FinalWin Prob.pScore
1451%97
105
1949%96
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.29781.3
IND logo IND
100.09695.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA105
100%
96
0%
OT1 - 0:14.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)105
99.9%
96
0.1%
OT1 - 0:15.0INDMISS Rush 16' Jump Shot105
99.9%
96
0.1%
OT1 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)105
99.9%
96
0.1%
OT1 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)104
99.9%
96
0.1%
OT1 - 0:41.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)103
99.7%
96
0.3%
OT1 - 0:42.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.6%
96
0.4%
OT1 - 0:47.0MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (43 PTS)103
99.1%
96
0.9%
OT1 - 1:04INDWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)101
97.4%
96
2.6%
OT1 - 1:17MIAWade 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (41 PTS)101
98.9%
93
1.1%
OT1 - 1:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)98
95.8%
93
4.2%
OT1 - 1:35INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
94.9%
93
5.1%
OT1 - 1:48MIAWade 28' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (38 PTS)98
91.3%
93
8.7%
OT1 - 2:13INDPrice 4' Driving Bank Shot (13 PTS)95
82.1%
93
17.9%
OT1 - 2:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)95
86.5%
91
13.5%
OT1 - 2:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)94
85.4%
91
14.6%
OT1 - 2:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
79.6%
91
20.4%
OT1 - 2:53INDMISS Watson 3' Layup93
76.8%
91
23.2%
OT1 - 3:00MIAChalmers 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)93
69.1%
91
30.9%
OT1 - 3:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
62.2%
91
37.8%
OT1 - 3:15MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot91
51.8%
91
48.2%
OT1 - 3:32MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
58.7%
91
41.3%
OT1 - 3:33INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
55.7%
91
44.3%
OT1 - 3:57MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)91
48.6%
91
51.4%
OT1 - 4:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
39.8%
91
60.2%
OT1 - 4:07INDMISS Granger 1' Layup89
36.8%
91
63.2%
OT1 - 4:17MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T15)89
30.2%
91
69.8%
OT1 - 4:39INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)89
39.6%
91
60.4%
OT1 - 4:39INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)89
40.8%
90
59.2%
OT1 - 5:00INDJump Ball Jones vs. Anthony: Tip to Murphy89
48.5%
89
51.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWatson STEAL (2 STL)89
41.8%
89
58.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0INDWatson 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS)89
62.9%
89
37.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
75.7%
87
24.3%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot89
79.2%
87
20.8%
Q4 - 1:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)89
83.6%
87
16.4%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
76.5%
87
23.5%
Q4 - 1:49MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
80.2%
87
19.8%
Q4 - 1:52INDMISS Rush 3' Layup89
77.5%
87
22.5%
Q4 - 2:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)89
70.0%
87
30.0%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 288
68.0%
87
32.0%
Q4 - 2:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
73.8%
87
26.2%
Q4 - 2:21INDMISS Price 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
69.6%
87
30.4%
Q4 - 2:31INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
58.5%
87
41.5%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot88
63.7%
87
36.3%
Q4 - 2:59INDRush 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)88
71.7%
87
28.3%
Q4 - 3:14MIAHaslem 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)88
78.1%
85
21.9%
Q4 - 3:37INDMurphy Layup (29 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)86
67.5%
85
32.5%
Q4 - 3:55INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)86
75.0%
83
25.0%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
77.3%
83
22.7%
Q4 - 4:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
82.2%
83
17.8%
Q4 - 4:19INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot86
80.2%
83
19.8%
Q4 - 4:41MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (34 PTS)86
75.4%
83
24.6%
Q4 - 5:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
65.9%
83
34.1%
Q4 - 5:06INDMISS Hibbert 7' Jump Shot84
63.5%
83
36.5%
Q4 - 5:27MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
57.7%
83
42.3%
Q4 - 5:49INDPrice 10' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)81
41.2%
83
58.8%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWatson STEAL (1 STL)81
49.2%
81
50.8%
Q4 - 6:06MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
57.9%
81
42.1%
Q4 - 6:08INDMISS Rush 1' Driving Reverse Layup81
55.5%
81
44.5%
Q4 - 6:23INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
49.9%
81
50.1%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup81
52.3%
81
47.7%
