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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 3, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Raptors49%101128
2576ers51%102123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
46.0
36.1
28
71%
12
7
0
1
0
4
5
7
12-13
92%
8-14
9-17
57%
52%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.4
44.9
33.9
23
64%
6
1
0
0
1
3
2
4
6-7
86%
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
3-6
50%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
35.9
28.5
15
76%
3
1
0
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
32.9
26.4
16
74%
2
10
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
54%
2-5
40%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.7
25.4
23.6
18
82%
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
9-11
4-7
82%
53%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.0
36.9
19.2
11
56%
5
5
2
0
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
2-6
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
20.8
20.7
11
57%
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-6
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
2-4
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.7
9.7
21.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
7.0
12.7
4
69%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
60%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.9
5.5
10.3
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
7.5
0
1-2
46%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.8
4.1
0
1-1
53%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.2
49.2
34.0
33
82%
8
11
5
1
1
3
2
6
11-14
79%
5-7
5-10
71%
52%
4-7
57%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.8
42.7
34.0
25
94%
1
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
8-9
3-7
89%
49%
2-3
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.9
34.4
23.1
9
58%
11
1
1
0
0
0
2
9
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.1
25.2
31.3
12
51%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.2
22.5
28.4
5
36%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.7
34.3
24.3
13
42%
2
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
30.3
7.7
12
55%
2
5
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
51%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
15.9
14.3
6
68%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.7
10.6
19.4
8
90%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
4-4
4-8
100%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.0
13.0
0
1-2
50%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
11.5
0
1-2
48%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.8
8.8
0
1-3
53%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.8
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.