FinalWin Prob.pScore
2623%90
85
1177%100
91
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
106.38078.3
ATL logo ATL
111.08283.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL85
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETMISS Villanueva 2' Driving Dunk85
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)85
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)85
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)85
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETMISS Stuckey 20' Fadeaway Jumper85
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Crawford 3' Putback Layup85
4.3%
89
95.7%
Q4 - 0:48.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0ATLMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot85
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 1:12DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
4.3%
89
95.7%
Q4 - 1:12DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)84
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 1:12DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 1:15DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 1:15DETWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)83
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 1:17DETMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot83
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 1:28ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)83
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 1:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)83
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 1:49DETSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)83
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q4 - 2:06ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
4.3%
89
95.7%
Q4 - 2:06ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 283
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q4 - 2:25DETStuckey 2' Running Layup (20 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)83
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q4 - 2:30ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)81
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 2:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)81
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 2:47DETMISS Jerebko 20' Jump Shot81
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 3:02ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)81
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 3:25ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 3:27DETMISS Brown 2' Layup81
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 3:45ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)81
4.7%
88
95.3%
Q4 - 3:45ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q4 - 3:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)81
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 3:59DETMISS Stuckey 3PT Jump Shot81
7.2%
86
92.8%
Q4 - 4:23ATLCrawford Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T11)81
9.2%
86
90.8%
Q4 - 4:30ATLHAWKS Rebound81
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 4:30ATLMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup81
8.2%
86
91.8%
Q4 - 4:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)81
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 4:40ATLMISS Smith 2' Reverse Layup81
8.1%
86
91.9%
Q4 - 4:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 4:54DETMISS Prince 10' Turnaround Jump Shot81
7.0%
86
93.0%
Q4 - 5:11ATLCrawford 1' Driving Layup (27 PTS)81
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q4 - 5:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)81
14.4%
84
85.6%
Q4 - 5:26DETMISS Gordon 6' Jump Shot81
15.7%
84
84.3%
Q4 - 5:44DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
19.3%
84
80.7%
Q4 - 5:45ATLMISS Smith 6' Running Jump Shot81
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q4 - 5:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)81
14.3%
84
85.7%
Q4 - 5:56DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
15.7%
84
84.3%
Q4 - 6:02DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
19.7%
84
80.3%
Q4 - 6:04ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
18.2%
84
81.8%
Q4 - 6:21DETDaye 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)81
15.1%
84
84.9%
Q4 - 6:38DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
11.8%
84
88.2%
Q4 - 6:39ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot79
10.8%
84
89.2%
Q4 - 7:03DETBynum 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)79
9.4%
84
90.6%
Q4 - 7:26ATLHorford 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Crawford 6 AST)77
7.5%
84
92.5%
Q4 - 7:47DETBynum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)77
9.4%
82
90.6%
Q4 - 8:14ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)74
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q4 - 8:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)74
10.3%
79
89.7%
Q4 - 8:19ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot74
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q4 - 8:39ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
10.3%
79
89.7%
Q4 - 8:41ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q4 - 8:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
10.2%
79
89.8%
Q4 - 8:59DETMISS Prince 13' Turnaround Jump Shot74
11.0%
79
89.0%
Q4 - 9:21DETPistons Rebound74
13.5%
79
86.5%
Q4 - 9:21DETMISS Gordon 10' Fadeaway Jumper74
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q4 - 9:37ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)74
13.5%
79
86.5%
Q4 - 9:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)74
20.3%
76
79.7%
Q4 - 9:42ATLMISS Evans 14' Turnaround Jump Shot74
23.0%
76
77.0%