Q4 - 6:48INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)81
57.9%
81
42.1%
Q4 - 6:48INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 281
59.5%
80
40.5%
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)81
57.2%
80
42.8%
Q4 - 7:23INDPrice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)81
64.4%
80
35.6%
Q4 - 7:45MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)81
75.6%
77
24.4%
Q4 - 7:45MIAWright 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS)80
70.0%
77
30.0%
Q4 - 7:48INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)78
64.4%
77
35.6%
Q4 - 8:07MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)78
57.6%
77
42.4%
Q4 - 8:26INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)75
44.5%
77
55.5%
Q4 - 8:32INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
57.5%
74
42.5%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot75
59.4%
74
40.6%
Q4 - 8:57MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
63.6%
74
36.4%
Q4 - 8:59INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
61.8%
74
38.2%
Q4 - 9:04MIADunleavy STEAL (1 STL)75
57.4%
74
42.6%
Q4 - 9:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
63.0%
74
37.0%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot75
59.1%
74
40.9%
Q4 - 9:30INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)75
63.0%
74
37.0%
Q4 - 9:39INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
73.5%
71
26.5%
Q4 - 9:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
77.8%
71
22.2%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Haslem 2' Tip Shot75
74.9%
71
25.1%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot75
74.9%
71
25.1%
Q4 - 10:00INDPrice Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)75
77.8%
71
22.2%
Q4 - 10:17MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)75
72.2%
71
27.8%
Q4 - 10:32INDGranger 12' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)73
67.5%
71
32.5%
Q4 - 10:37MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)73
72.2%
69
27.8%
Q4 - 11:06INDGranger 2' Layup (21 PTS)73
75.4%
69
24.6%
Q4 - 11:28MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)73
79.3%
67
20.7%
Q4 - 11:47MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
71.3%
67
28.7%
Q4 - 11:48INDMISS Price 19' Jump Shot70
70.0%
67
30.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
66.9%
67
33.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound70
71.3%
67
28.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 44' 3PT Jump Shot70
68.3%
67
31.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)70
70.3%
67
29.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAWade 21' Step Back Jump Shot (32 PTS)70
66.4%
67
33.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)68
61.2%
67
38.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)68
61.8%
66
38.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)68
66.4%
65
33.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)67
65.5%
65
34.5%
Q3 - 0:50.0INDDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Price 1 AST)66
61.2%
65
38.8%
Q3 - 1:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)66
69.9%
62
30.1%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 265
69.1%
62
30.9%
Q3 - 1:12INDDunleavy Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)65
69.6%
62
30.4%
Q3 - 1:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
65.7%
62
34.3%
Q3 - 1:25MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)65
65.7%
62
34.3%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot63
57.7%
62
42.3%
Q3 - 1:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
60.8%
62
39.2%
Q3 - 1:35INDMISS Dunleavy 2' Layup63
59.4%
62
40.6%
Q3 - 1:41INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
56.4%
62
43.6%
Q3 - 1:42MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot63
57.7%
62
42.3%
Q3 - 1:52MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
60.8%
62
39.2%
Q3 - 1:54INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Shot63
59.4%
62
40.6%
Q3 - 2:09MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (28 PTS)63
55.8%
62
44.2%
Q3 - 2:30INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)61
51.1%
62
48.9%
Q3 - 2:45MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)61
60.4%
59
39.6%
Q3 - 3:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
56.3%
59
43.7%
Q3 - 3:06INDMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot59
54.8%
59
45.2%
Q3 - 3:16INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)59
51.5%
59
48.5%
Q3 - 3:18INDMISS Price 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
54.8%
59
45.2%
Q3 - 3:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)59
51.5%
59
48.5%
Q3 - 3:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)58
50.6%
59
49.4%
Q3 - 3:49INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)57
47.2%
59
52.8%
Q3 - 3:49INDMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 257
48.2%
58
51.8%
Q3 - 4:13MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS)57
46.8%
58
53.2%
