMISS Young 20' Jump Shot35
58.4%
36
41.6%
Q2 - 5:54DALButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)35
56.4%
36
43.6%
Q2 - 6:04MEMConley 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)35
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 6:18DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
64.4%
33
35.6%
Q2 - 6:18DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
64.0%
33
36.0%
Q2 - 6:34DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
62.1%
33
37.9%
Q2 - 6:35MEMMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 233
61.7%
33
38.3%
Q2 - 6:35MEMMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 233
60.0%
33
40.0%
Q2 - 6:35DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
58.9%
33
41.1%
Q2 - 6:35DALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
58.5%
33
41.5%
Q2 - 6:54MEMRandolph 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)31
56.5%
33
43.5%
Q2 - 7:11DALYoung STEAL (1 STL)31
59.4%
31
40.6%
Q2 - 7:15DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
62.2%
31
37.8%
Q2 - 7:16MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 231
61.8%
31
38.2%
Q2 - 7:16MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 231
60.0%
31
40.0%
Q2 - 7:16MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
59.4%
31
40.6%
Q2 - 7:17MEMMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot31
61.3%
31
38.7%
Q2 - 7:33DALBeaubois Lane Violation Turnover (P3.T10)31
59.3%
31
40.7%
Q2 - 7:33DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 231
61.2%
31
38.8%
Q2 - 7:33DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
62.2%
31
37.8%
Q2 - 7:34DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot31
60.2%
31
39.8%
Q2 - 7:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
62.2%
31
37.8%
Q2 - 7:47MEMMISS Arthur Dunk31
61.3%
31
38.7%
Q2 - 7:59DALTerry Layup (6 PTS) (Beaubois 1 AST)31
59.3%
31
40.7%
Q2 - 8:03MEMGay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)29
56.8%
31
43.2%
Q2 - 8:19DALBeaubois Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)29
54.0%
31
46.0%
Q2 - 8:24DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
56.8%
31
43.2%
Q2 - 8:25MEMMISS Gasol Layup29
56.0%
31
44.0%
Q2 - 8:33DALBeaubois Inbound Turnover (P1.T8)29
54.0%
31
46.0%
Q2 - 8:42MEMYoung Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
56.8%
31
43.2%
Q2 - 8:47MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
59.4%
29
40.6%
Q2 - 8:48DALGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)29
60.2%
29
39.8%
Q2 - 9:11MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
61.9%
29
38.1%
Q2 - 9:11MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
62.6%
28
37.4%
Q2 - 9:19MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
64.3%
27
35.7%
Q2 - 9:20DALMISS Beaubois 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
65.1%
27
34.9%
Q2 - 9:37DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
66.8%
27
33.2%
Q2 - 9:38MEMMISS Gay 7' Jump Shot29
66.0%
27
34.0%
Q2 - 9:41MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
64.3%
27
35.7%
Q2 - 9:43MEMMISS Young 20' Jump Shot29
66.0%
27
34.0%
Q2 - 10:03DALBeaubois 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
64.0%
27
36.0%
Q2 - 10:13MEMYoung Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)26
59.3%
27
40.7%
Q2 - 10:27DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
56.6%
27
43.4%
Q2 - 10:27DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
56.2%
27
43.8%
Q2 - 10:30MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)24
54.2%
27
45.8%
Q2 - 10:49DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q2 - 10:57DALMavericks Rebound22
49.0%
27
51.0%
Q2 - 10:59DALMISS Beaubois Reverse Layup22
47.0%
27
53.0%
Q2 - 11:08MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)22
49.1%
27
50.9%
Q2 - 11:23MEMThabeet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
46.4%
27
53.6%
Q2 - 11:25DALThabeet BLOCK (2 BLK)22
47.2%
27
52.8%
Q2 - 11:44MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
49.1%
27
50.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM22
46.4%
27
53.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALButler 31' 3PT Pullup Bank Shot (5 PTS)22
46.4%
27
53.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)19
41.7%
27
58.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound19
39.8%
27
60.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMMISS Randolph 31' 3PT Jump Shot19
41.1%
27
58.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0DALTerry 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)19