Q4 - 10:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
20.2%
76
79.8%
Q4 - 10:19DETMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot74
21.4%
76
78.6%
Q4 - 10:28DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
24.1%
76
75.9%
Q4 - 10:29ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
22.9%
76
77.1%
Q4 - 10:44ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
20.2%
76
79.8%
Q4 - 10:47DETMISS Stuckey 14' Fadeaway Jumper74
21.4%
76
78.6%
Q4 - 11:13ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
23.9%
76
76.1%
Q4 - 11:13ATLPachulia Tip Shot (2 PTS)74
23.9%
76
76.1%
Q4 - 11:15ATLMISS Horford 5' Hook Shot74
31.1%
74
68.9%
Q4 - 11:36ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
28.1%
74
71.9%
Q4 - 11:38DETMISS Villanueva 12' Fadeaway Jumper74
29.4%
74
70.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL74
32.5%
74
67.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound74
28.1%
74
71.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot74
30.7%
74
69.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
28.0%
74
72.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMISS Stuckey 2' Running Layup74
29.2%
74
70.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLEvans Dunk (10 PTS) (Crawford 5 AST)74
31.9%
74
68.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETPrince 3' Running Layup (17 PTS)74
36.9%
72
63.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
31.9%
72
68.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot72
30.7%
72
69.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)72
28.0%
72
72.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot72
29.2%
72
70.8%
Q3 - 1:10DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
31.3%
72
68.7%
Q3 - 1:11ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 272
30.7%
72
69.3%
Q3 - 1:11ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)72
27.7%
72
72.3%
Q3 - 1:16ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
31.6%
71
68.4%
Q3 - 1:18DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
35.6%
71
64.4%
Q3 - 1:18DETMISS Jerebko Tip Shot72
32.8%
71
67.2%
Q3 - 1:20DETMISS Villanueva 14' Turnaround Jump Shot72
32.8%
71
67.2%
Q3 - 1:39DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
35.7%
71
64.3%
Q3 - 1:40ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot72
34.4%
71
65.6%
Q3 - 1:55DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
31.6%
71
68.4%
Q3 - 1:55DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
30.8%
71
69.2%
Q3 - 1:55DETPistons Rebound70
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q3 - 1:56DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
24.8%
71
75.2%
Q3 - 2:22ATLCrawford 16' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)70
26.6%
71
73.4%
Q3 - 2:41ATLHAWKS Rebound70
30.4%
69
69.6%
Q3 - 2:43DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot70
31.7%
69
68.3%
Q3 - 3:05DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
33.4%
69
66.6%
Q3 - 3:06ATLMISS Teague 19' Jump Shot70
32.1%
69
67.9%
Q3 - 3:29DETJerebko 1' Running Layup (11 PTS)70
29.3%
69
70.7%
Q3 - 3:34ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)68
26.0%
69
74.0%
Q3 - 3:53DETJerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)68
22.5%
69
77.5%
Q3 - 4:13ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
17.2%
69
82.8%
Q3 - 4:13ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 265
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q3 - 4:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
16.8%
68
83.2%
Q3 - 4:14ATLMISS Horford 14' Jump Shot65
18.9%
68
81.1%
Q3 - 4:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
16.8%
68
83.2%
Q3 - 4:27DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot65
17.7%
68
82.3%
Q3 - 4:34ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)65
19.8%
68
80.2%
Q3 - 4:58DETPrince 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
16.8%
68
83.2%
Q3 - 5:24ATLSmith Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)63
14.7%
68
85.3%
Q3 - 5:36DETJerebko Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
16.7%
66
83.3%
Q3 - 5:36DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
16.1%
66
83.9%
Q3 - 5:39DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
14.7%
66
85.3%
Q3 - 5:40ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 6:04DETStuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)61
12.6%
66
87.4%
Q3 - 6:27ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)58
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 6:48DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 6:48DETBrown Putback Layup (8 PTS)58
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 6:50DETMISS Jerebko 2' Running Layup56
6.3%
66
93.7%
Q3 - 6:59DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q3 - 7:00ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot56
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q3 - 7:26DETBynum 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)56
6.3%
66
93.7%
Q3 - 7:52ATLEvans 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)54
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q3 - 8:15DETPrince 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)54
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 8:41ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)52
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 8:53ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 8:55DETMISS Stuckey 2' Running Layup52
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q3 - 9:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 9:08ATLSmith Tip Shot (9 PTS)52
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 9:09ATLMISS Smith 2' Hook Shot52
9.4%
60
90.6%