Q3 - 4:29MIAArroyo Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)55
43.2%
58
56.8%
Q3 - 4:35INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)54
39.0%
58
61.0%
Q3 - 4:50INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)54
34.3%
58
65.7%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
35.7%
58
64.3%
Q3 - 4:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
39.0%
58
61.0%
Q3 - 4:59INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Shot54
37.5%
58
62.5%
Q3 - 5:14INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
34.6%
58
65.4%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot54
35.9%
58
64.1%
Q3 - 5:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
39.0%
58
61.0%
Q3 - 5:37INDMISS Granger 2' Layup54
37.6%
58
62.4%
Q3 - 6:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
35.4%
58
64.6%
Q3 - 6:02MIARichardson Putback Dunk (7 PTS)54
35.4%
58
64.6%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup52
29.5%
58
70.5%
Q3 - 6:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
32.2%
58
67.8%
Q3 - 6:09INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 6:24MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)52
28.3%
58
71.7%
Q3 - 6:54INDMurphy 2' Dunk (24 PTS) (Rush 4 AST)52
32.1%
58
67.9%
Q3 - 7:09MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)52
35.8%
56
64.2%
Q3 - 7:29INDMurphy 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)49
29.3%
56
70.7%
Q3 - 7:40MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)49
32.3%
54
67.7%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
29.3%
54
70.7%
Q3 - 7:52INDMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
28.2%
54
71.8%
Q3 - 8:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)47
26.4%
54
73.6%
Q3 - 8:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)46
25.8%
54
74.2%
Q3 - 8:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
23.8%
54
76.2%
Q3 - 8:15INDMISS Rush 3' Layup45
22.9%
54
77.1%
Q3 - 8:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
20.9%
54
79.1%
Q3 - 8:28MIABeasley 2' Layup (10 PTS)45
20.9%
54
79.1%
Q3 - 8:29MIAMISS Beasley 2' Layup43
17.1%
54
82.9%
Q3 - 8:53INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rush 3 AST)43
18.7%
54
81.3%
Q3 - 8:57INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
23.6%
51
76.4%
Q3 - 8:58INDMISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot43
25.7%
51
74.3%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)43
24.2%
51
75.8%
Q3 - 9:29INDRush Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)41
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 9:52INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)41
19.2%
51
80.8%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot41
19.9%
51
80.1%
Q3 - 10:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS Arroyo 1' Layup41
20.7%
51
79.3%
Q3 - 10:17INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)41
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q3 - 10:35INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot41
20.7%
51
79.3%
Q3 - 10:49MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q3 - 10:50INDMISS Granger Free Throw 3 of 341
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q3 - 10:50INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)41
20.3%
51
79.7%
Q3 - 10:50INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)41
20.6%
50
79.4%
Q3 - 11:00MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
24.9%
49
75.1%
Q3 - 11:12MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
28.6%
49
71.4%
Q3 - 11:13INDMISS Hibbert 17' Turnaround Jump Shot41
27.7%
49
72.3%
Q3 - 11:39MIAAnthony Layup (8 PTS)41
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
23.2%
49
76.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound39
23.2%
49
76.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 42' 3PT Jump Shot39
21.5%
49
78.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)39
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIARichardson 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)39
27.0%
47
73.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)37
23.9%
47
76.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)37
22.0%
47
78.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDMISS McRoberts 22' Jump Shot37
23.3%
47
76.7%
Q2 - 1:06MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)37
22.7%
47
77.3%
Q2 - 1:25INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)34
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q2 - 1:39MIABeasley 3' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)34
22.7%
44
77.3%
Q2 - 2:04INDMurphy 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)32
20.8%
44
79.2%
Q2 - 2:17INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
22.9%
42
77.1%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Beasley 2' Layup32
23.6%
42
76.4%
Q2 - 2:37INDMurphy 3' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)32
25.3%
42
74.7%
Q2 - 2:48MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)32
27.7%
40
72.3%