39.8%
27
60.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0MEMThabeet Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)17
37.0%
27
63.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0DALDampier Foul Turnover (P2.T7)17
39.7%
25
60.3%
Q1 - 1:01DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q1 - 1:04MEMMISS Gay Reverse Dunk17
41.8%
25
58.2%
Q1 - 1:25MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
40.6%
25
59.4%
Q1 - 1:26DALMISS Najera 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q1 - 1:31DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q1 - 1:34DALGay BLOCK (1 BLK)17
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q1 - 1:41DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q1 - 1:43MEMMISS Gay 22' Pullup Jump Shot17
41.7%
25
58.3%
Q1 - 1:56MEMThabeet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
40.6%
25
59.4%
Q1 - 1:58DALThabeet BLOCK (1 BLK)17
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q1 - 2:15MEMRandolph 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)17
42.9%
25
57.1%
Q1 - 2:34DALNajera 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)17
45.6%
23
54.4%
Q1 - 2:54MEMGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)14
40.6%
23
59.4%
Q1 - 3:21DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)14
45.8%
20
54.2%
Q1 - 3:42DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
41.3%
20
58.7%
Q1 - 3:44DALMISS Dampier 6' Jump Shot11
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q1 - 3:51DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
41.3%
20
58.7%
Q1 - 3:53DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot11
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q1 - 4:04DALMavericks Rebound11
41.9%
20
58.1%
Q1 - 4:05MEMMISS Gay 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
41.2%
20
58.8%
Q1 - 4:24DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)11
39.6%
20
60.4%
Q1 - 4:41MEMRandolph 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)8
35.5%
20
64.5%
Q1 - 4:59DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)8
37.4%
18
62.6%
Q1 - 5:00MEMMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 5:05DALMayo STEAL (1 STL)8
37.9%
18
62.1%
Q1 - 5:21MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)8
40.1%
18
59.9%
Q1 - 5:23DALConley STEAL (2 STL)8
44.1%
15
55.9%
Q1 - 5:38MEMMayo 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)8
46.5%
15
53.5%
Q1 - 5:50DALDampier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
48.4%
13
51.6%
Q1 - 6:02MEMMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 6:19DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
48.8%
13
51.2%
Q1 - 6:19DALButler Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
48.8%
13
51.2%
Q1 - 6:21DALMISS Marion 8' Turnaround Jump Shot6
45.3%
13
54.7%
Q1 - 6:29DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
46.8%
13
53.2%
Q1 - 6:32MEMMISS Gay 19' Step Back Jump Shot6
46.1%
13
53.9%
Q1 - 6:50MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
44.6%
13
55.4%
Q1 - 6:53DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Driving Jump Shot6
45.3%
13
54.7%
Q1 - 7:04DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
47.2%
13
52.8%
Q1 - 7:07DALMISS Butler 16' Pullup Jump Shot6
45.7%
13
54.3%
Q1 - 7:14MEMConley Layup (4 PTS)6
47.2%
13
52.8%
Q1 - 7:19DALConley STEAL (1 STL)6
49.2%
11
50.8%
Q1 - 7:37MEMRandolph Driving Layup (5 PTS)6
51.4%
11
48.6%
Q1 - 7:50DALHaywood Dunk (6 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)6
53.3%
9
46.7%
Q1 - 7:54DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
51.4%
9
48.6%
Q1 - 7:56MEMMISS Randolph 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
50.7%
9
49.3%
Q1 - 8:14MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
49.6%
9
50.4%
Q1 - 8:15DALMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
50.2%
9
49.8%
Q1 - 8:33MEMRandolph 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)4
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 8:43MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 8:44DALMISS Kidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
56.3%
6
43.7%
Q1 - 9:00MEMConley 9' Pullup Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
57.7%
6
42.3%
Q1 - 9:19DALHaywood 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
60.3%
4
39.7%
Q1 - 9:31DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.2%
4
41.8%
Q1 - 9:32MEMMISS Randolph 21' Jump Shot2
57.7%
4
42.3%
Q1 - 9:55DALHaywood Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 10:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.5%