Q3 - 9:28DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 9:28DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q3 - 9:31ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)50
7.5%
60
92.5%
Q3 - 9:46DETJerebko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q3 - 9:46DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q3 - 9:49ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)48
5.7%
60
94.3%
Q3 - 10:07ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q3 - 10:08DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot48
5.3%
60
94.7%
Q3 - 10:21DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q3 - 10:22ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot48
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 10:33DETStuckey 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)48
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q3 - 10:51ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)46
4.5%
60
95.5%
Q3 - 10:56DETWilliams STEAL (1 STL)46
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q3 - 11:04ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)46
6.9%
57
93.1%
Q3 - 11:20DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)46
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 11:20DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 245
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 11:33ATLHorford 17' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)45
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 11:47ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)45
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET45
7.7%
54
92.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound45
8.9%
54
91.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)45
8.1%
54
91.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)45
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0ATLHAWKS Rebound45
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0DETMISS Brown 2' Running Layup45
8.4%
54
91.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot45
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETJerebko Tip Shot (2 PTS)45
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot43
6.5%
54
93.5%
Q2 - 1:01ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)43
7.1%
54
92.9%
Q2 - 1:18ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
9.3%
51
90.7%
Q2 - 1:19DETMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 143
9.4%
51
90.6%
Q2 - 1:29DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 1:30ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 1:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 1:49DETMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 241
7.4%
51
92.6%
Q2 - 1:49DETMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 241
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 1:59ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)41
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 2:05ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
10.3%
48
89.7%
Q2 - 2:06DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q2 - 2:28ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)41
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 2:39ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
14.5%
45
85.5%
Q2 - 2:41DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 3:00ATLEvans 8' Putback Layup (6 PTS)41
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 3:02ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q2 - 3:03ATLMISS Evans 11' Running Jump Shot41
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 3:25DETVillanueva 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)41
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q2 - 3:46ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)38
14.6%
43
85.4%
Q2 - 3:58DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 3:58DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 3:58DETPistons Rebound36
16.3%
40
83.7%
Q2 - 3:58ATLMISS Crawford 2' Driving Layup36
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 4:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 4:07DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
14.8%
40
85.2%
Q2 - 4:19ATLCrawford 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)36
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 4:41DETVillanueva Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)36
17.6%
38
82.4%
Q2 - 4:57DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
19.6%
38
80.4%
Q2 - 4:58ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 236
19.3%
38
80.7%
Q2 - 4:58ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
18.3%
38
81.7%
Q2 - 5:11DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)36
19.5%
37
80.5%
Q2 - 5:27ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 5:27ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 5:53DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q2 - 6:18ATLEvans Dunk (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)32
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q2 - 6:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
19.3%
33
80.7%
Q2 - 6:22ATLMISS Smith 3' Layup32
20.8%
33
79.2%
Q2 - 6:30ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
19.3%
33
80.7%
Q2 - 6:32DETMISS Daye 16' Fadeaway Jumper32
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q2 - 6:50DETPistons Rebound32
21.5%
33
78.5%
Q2 - 6:50DETHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)32
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q2 - 6:54DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)32
21.5%
33
78.5%
Q2 - 6:55DETMISS Villanueva 2' Layup32
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q2 - 7:09DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)32
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 7:12DETMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot32