Q2 - 2:53INDWatson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)32
30.4%
40
69.6%
Q2 - 3:15MIAWade 2' Driving Slam Dunk (14 PTS)32
28.2%
40
71.8%
Q2 - 3:31INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
26.1%
40
73.9%
Q2 - 3:31INDRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
26.8%
39
73.2%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)30
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 229
27.6%
38
72.4%
Q2 - 3:54MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
28.6%
38
71.4%
Q2 - 3:55INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot29
27.7%
38
72.3%
Q2 - 4:02INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
26.3%
38
73.7%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot29
27.1%
38
72.9%
Q2 - 4:13INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
29.0%
38
71.0%
Q2 - 4:31INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
26.3%
38
73.7%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot29
27.1%
38
72.9%
Q2 - 4:54INDPrice Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)29
29.0%
38
71.0%
Q2 - 4:54INDPrice Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)29
29.4%
37
70.6%
Q2 - 4:54INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)29
30.0%
36
70.0%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
34.8%
35
65.2%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
34.2%
35
65.8%
Q2 - 5:28INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
32.0%
35
68.0%
Q2 - 5:28INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 227
32.4%
34
67.6%
Q2 - 5:35INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
32.1%
34
67.9%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot27
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q2 - 5:55INDGranger 11' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
34.7%
34
65.3%
Q2 - 6:03INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
37.5%
32
62.5%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 127
37.9%
32
62.1%
Q2 - 6:14INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
35.3%
32
64.7%
Q2 - 6:14INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
35.6%
31
64.4%
Q2 - 6:23MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)25
37.5%
30
62.5%
Q2 - 6:35INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
40.8%
30
59.2%
Q2 - 6:35INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
41.5%
29
58.5%
Q2 - 6:41INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
43.1%
28
56.9%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS Arroyo 13' Jump Shot25
44.1%
28
55.9%
Q2 - 7:06INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)25
46.6%
28
53.4%
Q2 - 7:20MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T5)25
52.1%
25
47.9%
Q2 - 7:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
55.1%
25
44.9%
Q2 - 7:36INDMISS Price 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
54.2%
25
45.8%
Q2 - 7:39INDPACERS Rebound25
52.1%
25
47.9%
Q2 - 7:39INDMISS Price 12' Jump Shot25
54.2%
25
45.8%
Q2 - 7:50INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
52.1%
25
47.9%
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 225
52.5%
25
47.5%
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 225
54.4%
25
45.6%
Q2 - 8:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
55.1%
25
44.9%
Q2 - 8:01INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot25
54.0%
25
46.0%
Q2 - 8:23MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
52.1%
25
47.9%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
49.4%
25
50.6%
Q2 - 8:42INDMISS Jones 2' Layup23
48.6%
25
51.4%
Q2 - 8:52MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)23
46.6%
25
53.4%
Q2 - 8:52MIAHeat Rebound23
49.4%
25
50.6%
Q2 - 8:52MIARush BLOCK (2 BLK)23
47.5%
25
52.5%
Q2 - 9:19INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)23
49.3%
25
50.7%
Q2 - 9:19INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 223
49.8%
24
50.2%
Q2 - 9:31INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
49.2%
24
50.8%
Q2 - 9:34INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
51.2%
24
48.8%
Q2 - 9:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)23
49.2%
24
50.8%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
50.1%
24
49.9%
Q2 - 10:07INDJones 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)23
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q2 - 10:18INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)23
54.4%
22
45.6%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
55.2%
22
44.8%
Q2 - 10:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q2 - 10:35INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q2 - 10:45INDPACERS Rebound23
54.4%
22
45.6%
Q2 - 10:45INDMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot23
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q2 - 11:01INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
54.3%
22
45.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot23
55.1%
22
44.9%
Q2 - 11:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q2 - 11:16INDMISS Jones Layup23
