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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Knicks41%108117
20Warriors59%111128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
45.8
36.4
37
65%
20
10
0
1
1
3
4
16
9-10
90%
14-23
8-15
61%
56%
0-1
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.6
41.3
36.6
29
65%
8
8
1
1
0
2
3
5
5-5
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
49%
4-9
44%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
28.9
27.7
14
78%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
57%
4-5
80%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
23.8
29.8
7
58%
6
5
1
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.9
13.9
24.5
3
38%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
32.6
6.2
14
83%
2
4
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-1
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
4-7
57%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
31.0
27.9
9
35%
3
0
0
1
0
4
2
1
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
1-6
17%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.8
11.7
19.7
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
6.3
17.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
4.8
10.0
2
41%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 29.2
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 28.6
0.9
0
0-0
45%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.9
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.3
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
37.0
33.9
23
86%
5
2
3
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
11-11
5-9
100%
53%
0-2
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.0
33.7
26.4
9
34%
4
8
1
1
0
3
1
3
3-5
60%
3-8
4-7
38%
53%
0-3
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
29.4
33.3
15
36%
4
10
1
2
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-16
5-10
38%
50%
1-5
20%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.4
27.3
27.6
21
75%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
5-7
71%
8-11
6-12
73%
53%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.2
15.1
12.5
7
72%
4
0
0
0
5
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
39.1
33.5
10
74%
8
2
2
1
0
1
1
7
3-4
75%
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
36.0
22.0
35
76%
6
0
3
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
13-16
2-5
81%
51%
3-7
43%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
17.6
19.9
6
75%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
4.8
15.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.4
16.5
1
3-7
51%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.7
6.2
0
1-2
49%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
4.1
0
0-1
48%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.3
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.