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 7:26DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 7:28ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup32
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 7:44DETSummers 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)32
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q2 - 7:59DETPistons Rebound30
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 7:59DETMISS Villanueva 8' Jump Shot30
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q2 - 8:01DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)30
17.4%
33
82.6%
Q2 - 8:03DETMISS Stuckey 5' Jump Shot30
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q2 - 8:21ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)30
17.4%
33
82.6%
Q2 - 8:33DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q2 - 8:33DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 8:38ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q2 - 8:51DETStuckey 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)28
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 9:07ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)26
14.4%
31
85.6%
Q2 - 9:14ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q2 - 9:16DETMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot26
17.7%
28
82.3%
Q2 - 9:40ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
18.8%
28
81.2%
Q2 - 9:40ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 226
19.1%
27
80.9%
Q2 - 10:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
18.8%
27
81.2%
Q2 - 10:01DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot26
19.4%
27
80.6%
Q2 - 10:27ATLTeague 7' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
20.6%
27
79.4%
Q2 - 10:50DETPrince 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)26
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q2 - 11:01ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)24
20.5%
25
79.5%
Q2 - 11:26DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)24
18.9%
25
81.1%
Q2 - 11:40ATLWilliams 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)21
16.0%
25
84.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL21
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound21
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot21
18.2%
23
81.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETVillanueva Tip Shot (5 PTS)21
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
15.8%
23
84.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETMISS Villanueva Tip Shot19
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
15.8%
23
84.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETBynum 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
18.9%
20
81.1%
Q1 - 1:08ATLCrawford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
17.1%
20
82.9%
Q1 - 1:14ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.9%
18
81.1%
Q1 - 1:15DETMISS Gordon 4' Driving Jump Shot17
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 1:34ATLSmith 5' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)17
20.0%
18
80.0%
Q1 - 1:51DETBynum 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 2:12ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)15
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 2:27DETVillanueva 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)15
21.9%
14
78.1%
Q1 - 2:52ATLWilliams 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)12
18.7%
14
81.3%
Q1 - 2:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
20.4%
12
79.6%
Q1 - 3:02DETMISS Prince 4' Hook Shot12
20.4%
12
79.6%
Q1 - 3:22DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 3:24ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
21.1%
12
78.9%
Q1 - 3:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 3:31DETMISS Prince 6' Running Jump Shot12
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 3:54ATLHorford Putback Layup (6 PTS)12
21.6%
12
78.4%
Q1 - 3:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 3:56ATLMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup12
24.3%
10
75.7%
Q1 - 4:13ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
22.6%
10
77.4%
Q1 - 4:14DETMISS Brown 13' Jump Shot12
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 4:35DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
24.3%
10
75.7%
Q1 - 4:36ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 212
24.0%
10
76.0%
Q1 - 4:36ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 212
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 4:50DETSmith STEAL (1 STL)12
22.6%
10
77.4%
Q1 - 5:14ATLEvans Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)12
24.2%
10
75.8%
Q1 - 5:24ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 5:26DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot12
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 5:39DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
24.2%
10
75.8%
Q1 - 5:40ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot12
23.7%
10
76.3%
Q1 - 5:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 5:50DETMISS Jerebko 3' Driving Jump Shot12
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 6:11ATLHorford 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)12
23.7%
10
76.3%
Q1 - 6:39DETBrown Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)12
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 6:55DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 6:56ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot10
23.2%
8
76.8%
Q1 - 7:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 7:08DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot10
22.2%
8
77.8%
Q1 - 7:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