56.1%
22
43.9%
Q2 - 11:33INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)23
54.3%
22
45.7%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot23
55.1%
22
44.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND23
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound23
54.3%
22
45.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Dunleavy 42' 3PT Jump Shot23
56.1%
22
43.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMurphy STEAL (1 STL)23
54.3%
22
45.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Rebound23
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDMISS Watson 1' Layup23
55.7%
22
44.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
54.3%
22
45.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
53.7%
22
46.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 121
49.7%
22
50.3%
Q1 - 1:02INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)19
46.6%
22
53.4%
Q1 - 1:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
52.1%
19
47.9%
Q1 - 1:11MIAWade 2' Tip Shot (7 PTS)19
52.1%
19
47.9%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot17
47.8%
19
52.2%
Q1 - 1:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
49.0%
19
51.0%
Q1 - 1:38INDMISS Granger 4' Jump Shot17
48.5%
19
51.5%
Q1 - 1:43MIAGranger STEAL (1 STL)17
47.3%
19
52.7%
Q1 - 1:56INDMurphy 2' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)17
49.0%
19
51.0%
Q1 - 2:14MIAAnthony 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
52.0%
17
48.0%
Q1 - 2:28INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
49.3%
17
50.7%
Q1 - 2:37INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)15
54.4%
14
45.6%
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 2:53INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)15
56.3%
14
43.7%
Q1 - 3:01INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)15
61.0%
11
39.0%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot15
61.7%
11
38.3%
Q1 - 3:27MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
63.2%
11
36.8%
Q1 - 3:28INDMISS Rush 22' Jump Shot15
62.6%
11
37.4%
Q1 - 3:36INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
61.0%
11
39.0%
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot15
61.7%
11
38.3%
Q1 - 3:58INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
63.2%
11
36.8%
Q1 - 3:58INDMurphy 2' Putback Slam Dunk (7 PTS)15
63.2%
11
36.8%
Q1 - 3:59INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
66.8%
9
33.2%
Q1 - 4:11MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)15
64.7%
9
35.3%
Q1 - 4:18INDRush Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
62.8%
9
37.2%
Q1 - 4:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
60.6%
9
39.4%
Q1 - 4:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 212
60.2%
9
39.8%
Q1 - 4:53INDHibbert 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
60.7%
9
39.3%
Q1 - 5:15MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)12
62.1%
7
37.9%
Q1 - 5:15MIAHeat Rebound12
64.3%
7
35.7%
Q1 - 5:15MIAHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)12
62.8%
7
37.2%
Q1 - 5:42INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)12
64.3%
7
35.7%
Q1 - 5:51INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
68.0%
4
32.0%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot12
68.7%
4
31.3%
Q1 - 6:07MIAHeat Rebound12
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
68.4%
4
31.6%
Q1 - 6:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 6:33INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Shot12
69.1%
4
30.9%
Q1 - 6:49MIAArroyo 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
67.8%
4
32.2%
Q1 - 7:04INDGranger 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)10
65.8%
4
34.2%
Q1 - 7:05INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
67.6%
2
32.4%
Q1 - 7:06INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
68.9%
2
31.1%
Q1 - 7:12INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
67.6%
2
32.4%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
68.1%
2
31.9%
Q1 - 7:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 7:27INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
68.9%
2
31.1%
Q1 - 7:32INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
67.6%
2
32.4%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot10
68.2%
2
31.8%
Q1 - 7:41MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 7:43INDMISS Granger 3' Layup10
68.9%
2
31.1%
Q1 - 8:00MIAAnthony 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
67.6%
2
32.4%
Q1 - 8:13MIAHeat Rebound8
65.7%
2
34.3%
Q1 - 8:13MIARush BLOCK (1 BLK)8
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 8:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
65.7%
2
34.3%
Q1 - 8:25INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 8:45MIABeasley 3' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)8
63.9%
2
36.1%
Q1 - 9:09INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
62.0%
2
38.0%
Q1 - 9:09INDMurphy 1' Layup (2 PTS)6
