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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hornets48%10196
17Grizzlies52%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
37.8
33.3
19
43%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
50%
1-9
11%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.9
36.4
36.3
16
52%
1
8
1
2
0
3
0
1
0-3
0%
8-13
5-10
62%
52%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.6
28.6
35.8
13
48%
9
2
1
1
2
1
1
8
1-1
100%
6-13
7-15
46%
50%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
24.8
21.0
6
47%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
21.2
24.3
7
44%
6
0
1
1
2
1
3
3
1-2
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
54%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.6
27.2
26.6
15
54%
2
3
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
4-9
55%
50%
1-3
33%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.2
20.8
23.3
6
60%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
2-5
40%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.1
17.3
19.2
4
29%
8
1
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.3
17.3
10.7
8
69%
5
2
0
0
2
0
3
2
4-4
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
8.7
6.6
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.8
9.2
0
1-2
45%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
40.9
38.7
27
67%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
4-5
80%
4-8
5-10
50%
50%
5-10
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
35.5
38.3
20
46%
9
2
1
1
1
2
2
7
6-6
100%
7-18
6-11
39%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.5
31.1
35.2
15
45%
6
3
0
1
0
3
1
5
3-6
50%
6-13
5-10
46%
48%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.1
27.5
17.3
3
40%
11
1
1
0
1
2
4
7
3-4
75%
0-2
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.7
22.4
34.3
6
32%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-1
0%
3-9
7-15
33%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
22.6
13.6
8
40%
5
1
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
20.9
12.8
19
89%
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
4
5-6
83%
7-8
2-4
88%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.3
18.4
12.8
4
67%
1
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.9
15.3
3.1
3
39%
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
5.4
7.3
2
25%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.2
23.6
1
4-6
58%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.1
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.0
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.4
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.