23.3%
8
76.7%
Q1 - 7:31ATLHorford Putback Layup (2 PTS)10
23.3%
8
76.7%
Q1 - 7:33ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup10
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 7:44DETStuckey 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
24.7%
6
75.3%
Q1 - 8:08ATLEvans 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)8
22.9%
6
77.1%
Q1 - 8:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 8:16DETMISS Bynum 2' Driving Layup8
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 8:40ATLSmith 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)8
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 9:00DETBrown 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)8
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 9:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 9:13ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot6
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 9:30DETPrince 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 9:46DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 9:48ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot4
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 9:50ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 9:52ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 10:12DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)4
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 10:34ATLSmith 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 10:47ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.0%
0
79.0%
Q1 - 10:48DETMISS Brown 2' Layup2
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 11:06DETPistons Rebound2
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 11:06DETMISS Bynum 20' Jump Shot2
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 11:14DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 11:15ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot2
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:38DETStuckey 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
20.5%
0
79.5%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Brown: Tip to Stuckey0
19.4%
0
80.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.89 44.7%
ATL
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
34
47%
ATL
17
27
63%
Midrange
DET
11
37
30%
ATL
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
ATL
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
Free Throws
DET
16
20
80%
ATL
14
21
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Stuckey2250%11.0 / 22
T. Prince1745%8.5 / 19
W. Bynum1381%6.5 / 8
J. Jerebko1155%5.5 / 10
K. Brown840%4.0 / 10
C. Villanueva831%4.0 / 13
A. Daye450%2.0 / 4
D. Summers2100%1.0 / 1
B. Gordon0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford2973%14.5 / 20
A. Horford2067%10.0 / 15
J. Smith1336%6.5 / 18
M. Evans1056%5.0 / 9
M. Williams758%3.5 / 6
M. Bibby531%2.5 / 8
J. Teague350%1.5 / 3
Z. Pachulia250%1.0 / 2
J. Smith2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
77
+17
-3
94
ATL
71
+17
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.89 44.7%
ATL
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
112.2
DET 106.3
ATL 111.0 +4.7
Pace
88.8
89.9
DET 78.3
ATL 83.9 +5.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.2
DET 18.4
ATL 17.2 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
50.6%
DET 40.6%
ATL 52.7% +12.1%
TO %
14.2%
12.7%
DET 3.1% +11.4%
ATL 14.5%
ORB %
30.4%
28.3%
DET 23.4%
ATL 37.8% +14.4%
FTrt
30.3
28.1
DET 23.5
ATL 28.8 +5.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
56.2%
DET 50.0%
ATL 57.1% +7.1%
STL %
8.2%
8.0%
DET 10.0% +7.6%
ATL 2.4%
BLK %
6.7%
7.9%
DET 3.4%
ATL 5.6% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.9%
53.3%
DET 44.7%
ATL 51.7% +7.0%
Rim FG%
57.1%
60.8%
DET 47.1%
ATL 63.0% +15.9%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.6%
DET 29.7%
ATL 35.5% +5.8%
3P %
31.4%
36.0%
DET 35.7%
ATL 46.7% +11.0%
FT %
72.8%
75.9%
DET 80.0% +13.3%
ATL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
35.5%
DET 40.0% +3.0%
ATL 37.0%
Mid Att. %
47.9%
43.1%
DET 43.5%
ATL 42.5% +1.1%
3P Att. %
18.0%
21.4%
DET 16.5%
ATL 20.5% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETATL
Possessions8082
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points8591
Rebounds3450
Assists1620
Steals82
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)3 (0)11 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (6)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)36 (2)
Field Goals32-8535-73
At-the-Rim FG16-3417-27
Midrange FG11-3711-31
2-Point FG27-7128-58
3-Point FG5-147-15
Free Throws16-2014-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 231 · 23
39.9
11
55%
9
0
4
0
0
3
3
6
4-4
100%
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 205 · 24
39.1
22
50%
1
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
5-6
83%
7-17
41%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 212 · 30
38.4
17
45%
7
4
0
1
1
1
1
6
3-3
100%
7-15
47%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
34.6
13
81%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 290 · 28
28.9
8
40%
8
1
1
1
1
2
1
7
0-3
0%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 232 · 26
22.6
8
31%
6
2
1
0
1
5
5
1
0-0
-
1-10
10%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 205 · 27
22.3
0
0%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 220 · 22
9.6
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
4.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36
F · 6'7" 260 · 27
G · 5'11" 185 · 36
#9 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G · 6'7" 193 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
45%
34
16
8
2
3
0
11
23
16-20
80%
27-71
38%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.