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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 4, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Rockets43%101102
19Pacers57%103133
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.8
25.7
20.9
7
33%
3
2
4
1
2
3
1
2
1-4
25%
0-4
2-5
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.9
25.3
38.2
15
59%
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
6-11
9-16
55%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.2
24.9
10.8
3
30%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.2
23.8
36.9
11
53%
3
5
0
1
1
4
1
2
2-3
67%
3-6
5-11
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.8
19.4
21.5
6
75%
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.9
27.7
30.1
17
64%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
3-5
60%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.0
24.2
29.3
16
54%
4
3
1
1
0
1
4
0
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
3-8
38%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
23.1
20.6
8
32%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.4
23.1
4.8
4
34%
2
3
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
18.5
20.4
15
95%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
7-7
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 26.8
4.2
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.4
5.1
0
1-1
48%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.3
28.8
22.4
20
60%
11
7
0
0
2
2
5
6
4-4
100%
8-15
4-8
53%
50%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.9
26.9
36.8
17
98%
12
3
0
1
0
4
2
10
5-6
83%
3-4
4-8
75%
52%
2-2
100%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.8
25.4
33.2
10
46%
3
5
2
1
0
3
1
2
1-4
25%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.0
22.2
38.4
18
47%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-7
71%
5-11
6-13
45%
49%
1-5
20%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
19.1
36.2
0
0%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
45%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.1
33.3
12.7
18
100%
12
1
2
0
1
0
2
10
0-0
-
6-6
2-3
100%
52%
2-3
67%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
25.7
7.4
11
103%
2
2
2
0
2
0
0
2
3-3
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.5
22.6
18.8
17
77%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
5-9
56%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.5
21.9
17.5
15
72%
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-8
2-3
50%
49%
2-2
100%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.7
7.0
11.8
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.4
7.0
3.9
5
83%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
1-1
100%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.0
6.9
0
1-2
49%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.4
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.