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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Rockets21%92102
9Spurs79%103119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.2
35.3
35.5
21
54%
5
3
0
1
0
6
2
3
3-3
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
34.2
20.3
14
40%
10
0
4
1
0
0
3
7
3-6
50%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
1-6
17%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.8
31.3
30.9
12
61%
6
4
2
1
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.9
30.8
38.6
17
46%
7
2
2
1
1
1
2
5
3-3
100%
7-17
8-15
41%
50%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.8
18.6
24.9
2
50%
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.9
33.0
21.6
12
75%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
2-3
67%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.0
23.6
26.1
17
57%
7
5
2
1
0
1
3
4
7-9
78%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
0-2
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
18.8
17.9
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 26.8
10.4
9.4
3
26%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
43%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.3
4.0
3.2
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.2
13.8
0
2-4
45%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.3
5.3
0
0-1
45%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.5
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.9
37.5
36.8
30
85%
2
7
5
1
1
3
0
2
6-6
100%
9-13
5-10
69%
51%
2-2
100%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.8
33.6
31.3
19
67%
2
2
0
1
3
2
0
2
3-5
60%
8-11
4-8
73%
51%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.7
31.6
24.1
18
59%
3
10
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
30.6
28.6
17
68%
10
3
1
1
1
3
2
8
1-1
100%
8-12
6-12
67%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
16.0
19.7
6
60%
5
1
1
1
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
23.3
12.9
9
55%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
5-5
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.9
17.4
18.0
10
73%
9
0
0
1
0
1
5
4
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
55%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.6
16.4
13.2
6
60%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
2-5
40%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
14.2
23.6
4
37%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-1
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-2
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
8.1
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.9
7.5
19.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.4
3.7
3.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Curtis Jerrells
G · 6'1" 195 · 23.1
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.9
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.