4
41.5%
Q1 - 10:07MEMMISS Conley 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
57.9%
4
42.1%
Q1 - 10:27DALHaywood Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)2
56.5%
4
43.5%
Q1 - 10:41MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
54.8%
4
45.2%
Q1 - 10:41MEMMayo Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
54.8%
4
45.2%
Q1 - 10:44MEMMISS Gasol 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
57.9%
2
42.1%
Q1 - 11:04MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 11:05DALRandolph BLOCK (1 BLK)0
57.6%
2
42.4%
Q1 - 11:10DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 11:11DALMISS Marion 8' Turnaround Jump Shot0
57.6%
2
42.4%
Q1 - 11:26MEMGay 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 11:44MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.3%
0
39.7%
Q1 - 11:46DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper0
60.8%
0
39.2%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Haywood: Tip to Nowitzki0
61.9%
0
38.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.05 52.5%
MEM
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
15
22
68%
MEM
14
25
56%
Midrange
DAL
12
39
31%
MEM
18
49
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
MEM
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
DAL
19
25
76%
MEM
20
31
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Terry2954%14.5 / 27
D. Nowitzki2854%14.0 / 26
J. Kidd1286%6.0 / 7
B. Haywood1192%5.5 / 6
C. Butler1146%5.5 / 12
R. Beaubois1056%5.0 / 9
E. Najera350%1.5 / 3
S. Marion18%0.5 / 6
E. Dampier125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
O. Mayo2779%13.5 / 17
M. Conley2563%12.5 / 20
Z. Randolph2446%12.0 / 26
R. Gay1131%5.5 / 18
S. Young750%3.5 / 7
M. Gasol433%2.0 / 6
H. Thabeet233%1.0 / 3
D. Carroll225%1.0 / 4
D. Arthur0-0.0 / 3
M. Williams0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
84
+15
-18
99
MEM
90
+22
-15
112
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.05 52.5%
MEM
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
108.6
DAL 103.9
MEM 97.1 +6.8
Pace
92.6
93.4
DAL 99.9 +11.4
MEM 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.5
DAL 14.4 +1.9
MEM 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
49.4%
DAL 48.9% +4.8%
MEM 44.1%
TO %
13.2%
15.3%
DAL 15.3%
MEM 13.7% +1.6%
ORB %
24.3%
31.3%
DAL 26.5%
MEM 27.7% +1.2%
FTrt
27.7
32.0
DAL 28.1
MEM 33.3 +5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
47.9%
DAL 57.9% +21.1%
MEM 36.8%
STL %
8.1%
8.3%
DAL 10.8% +5.1%
MEM 5.7%
BLK %
8.5%
7.6%
DAL 9.5%
MEM 9.8% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
52.2%
DAL 52.5% +7.4%
MEM 45.1%
Rim FG%
58.4%
59.0%
DAL 68.2% +12.2%
MEM 56.0%
Mid FG%
42.9%
40.3%
DAL 30.8%
MEM 36.7% +5.9%
3P %
37.2%
33.7%
DAL 39.3% +7.7%
MEM 31.6%
FT %
81.7%
73.3%
DAL 76.0% +11.5%
MEM 64.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
40.6%
DAL 24.7%
MEM 26.9% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
47.1%
44.6%
DAL 43.8% +8.9%
MEM 52.7%
3P Att. %
22.2%
14.8%
DAL 31.5% +11.0%
MEM 20.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.
Game TotalsDALMEM
Possessions102105
Possession Minutes24.528.5
Points106102
Rebounds4749
Assists2214
Steals116
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)13 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (4)36 (2)
Field Goals38-8938-93
At-the-Rim FG15-2214-25
Midrange FG12-3918-49
2-Point FG27-6132-74
3-Point FG11-286-19
Free Throws19-2520-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 32
45.8
28
54%
5
6
2
1
4
4
0
5
7-7
100%
6-17
35%
3-6
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 37
41.9
12
86%
10
7
2
0
1
1
1
9
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-7
57%
C · 7'0" 263 · 30
32.1
11
92%
8
0
0
1
1
6
4
4
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 228 · 30
27.0
11
46%
13
0
2
0
2
0
3
10
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 228 · 32
26.7
1
8%
4
0
0
2
2
3
1
3
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
40.4
29
54%
1
6
4
0
3
0
1
0
6-6
100%
10-16
63%
1-8
13%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
23.3
10
56%
1
2
1
1
3
4
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
16.1
1
25%
3
1
0
2
2
4
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
11.6
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29
G · 6'6" 212 · 30
#7 · F · 6'10" 240 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
106
53%
47
22
11
7
18
0
13
34
19-25
76%
27-61
44%
11-28
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.