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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 6, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bucks49%9479
20Bulls51%9574
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.3
43.6
35.3
26
58%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
7-8
88%
5-13
5-11
38%
48%
3-6
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.6
35.2
33.1
8
45%
7
2
1
1
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
32.0
19.5
4
25%
14
2
0
0
1
0
3
11
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.5
26.3
28.4
4
23%
2
8
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
3-8
0%
39%
1-5
20%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
16.0
22.2
0
0%
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
32.0
23.9
17
57%
7
0
0
1
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.1
26.1
19.5
13
60%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
48%
1-5
20%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.4
16.3
17.6
5
28%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.2
12.5
5.3
2
53%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
12.0
0
1-2
45%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.3
3.5
0
0-0
42%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.5
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 24.4
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.0
44.0
32.4
16
43%
10
1
0
1
1
3
1
9
3-4
75%
5-15
5-10
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.3
43.5
31.4
9
28%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
1-6
17%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
38.1
37.2
12
47%
5
11
1
1
0
6
0
5
2-2
100%
5-12
8-15
42%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
34.0
34.7
8
51%
6
1
0
1
2
1
2
4
0-2
0%
4-7
5-10
57%
51%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.1
30.8
24.6
8
57%
10
4
1
1
2
0
1
9
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
17.6
22.9
6
75%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.0
17.2
22.7
10
51%
6
0
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
0-2
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
6.3
11.6
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-1
100%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.7
4.3
13.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
50%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
4.0
18.0
2
69%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.2
4.7
0
0-1
44%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.3
4.3
0
0-1
50%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.