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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 4, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Knicks54%103113
27Clippers46%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
43.3
39.2
29
63%
10
4
1
1
1
3
2
8
5-5
100%
12-21
9-16
57%
56%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.7
36.0
37.4
9
32%
8
1
2
1
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
49%
1-6
17%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
34.8
28.6
26
59%
4
1
4
1
1
2
2
2
5-7
71%
3-8
4-7
38%
51%
5-11
45%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
32.0
27.5
18
58%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
6-6
100%
3-5
3-4
60%
57%
2-8
25%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
23.4
17.9
4
100%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
30.3
26.7
13
73%
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
3-4
75%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.8
22.4
16.1
4
67%
1
10
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 28.6
17.9
3.5
10
51%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-2
0%
5-9
1-1
56%
45%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.9
19.9
1
2-5
46%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
12.9
0
1-2
44%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
8.2
0
1-2
50%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 29.2
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.9
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.3
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
43.9
36.8
9
38%
6
1
2
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
3-11
27%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.0
41.0
33.8
23
60%
8
11
1
2
0
3
0
8
3-3
100%
10-13
5-10
77%
47%
0-5
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.3
35.3
36.6
17
72%
1
4
1
1
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
52%
3-6
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.9
34.2
26.9
22
65%
16
1
1
0
2
4
4
12
0-0
-
11-17
6-13
65%
51%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
29.6
24.3
17
73%
6
0
0
1
1
3
2
4
5-6
83%
6-9
4-9
67%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.1
19.7
31.6
3
30%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-4
25%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.7
17.8
21.3
10
51%
10
0
0
0
0
3
5
5
2-4
50%
4-8
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.4
13.8
17.0
6
45%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-6
33%
2-4
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.8
4.7
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.5
12.1
0
1-3
46%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
5.0
0
1-1
44%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.9
2.6
0
0-1
48%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.1
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.