62.0%
2
38.0%
Q1 - 9:10INDMISS Murphy 3' Layup6
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 9:25INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
63.9%
0
36.1%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot6
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 9:37MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
65.7%
0
34.3%
Q1 - 9:38INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 9:50MIAWade 1' Layup (4 PTS)6
63.9%
0
36.1%
Q1 - 9:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 9:58INDMISS Hibbert 10' Jump Hook Shot4
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 10:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 10:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 10:20MIAHeat Rebound2
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot2
56.5%
0
43.5%
Q1 - 10:29INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 10:33INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 10:35INDMISS Murphy 6' Jump Shot2
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 10:58MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 10:58MIABeasley 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot0
52.8%
0
47.2%
Q1 - 11:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot0
52.8%
0
47.2%
Q1 - 11:19MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 11:20INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot0
53.4%
0
46.6%
Q1 - 11:27INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 11:28MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot0
52.7%
0
47.3%
Q1 - 11:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 11:43INDMISS Rush 21' Jump Shot0
53.4%
0
46.6%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Anthony: Tip to Granger0
52.2%
0
47.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
IND
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
33
67%
IND
15
29
52%
Midrange
MIA
9
30
30%
IND
6
26
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
IND
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
22
30
73%
IND
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4372%21.5 / 30
M. Beasley1233%6.0 / 18
D. Wright1169%5.5 / 8
M. Chalmers1045%5.0 / 11
U. Haslem945%4.5 / 10
J. Anthony880%4.0 / 5
Q. Richardson750%3.5 / 7
C. Arroyo528%2.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Murphy2981%14.5 / 18
D. Granger2545%12.5 / 28
A. Price1359%6.5 / 11
B. Rush1050%5.0 / 10
E. Watson650%3.0 / 6
M. Dunleavy650%3.0 / 6
S. Jones440%2.0 / 5
R. Hibbert319%1.5 / 8
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+19
-12
104
IND
84
+11
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
IND
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
103.8
MIA 108.2 +8.2
IND 100.0
Pace
89.6
97.0
MIA 81.3
IND 95.9 +14.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.5
MIA 17.7
IND 15.0 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.1%
MIA 49.4% +5.5%
IND 43.9%
TO %
13.6%
14.7%
MIA 13.4%
IND 11.2% +2.2%
ORB %
26.0%
21.6%
MIA 28.6% +11.9%
IND 16.7%
FTrt
29.6
29.6
MIA 35.7 +0.3
IND 35.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
57.3%
MIA 31.6%
IND 58.1% +26.5%
STL %
8.1%
7.4%
MIA 8.2% +3.0%
IND 5.2%
BLK %
9.4%
8.0%
MIA 14.5% +9.7%
IND 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.2%
MIA 50.0%
IND 50.5% +0.5%
Rim FG%
62.0%
57.4%
MIA 66.7% +15.0%
IND 51.7%
Mid FG%
40.8%
39.8%
MIA 30.0% +6.9%
IND 23.1%
3P %
34.6%
34.8%
MIA 33.3%
IND 37.0% +3.7%
FT %
75.2%
77.5%
MIA 73.3%
IND 82.8% +9.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
33.3%
MIA 39.3% +3.9%
IND 35.4%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
38.9%
MIA 35.7%
IND 31.7% +4.0%
3P Att. %
21.9%
27.8%
MIA 25.0%
IND 32.9% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes28.624.0
Points10596
Rebounds5238
Assists1218
Steals85
Blocks83
Turnovers (Team)12 (3)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (7)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)30 (1)
Field Goals38-8431-82
At-the-Rim FG22-3315-29
Midrange FG9-306-26
2-Point FG31-6321-55
3-Point FG7-2110-27
Free Throws22-3024-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
44.0
43
72%
9
6
3
3
5
1
2
7
13-17
76%
12-19
63%
2-3
67%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
39.5
8
80%
8
0
1
2
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
29.9
12
33%
7
2
1
1
2
4
3
4
0-2
0%
6-16
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
26.8
5
28%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
25.1
7
50%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
35.3
10
45%
4
3
3
1
1
4
0
4
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
2-8
25%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
34.1
9
45%
11
0
0
0
1
3
3
8
5-6
83%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
28.0
11
69%
7
0
0
1
3
3
1
6
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 28
#4 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
105
50%
52
12
8
8
12
0
12
40
22-30
73%
31-63
49%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.