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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 6, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Thunder36%96139
7Jazz64%101140
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
44.6
36.3
20
53%
7
3
2
1
2
2
0
7
0-2
0%
7-13
5-10
54%
48%
2-5
40%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.5
43.5
37.5
45
66%
7
4
2
1
2
3
2
5
12-12
100%
6-16
7-15
38%
49%
7-13
54%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
37.9
29.9
27
65%
5
9
0
1
2
7
3
2
12-13
92%
6-13
5-12
46%
44%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.9
30.0
26.9
0
0%
3
4
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.7
23.8
23.7
8
80%
6
0
0
0
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
49%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.6
28.6
18.7
15
78%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
2-5
40%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.5
20.8
19.9
13
85%
6
0
0
0
2
0
3
3
5-6
83%
4-5
3-6
80%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
20.7
18.4
7
90%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
1-1
100%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
15.1
18.5
4
67%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 24.1
4.3
0
0-1
48%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.0
3.2
0
0-1
49%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.3
2.8
0
0-1
40%
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.6
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
45.7
27.8
16
55%
2
3
1
1
1
4
1
1
4-6
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
2-5
40%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.4
44.2
31.2
28
61%
15
5
2
1
0
2
7
8
4-7
57%
12-20
7-13
60%
55%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.8
42.4
35.9
42
75%
3
10
0
1
0
1
0
3
10-11
91%
10-16
5-10
63%
51%
4-7
57%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.5
41.8
29.9
14
55%
4
4
3
1
0
2
3
1
4-4
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
53%
2-3
67%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.9
29.6
30.5
20
70%
7
4
1
1
0
4
2
5
5-5
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
3-5
60%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.1
28.3
24.9
15
63%
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
5
1-2
50%
7-11
5-9
64%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.1
16.8
18.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
10.6
18.9
5
87%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.1
3.9
5.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
1.8
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.3
5.7
0
1-1
54%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.0
4.8
0
1-1
47%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.